BIG DATA AND ACCREDITATION CHEA 2014 Summer Workshop Positioning Accreditation: Role, Responsibilities and Expectations June 25, 2014 Dr. Linda Baer, Senior Consultant, i4 Solutions Implementing analytics and applying it to make data driven decisions is a major differentiator between high performing and low performing organizations. Big Data: The Next Frontier for Innovation, Competition and Productivity McKinsey Global Institute 2012 Analytics: The Game Changer for Higher Education “No More Excuses” Goals of Arizona State University 2002 • Increasing graduate numbers • Graduation rates • Freshman retention rates • Expand ethnic and economic diversity Outcomes in 2011 • Increased enrollment 30% in 10 years • Increased minority enrollment as % of total population by 52% • Increased degrees awarded by 52% • Increased 6-year grad rate by 19% • Increased freshman persistence to 84% up 9% Solutions • Comprehensive use of analytics http://net.educause.edu/ir/library/pdf/ERM1241P.pdf If you use these analytical tools, you will know • • • • where you are, what you’re doing, if what you are doing is working or not whether or not you need to be doing new things customized to fit your particular school or demographic • infinitely more information to help students be successful “No More Excuses” “…to address societal imperatives, higher education must begin by transforming its own culture, which is reflected in the questions we ask (and those we don’t), the achievements we measure and highlight (and those we ignore), and the initiatives we support (or don’t support).” -- Dr. Freeman Hrabowski President of University of Maryland, Baltimore County Hrabowski, et al., (2011, p16) Why Study Data Analytics? • Expectations for accreditation and external accountability are increasing, so that it is no longer sufficient for institutions to have assessment plans. Instead, institutions strive to build a culture of evidence with examples of how assessment results are used to improve student learning. • Very seldom do institutions now complete their reaccreditation without including language about work that needs to be done regarding the collection of student learning outcomes assessment evidence and using that evidence to improve. Baker, Gianina R., Natasha A. Jankowski, Staci Provezis, and Jillian Kinzie. Using Assessment Results: Promising Practices of Institutions That Do It Well. NILOA July 2012 • • • • What is big data? Why is it important? How is big data tied to accreditation? What does big data have to do with student success? QUESTIONS DATA ARE CHANGING EVERYTHING • Big Data has captured public attention as a critical tool to advance data analytics, visualization and customized services to consumers. This trend is affecting higher education with more data available on student readiness, progression and success. While much is known about what works to improve student persistence, completion, and interventions that increase the likelihood of success, it takes local will to make sense of and act on this information. What is Big Data? • Big data is a blanket term for any collection of data sets so large and complex that it becomes difficult to process using on-hand database management tools or traditional data processing applications. • The challenges include capture, curation, storage, search, sharing, transfer, analysis and visualization. • More data may lead to more accurate analyses. • More accurate analyses may lead to more confident decision making http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Big_data • Most institutions are collecting evidence of student learning, but it is not clear how those results are being used to improve student outcomes • “Mountains of data, very little action.” • Institutions are at many levels of capacity in the use of data and analytics to improve decision making • Institutions need to link data with action and targeted outcomes What Accreditors Need to Know about Big Data While Big Data raise expectations, student data drive big decisions in .edu Why is it important? Connecting the Dots Assessment Accreditation Student Success Analytics Accountability • • • • Assessment Accountability Accreditation Analytics • • • • Concrete Measures Concrete Targets Concrete Quality Assurances Concrete Practices Connecting the Dots 17 • Advanced academic quality • Demonstrate accountability through consistent, reliable information about academic quality and student achievement that fosters continuing public confidence and investment • Encourage where appropriate self scrutiny and planning for change and needed improvement • Employ appropriate and fair procedures in decision making • Demonstrate ongoing review of accreditation practices • Possess sufficient resources that are predictable and stable Accreditation Accreditation http://www.chea.org/pdf/chea-at-a-glance_2012.pdf • Institutional performance • Program performance • Student performance Assessment Assessment • Proven metrics • Progress over time • Culture of inquiry • Internal and external drivers Accountability Accountability Definition: Analytics is the use of data, statistical analysis and explanatory and predictive models to gain insights and act on complex issues. Analytics Analytics http://www.educause.edu/library/resources/2012-ecar-study-analytics-highereducation ANALYTICS STRATEGIC QUESTION DATA ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION INSIGHT AND ACTION http://www.educause.edu/library/resources/2012-ecar-study-analyticshigher-education Strategic Intelligence for Higher Education What’s the best that can happen? What will happen next? What if these trends continue? Why is this happening? What actions are needed? Where exactly is the problem? How many, how often, where? Past Information Insight Present What happened? What’s happening Now? (Alerts) (Reporting) How and why did it happen? (Modeling, Experimental design) What’s the next best action? (Recommendation) Future What will happen? (Extrapolation) What’s the best/worst that can happen? (Prediction, Optimization, Simulation) Key Questions Addressed by Analytics Analytics at Work. Davenport, Harris and Morison.2010 Obligation of Knowing We now have models for improving student success. What is our obligation to do something about it? – Maximize the availability and use of data – Unlock the silos – Involve faculty in meaningful ways – Change approach to the facilitation of learning – Empower students to know how they are doing and what they can do to improve Critical is the issue of “closing the loop” of using assessment evidence to improve student learning and inform curricular decisions. After scouring the literature and discussing the question, Banta and Blaech 2011 found that only six percent of cases actually could link to student learning improvement. Linking Analytics to Student Success http://www.teaglefoundation.org/teagle/media/library/documents/resources/NILOA.pdf?ext=.pdf Implications for Accreditation Higher Learning Commission 4.C. The institution demonstrates a commitment to educational improvement through ongoing attention to retention, persistence, and completion rates in its degree and certificate programs. 1. The institution has defined goals for student retention, persistence, and completion that are ambitious but attainable and appropriate to its mission, student populations, and educational offerings. 2. The institution collects and analyzes information on student retention, persistence, and completion of its programs. 3. The institution uses information on student retention, persistence, and completion of programs to make improvements as warranted by the data. http://www.higherlearningcommission.org/Information-for-Institutions/criteria-and-corecomponents.html?highlight=WyJwZXJzaXN0ZW5jZSIsImNvbXBsZXRpb24iXQ== CRITERIA • The institution has defined goals for student retention, persistence, and completion. • The institution collects and analyzes information on student retention, persistence, and completion of its programs. • The institution uses information on student retention, persistence, and completion of programs to make improvements as warranted by the data. EVIDENCE Measures, metrics, targets Data warehouse, mining, analysis, assessment, accessibility, action Improvement activities, interventions, resource allocation Example of a Retention, Persistence and Completion • • • • • Beyond reporting to action Competencies and skills Progress in programs How to improve student achievement How to continue to link to national professional standards and expectations Professional Accreditation and Analytics WHAT ARE INSTITUTIONS DOING WITH BIG DATA? • • • • • • Early predictions of “at-risk” students Likelihood of success in courses, programs of study Course sequencing Likelihood of attending class next week “Students like you…” scenarios Relevant, readily available information about where students are in a class for students, advisors and faculty • Targeted interventions to match student needs • Early alerts and kudos • Improved alignment of student’s interests, skills, and career/training opportunities Areas Where Analytics Can Improve Student Success predictors learner characteristics learner behaviors academic integration social-psychological integration other learner support course/program characteristics instructors behaviors PREDICTIVE ANALYTIC REPORTING FRAMEWORK (PAR) https://par.datacookbook.com/public/institutions/par Student Demographics & Descriptive Gender Race Prior Credits Perm Res Zip Code HS Information Transfer GPA Student Type Course Catalog Subject Course Number Subject Long Course Title Course Description Credit Range Student Course Information Course Location Subject Course Number Section Start/End Dates Initial/Final Grade Delivery Mode Instructor Status Course Credit Student Financial Information FAFSA on File – Date Pell Received/Awarded – Date Lookup Tables Credential Types Offered Course Enrollment Periods Student Types Instructor Status Delivery Modes Grade Codes Institution Characteristics Student Academic Progress Current Major/CIP Earned Credential/CIP Possible Additional ** Placement Tests NSC Information SES Information Satisfaction Surveys College Readiness Surveys Intervention Measures DATA INPUTS ** Future Action Behind Analytics Know What Works • Bridging Programs • Learning Communities • Active Learning • First Year Experiences • Course redesign • Capstone courses • Supplemental Instruction • Intrusive Advising 35 Customize Interventions • Longitudinal data system to track course patterns • Multiple intervention strategies – academic and student support • Build from learning management systems • Act soon enough to make a difference Analytics Maturity Index http://www.educause.edu/ecar/research-publications/ecar-analytics-maturity-index-highereducation • How does big data affect the assurance of quality? • What do accreditors need to know? • What are institutions doing with big data that is important to accreditors as they assess academic quality? • As an accreditation reviewer, what evidence do you need from the institution? • Should there be a template for guiding institutions and peer reviewers? QUESTIONS FOR ACCREDITORS QUESTIONS? lindalbaer0508@gmail.com References • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • AACU High Impact Practices http://www.aacu.org/leap/index.cfmC&U Association of Community College Trustees. 2013. Student Success Toolkit. http://governance-institute.org/toolkit Baer, Linda and John Campbell. 2012. From Metrics to Analytics, Reporting to Action: Analytics’ Role in Changing the Learning Environment. In Game Changers, edited by Diana Oblinger. http://www.educause.edu/library/resources/chapter-4-metricsanalytics-reporting-action-analytics%E2%80%99-role-changing-learning-environment Bean, John P. and Barbara Metzner 1985 A Conceptual Model of Nontraditional Undergraduate Student Attrition in Educational Research Winter, 1985, Vol.55, No 4, 485-540. Compete College America www.completecollegeamerica.org Crow, Michael. No More Excuses in EDUCAUSE Review, vol. 47, no. 4 July/August 2012 http://net.educause.edu/ir/library/pdf/ERM1241P.pdf Davenport, Thomas. http://www.slideshare.net/sasindia/keynote-thomas-davenportanalyticsatwork Retrieved November 23, 2013 Gilbert, C., M. Eyring, and R. N. Foster. “Two Routes to Resilience.” Harvard Business Review, December, 2012, 65–73. http://hbr.org/2012/12/two-routes-to-resilience/ar/1. Graduate School Metrics. ssociation of American Universities http://www.aau.edu Jones. Dennis. 2013. Outcomes-Based Funding: The Wave of Implementation in September 2013. National Center for Higher Education Management Systems Kamenetz Anya. 2012 Fast Company 2012 Most Innovative Companies 2012 Southern New Hampshire University http://www.fastcompany.com/3017340/most-innovative-companies-2012/12southern-new-hampshire-university University of Illinois Graduate Model. http://www.grad.illinois.edu/sites/default/files/researchschemagraphic.png Kuh. George and Jillian Kinzie, John H. Schuh, Elizabeth J. Whitt and Associates. 2010. Student Success in College: Creating Conditions that Matter National Commission on Higher Education Attainment. 2013. An Open Letter to College and University Leaders: College Completion Must Be Our Priority. American Council on Education. Washington D.C. Norris, Donald and Robert Brodnick, Paul LeFrere, Joseph Gilmour, Linda Baer, Ann Hill Duin and Stephen Norris. 2013. Transforming in an Age of Disruptive Change. Strategic Initiatives, Inc. and the Society for College and University Planning Predictive Analytics Reporting Framework. info@parframework.org Sowell, Bell and Kirby Ph.D. Completion and Attrition: Policies and Practices to Promote Student Success. Council of Graduate Schools. 2010 Student Success Matrix (SSMX ) A model classifying influences on student success within the PAR Project WCET Annual Meeting Presentation Mindy Sloan, Ashford University, Karen Swan, University of Illinois Springfield, Michelle Keim, Bridgepoint Education, Heidi Hiemstra, Predictive Analytics Reporting (PAR) Framework. November 15, 2013 A Shugart, S. M. 2012. The Challenge to Deep Change: A Brief Cultural History of Higher Education. Planning for Higher Education, December 28. Retrieved January 15, 2013, from the World Wide Web: http://mojo.scup.org/forum/topics/the-challenge-to-deep-change-a-brief-cultural-history-of-higher. Tinto, Vincent. 2012a. Leaving College: Rethinking the Causes and Cures of Student Attrition. University of Chicago Press. Tinto, Vincent. 2012b. Completing College: Rethinking Institutional Action. University of Chicago Press