GRIPS/FASID Joint Graduate Program Takashi Yamano/Kei Kajisa Advanced Econometrics Fall 2005 Takashi Yamano (yamanota@grips.ac.jp) Room 1212, 6439-6036 or ext 6229 Web site: http://www3.grips.ac.jp/~yamanota Office Hour: Tue & Thur 15:00-16:00 and by appointment Instructor: Kei Kajisa (kajisa@grips.ac.jp) Room 1209, 6439-6034 or ext 6226 Class Web site: http://www3.grips.ac.jp/~kajisa Office Hour: Tue & Thur 15:00-16:00 and by appointment Required Text: Jeffrey M. Wooldridge, Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach, South-Western College Publishing William H. Greene, Econometric Analysis 6th edition, Prentice Hall Recommended Textbooks: Jeffrey M. Wooldridge, Econometric Analysis of Cross and Panel Data, The MIT Press Jack Johnston and John DiNardo, Econometric Methods, 4th edition, McGrow-Hill Course Objectives: This course provides a broad introduction of econometric theory and hands-on experience in econometric analyses designed to help Ph.D. students acquire the skills necessary to carry out their own empirical analyses. Through weekly homework, students will learn how to conduct econometric analyses with STATA. Whenever possible, this course introduces published empirical studies in the field of development economics to students. Credit: Class time: Room: Grading: 6 credits Wednesday: 10:30-12:00 & 13:15-14:45 Friday: 10:30-12:00 Lecture Room E Weekly Homework (up to Second Exam) First Exam Second Exam Weekly Homework (after Second Exam) Third Exam 15 % 20 % 30 % (65%) 5% 30 % (35%) Course Outline and Schedule: Takashi Yamano Kei Kajisa Class 1 - 27 Class 28 - 40 Week 1 (10/12, 14): Introduction of Least Squared Methods Class 1 Empirical Research and Sampling (W ch.19) Class 2 Two-Variable Regression Model (W ch.2) Class 3 Multiple Variable Regression Model (W ch.3) Sharon L. Lohr (1999) Sampling: Design and Analysis, Duxbury Press, Chapter 1. Strauss, J., and D. Thomas (1996) “Measurement and Mismeasurement of Social Indicators,” American Economic Review, 86 (2): 30-34. Week 2 (10/19, 21): OLS Theory Class 4 OLS Inference (G ch.4) Class 5 OLS Asymptotic Theory (G ch.5) Class 6 OLS Estimation in STATA (W ch.3) Week 3 (10/26, 28): 2SLS (IV) Estimation Class 7 2SLS Estimation (G ch.5.4-) Class 8 Problems with 2SLS estimation (Wooldridge Panel Data, ch.5.2.6) Class 9 Further issues (W ch.9) Angrist, J.D., and A.B. Krueger (2001) “Instrumental Variables and the Search for Identification: From Supply and Demand to Natural Experiments,” Journal of Economic Perspectives 15(4): 69-85. Staiger, D., and J.H. Stock (1997) “Instrumental Variables Regression with Weak Instruments,” Econometrica 65(3): 557-586. Week 4 (11/2, 4): Heteroskedasticity and GLS Class 10 Heteroskedasticity (G ch.10) Class 11 GLS and FGLS (G ch.10.5-) Class 12 First Exam (11/5) Week 5 (11/9, 11): Panel Data Analysis Class 13 Panel Data and Policy Evaluation (W ch.13; G ch.13) Class 14 Fixed and Random Effect Models (W ch.14; G ch.13) Class 15 Attrition in Panel Data Analysis (Wooldridge Panel Data, ch.17.7.3) Pitt, Mark M., Mark R. Rosenzweig, and Donna M. Gibbons (1993) “The determinants and consequences of the placement of government programs in Indonesia,” The World Bank Economic Review, 80: 1139-56. Thomas, D., E. Frankenberg, and J.P. Smith. 2001. “Lost but Not Forgotten: Attrition and Follow-up in the Indonesian Family Life Survey,” Journal of Human Resources, vol. 36 (3): 556-592. Week 6 (11/16, 18): Propensity Score Matching - Is this any better? Class 16 Propensity Score Matching: Cross Section (W Panel Data, ch.18.3.2) Class 17 Propensity Score Matching: Panel Data (W Panel Data, ch.18.3.2) Class 18 Propensity Score Matching: Estimation (W Panel Data, ch.18.3.2) Smith, J., and P.E. Todd (2005) "Does matching overcome Lalonde’s critique of non-experimental estimators?" Journal of Econometrics, vol.125:305-353. Week 7 (11/23-Holiday, 25): Experiment Class 19 Natural Experiments (Handouts) Class 20 Randomized Experiments (Handouts) Class 21 Examples of randomized experiments (Handouts) Grossman, Jean Baldwin (1994) "Evaluating Social Policies: Principles and US. Experience," The World Bank Research Observer 9(2):159-80. Schultz, T.P. 2004. “School Subsidies for the Poor: Evaluating the Mexican Progresa Poverty Program,” Journal of Development Economics, vol. 74: 199-250. Week 8 (11/30, 12/2): Systems of Equations Class 22 Systems of Equations (G ch.14) Class 23 GMM Estimations (Wooldridge Panel Data ch.8) Class 24 Systems of Equations: Review (Wooldridge Panel Data ch.8) Week 9 (12/7, 9): Applied Research Reviews Class 25 Students Presentations 1 Class 26 Students Presentations 2 Class 27 Second Exam Week 10 (12/14, 16) Class 28 Maximum Likelihood Estimation (G 17.1-17.5) Class 29 Dummy and Qualitative Dependent Variables (W 17.1; G 21.1-21.4) Class 30 Dummy and Qualitative Dependent Variables (W 17.1; G 21.1-21.4; G21.7) Week 11 (12/21) Class 31 Dummy and Qualitative Dependent Variables (W 17.1; G 21.1-4, 7) Class 32 Censored and Truncated Dependent Variables (W17.2, 17.4; G 22.1-22.3) Class 33 Censored and Truncated Dependent Variables (W17.5; G 22.1-22.4) Week 12 (1/4, 6) Class 34 Introduction to Time Series Analysis (W 10) Class 35 Introduction to Time Series Analysis (W 11) Class 36 Introduction to Time Series Analysis (W 12) Week 13 (1/11, 13) Class 37 Advanced Time Series Analysis (W18; G 18.3-18.4) Class 38 Advanced Time Series Analysis (W18; G 18.3-18.4) Class 39 Exercises with STATA Week 14 (1/18) Class 40 Third Exam