School of Business mission Statement The mission of the School of Business is to offer values oriented, intellectually stimulating educational programs that prepare students for business careers and continuing intellectual and professional development. The School of Business places paramount importance on teaching and learning in an atmosphere enriched by business collaboration, professional activity, and scholarship. This is accomplished by integrating the College’s liberal arts and Franciscan traditions with current business theory, skills, and practices. School of Business Learning Goals Problem Solving--Think critically and creatively to solve complex organizational problems using appropriate and analytic and quantitative techniques and integrating knowledge and skills from various disciplines. Communication--Communicate orally and in writing using language appropriate to the audience. Teamwork and Leadership--Demonstrate respect, responsibility, and a focus on serving others as a leader and team member. Moral Consideration--Work toward a just, peaceable, and humane solution with thoughtful consideration of the impact on all stakeholders, the external environment, and the natural world. Life-Long learning--Pursue opportunities that provide growth as an individual and as an organizational member. Business Specialization--Develop competency in a chosen business discipline. FINC 315, Advanced Investments (Theory and Practice), 3 hours Spring 2009 9:20 AM-10:15 AM, MWF—Trading Room Instructor: Dr. Eric Girard Office: Colbeth 112 Phone: (518) 783-4133 Office Hours: TTH, 11:30 AM to 1:30 PM (Colbeth 112) MWF, 12:30 AM to 1:30 PM (by appointment only, SH 304) . Course Description and Prerequisite Through focusing on the development of the Markowitz procedure, Capital Asset Pricing model, Arbitrage pricing and other theories, this course seeks to familiarize students with the theory underlying the practice of finance. In addition, this course will also familiarize students with the inherent problems associated with these models as well as their strengths. Prerequisite FINC 215. 1 Course Resources Textbook: Textbook Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management, 9th edition, 2008, by Frank K. Reilly and Keith C. Brown. The Dryden Press. Class Web site (http://lw.siena.edu/egirard) Library Resources (journals, periodicals, databases, references...) Access to Stocktrak portfolio simulation at http://www.stocktrak.com Course Objectives The field of finance can be viewed from three perspectives: 1. Individual market agents making decisions to supply capital to markets; 2. Firms demanding capital from the market and deciding how to raise funds; 3. The capital market acting as a pricing mechanism to clear demand and supply. A course in investments focuses on (1) and (3). We examine how individuals and their agents make choices among investment alternatives which have uncertain payoffs over multiple time periods. An understanding of risk and return for individual securities and portfolios of securities is used to characterize these decisions. We then evaluate financial decision making in aggregate, for the market as a whole, to describe the process of valuation for different securities. These fundamental "building blocks" are then applied to different financial instruments including fixed income securities, common stocks, and mutual funds. As a required course for a finance specialization, its primary objective is to offer a broad overview of investment issues. The course is designed to combine some basic principles with practical and topical applications in the form problems and investment reports. Learning Outcomes Upon successful completion of the course, the student will be able to: Define portfolio policy. Analyze the level of risk involved in investment vehicles and define an inherent optimal allocation mix in terms of restricted Markowitz efficient frontier. Relate risk to return in terms of single factor models to find mispriced stocks. Determine the performance of a portfolio using single-stage performance measures Define and contrast bond characteristics for the purpose of bond screens usage. Define Bond risk in terms of duration Apply the concept of classical immunization to bond portfolios Define simple bond portfolio management techniques. Relate individual companies’ performance to market, industry and firm-specific effects. Relate a company growth potential to its stock price using simple valuation models Differentiate between the different stock families to use stock screens Discuss simple equity portfolio management strategies. 2 Differentiate and utilize derivatives instruments to protect a portfolio or speculate on an asset class Course Content 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Portfolio Policy and MPT (Chap. 2,4,5,7-8) Equity Analysis (Chap. 11, 13, 15, 17, 19) Bond Analysis (Chap. 18-20) Portfolio Evaluation (Chap. 26) Derivatives: Options and Futures (Chap. 21-24) 25% 20% 20% 15% 20% Communication Coverage Written communication activities: This is covered through essay questions on the exams and reports on Projects. Oral communication activities: Oral communication skills are developed through class discussions and presentations. Course Relationship to School of Business Shared Values Lifelong learning skills: Students learn how to develop a way of analyzing and thinking about investments that will remain with them in the years ahead when new and different investment opportunities become available. They also learn how to read the financial magazines and journals and understand financial news, and how to use the Internet for financial data search and retrieval and how to manage their investments. Workplace knowledge and skills: Emphasis is placed on the following specific knowledge and skills: (1) How to select investments in domestic and global markets; (2) how to perform economic, market and security analysis and (3) how to construct and manage investment portfolios. Integration of technology: Students use the Internet, PC spreadsheet models, and a financial calculator. Development of values and ethics: The ethical concerns in finance are primarily covered through the agency problem and control of the firm, insiders trading and coverage of international investments and financial markets topics. Teamwork: This is accomplished through working on group projects and class presentation. Grading Cumulative tests, 50% (test1: 11%; test 2: 17%; test 3: 22%; Final: 50%) Group project, 50%: Portfolio Simulation Reports (90%) and Portfolio project presentation (10%). The group project grade is multiplied by an intragroup evaluation index. Important Note: each report is submitted to “TURNITIN.COM” and evidence of plagiarism will lead to an F in the course. Attendance Policy: There are 39 class meetings (15 weeks); this is a difficult course and your attendance is of utmost importance! 3 If you miss more than 4 sessions, you will graded out of 85 If you miss more than 8 sessions, you will be graded out of 75 If you miss more than 12 sessions, you will automatically get an F in the class Students are encouraged to independently raise any questions or make observations whenever they wish. The quantity and especially the quality of participation will be taken into account in possibly enhancing those students’ semester grades, which may be at the margin. Obviously, your attendance is required to participate. Please minimize any lateness. Grading equation Final Grade 50 % MAX ( Final,11 % Test1 17 % Test 2 22 % Test 3 50 % Final) Participation index 50 % (90 % Re port 10 % presentation) Where , Participation index [0,1] from intra - group grading Grading Matrix 93% 90 and <93 87 and <90 83 and <87 80 and <83 77 and <80 A AB+ B BC+ 73 and <77 70 and <73 67 and <70 63 and <67 60 and <63 <60 C CD+ D DF Students with Disabilities Siena College is committed to ensuring that all qualified students with disabilities are afforded an equal opportunity to participate in and benefit from its programs and services. To receive accommodations, a student must have a documented disability (physical, psychiatric, and/or learning disabilities) as defined by Section 504 of the Rehabilitation Act of 1973, and the Americans with Disabilities Act of 1990 (ADA), and provide current documentation of the disability. Eligibility for reasonable accommodations will be based on the documentation provided. If you are a student with a documented disability, or feel that you may have a disability, please contact the Director of Services for Students with Disabilities at 518.783.4239. Pandemic Crisis Students will bring all texts and a copy of the syllabus/course schedule home with them in the event of a College closure. They should attempt to prepare for reopening with an adjusted academic calendar. If their situations permit, students should continue with readings and assignments (preparation assignments, papers, projects, etc.) to the best of their ability and according to the course schedule. Students will be given instructions regarding how to deal with paper assignments requiring library or other required research either before a closure or by electronic means after an event. After closure of the college, all communications with the students will take place by phone and email when necessary. All study material and assignments 4 will be posted on my website (http://lw.siena.edu/egirard). If such communication is not possible, students will proceed to the best of their ability to complete the assignments in a manner that demonstrates understanding of the course material. Portfolio Simulation Project Guidelines ACCOUNT CODE: fin315-fall09 Objective The primary objective will be to apply techniques of risk and return analysis, financial statement analysis, equity valuation in a real context. Students will familiarize themselves with various statistical tools in their analysis and with primary and secondary data resources (on-line data services and publications) available at the library or on the internet. Goal The primary goal of this project is to gain an understanding of the investment process by becoming an interested participant. Students will participate in a simulation exercise by trading an initial wealth stock of $100,000,000 in domestic or international stocks, bonds, mutual funds, options and futures over the semester. Our trading game will be managed by Stock-Trak, Inc of Atlanta GA, a comprehensive simulation program for Finance students across the U.S. Students will form into teams of 2 to 3 individuals and register a brokerage account with $100,000,000 cash initially. The cost of each account is $24.95 and registration information will be addressed in the first class. The trading period commences no later than September 21st, 2009 and ends on November 29th, 2009. The remainder of the note answers some basic questions on the rules of the game. For more comprehensive explanations of the rules, go to: http://www.stocktrak.com What are the expectations from the investment team? Each team is directed to an investment strategy that, for instance, “provides reasonable short-term growth of principal/capital and income but with moderate risk.” That is, the fund managers should seek balanced growth with good risk/reward potential. Each team should take this deliberately vague mandate and refine it according to their own tastes. What will the final report involve? Each team will prepare a report of their investment performance over the 3-month period. Discussion and analysis contained in the report will consider: A portfolio policy and inherent statement of objectives The overall strategy or investment style (i.e. aggressive growth, income, small-cap, active, passive, indexation, etc.): A performance benchmark (i.e. S&P 500, Wilshire 5000, etc.) Justify your Benchmark Portfolio risk-return Performance Analysis: Jensen test for the overall portfolio (include all statistics); also include the average return, standard deviation of portfolio’s returns, Beta, Rsquare, Sharpe, Treynor. Use a Performance Attribution Procedure to analyze your strengths and weaknesses 5 Detail on Allocation strategy: Key market-wide or sector data and specific events that influenced certain decisions and resulting risk/returns/correlation. An efficient frontier/CML allocation that reflects the portfolio’s policy might be desirable here. A brief chronicle of major events with their associated impact on weight allocation decisions. Selection strategy: Security risk-return performance Analysis; show Alpha and beta for each security (duration for bonds) A brief chronicle of major events with their associated impact on trading decisions. Conclusion References Note that calculations of performance measures can usually be summarized in several tables and graphs, which also should be appended. Each report should be typed (font 12), double-spaced ( not including tables and graphs) The report will be graded on the basis of the quality of the research, as well as clarity of exposition. Remember that the project’s grade is NOT related to the actual performance of the portfolio. The grade of the assignment will be based on a clear and concise discussion of what happened to the portfolio. A good report can successfully incorporate concepts highlighted in the course. Guidelines are sufficiently broad so that the style of the report can suit each individual. Nine important things to do to get a good grade… 1. Start acquainting yourself with the online registration materials. 2. Put together an investment team that you would enjoy meeting with over the semester 3. Discuss a particular investment strategy that would be fun to pursue, set a policy for your portfolio. 4. Register online as soon as possible to get started. Use the name for the team in the registration. 5. Read the rules of the game at http://www.stocktrak.com 6. Do not hesitate to come talk to me about any issues or questions I have omitted. 7. Track the performance of your portfolio each day (record ending values) 8. Take notes of important events in the markets that may affect the risk or return performance of portfolio th 9. Produce a comprehensive report by December 18 , 2009 6 Writing Assessment Criteria Content: The completeness and accuracy ot the information presented (x10) 5 Excellent The paper contains an important controlling idea that is fully developed with concrete and vivid details 4 Good The paper contains a controlling idea that is developed using consistent, pertinent details 3 Adequate The paper contains a main idea supported by appropriate details 2 Poor The paper contains a main idea but it is too general, vague and confused: lacks sufficient support with specific details 1 Unsatisfactory The paper contains no discernible idea to control the random details that are included Organization: The logic, order, and readability of the information presented (x6) 5 Excellent The paper moves toward a clear conclusion with a sense of symmetry and emphasis; paragraphs contain related material that fits together well, and transitions between sentences and paragraphs assist the reader's progress 4 Good The paper contains the necessary steps toward a conclusion: paragraphs are structured appropriately to assist the reader 3 Adequate The paper's direction is apparent: paragraphs meet the basic demands. but transitions are more functional than dynamic 2 Poor The paper lacks a clear sense of order and direction; paragraphs are jumbled or underdeveloped; transitions are weak or unclear 1 Unsatisfactory The paper contains no discernible order or emphasis; paragraphs are lacking or serve no purpose; no effort is made to make transitions from idea to idea Expression: The presence of a personal style and the ability to generate interest in the information (x2) 5 Excellent The paper uses sentences that are forceful, varied in length and structure; language is fresh and precise; the tone is appropriate for the subject, defines the audience and reveals the writer 4 Good The paper uses sentences that are varied and function well; language is clear, and the tone fits the subject, writer and audience 3 Adequate The paper uses ordinary sentences that function appropriately; language is functional but ordinary; tone is acceptable but lacks appeal 2 Poor The paper uses sentences that lack order and are repetitious or immature; language is vague or inappropriate; tone is inappropriate or inconsistent 1 Unsatisfactory The paper contains incoherent sentences, inappropriate or non-standard diction, and no discernible tone Usage: The use of writing standards and conventions appropriate to the occasion (x1) 5 Excellent The paper always uses standard usage 4 Good The paper contains no serious deviations from standard usage 3 Adequate The paper contains occasional usage and/or spelling and/or punctuations errors 2 Poor The paper contains numerous usage problems of various kinds 1 Unsatisfactory The paper has consistent problems with usage problems of many kinds Documentation: The references made to sources of information (1) 5 Excellent The paper is documented correctly 4 Good The paper nearly always uses documentation correctly 3 Adequate The paper reveals some uncertainty about documentation 2 Poor The paper reveals serious documentation problems. 1 Unsatisfactory The paper has no documentation 7 Tentative of Course Outline Month Day Date Sep W 9 Sep F 11 Sep M 14 Sep W 16 Sep F 18 Sep M 21 Sep W 23 Sep F 25 Sep M 28 Sep W 30 Oct F 2 Oct M 5 Oct W 7 Oct F 9 Oct M 12 Oct W 14 Oct F 16 Oct M 19 Oct W 21 Oct F 23 Oct M 26 Oct W 28 Oct F 30 Nov M 2 Nov W 4 Nov F 6 Nov M 9 Nov W 11 Nov F 13 Nov M 16 Nov W 18 Nov F 20 Nov M 23 Nov W 25 Nov F 27 Nov M 30 Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec W F M W F M Topics Notes Asset allocation decision and investments policy Return, Risk and Correlation Efficient Frontier Start registering your team in Stocktrak No Class Efficient Frontier (LAB) Efficient Frontier (LAB) Stocktrak Simulation starts Efficient Frontier (LAB) CAPM CAPM CAPM CAPM – alpha (LAB) Test 1 Stock taxonomy/classification Stock valuation: growth and relative models Stock valuation: growth and relative models Stock valuation: FCF and Earning models Stock valuation: FCF and Earning models Stock valuation: FCF and Earning models Stock valuation: FCF and Earning models Debt markets/bond taxonomy Bond valuation and bond risk Bond Duration Bond Duration Bond portfolio: Overview Bond portfolio: Immunization Test 2 Derivatives: The basics Derivatives: Protection Derivatives: Protection (LAB) Derivatives: Speculation Derivatives: Speculation Derivatives: Speculation (LAB) Derivatives: Synthesis No Class Start collecting data for your report No Class Start collecting data for your report Simple measures of performance Stocktrak simulation stops. All data are collected and all report computations/analyses are completed 2 Simple measures of performance 4 Simple measures of performance 7 Performance attribution analysis 9 Test 3 11 Performance attribution analysis 14 Presentations Report draft is ready 16-22 Final Final Report is due on Dec 18, midnight 8