Chapter 7 Instruments of Power The notion of instruments of national power is an abstraction. Terminology in this domain is not widely agreed upon, but neither is it the subject of debate. In many contexts the named instruments are merely quick jumping off points on the way to discussing the concrete capabilities of the departments and agencies that house the instruments. In this book, I attempt to develop the idea of instruments a bit more fully before the necessary and inevitable shift to orchestrating the instrumental capacities housed in the departments and agencies. The perspective developed is not widely held but it should not be controversial. Power, in the context of foreign affairs, can be defined as “the ability to influence the behavior of others to achieve a desired outcome.” And diplomacy projects power, including the potential for war. The seminal work of Edward Carr in 1939 provides a good starting point in discussing the instruments of power.1 Political power in the international sphere may be divided, for purpose of discussion, into three categories: (a) military power, (b) economic power, (c) power over opinion. … But power is an indivisible whole; one instrument cannot exist for long in the absence of the others.2 Carr’s formulation was later supplanted. During the Cold War, the acronym DIME was used as a common shorthand for the diplomatic, informational, military, and economic instruments of national power.3 By the 1960s the diplomatic, informational, military, and economic instruments were housed in the State Department, the US Information Agency, the Defense Department, and the US Agency for International Development, respectively. There is no such simple correlation of instrument to agency in the twenty-first century. More recently, MIDLIFE—military, informational, diplomatic, law enforcement, intelligence, financial, and economic—has gained some currency reflecting the greater complexity in the ways and means of pursuing national security in the twenty-first century.4 Other meaningful lists are too long to be presented here.5 Why is it that Carr did not include diplomacy as an instrument of power? Certainly he was aware of it. One possible extrapolation of Carr’s definition of power is that diplomacy is the art of applying the instruments of power rather than a separate instrument itself. The diplomatic instrument is often called the political instrument, and Carr’s definition actually defines political power as being subdivided into the three instruments. This formulation leaves the image of the diplomat negotiating with friends, enemies, and neutrals backed always by the potential application of American military power, economic power, and power over opinion. And the diplomat may be the traditional Foreign Service Officer from State negotiating with peers representing other states, or it may be a young Marine Corps captain negotiating with a village chief. It is also worth noting that Carr identified power over opinion rather than the power of information. As Carr emphasizes, the three elements of power are indivisible and none can exist long in the absence of another. The substitution of the informational instrument of power for the power over opinion was a significant innovation, but it is not at all clear that it was an improvement. How the United States uses its military and economic power communicates volumes and affects domestic and foreign opinion. Positive 1 Edward Hallett Carr, The Twenty-Years’ Crisis 1919-1939: Introduction to the Study of International Relations (New York: HarperCollins, 1964), 1-21. 2 Carr, International Relations, 108. 3 DOD Dictionary of Military and Associated Terms. “All of the means available to the government in its pursuit of national objectives. They are expressed as diplomatic, economic, informational and military.” http://www.dtic.mil/doctrine/jel/doddict/index.html accessed 26 October 2008. 4 George W. Bush, The National Security Strategy of the United States of America (Washington, D.C.: White House, March 2006). 5 National Defense University, Institute for National Strategic Studies, Strategic Assessment 1996: Instruments of US Power (Washington, D.C.: GPO, 1996). Instruments of Power | 2 domestic opinion represents strategic staying power while negative opinion can bring down a president’s policies. Foreign opinion can create opposition or support for US policies. There is but one message. It is the sum of action and word. Considering the information instrument as a message separate from action creates contradiction, dysfunction, and distrust. Moreover, governments no longer control information. Some also make the distinction between hard power and soft power.6 Hard power is the power to coerce. That is, what can be compelled by military force or economic sanction or what can be purchased with economic incentives. Soft power is a short hand for the power to attract. Soft power is far closer to Carr’s power over opinion than is the information instrument of DIME. Soft power also includes US influence abroad exerted through private commerce and society rather than through direct government effort. Some inaccurately equate hard power as that provided by the uniformed military and soft power as that provided by civilian departments and agencies. And there is talk of smart power.7 The label is a bit misleading. There is no reference to a type of power that is smart. Instead, a more accurate characterization would be the smart application of the instruments of power—the orchestration of all instruments of power. It is a not too veiled slap at the Bush administration’s preference for the military instrument. Instruments Each of the instruments is briefly described below. A partial mapping of instrument to agency is begun, but a detailed discussion of the relevant departments and agencies is deferred to subsequent chapters. Some of the more contentious issues related to the instruments are highlighted here. The Military Instrument The military instrument includes, but is not limited to, the capabilities present in the armed forces of the United States—the Army, Navy, Marine Corps, and Air Force. It also includes the capability of the Coast Guard when configured for military operations rather than for its other missions, including for example, law enforcement and public safety. But these are organizations, not instruments. Instead, when discussing instruments, it is more appropriate to look across these organizations at their collective ability to conduct military operations. One useful taxonomy includes the ability to conduct high-intensity (HIC), mid-intensity (MIC), and low-intensity (LIC) conflict. These are roughly equivalent to strategic nuclear warfare, force-on-force interstate warfare with conventional weapons, and unconventional warfare. Unconventional warfare includes both the ability to promote and to counter insurgency, generally intrastate. Some military operations at the lower end of the conflict spectrum have been called military operations other than war. These include peacemaking, peacekeeping, humanitarian assistance, and disaster relief. Standoff warfare—attacking targets from a safe distance over the horizon with air-delivered ordinance including cruise missiles launched from aircraft, submarine, or surface combatant ship—is the modern equivalent of gunboat diplomacy (or coercive diplomacy) when used in tandem with diplomatic efforts. The same standoff capability can be used alone for punitive strikes or for interdiction, but it is almost always part of a larger diplomatic or military effort. Not all military operations are conducted by the uniformed services of the Defense Department. The capability of civilian intelligence agencies to conduct paramilitary operations, directly or through surrogates, is properly considered as part of the military instrument rather than the intelligence instrument. A major issue for the military instrument is force development. In the late Cold War era and the decade following, transformation of the force was widely discussed across the defense establishment. The more popular notion was of transforming the industrial-age force designed for great-power war into the information-age force designed for great-power war—the revolution in military affairs. The less popular 6 Richard L. Armitage and Joseph S. Nye, Jr., “Implementing Smart Power: Setting an Agenda for National Security Reform,” a statement before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, 24 April 2008. 7 Armitage and Nye. Hillary Clinton referred to smart power during her 13 January 2009 Senate confirmation hearings for the position of secretary of state. Instruments of Power | 3 notion was of transforming from the industrial-age great power force to a force for small wars or lowintensity conflict. The Defense Department pursued the equipment-centric revolution in military affairs force and failed to provide the field commanders with the types of forces required for wars actually being waged. The military has become the default choice of instruments, the first choice, because the other instruments are weak or distained by some political decision makers. Military operations can represent hard, coercive power, or soft, attractive power, e.g., when providing humanitarian assistance. Military operations can be judged on whether they increase or decrease the power over opinion at home and abroad. Using the military instrument consumes resources and weakens the economic instrument, although military force can be used for economic benefit, e.g., assuring the free flow of oil and freedom of the seas. The Information Instrument The information instrument disseminates and collects information. Narrowly defined, as the term is used here, it is limited to US government efforts to disseminate information to, and collect information on, foreign audiences—public audiences. Government information exchanges with foreign public audiences is often called public diplomacy. When addressed to domestic audiences, it is referred to as public affairs. And government to government exchange, that is, information exchanged through official interstate channels, is discussed separately under the diplomatic instrument. A central objective is to communicate America’s story, its image, to the world. The message is about who we are and what we hope to achieve. The most prominent programs associated with the information instrument are Radio Free Europe, Voice of America, public-access libraries established abroad, and cultural and educational exchange programs. The information instrument also collects information about the histories, cultures, and attitudes of foreign populations. This puts the information instrument in apparent competition with the intelligence instrument. The DIME construct merges the information and intelligence instruments, while MIDLIFE attempts the distinction. There are two major issues associated with the information instrument. The first is about defining the target audience. The United States has taken a strong position on separating dissemination of information to domestic and foreign audiences. Agencies authorized to disseminate abroad are strictly prohibited from addressing domestic audiences. Taxpayers resent paying to have their views potentially manipulated by their own government. But given the advances of the information age, enforcing a strict division is virtually impossible. Truthfulness is a second major issue regarding the information instrument. The strong majority position is that the information disseminated must be the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth. Lies and half truths eventually will be exposed and discredit the entire effort. This position is arrived at independently for reasons of morality and for effectiveness. The minority view is that the objective is to influence an audience and manipulating the facts may be necessary and therefore acceptable. The American story includes slavery and residual racism, unpopular wars and violent public protest, and displacement and genocidal warfare waged against an indigenous population. Attempting to project an American image that minimizes these aspects of history is seen as false and casts doubt on the positive history. A lie of omission poisons the message. Telling the entire story, good and bad, communicates honestly and portrays self-examination and progress on the ills that plague all mankind—it portrays hope. Some choose to minimize (or even reject) the darker aspects of American history even for domestic consumption, and it logically follows that they would project only a positive, albeit incomplete, image abroad. The US Information Agency (USIA) was the organization chartered to communicate the American message abroad. The Agency fell victim to reforms as part of the “peace dividend” imagined due at the end of the Cold War. USIA was disestablished in 1999. After 9/11, it became clear that the need to communicate an image abroad persisted. The culture at State and Defense gives priority to gathering, analyzing, and protecting information. State gives additional priority to official communications between Instruments of Power | 4 governments. USIA’s culture, in contrast, is about engaging foreign societies and explaining US policies to them. Attempts to recreate the capability in the State Department and separately in the Defense Department failed miserably. There is no functioning information instrument today. Perhaps the greatest issue is how the current view of the information instrument differs from Carr’s earlier description of the power over opinion. Carr’s earlier admonition that power is inseparable still applies. The United States’ power over opinion rests collectively on its military, economic, and cultural substance. The current view is of an instrument somehow separate and isolated from the other instruments of power. Talking about America, through a variety of media, cannot be separate from the reality of American action. The message is the sum of action and word. The message is indivisible. The Intelligence Instrument The intelligence instrument was excluded in the original formulation of the DIME construct but its conspicuous absence quickly required that it be subsumed under the information instrument. Intelligence is considered separately and explicitly under MIDLIFE. Intelligence operations include the collection and analysis of information, some of it jealously guarded by foreign actors. Valuable intelligence is increasingly gathered from open sources. Counterintelligence—denial of undesirable information collection efforts—is also included under the intelligence instrument. Intelligence operations might also inject false information into foreign decision making processes, deception. The Central Intelligence Agency is the best known organization responsible for intelligence collection and analysis, but the intelligence community is large and distributed widely across the departments and agencies of government. The community’s means of intelligence collection include human intelligence (HUMINT), signals intelligence (SIGINT), image intelligence (IMINT), and measurement and signatures intelligence (MASINT). All source analysis brings these different sources together. A major issue for the Community is restoring the HUMINT capability that once lost favor to technical means. Not all intelligence operations concern collection, analysis, or protection of information. Elements of the intelligence community are authorized to conduct operations that influence or disrupt political processes abroad. Historically, these operations have been referred to as political warfare, psychological warfare, and strategic operations. Along the spectrum of warfare, these operations are adjacent to operations conducted by the special operations forces of the military. Accordingly, these operations are considered to be part of the military instrument. Another possibility is to include it as part of the diplomatic instrument. Associating these capabilities with the military or diplomatic instruments may be minority views, and the association certainly is arguable by honest and knowledgeable people. Attempting to resolve the issue here would require effort without reward. The most prominent and persistent issue for the intelligence community is that its work is cloaked in secrecy and where there is secrecy there is suspicion. Some detractors would prefer the abolition of certain agencies, and a larger group argues for greater transparency and oversight. The majority view is that intelligence operations are a necessary even if unattractive activity. Another major issue for the intelligence community is the politicization of the intelligence process. Some administrations have influenced the process to produce intelligence estimates that supported the desired political action. Such politicization is usually detected and is a key component of faulty decision making processes that produce bad policy. Secrecy works against the intelligence community in other ways. The community cannot advertise its successes, and it cannot defend itself against accusations of failure. Congress and the president find the intelligence community to be a convenient scapegoat for their own poor decision making. The public’s expectations for the intelligence community are unrealistically high, approaching perfection. Senior decision makers must make critical decisions based on information that is incomplete, out of date, inaccurate, and even contradictory. Information provided by the intelligence community is and always will be flawed. Intelligence officers and mature decision makers know and acknowledge that fact. Only the decision maker is responsible for his or her decisions. Instruments of Power | 5 The Economic Instrument Wielding the economic instrument leverages the nation’s wealth to influence others. Narrowly defined, the economic instrument includes economic sanctions and foreign aid. More broadly defined, the instrument includes export controls and trade policies that range from granting liberal to restrictive access to US markets. Such use of the economic instrument is a hard, coercive use of force. In its broadest definition, it includes the sheer size of the US economy as having an influence on the rest of the world. The vitality of the US economy and the attendant standard of living is a soft, attractive power felt around the world. Every move in US economic, fiscal, and monetary policy has global effect. Perhaps the most traditional view, however, is that the economic instrument is wielded abroad by providing or withdrawing foreign aid to developing countries and imposing economic sanctions. A major issue with the economic instrument is that sanctions (sticks) and aid (carrots) have not worked with dictators, and especially not with dictators who rule over an extractive economy (e.g., with a nationalized oil industry). The common result is the “punishment of innocents.” The government we are trying to influence through sanctions is able to ignore the sticks and carrots and live comfortably, while the population at large goes without food, water, and public services. Foreign aid comes in at least two major forms: military assistance and foreign assistance. Military and foreign assistance differ in kind as well as in delivery mechanism. Foreign assistance tends to concern the development of the economy and the institutions of government, and the preponderance of aid is delivered through USAID-administered contracts with foreign nationals. Military assistance tends to be training and equipment related and is delivered directly by DOD personnel. Beyond the difference in kind and delivery mechanism, a tension exists between military and foreign assistance. The military is more inclined to shift aid to countries where immediate benefit may accrue to the United States in dealing with the crisis de jour.8 USAID tends to take a longer term, steadier approach. The State Department has the responsibility to guide both USAID’s and DOD’s efforts and to balance the objectives of the different missions in accordance with overall foreign policy objectives and long-term strategic interests. The Defense Security Assistance Agency (DSAA), later renamed the Defense Security Cooperation Agency (DSCA), is the dominant organization administering military assistance. DSCA has increased its share of foreign aid from 7 to 20 percent in recent years.9 In the broadest definition of the economic instrument, the effects of the massive US economy are included. National security rests on a robust economy. In this broad view, Federal Reserve Board policy on money supply and interest rates, promotion of international trade activity by the Commerce Department, State Department, and the American Trade Representative, are all considered applications of the economic instrument. So, too, are activities conducted via a variety of international organizations supported by the United States. Increasingly, the economic instrument addresses issues that inhibit economic development. Health issues like HIV/AIDS, malaria, and avian flu can swamp local government capacities and prevent any type of development, either economic or governmental. The Department of Health and Human Services’ Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) bring capability to bear. And other departments, like the Agriculture Department, have significant contributions to make in developing countries. Historically, developmental efforts abroad have not been supported by any natural constituency in the United States. Funding is miniscule by federal standards. A burst in foreign aid budget does not result in a larger administrative staff. The same number of staff disperses more money and oversees more programs. Some money inevitably goes to unsavory characters and enterprises. Stories of fraud and corruption attract negative attention and damage the entire effort. Detractors of foreign aid argue that private industry, rather than government, is better at pursuing economic development through investment abroad. But the private sector does not assist in governmental development. In the traditional view, the US Agency for International Development (USAID) is the dominant organization administering foreign assistance. It focuses on economic development in states receiving aid, but it does more. It is also the vehicle through which the United States assists states in developing the 8 9 John M. Donnelly, “Battle Brewing Over Five-Sided Diplomacy,” CQ Weekly (11 June 2007): 1727. Walter Pincus, “Taking Defense’s Hand out of State’s Pocket,” Washington Post (9 July 2007): 13. Instruments of Power | 6 institutions of government. One aspect of good governance is establishment of the rule of law, including legislation, independent courts, and law enforcement. USAID has never attempted quick fixes. Theirs is a deliberate process designed not to outstrip the pace suited to the nation assisted. In this more complete view, the economic instrument might be more accurately called the developmental instrument. The Developmental Instrument The developmental instrument has already been introduced under the economic instrument. This section focuses on a major issue facing US developmental efforts specifically and Western efforts more generally. Modernization is ideology that rests on the assumption that modernization is good and necessary. Next is deciding whose version of modernization should govern. Economic and governmental systems are both objects of modernization, and there are competing views on both. William Easterly takes a critical look at the West’s past development efforts in the underdeveloped world.10 Easterly asserts that Western development efforts are characterized by centrally planned economies in developing countries, something Westerners would never tolerate at home. He argues instead for grassroots, bottom-up efforts like those fostered by micro-grants and loans. Rudyard Kipling encouraged the United States to “pick up the white man’s burden” in 1898 after the United States defeated Spain in the Philippines. The old world powers were in decline, but the European sense of cultural supremacy was not. Europeans had the right and moral duty to bring civilization to the uncivilized. In the colonial era, one spoke of civilized, semi-civilized, and uncivilized societies. During the Cold War, one spoke of the first world (the West), the second world (the East), and the third world (the South). In the post-Cold War era, one speaks of the developed, developing, and underdeveloped worlds. The labels have changed but the assumptions and logic of white man’s burden remain. There are different motives for US development efforts. Some may be acts of simple generosity. Some may derive from a sense of supremacy. And other developmental efforts may be enlightened self interest, believing that developing other societies will provide greater security and access to wider markets. Progressives in the targeted states are more likely to embrace modernization. Conservatives will view it with cautious suspicion. Fundamentalists and reactionaries will oppose it, some violently, and prefer a reversion to past ways. How the international community interprets US motives will increase or decrease American power over opinion. The Financial Instrument The financial instrument is implicitly included in the economic instrument under the DIME construct, but it is called out separately under the new MIDLIFE construct. Developing countries require access to the financial markets of the developed world. The United States assists directly and assists indirectly through international bodies such as the International Monetary Fund, multilateral development banks, and the Export-Import Bank. The financial instrument includes the ability for restructuring the debt of underdeveloped countries. The financial instrument—specifically the World Trade Organization and International Monetary Fund supported by the US government—is vigorously opposed by a complex collection of small, disparate political factions who often call for debt forgiveness, among other things, for the developing world. The Law Enforcement Instrument The law enforcement instrument is a new addition to the list of instruments of power, but there is a significant legacy. Law enforcement agencies are numerous and diverse, including local, national, and international agencies. Law enforcement, narrowly defined, includes the investigation and prosecution of crime. Its successful employment requires cooperation with foreign and international law enforcement agencies. A broader definition—required when considering the nation building mission—includes developing the law enforcement capacities of failed and failing states. Because these broader activities 10 William Easterly, The White Man’s Burden: Why the West’s Efforts to Aid the Rest Have Done So Much Ill and So Little Good (New York: Penguin Books, 2006). Instruments of Power | 7 involve building the governmental capacities of weak states, they might better be included under the development instrument. The law enforcement approach to terrorism attributed to the Clinton administration was much maligned by the Bush campaign of 2000. After-the-fact collection of highly reliable evidence followed by prosecution, in court or perhaps with military means, was considered too little too late. But conspiracy to commit crimes, including terrorist acts, is also a crime, and the law enforcement instrument has shown its ability to prevent terrorist acts and to disrupt terrorist networks just as it has demonstrated the ability to disrupt organized crime. But the nation building mission requires a much broader definition of law enforcement, and history offers lessons. In the decades surrounding WWI, the US Marine Corps conducted nation building operations—typically in Central America and the Caribbean—under the rubric of small wars.11 It was not uncommon for marines to establish a judiciary and a constabulary. After deposing a dictator and building a constabulary, it was not uncommon for a new dictator to rise up from the constabulary and use it to seize and hold power. And the marines would come again. Providing aid to foreign police reemerged in the 1950s.12 In 1961, Kennedy initiated the Public Safety Program under the new Agency for International Development. The Program was to build police forces for internal security as part of Kennedy’s efforts to counter communist-inspired insurgencies.13 After the United States sided with right-wing dictators against communist encroachment, US-trained internal security forces were accused of human rights abuses while quashing political opposition. In response, legislation in the post-Vietnam era prohibited “U.S. agencies from using foreign economic or military assistance funds to assist foreign police.”14 Kennedy’s Public Safety Program was specifically terminated in 1974. The prohibition did not apply to funds beyond the Foreign Assistance Act, for example, the Department of Justice’s Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) or Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) activities. Since 1981, Congress began adding numerous exemptions from the prohibition and the law is now effectively neutered. Allowed activities include training for criminal investigation, patrolling, interrogation and “counterinsurgency techniques,” riot control, and weapon use. Weapons, communications, and transportation equipment may be provided. Nation building will require development of internal security forces to provide for public safety. Training and equipping foreign police in countries with a long tradition of authoritarian rule will likely prove to be a bad idea in some cases. There is no effective unifying oversight of the many efforts of the departments and agencies. Today, the Justice Department houses the principal national law enforcement agency, the FBI, as well as significant capabilities in the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (ATF), and the DEA. The State Department administers programs to train foreign police in international narcotics control and counterterrorist activities. The Defense Department is authorized to assist national police forces. The Coast Guard, until recently part of the Treasury Department and now part of the Department of Homeland Security (DHS), houses significant law enforcement capabilities in the maritime. The Federal Law Enforcement Training Center also resides under DHS. The Treasury Department houses the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN), which contributes a significant capability to law enforcement efforts by monitoring money flows associated with the illicit narcotics trade, money laundering, financing terrorist organizations, or common tax evasion. 11 12 Worley, Shaping U.S. Forces, 177-180. United States General Accounting Office, “Foreign Aid: Police Training and Assistance,” GAO/NSIAD-92-118, March 1992. 13 Foreign Assistance Act of 1961. Foreign Assistance Act of 1973 (P.L. 93—184, sec. 2, 87 stat. 714, 716) and Foreign Assistance Act of 1974 (P.L. 93-559, sec. 30(a), 88 stat. 1795, 1804). 14 Instruments of Power | 8 The Diplomatic Instrument The diplomatic instrument is sometimes called the political instrument. It represents the power of persuasion. Narrowly defined, diplomacy includes negotiations pursued through international institutions like the UN and NATO, and it includes negotiations pursued through bilateral relations—state to state negotiations. It produces treaties and lesser international agreements. Broadly defined, diplomacy includes the above and all declaratory policy statements issued to influence others, and is underwritten by the other instruments of power. The State Department is, of course, the principal organization housing the diplomatic instrument. Two important facts characterize the international system of states: the interests of states are divergent and states are unequal in power. Foreign policy describes the objectives of states, and diplomacy is the intercourse between states attempting to achieve their foreign policy objectives. Not all foreign policy objectives are matters of national security. Foreign policy objectives might include advancing human rights in China, but China’s failure to guarantee human rights to its citizens does not constitute a threat to American national security. Foreign policy objectives include security, trade, and investment. Diplomacy is the power of suasion—convincing foreign governments to take desired actions without resort to more forceful methods. General George C. Marshall—who after serving as the Army chief of staff during WWII, secretary of state, and secretary of defense—said, military force without diplomacy is pointless and diplomacy not backed by military force is mere posturing. One can easily add other types of force to the military. Diplomacy is conducted backed by all the instruments of power. Most diplomacy—influencing the behavior of other governments—takes place outside public view. Examples include moderating foreign police treatment of US citizens and gaining access to foreign markets for a commercial product. Strong relations between states make easier the resolution of specific issues, and weak relations make resolution harder. Relations must be built and maintained, and State Department personnel make long-term relations a high priority. Foreign embassies in Washington and American embassies abroad provide early warning of crisis and the opportunity to understand host nation interests. Diplomacy takes place through the enunciation of US policy and negotiations. Ensuring that US positions are known in advance might well avoid misunderstandings and confrontations. Negotiating agreements is another important function of diplomacy, whether those negotiations are public or private and whether they are formal or informal. These functions take place more fluidly when regular relations are maintained, and the maintenance of relations is itself an important function of diplomacy. While there is a great deal of information exchange associated with diplomacy, information exchanged between the US government and other sovereign states, is properly viewed as part of the diplomatic rather than the information instrument. Diplomacy is the standard way the United States interacts with the international system of states to communicate its intentions and views. It achieves influence through bi-lateral and multi-lateral agreements, negotiations, and engagement with states, the UN, non-governmental organizations, and other international organizations. Other negotiations within the purview of the diplomatic instrument include nuclear arms control, conventional arms control, cooperative threat reduction, confidence building regimes, non-proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, and export controls. These functions were under the purview of the Arms Control and Disarmament Agency until merged into the State Department in 1999. The diplomatic instrument includes the power of recognition. Through recognition, the United States receives representatives of other sovereign states, recognizes them as equals, but recognition does not imply approval of the recognized state’s policies. The quick recognition of Panama by Teddy Roosevelt in 1903 after it was “liberated” from Colombia and of Israel by Truman in 1948 is demonstration of the power of recognition. The refusal to recognize is equally important. Below refusal are the recall of US diplomats and the ejection of foreign diplomats. Through diplomatic channels, the United States expresses its official dissatisfaction with the “demarche” and the “strongly worded demarche” before resort to more coercive actions. The major issue facing the diplomatic instrument today is its relevance and role. It once was the preeminent instrument that orchestrated all instruments of power. When negotiating an agreement with Instruments of Power | 9 another country, the diplomat is well positioned to consider the specific issue on the table in the context of all other issues between the two states, and the diplomat can put options on the table that draw from the resources of the other instruments of power. One view, recently prominent, is that diplomacy is tantamount to appeasement. From this camp, the military instrument is preferred, and is perceived as the dominant instrument through which foreign policy and national security objectives are pursued. To equate the diplomatic instrument with the State Department is simply wrong. While the great majority of State’s work is diplomacy, and State may lead in many diplomatic efforts, the diplomatic instrument is spread across the departments and agencies of the executive branch. And since the Vietnam War, the legislative branch became increasingly involved in diplomacy as congressional delegations rose in prominence. The Defense Department challenges State in diplomacy. The office of the under secretary of defense for policy is sometimes referred to as the state department inside the Pentagon. The undersecretary and assistant secretaries lead in diplomacy through the military alliance structure, including NATO (1949-), CENTO (1955-1979), and SEATO (1955-1977). The Joint Staff policy and planning staff (J5) plays an important role and its director is the military advisor to the US ambassador to the UN. The regional combatant commanders are deeply and continuously engaged abroad through the European, African, Pacific, Central, Southern, and Northern Commands. Their regional orientation often gives them greater diplomatic weight than ambassadors representing US interests in single countries. The Defense Department also places defense attaches in foreign embassies. Several single-issue agencies also perform diplomatic functions, making public statements, negotiating agreements, and conducting their missions through international organizations. The former US Information Agency (USIA) led in educational cultural exchange efforts and in communicating to foreign publics. The US Agency for International Development (USAID) leads in economic and governmental development. The US Trade Representative (USTR), with direct reporting responsibilities to both Congress and the president, has responsibility for bilateral trade negotiations and can deny or grant access to US markets. Other departments contribute to the diplomatic effort. The Treasury Department leads in foreign investment and engages with international financial institutions like the World Bank. The Departments of Agriculture and Commerce play strong roles. The Department of Health and Human Services ( HHS) and its National Institutes of Health (NIH) and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) continually engage with international health organizations. The Justice Department (DOJ) conducts liaison with foreign police agencies. The State Department, in general, is not structured to plan or operate programs (exceptions include counterdrug, counterterrorism, and refugee issues). Each of the single-issue agencies provides staff with specialized skills and knowledge. The agencies typically lead in policy formulation and execution with overall State Department policy guidance. The president’s National Security Council and presidential special envoys compete with State. For Consideration Carr defined the instruments of power in a highly abstract way that remains useful today. Carr’s instruments—military power, economic power, and the power over opinion—convey a three-legged stool metaphor that national security rests upon. The instruments must be strong and in balance. One weak leg and the imbalanced stool tips over. Our strategic actions, in addition to achieving objectives, must also be evaluated as to whether they increase, preserve, or weaken the instruments of power that assure national security. The stool needs to remain tall and balanced. First we’ll use Carr’s instruments as a way to consider the current strategic condition, and then we’ll turn to more recent interpretations of the instruments of power. Status of the Instruments The wellbeing of the military and economic instruments receives a great deal of public attention. But the power over opinion is neglected by many. And some realists equate power solely with the military Instruments of Power | 10 instrument. But as Carr reminds, no instrument can long stand alone. Roger Altman and Richard Haass provide a recent assessment of the instruments with an emphasis on fiscal profligacy.15 They argue that reduced expenditures are necessary to stop the deficit spending and that increased taxes are necessary to pay off accumulated debt. The United States reached its peak of power relative to the rest of the world’s economies at the end of World War II. Much of Europe’s and Japan’s industrial base lay in rubble and their workforce dislocated. As the world recovered, US relative economic power declined. The increasingly integrated economy of the European Union exceeds that of the United States. The strengthening of the BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India, and China) represents continuing relative economic decline for the United States. And relative economic decline implies a weakened ability to “lead and shape international relations.” American power over opinion is weakened on two fronts, making the ability to lead and shape international relations more of an uphill climb. During the Cold War, the “thriving economy and high standard of living” of US capitalism compared to conditions of Soviet communism contributed greatly to US power over opinion in the third world. But during the recent global recession, the United States was compared not to the Soviet Union but to China whose economy continued its economic expansion while the West’s contracted. The Chinese system; “a top-heavy political system married to a directed hybrid form of capitalism,” has greater appeal in the developing world than does the US system and what appears to be “lax government oversight and regulation.” The world sees a country debt ridden and unable to cope as congressional Republicans and a Democratic president agreed to postpone the inevitable and continue to borrow from China. On another front, the Guantanamo prison and incidents at Abu Gharaib weakened the US claim on the rule of law. Military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan have created more negative than positive sentiment in the Muslim world. Waging war in Iraq in opposition to international sentiment expanded the divide between the United States and its allies in Europe and East Asia. Offensive realism would predict expansion of US interests following the demise of its Cold War competitor. Paul Kennedy’s 1989 The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers concludes that “the costs of carrying out an ambitious overseas policy can undermine the economic foundations of a state.” The United States spends more on defense than China, the European Union (including its NATO member states), Japan, and India combined. Rather than narrowly deterring actions against the United States, deterrence was extended to Western Europe, South Korea, Taiwan, Japan, and Israel during the Cold War. Extended deterrence was expanded into Eastern Europe after the Cold War. Pursuing preponderance of power, whether in the name of primacy or cooperative security, extends the US security umbrella even further. Proponents of both strategies assert “the responsibilities of the last remaining super power.” No national, international, natural, or biblical law is cited as the basis for these putative responsibilities. The last remaining super power is well positioned to choose its obligations, and it is the ultimate act of responsibility to choose those obligations carefully and wisely. There are political forces that demand a strong response under the assumption that a strong response is an effective response. To be effective, US actions must be judged on whether they preserve, erode, or expand US power. As the late Walt Kelly, creator of the Pogo comic strip said, “We have met the enemy and he is us.” From Instrument to Mechanism Carr’s meaning has been supplanted over time. DIME moved us away from Carr’s instruments and toward assignment of responsibilities to departments and agencies. The more recent MIDLIFE and longer lists moved us even further from Carr’s formulation. Today, instrument is often used as a synonym for the concrete capabilities or mechanisms spread across the departments and agencies of government. In the context of ends, ways, and means, some use these concrete capabilities as an expression of means. Means 15 Roger C. Altman and Richard N. Haass, “American Power and Profligacy: The Consequences of Fiscal Irresponsibility,” Foreign Affairs 89, no. 6 (November/December 2010): 25-34. Instruments of Power | 11 are assembled and applied to produce the ways of the strategy. Orchestrating these widely distributed instruments is exceedingly problematic. MIDLIFE conveys more of a mechanistic or tool mindset. Other than normal wear and tear, the mechanic isn’t inclined to think much about whether using a wrench increases or decreases its value. The tool is there to use. As Madeline Albright said, “what’s the point of having this superb military … if we can’t use it?” Still, the tool kit must be balanced, like Carr’s instruments, but that is a matter of investment, what the military calls force development policy. The uniformed services have well developed and rigorous force development practices variously referred to as combat development or warfare development, and Congress pays considerable attention. No such emphasis is apparent for the other instruments of power. As a guide to action, Carr’s instruments support strategic thought at the highest levels. As a guide to organizing government and allocating resources, DIME and MIDLIFE appear better suited. The capacities of the several departments and agencies must be adequate to the purposes of the national security strategy. The next chapter surveys the relevant parts of the departments and agencies that house the instruments of power, that is, the mechanisms to implement policy, the means of strategy. It might be useful to retain the distinction between the original and the new meanings. A less used term, instruments of statecraft, better conveys the meaning of DIME and MIDLIFE as action channels, or mechanisms, that can be applied to achieve the objectives of state. Instruments of power and instruments of statecraft could then structure and facilitate two distinct and important discussions. Instruments of Power | 12