FORM A OMS January 2004 Solvay Business School Options et Marchés Spéculatifs A. Farber FINAL EXAM January 21, 2004 Question 1 The Belgian Swimming Pool Company (BSPC) plans to invest €50 million in 6 months from now for 3 months. BSPC plans to buy a zero coupon with a maturity of 3 months after the date of issuance (it will mature in 9 months from today). The rate on this transaction will depend on the level of the 3-month interest rate prevailing in 6 months. Sarah Lee, the finance director of BSPC wishes to lock in the interest rate that she will receive. She is considering how to achieve this objective. The Euribor yield curve prevailing today is as follows: Maturity Yield (month) (With continuous compounding) 6 2.20% 9 2.60% (1.1) Calculate the 3-month forward rate (with simple compounding) for a transaction starting in 6 months. Briefly explain the logic underlying your calculation (1.2) Consider buying forward in 6 months a 3-month zero coupon (9 months to maturity as of today) for a price (set today) of €50 million. What would be the face value of this zero coupon? (1.3) Consider next taking a position on a 6x9 FRA? What would be the fixed rate on the FRA? What position should BSPC take (long or short)? Explain. (1.4) Consider finally buying or selling 3-month Euribor futures contracts traded on Liffe. The size of one contract is € 1 m. The quoted price is 97.10. What position should BSPC take? Compare the use of IRF contracts with the use of FRAs. Question 2 The current date is December 16, 2003. Your boss has asked you to provide information on the June 2004 Euro-Bund Futures Contract that will start trading soon. The underlying asset is a notional bond with a face value of €100 million and a coupon of 6%. The deliverable bonds are the following: Code Maturity Coupon Quoted price A B 16.03.2012 16.09.2013 5 3 114.06 99.61 Concordance factor (June 2004) 0.9392 0.7915 The interest rate (with continuous compounding) is 3% (2.1) A client wishes to buy bond B forward at the end of June 2004. Calculate the cash forward price for this transaction. (2.2) Suppose that the forward price (cash price) quoted on the market for a June 2004 forward contract on bond B is 110. Set up an arbitrage to take advantage of this market quotation. (2.3) Why are the concordance factors different? Explain. (2.4) If the quoted futures price is 122, what would be the cheapest to deliver bond? Question 3 Two years ago, a firm has bought a 5 years interest rate swap for which it receives floating payments and pays fixed payments once a year on December 16. The notional amount of the FORM A OMS January 2004 swap is € 100 million and the swap rate is 3.50 percent. The last payment took place yesterday and the swap has a remaining life of 3 years. The current term structure of interest rate (with continuous compounding) is: Maturity (year) 1 2 3 Yield on zero-coupon (with continuous compounding) 2.80% 3.50% 4.00% (3.1) Calculate the value of this swap based on a decomposition into two bonds. (3.2) Explain why this swap can be viewed as a portfolio of FRAs. (3.3) Show how to value the swap using the current forward interest rates. (3.4) Calculate the current 3-year swap rate prevailing on the market. Show how to use this rate to value the “old” swap above. Question 4 Your firm has sold an option on the XYZ stock. You want to use the Black-Scholes-Merton model to create the option synthetically. In other words, you want to hold the replicating portfolio. You have gathered the following market data. Stock price: 101 Risk-less interest rate (with continuous compounding) : 4% Type of option sold: European call Option maturity: 3 months Volatility: 0.30 (An option is for 1 share). Strike 100 Black-Scholes value 6.98 Option delta 0.58 Option gamma 0.0260 (4.1) What position should you take in XYZ stock ? Explain. (4.2) How much should you borrow or lend at the riskless interest rate ? (4.3) If you hold this replicating portfolio and tomorrow the stock price falls to 98, will you need to buy stock, sell stock or keep the same position to remain delta neutral ? (4.4) If the stock turns out to be more volatile than you expected, are you happy, unhappy or indifferent ? Question 5 A financial institution has sold a European put option with three month to maturity on a stock that will not pay a dividend over the life of the option. The current stock price is €20, the volatility is 40 percent and the continuously compounded risk-less rate of interest is 4 percent. The strike price of the option is €18. To answer the following question, use a binomial model with 1 step per month (u = 1.1224) (5.1) Calculate the risk neutral probability of an up movement. (5.2) Calculate the value of the European put that has been sold. (5.3) Would the value of the option be different if it were American instead of European? (5.4) Describe the hedging policy that should be implemented now in order to lock in the result on this transaction. Check its effectiveness if the stock price goes down.