SEEM2440 Engineering Economic Lecture 01 – Cost Concepts and Design Economics The correct solution to any problem depends primarily on a true understanding of what the problem really is. Arthur M. Wellington (1887) Copyright (c) 2015. Gabriel Fung. All rights reserved. 2 Terminologies Cash cost / Book cost Fixed cost / Variable cost Sunk cost Opportunity cost Indirect cost / Overhead cost / Burden Life-cycle cost Copyright (c) 2015. Gabriel Fung. All rights reserved. Cash Cost / Book Cost Cash cost A cost that involves payment of cash (i.e., directly related to cash flow) Book cost A cost does not involve cash transaction (i.e., not related to cash flow). A typical example is “depreciation”. In engineering economics, we are interested in costs which are related to cash flows only. Note: although it is not related to cash flows, it will affect incoming tax, which is cash flows. Copyright (c) 2015. Gabriel Fung. All rights reserved. Fixed Cost / Variable Cost Fixed Cost Tends to remain constant. (i.e., unaffected by business activities). Examples: salary, insurance, license fees, … Of course, any cost is subject to change, but it tends to remain constant. It will be affected mainly when there are large changes in business structure. Variable Cost Changes according to business activities or level of service. Examples: cost of materials. Those associated with an operation that vary in total with the quantity of output or other measures of business activity. Copyright (c) 2015. Gabriel Fung. All rights reserved. Example – Fixed / Variable Cost Question: To surface a new highway, we need 50,000 yard3 of paving material, 4 months (17 weeks and 5 working days/week) and a workspace on one of the following two sites: Cost Factor Site A Site B Monthly rental fee $2,000 $7,000 Cost to set up $15,000 $50,000 Transportation fee $2.75/yd3 $2.75/yd3 Distance to the highway 4 miles 3 miles Extra labor cost -- $150/day Which site should we choose? Copyright (c) 2015. Gabriel Fung. All rights reserved. Example – Fixed / Variable Cost (cont’d) Answer: Site B! Total Cost of Site A: $573,000 / Total Cost of Site B: $503,250 Another question: If we have surfaced 1 yard3, we would be get $12. How many yard should we surfaced before we can make a profit (i.e., the break even point)? Answer: Let x be the number of yard3. $90,750 + $8.25x = $12x x = 24,200 i.e., after we have surfaced 24,200 yard3, we will make a profit! Copyright (c) 2015. Gabriel Fung. All rights reserved. Example – Make Versus Buy A manufacturing plant has 3 departments. One of the departments has the following features: Produces 576 pieces of Chip X everyday. Chip X is one of the several products being produced in this department. 1 full-time operator working 4 hours/day at $22.5/hour. 1 part-time foreman working at $30/day. Direct material cost: $86.4. Indirect cost: $82. The foreman recently saw an advertisement on newspapge: “We sell Chip X for $0.35” Question: Should we buy Chip X (i.e., outsource) or produce by ourselves? Copyright (c) 2015. Gabriel Fung. All rights reserved. Sunk Cost Cost already spent, and has no relevance to the estimation of future costs and revenues. Example John spent $6K to buy a bad second hand car. He predicts that he needs $4K to repair it. Unfortunately, even after he spent $10K, he found that he still need an additional of $10K to finish the repairing. Meanwhile, another good condition second had car costs $20K. Shall he continue to repair? Copyright (c) 2015. Gabriel Fung. All rights reserved. Opportunity Cost The cost of the best rejected (foregone) opportunity. Incurred because of the user of limited resources. One of the most important concepts in studying economics. Question: Assume that you can earn $8,000/month now (without University Degree). Yet, you choose studying at CUHK instead of working. What is the opportunity cost of your study? Another question: How about Master? PhD? Copyright (c) 2015. Gabriel Fung. All rights reserved. Indirect cost / Overhead cost / Burden Indirect costs, overhead costs and burden costs usually means the same thing. E.g. Electricity, Property Taxes, … Consists of plant operating costs that are not direct labor or direct material costs. Copyright (c) 2015. Gabriel Fung. All rights reserved. Example – Which One is Correct? You have a car! Gasoline Your friends ask you to drive Oil and lubrication them home, and pay you back. Tires You based on last year driving Depreciation Insurance record (top), then draw a Repairs charge table. Garage Your friends disagree with you, Total arguing “Depreciation” and “Insurance” are already “paid” Cost Element and should be ignored (bottom). Gasoline Cost Element Cost per km Oil and lubrication 0.021 Tires 0.027 Repairs 0.030 Garage 0.012 Question: Who is correct? Total Copyright (c) 2015. Gabriel Fung. All rights reserved. $0.120 0.021 0.027 0.150 0.024 0.030 0.012 $0.384 Cost per km $0.120 $0.198 Example – CAD System Consider we want to create a Computer-Aided System. The costs are: Lease a tel. line for communication $1,100/month Lease CAD software 550/month Purchase hardware 20,000 Purchase a high speed modem 250 Purchase a laser printer 1,500 Purchase a four-color plotter 10,000 Shipping cost 500 In-house training cost 6,000 Question: What is the investment cost? Copyright (c) 2015. Gabriel Fung. All rights reserved. General Economic Environment In general, when the selling price (p) of a product/service increased, there will be less demand (D) for it. Hence, the relationship between price and demand can be expressed as the following linear function: a p = a − bD, for 0 ≤ D ≤ , a > 0, b > 0 b p Price a p = a − bD Demand Copyright (c) 2015. Gabriel Fung. All rights reserved. D General Economic Environment (cont’d) p Since Revenue = price × demand a p = a − bD = ( a − bD) × D Price = p×D = aD − bD2 Hence (by calculus), the optimal a Dˆ = 2b R R = aD − bD 2 Revenue Note: the cost is not included yet! D Demand demand will be: D Quantity Copyright (c) 2015. Gabriel Fung. All rights reserved. General Economic Environment (cont’d) Suppose the cost function is: Cost = Fix Cost + Variable Cost × Demand CT = CF + c v D Profit Max. Profit = aD − bD 2 − C F − cv D = −C F + (a − cv )D − bD 2 To maximum the profit, we get an optimal demand size: a − cv D = 2b CT Cost and Revenue Then, Profit = Revenue − Cost R = aD − bD 2 CF D1' D* D2' Break even points * Note: a must larger than cv in order to get a real profit. Copyright (c) 2015. Gabriel Fung. All rights reserved. D General Economic Environment (cont’d) In order to obtain the two break even points, we may need to solve the following equation: Profit Cost = Revenue Max. Profit aD − bD = CF − c v D 2 0 = −bD + ( a − c v ) D − CF CT D' = −(a − c v ) ± (a − c ) 2 v − 4bCF Cost and Revenue 2 R = aD − bD 2 CF 2b D1' D* D2' D Break even points Copyright (c) 2015. Gabriel Fung. All rights reserved. Example – Watch Given a company produces watches: The rental cost is $73,000/month. The cost for producing each watch is $83. The selling price is “$180 – 0.02 x demand”. Question: What should be the maximum production size? Optimal Profit? Break even points? Solution: D* = a − c v 180 − 83 = = 2,425 2b 2(0.02) D1' = 932 D2' = 3,918 profit = 180(2,425) − 0.02(2,425)2 − 73,000 − 83(2,425) = 44,612 Copyright (c) 2015. Gabriel Fung. All rights reserved. Example – Airplane The cost of operating a jet-powered airplane is: COperate = knv 2/3 where n is the trip length, k is a constant of proportionality and v is the velocity. It is known that at 400 miles/hour, the average cost of operation is $300/miles. Furthermore, for each hour of flight there is a cost of $300,000. Now the company wants to minimize the cost of operation. What should be the velocity? Copyright (c) 2015. Gabriel Fung. All rights reserved. Example – Airplane By using the previous technique (not the equations) The total cost is: CTotal = knv 3/2 + 300,000 n v The constant k can be solved as follows: COperate = knv 3/2 300 = k (1) ( 400 ) 3/2 k = 0.0375 Thus, dCTotal =0 dv v* = 490.68 Copyright (c) 2015. Gabriel Fung. All rights reserved. Example – Hair Cut A Salon, which may serve up to $160,000 customers per year, has the following records based on last year operation: A customer spent $85.56 on average. The company spent $62 on each customer on average. Fixed cost is $2,024,000. Question: What is the breakeven point in for the unit of customer and for the unit of max capacity? What is the percentage drop in breakeven point if… The fixed cost is reduced by 10%? The cost per customer is reduced by 10%? The charge is increased by 10%? Copyright (c) 2015. Gabriel Fung. All rights reserved. How Often Should You Drive? In Hong Kong, whenever you drive motor cycle, you have to turn on the headlights (no matter day time or night time). Is turn on the headlights during day time is “cost-effective”? Copyright (c) 2015. Gabriel Fung. All rights reserved. How Often Should You Drive? (cont’d) Some assumptions: 75% of driving takes place during the daytime. 2% of fuel consumption is due to accessories (radio, headlights, etc) Cost of fuel = $4/gallon Average distance traveled per year = 15,000 miles Average cost of an accident = $2,800 $25 for headlight The motor cycle is operated 350 hours per year A headlight can operate 200 hours Each 30 miles use 1 gallon of gasoline Copyright (c) 2015. Gabriel Fung. All rights reserved. How Often Should You Drive? (cont’d) Annual fuel cost: (15,000 mi / yr) (1 gal / 30 mi) ($4 / gal) = $2,000 / yr Fuel cost due to night use of headlights: ($2,000 / yr) (0.02) = $40 / yr (Worse case. Assume that 2% of fuel are all consumed by the headlights at night.) Fuel cost due to continuous use: (4) ($40 / yr) = $160 / yr Headlight cost for night use: 0.25 (350 / 200) ($25) = $10.94 Headlight cost for continuous use: (350 / 200) ($25) = $43.75 Total cost associated with daytime use: ($160 - $40) + ($43.75 - $10.94) = $152.81 / yr Copyright (c) 2015. Gabriel Fung. All rights reserved. Remember… Make sure that you have understood the problem before you try to solve it! The most important thing is: You know the techniques and how to you them, but not simply memorizing and applying the equations! You are a human beings, but not a machine! Copyright (c) 2015. Gabriel Fung. All rights reserved. How Important is Cost Estimation? So far, we assume that the information related to the cost and revenue are readily available. However, this may not be the case in reality. We need to estimate them! ! Discuss in next lecture. Copyright (c) 2015. Gabriel Fung. All rights reserved.