EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide DH1 Introducing Development DH1.1 Thinking about the future What is ‘development’? The word development carries a multitude of meanings. A housing development involves building or renovating houses. A student of child development is interested in the physical, cognitive and emotional growth of children. In these materials we are using ‘development’ as shorthand for thinking about a positive future, as in this remark made by economic geographer B W Hodder: Development is the perceptible change in living standards for the vast majority of the population. B W Hodder (1980) Economic Development in the Tropics. Methuen For many people the concept of development has connotations of growth, and for some the idea of continuous economic growth is unacceptable; the ecosystem cannot survive it. There are many questions about development that can fruitfully be explored through project work, and the purpose of these resource materials is to help you do that. If you are doing a project that involves a question about natural resources, industry, design, or economics – anything that relates to ‘the environment’ – you can draw on the ideas and activities in these materials. And if you are interested in this general area but have not yet decided exactly what to do for your project, there are some suggestions in these materials that might help you get started. Activity DH1.1 Project hint For some examples of projects, see the project case studies and starters in each of the four Development project areas: DD (Dissertation), DN (Investigation/ fieldwork), DP (Performance) and DA (Artefact). What is ‘development’? What is ‘the environment’? In your project, it could be useful to include some discussion of what ‘development’ means. Jot down as many meanings of the word ‘development’ as you can think of, and write a sentence illustrating each one. How would you distinguish between ‘development’ and ‘modernisation’? EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide Share your ideas in a small group and discuss whether the various meanings have any common features. Similarly, explore the meaning of the word ‘environment’. A note on scale When discussing development, it is often important to consider scale. For example, there is variation of wealth on a very large scale between regions of the world, and within nations (e.g. the ‘north-south divide’ in the UK). There is also variation within communities on a local scale. Thinking about the future: Copenhagen 2009 In many Western countries, the early 21st century saw an increase in concern about the future. There were campaigns about poverty and justice (many based on the Millennium Development Goals), about environmental issues in general and about climate change in particular. To read about the Millennium Development Goals go to: http://www.undp.org/mdg/basics.shtml In the build-up to the Copenhagen climate change summit in 2009, it was expected that governments would act on the perilous state of the Earth’s ecosystems. There were some violent clashes as people demonstrated their concerns. This summit was part of a series of United Nations gatherings that had taken place over the decades on development and more recently on climate change, the major ones being in Stockholm (1972), Rio de Janeiro (1992), the meeting that produced the Kyoto Protocol (1997) and Johannesburg (2002). Project hint International summit meetings and agreements, such as Copenhagen, raise political, philosophical and ethical questions that can be explored through project work. For an example, see Section DH1.2 ‘Copenhagen’. Yet, overwhelmingly, the 2009 summit failed to produce the sorts of international agreements that climate-change scientists were demanding. A report in The Guardian on 19 December 2009, had the headline “Low targets, goals dropped: Copenhagen ends in failure” – just one of many similar reports. The Guardian reported that “the so-called Copenhagen accord ‘recognises’ the scientific case for keeping temperature rises to no more than 2°C but does not contain commitments to emissions reductions to achieve that goal”. The Guardian went on to say that the British Prime Minister, Gordon Brown, had “hailed the night as a success on five out of six measures” but that the accord had “disappointed African and other vulnerable countries which had been holding out for deeper emission cuts to hold the global temperature rise to 1.5°C this century”. John Sauven, Executive Director of Greenpeace UK, was quoted inThe Guardian as saying: “The city of Copenhagen is a crime scene tonight, with the guilty men and women fleeing to the airport.” Ed Miliband [then the UK climate change secretary] commented: “It is now evident that beating global warming will require a radically different model of politics than the one on display here in Copenhagen.” To read the full report, see: http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/dec/18/copenhagen-deal 2 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide Frameworks for thinking about the future 1962 saw the publication of Silent Spring by natural history writer Rachel Carson. She documented the effects on the environment of synthetic herbicides and pesticides and took a critical look at the information put out by the manufacturers, pointing out that it was often incomplete and misleading though accepted uncritically by officialdom and the public. In particular she looked at the effects of pesticides on birds. The book was serialised in the New Yorker and was widely read. Many people see it as the effective starting point of the environmental movement. During the 1970s there was an increasing realisation that environmental issues should not be seen in isolation from social and economic factors. In 1983 the United Nations established the World Commission on Environment and Development. Known more widely as the Brundtland Commission (chaired by Gro Harlem Brundtland, a former prime minister of Norway) it was created to address growing concern “about the accelerating deterioration of the human environment and natural resources and the consequences of that deterioration for economic and social development”. For the full report, see: http://www.un-documents.net/wced-ocf.htm Sustainable development In 1987, the report of the Brundtland Commission Our Common Future proposed a definition of sustainable development as development that “meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their needs”. The Wikipedia entry for sustainable development states that this definition contains within it two key concepts: the concept of ‘needs’, in particular the essential needs of the world’s poor, to which overriding priority should be given; and the idea of limitations imposed by the state of technology and social organisation on the environment's ability to meet present and future needs. The idea is often represented diagrammatically as in Figure 1(a). This representation has been criticised as being unreal as it suggests that the different circles can grow independently of each other – for instance that the economic sphere can grow without limits, so a different image has been proposed. In Figure 1(b) the economy is seen as existing within the social sphere, and both have to operate within the ecological limits of a finite planet. 3 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide (a) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sustainable_ development (b) Webster, Ken (2004). Rethink, Refuse. Reduce. FSC Publications, Preston Montford Figure 1: Sustainable development represented as (a) interlocking circles (b) nested circles. A number of other authors reject the very term ‘sustainable development’ as being essentially oxymoronic (self-contradictory), or criticise it as being too vague, or failing to recognise the interdependence of decisions or elements within a complex system, or of hiding the inequitable power relations at local, national and international levels. Some critics of the term argue that it is intrinsically unmeasurable and therefore useless. Others, including the United Nations, reject this criticism and have attempted to define indicators of sustainable development – see, for example: http://www.un.org/esa/dsd/dsd_aofw_ind/ind_index.shtml A variety of world views The chart in Table 1 (below) represents six different frameworks (or world views) for thinking about the future. Examples of each can be found in the ways that different groups, or individuals, speak or write about development, the environment and the future. 4 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide Table 1: World views, or frameworks, for thinking about development and the future. World View Forward looking Backward looking Nothing to be done A linear approach In these views the world is like a machine and we are in control. 1. We can carry on with ‘business as usual’ and as we get richer we can make sure it is greener and fairer. The ingenuity of humankind, the growth of scientific knowledge and technological advances will allow for solutions to the global problems of poverty and climate change. Economic growth comes first. People need to be educated to be more responsible in their choices. This is the linear economy model. 2. We have gone down the wrong lines with uncritical growth in consumption. We need to find a more careful and fairer way of doing things. For some it will mean making do with less. This will involve a dramatic change in the way we live, especially in the light of growing world population. The whole global economic system will need to change to accommodate this. This is an eco-social model. 3. We have already reached tipping points with environmental degradation and climate change. It is too late to do anything. It is now every person for themselves, as the strong get into the lifeboats and struggle for survival. A circular approach These views are based on systems thinking. 4. We need to change the operating system of the way the world works so that all materials are used again and again, either through the technical or biological cycles. This will increasingly be done using current solar income (rather than the energy stored in fossil fuels) and in a way that restores natural capital rather than using it up. We need to detoxify the planet as we go along. This change will be led by business as systems are developed that ensure that reuse of materials increases profitability. This is a circular economy model. 5. Before the Industrial Revolution humans lived and worked in harmony with natural cycles. We need to go back to this and this time around take extreme care of every species and every habitat. Biodiversity and ecological balance are goals to which all must aspire. The aim is economic sufficiency not excess. This is a deep green model. 6. It is probably all over, brothers and sisters, but life and death are and always have been inextricably linked. Let us care for each other and live in hope. 5 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide Activity DH1.2 A variety of world views Find examples of people or organisations talking or writing about the future. Assign each to one of the cells in Table 1. Use the references listed below to help you get started. References for Activity DH1.2 David Cameron’s speech to the World Economic Forum in 2012: http://www.number10.gov.uk/news/david-cameron-addresses-theworld-economic-forum/ Arne Naess of Greenpeace: http://www.greenpeace.org/international/en/about/deep-green/deepgreen-feb-2009/ The Ellen MacArthur Foundation: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zCRKvDyyHmI Living in the Last Days: http://arewelivinginthelastdays.com/ Sustainable development teaching resources: http://www.educapoles.org/uploads/teaching_dossiers_files/dp_cze _05_en.pdf Project hint A project in the general area of Development might include a review of what other people have written about the issues involved. It could be interesting to reflect on the particular world view(s) that they hold. The Preppers’ Network: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W7JnClHTCUQ Survivalism: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivalism Deep Green Resistance: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deep_Green_Resistance. The Jehovah’s Witnesses: http://www.watchtower.org/e/bh/article_09.htm Activity DH1.3 Project hint A Performance project could involve exploring and ‘acting out’ some of these world views. The best world view? Following on from Activity DH1.2, reflect on your own world view for thinking about future development. Of the views listed in Table 1, which do you think is the best? What do you mean by ‘best’? To help with this, you might find it helpful to think in terms of ethical frameworks (Section DH3.1). For example, in utilitarian framework, the best approach is one that results in the greatest amount of happiness (which might involve a few people becoming very happy, or a larger number of people becoming slightly happier). What arguments could you put forward to support your own world view? What might be the counterarguments? 6 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide DH1.2 Scarce resources Limits to growth Following the Second World War conventional wisdom held that growth was a good thing to be pursued. It was widely assumed that as economies would grow after the shortages of war time then there would be more things for people to enjoy, that more taxes would be paid leading to better services such as a national health service (founded in Britain in 1948) and education for all, and that in the long run everyone would benefit. Although there was then, and continues to be now, division over the desirable extent of taxation, the role of state and how money should be distributed, there was in the 1950s and 1960s little questioning as to whether or not economic growth should be pursued. In 1972 a book appeared that was to challenge this conceptual foundation of desirable development. In Limits to Growth, Donella Meadows, Dennis Meadows, Jørgen Randers and William Behrens lll looked at world population, industrialisation, pollution, food production and resource depletion. They developed a computer model to gain insights into what might happen, explaining the purpose of the model thus: In this first simple world model, we are interested only in the broad behavior modes of the population-capital system. By behavior modes we mean the tendencies of the variables in the system (population or pollution, for example) to change as time progresses. A variable may increase, decrease, remain constant, oscillate, or combine several of these characteristic modes. For example, a population growing in a limited environment can approach the ultimate carrying capacity of that environment in several possible ways. It can adjust smoothly to an equilibrium below the environmental limit by means of a gradual decrease in growth rate... It can overshoot the limit and then die back again in either a smooth or an oscillatory way... Or it can overshoot the limit and in the process decrease the ultimate carrying capacity by consuming some necessary nonrenewable resource... This behavior has been noted in many natural systems. For instance, deer or goats, when natural enemies are absent, often overgraze their range and cause erosion or destruction of the vegetation. Limits to Growth, Donella H Meadows et al, Universe Books 1972. They concluded: If the present growth trends in world population, industrialization, pollution, food production, and resource depletion continue unchanged, the limits to growth on this planet will be reached sometime within the next 100 years. The most probable result will be a rather sudden and uncontrollable decline in both population and industrial capacity. But on a more optimistic note they also concluded that it is possible to alter these trends and establish a condition of sustainable economic and ecological stability in which everyone’s needs are satisfied and all are able to realise their individual human potential. Almost inevitably, Limits to Growth has been challenged in the decades since its publication. For links to several relevant articles see: 7 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Limits_to_Growth Sustainable living Although Limits to Growth has been challenged, the authors revisited the topic 30 years later and during this time the thinking has become more widely accepted; it has proved fairly robust. Thus the alternatives posed here are either unsustainable growth or stability. In the decades that followed the publication of Limits to Growth there has been a multifaceted search for sustainable development. The word ‘development’ has connotations of change for the better, whilst the word ‘sustainable’ has been defined in many ways. An early definition came from the Brundtland Commission (see Section DH1.1), which defined it as “development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs". In 1991, the World Conservation Union (IUCN), United Nations Environmental Programme (UNEP) and the World Wide Fund for Nature/World Wildlife Fund (WWF) identified three basic objectives for sustainable living: To maintain essential ecological processes and life support systems; To preserve biological diversity; To use natural resources and ecosystems sustainably, or, where this is not possible, wisely, as in the case of non-renewable resources such as minerals. Caring for the Earth – A Guide to Sustainable Living, IUCN, UNEP, WWF 1991. The ultimate goal of this is a sustainable society: a society which grows and prospers while living within the carrying capacity of its supporting ecosystems, and which is underpinned by the philosophy of caring for all living creatures. As set out in a subsequent publication, this goal can apparently be achieved through applying the nine principles of sustainable living: Respecting and caring for the community of life; Improving the quality of life; Conserving the Earth’s vitality and diversity; Minimising the depletion of non-renewable resources; Keeping within the Earth’s carrying capacity; Changing personal attitudes and practices; Enabling communities to care for their own environments; Providing a national framework for integrating development and conservation Creating a global alliance. J. Yeld (1997) Caring for the Earth – South Africa. WWF Stellenbosch. Activity DH1.4 Sustainability In a small group, discuss whether you agree with the statement that ‘sustainability is just a comfort concept’. 8 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide To help guide your discussion, look at the terms used in the nine principles of sustainable living (such as ‘community of life’, ‘quality of life’) and consider how they might be defined and measured. Runaway growth Is sustainable development achievable, or is the search for such development a fools’ errand that is actually just hiding ‘business as usual’? Some Deep Ecology thinkers (such as Arne Naess, Bill Devall and George Sessions) argue that all species have a right to live and flourish and that everything is interconnected within networks of interlocking systems. Thus sustained change in any one direction (such as economic growth, or increasing consumption, or simply human population increase) is intrinsically unsustainable. Scientists such as James Lovelock (author of the Gaia hypothesis) argue that crucial tipping points are either imminent or have already arrived. Central to this is the concept of positive feedback loops. In The Revenge of Gaia (Penguin 2007), Lovelock identifies six examples: The ice albedo feedback – as snow melts due to global warming less sunlight is reflected back into space. So dark ground or sea emerge which absorb sunlight, thereby accelerating the process. [Albedo (‘whiteness’) refers to the ability of a surface to reflect light and other radiation.] As the oceans warm there is more nutrient-poor water, hence fewer algae. This reduces the rate of pump-down of CO2 and the generation of white reflecting marine stratus clouds. Increased temperature on land leads to less tropical forest cover. As forests are a cooling mechanism this increases temperature leading to even less cover – and so on. Boreal forests are dark and heat-absorbing. As the temperature increases and the boreal forest increases it absorbs more heat, leading to further warming. [Boreal forest (‘northern forest’) is evergreen coniferous forest common in northern Europe and Asia.] As forest and algal ecosystems die they release more CO2 and methane into the air; these are both greenhouse gases. The methane deposited in clathrates is stable in the cold or at high pressure; if these melt it will result in large volumes of methane entering the atmosphere. [Clathrates are chemical compounds that form lattice structures with spaces large enough to contain small molecules.] Activity DH1.5 Runway growth Use an Excel spreadsheet to explore the growth of something (eg, population, use of oil) that increases by 5 percent per year over 120 years. Use formulas such as A2=A1+1 for the year and B2=B1*1.05 for the thing that is growing. Plot a line graph of the output. How long does the thing take to double in size? How long to increase to 10 times the original size, 100 times the original size, 10,000 times the original size? Discuss the implications of this in real life. 9 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide Activity DH1.5 illustrates exponential growth – that is, compound growth by a constant percentage in a given time interval. Even if the percentage is small, the growth speeds up with time and something that starts off quite small and slow-growing can soon be large and increasing rapidly (Figure 2). Figure 2: Linear and exponential growth. Material shortages Crude oil is a finite resource, and sooner or later production will drop after reaching a maximum (Figure 3). The facts of peak oil are well understood even if there is disagreement about the date. You might also be aware that demand for copper is once again soaring, as is its price (Figure 4), following a drop in 2008; one consequence is an increase in copper theft, which comes to many people’s attention when trains are delayed because someone has stolen the copper used in signalling. 10 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide Figure 3: Oil discovery and production. Figure 4: Fluctuation in the price of copper 1986-2011. (Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Copper_Price_History_USD.png) 11 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide What is less well known is the shortage of certain chemical elements known as the rare earth metals. These include indium used for screens on computers and phones, neodymium used for magnets including those used in electric and hybrid vehicles (the Toyota Prius has about 1 kg per car) as well as in wind turbines which might have up to 300 kg. Boron is mixed with small quantities of dysprosium to enhance the operation temperature in small, lightweight permanent magnets. Erbium is a key element in the optical fibres used in telecommunications. At present, 97 percent of the rare earth elements are mined in China which is cutting back on exports and using more of the materials in its own industries. Project hint For your project, you could investigate an element that is in short supply and look into the social, political and economic implications as well as possible alternative ways of ameliorating the situation. See Section DN1.2 ‘iPad’ for an example of an Investigation project in this area. Other elements are in short supply or uneconomical to produce, such as the tellurium used in solar cells. Some common materials such as phosphorus, which is used widely in detergents and fertilisers, are not actually in short supply. But according to the journal Nature Materials (March 2011) there is a danger that with the population growth and increased use of biofuels, these resources might be quickly running out. With many companies buying materials or components on a just-intime basis, even a hiccup in supply can be very damaging. An obvious solution is to recycle materials but, as Activity DH1.6 shows, that is only a partial answer. Activity DH1.6 Recycling Let us suppose that 80 percent of a material is recycled each year. Set up a spread sheet model with 100 in year 1 and the formula B2=B1*0.8 etc. See what happens over 50 years of recycling at 80 percent. How many years does it take to lose half of the material? How long before less than 1 percent is still available? Plot this on a line graph. Project hint See Section DN2.2 ‘Recycling’ for some suggestions for questionnaire-based Field Study projects in this area. Activity DH1.6 illustrates exponential decay, which occurs when a fixed percentage of something is lost in a given time interval. Although the rate of loss slows down with time, it keeps on shrinking down towards zero. If a finite resource is used, and less than 100 percent is recovered and reused or recycled, then sooner or later it will run out. It will be used up. Already some of the rare earth metals are more concentrated in waste or landfill than they were in the original mines from which they came. 12 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide DH1.3 Linear or circular? Modelling the economy Linear economy The current economic model is based on a linear economy system of ‘Take-MakeDispose’ (Figure 5) in which companies make money through selling things and much of the stuff produced ends up as waste or in landfill. Governments wanting to keep up their tax revenue benefit from this throughput of resources – but in a finite system (the planet Earth) it is ultimately unsustainable. Recycling is only a partial and indeed short-term answer as there is a constant loss either to landfill or incineration. Figure 5: Linear economy. Cradle to Cradle In 2002, chemist Michael Braungart and architect William McDonough published a book called Cradle to Cradle: rethinking the way we make things. The latest edition is: Braungart, M. and McDonough, W. (2008). Cradle to Cradle: rethinking the way we make things. London, Vintage. Braungart and McDonough asked the question: why not redesign materials and artefacts so that all the materials used can be recovered? Those which the authors call biological 13 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide nutrients are those which can be broken down and ultimately improve the soil. Ideally, they can be ‘cascaded’ before going back into the soil. For example, wood (biomass) can be used for burning to generate electricity (a limited single use) or it can first be used for building, then for furniture, then for particle board or paper before being burned. The ash can then be returned to the forest. This will only work if toxic materials are not used or produced in the process. The technical nutrients are those materials (metals and plastics) that are not suitable for a biological cycle: they are non-biodegradable or have toxic qualities. These can be – some would say must be – recovered and used again without loss of quality as far as possible. They are food for a technical cycle – hence the idea of ‘nutrients’. Braungart and McDonough coined the phrase ‘waste = food’ to summarise this idea. Project hint A hybrid material is something in which there are mixtures of technical and/or biological ‘nutrients’ that cannot be easily separated and recovered at a product’s end of life (the value-laden term ‘monstrous hybrid’ is sometimes used). A Performance can be an effective way to communicate ideas. See Section DP1.1 ‘waste = food’. The authors coin the term upcycling to mean reuse with an increase in quality, and downcycling to refer to a degradation of quality in a re-used material. Products that are hybrids typically cannot be upcycled or downcycled, but instead end up in landfills or incinerators. Project hint An Artefact project could involve making something from ‘waste’ materials and demonstrating an increase in quality. See Part DA2 of these resources, Section DA2.1. If all products are so designed so that the biological and technical nutrients can be separated on disassembly and if the systems are in place for recovery of the technical nutrients and decomposition of the biological nutrients – and all the transport, manufacture and other processes are powered by renewable energy – then the issue of shortages has gone a long way to being addressed. William McDonough has said: Project hint Renewable energy could be explored in an Investigation project. See Section DN2.1 ‘Energy’ for suggestions. I think if anybody here has trouble with the concepts of design humility; just reflect on the fact that it took us 5,000 years to put wheels on our luggage. We are not that smart. And we have a big job ahead of us here. Well, how we get to do these things, and things like the largest green rose in the world, and buildings that are starting to act like living things like trees? Imagine the design that makes all oxygen, sequesters carbon, fixes nitrogen, distils water, provides habitat for hundreds of species, accrues solar energies as fuel, makes complex sugars in food, and creates microclimates and self-replicates. Commercial manufacturers can apply for their products to be C2C certified according to criteria that are set out on the MBDC (McDonough Braungart Design Chemistry) website: http://mbdc.com/detail.aspx?linkid=2&sublink=9 Activity DH1.7 Upcycling and downcycling Read this article on downcycling: 14 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide http://www.examiner.com/green-living-in-louisville/downcycling-reusing-or-recycling-a-product-for-analternative-lesser-quality-purpose Then compare with some of the examples of upcycling: http://toponlineengineeringdegree.com/?page_id=116 Write a short explanation of the difference between upcycling and downcycling, using examples from these two websites. Circular economy Now suppose this principle of Cradle to Cradle is extended into a system based on this way of thinking. It could be called circular economy or closed loop economy. This is represented in Figure 6. Figure 6: Circular economy This system relies on there being no waste at all apart from waste heat. Nature is seen as a source of capital that needs to be maintained or enhanced, not as a resource to be used up. What was compostable waste in a linear economy is cycled back into the soil, possibly being used on the way to make gas for cooking in a biodiesel, or being cascaded through various uses. 15 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide The technical nutrients – largely metals and plastics – are kept in a constant flow in as high a quality as possible, first as products, then as components and only latterly as materials. It is more than recycling as that suggests only a partial reclamation, and in many existing recycling processes there is a downcycling – that is a loss of quality. Figure 7 shows these flows in more detail. It shows different loops for the cycling of materials – biological nutrients on the left and technical nutrients on the right. The tighter the loop for technical nutrients the more profitable it is for companies. This demonstrates how recycling is only sensible when the options of maintenance, reuse and remanufacture have been exhausted. Project hint The circular economy can underpin a wide variety of projects. For examples, see Section DN1.1 ‘Anaerobic digester’ (Investigation), Section DP1.1 ‘Waste=food’ (Performance), Section DA1.1 ‘Tennis bag’ (Artefact) and Section DH1.1 ‘iPad’ (Dissertation). The biological cycle portrays the way that materials can have multiple uses before being returned to the soil. Figure 7: Loops for the cycling of biological and technical materials. 16 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide Keeping technical nutrients in a continuous flow requires some major systems changes. Products have to be designed for easy disassembly, all components need to be made of chemically suitable materials, and there need to be infrastructure systems in place to make this all possible. This infrastructure might include legislation and tax incentives, firms collaborating over collection of recovered materials (both biological and technical nutrients). In practice Some companies are seeing the circular economy as a long-term strategy to remain profitable. B&Q, for example, anticipates that by 2030 it will be leasing/lending some categories of tools. If you are putting up some shelves and buy an electric drill the chance is that it will be used for only 10 minutes in its whole lifetime, so it might make more sense for the store to have very high quality drills that they rent out, which are designed for longevity and easy repair, and where the company retains ownership of the materials. This also opens up the possibilities of shared ownership or collaborative use. Activity DH1.8 Collaborative use Watch this TedX talk by Rachel Botsman (16 minutes): http://www.ted.com/talks/rachel_botsman_the_case_for_collaborative_consumpti on.html Project hint For an example of an Artefact project exploring collaborative use, see Section DA1.2 ‘Fashion share’. What do you think are the advantages, and disadvantages, of this approach? In groups, discuss to what extent you consider collaborative use an attractive way of having your needs and aspirations met. In January 2012, the Ellen MacArthur Foundation published a report,Towards the circular economy – economic and business rationale for an accelerated transition, which argued that the circular economy represents a net material cost saving opportunity of USD 340 to 380 billion p.a. at EU level for a ‘transition scenario’ and USD 520 to 630 billion p.a., or a recurrent 3 to 3.9 percent of 2010 EU GDP, for an ‘advanced scenario’. In other words, massive sums are at stake and as Europe looks for a strategy growth, it is possible – even likely – that this will be part of the mix. You can read the full report, or the executive summary on: http://www.thecirculareconomy.org/ However, not everybody is convinced that a circular economy is achievable in practice. For example, environmental scientist Prof. Friedrich Schmidt-Bleek (formerly of the Wuppertal Institute for Climate, Environment and Energy, now Director of the Factor 10 Institute in France) has questioned whether the principles can be successfully applied on a large scale and a group at the Stockholm School of Economics has pointed out some practical difficulties that impede the re-use of materials: http://gin.confex.com/gin/2003/techprogram/P100.HTM 17 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide Critics have also expressed concern that, for industrial design, Braungart and McDonough have registered the term ‘Cradle to Cradle’ as a trademark, which restricts its use by others. Activity DH1.9 Exploring the circular economy Work through the Ellen MacArthur Foundation resource G5 The circular economy – the need for infrastructure change: http://www.ellenmacarthurfoundation.org/education/resources 18 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide DH2 Development and design DH2.1 Theories of design To look at the magazine section of a Sunday newspaper one might be forgiven for thinking that design is all about the latest and most fashionable consumer durables, clothes or interiors. Activity DH2.1 What is design? Make a mood board with cuttings from papers and magazines based on the way they present ‘design’. What does this suggest about the meaning of the word? Classic design theory In traditional art and design the concept of ‘design’ referred very much to the aesthetics. Certain dimensions were considered important in developing an aesthetically pleasing result. For example, graphic designers need to think about five elements of design (line, shape, texture, value and colour, and space), they also need to think about four principles of design (movement, balance, emphasis and unity). See, for example: http://www.usask.ca/education/coursework/skaalid/theory/cgdt/designtheory.htm There is much more to design than this. We can think hypothetically and imagine things that do not exist, then bring them into being – or some of them at least. We can evaluate our ideas both ‘on the drawing board’ and through testing mock-ups and prototypes, we can reflect consciously on our ideas and make improvements. We can work systematically or intuitively, in small moves or big leaps of the imagination. And in doing so we change the world – for better or for worse. This is not only true of things like houses or cars or iPhones but also for systems such as primary health care, training a team for a match or planning a holiday. In 1995 the UK Design Council asked practising designers, people from industry, and children, for their personal definitions. These included: I believe design is intention, purpose, plan: and that good design is therefore by inference, where such a plan has been well conceived, well executed and of benefit to someone. Milner Gray Design: the creative harmonic between culture and industry, technology and consumers, and engineering and art. Dick Powell Every aspect of our daily lives has been designed, but some things were better designed than others. Alice Rawsthorn The Design Council has a more recent briefing paper on ‘What is design’: http://www0.hku.hk/bse/interdisciplinary/what_is_design.pdf 19 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide Activity DH2.2 Good design? In groups brainstorm the keywords around ‘design’ and ‘good design’ and attempt your own definition of the latter. Share these between groups. Project hint Design as problem-solving One view of designing is that it is a problem-solving activity. Various algorithms have been developed. Sometimes these are called the rational model of design, or technical problem solving. The basic principle is that there is a design process that can be broken down into different stages wherein the designer works within known constraints and objectives. A typical sequence can be as in Table 2. Table 2: A design framework Design is central to any Artefact project, and in such a project you will need to reflect on the design processes that you use. For more on Artefact projects, see Part DA of these resources. Brief A single sentence describing the requirement Analysis and research Refining the brief, analysing the task, researching solutions Specification A detailed list of points the artefact should satisfy Ideas and development Exploration of different approaches, and decision-making Production plan Materials, techniques & processes, timescale Realisation The actual making of the product Testing and evaluation A report of your work. Does it meet the specification? How could it be improved? Reflection-in-action The problem-solving approach has been criticised as being contrary to the way that designers actually work. There is evidence that most designing is a much more intuitive process in which designers operate more emotionally, creatively and in an improvised manner rather than through a series of logical steps. There is an on-going iteration between framing (conceptualising the problem, defining goals and objectives), making a move (a tentative design decision) and evaluating the moves. Over time there is progress towards a solution that can be tested in a real environment. Sometimes this is called the action-centric approach or reflection-in-action after the thinking of Donald Schon (1930 –1997) whose work includes ‘The Reflective Practitioner; how professionals think in action’ (1983). 20 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide Activity DH2.3 Does it work like this? Consider some thing/event/activity that you have recently designed and ask to what extent the process in Table 2 was actually followed. Share this in groups. DH2.2-2.3 Design for a circular economy Whole systems design One of the difficulties with the way that designers operate today is that designing and realising the solution to one problem can often have unintended consequences thereby creating another problem. A systems approach is when you do not just look at one thing and decide how to make it better. Instead you view the ‘problems’ under consideration as inter-related parts of a larger system. You try to optimise the system rather than just make one element more efficient. The aim is to design for the full cycle beyond the initial client or customer. Mushrooms and coffee In 2010, a company called BTTR Ventures won an award for their innovative approach to business. The founders Nikhil Arora and Alejandro Velez were fourth-year students at the University of California, Berkeley, USA, when they came up with the idea that started the company. They had found that gourmet mushrooms could be grown entirely on recycled coffee grounds, and successfully developed a business plan and a production scheme which had the added benefit of supplying enriched compost to local farms and plant nurseries. You can read more details at: http://www.care2.com/causes/mushrooms-grown-from-coffee-grounds-wins-svninnovation-award.html#ixzz1jFWvSiOa Activity DH2.4 Whole systems design Look at the Autodesk video on ‘Whole Systems Design’: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L06ZgG0FV4c. In a group, try to give examples of whole systems design. Try to think of existing examples of ‘whole systems optimisation’ where there are multiple benefits to a variety of stakeholders. 21 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide Cradle to Cradle design In their book Cradle to Cradle (see Section DH1) Braungart and McDonough argue that good design uses the safe and productive processes of nature’s ‘biological metabolism’ as a model for developing a ‘technical metabolism’ flow of industrial materials. Product components can be designed for continuous recovery and reutilisation as biological and technical nutrients within these metabolisms. The Cradle to Cradle (C2C) framework also addresses energy, water and social responsibility through the following tenets: Project hint The application of Cradle to Cradle design principles can be a major element of an Artefact project. For an example, see Part DA1, Section DA1.1 ‘Tennis bag’. For further suggestions, see Part DA2. Eliminate the concept of waste. “Waste equals food”. Design products and materials with life cycles that are safe for human health and the environment and that can be reused perpetually through biological and technical metabolisms. Create and participate in systems to collect and recover the value of these materials following their use. Power with renewable energy. “Use current solar income”. Maximise the use of renewable energy. Respect human & natural systems. “Celebrate diversity”. Manage water use to maximise quality, promote healthy ecosystems and respect local impacts. Guide operations and stakeholder relationships using social responsibility. Project hint Renewable energy is Renewable energy is a topic that can a topic that can fruitfully be explored fruitfully be explored in an Investigation in an Investigation project. See Section project. See Section DN2.1 ‘Energy’ for DN2.1 ‘Energy’ for some suggestions. some suggestions. See: http://www.mbdc.com/detail.aspx?linkid=1&sublink=6 See, also, the pamphlet by McDonough and Braungart Design for a Cradle to Cradle Future: http://www.mbdc.com/images/Design_For_C2C_Future.pdf Activity DH2.5 Cradle to Cradle products Working in groups, identify a Cradle to Cradle product and prepare a two-minute presentation about it. Explain in what ways it conforms to C2C principles. You can find some case studies and examples of C2C products on the Ellen MacArthur Foundation website: http://www.ellenmacarthurfoundation.org/business Open design In the collaborative spirit of our age some designers are working in an open way, analogous to developing open source software and publications. See: http://opendesignnow.org/ and especially the article by Jos de Mul on ‘Redesigning design’. 22 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide Activity DH2.6 Open design Do some internet searches on themes such as ‘open design’, ‘collaborative consumption’ and ‘participatory design’. Discuss how far this is a different model from the traditional one of a company (the client) commissioning someone to design a product, which is then sold to a consumer. What do you think is the relationship between C2C and open design? Is it possible, or desirable, to have one without the other? Biomimicry A central dimension of the circular economy is that we can learn from nature. This can happen at three levels. At its simplest we can design products that mimic the forms of nature. Well-known examples are Velcro or the sharkskin swimsuit. An interesting example in robotics can be found on Festo’s video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SKJybDb1dz0&feature=relted Project hint Biomimicry could provide inspiration for an Artefact project. See Part DA2 Section DA2.2 for some suggestions. At the next level we can design things that mimic processes in nature. An example would be self-cleaning surfaces on buildings or textiles, inspired by the ‘self-cleaning’ structure of a lotus leaf. See two video clips: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uZTK6HBaxI4 and, a Scientific American note on self-cleaning nano-technology: http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=self-cleaningmaterials At a macro level our economy could be designed to to follow nature in its overall systems – materials flow and are endlessly cycled, powered by the Sun. In this, waste = food. An industrial example of this can be seen on this seven-minute video about InterfaceFlor: http://www.ellenmacarthurfoundation.org/videos?video=Business%2 0Case%20Study%201%3A%20Interface%20Flor The underlying thinking is explained on Rethinking Progress (four minutes): Project hint Biomimetic materials, or objects, could be explored through laboratory experiments in an Investigation project. See Part DN2 Section DN2.3 ‘Biomimicry’ for some suggestions. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zCRKvDyyHmI A further seven-minute video looks at how the Netherlands is moving towards a circular economy: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=65Vt-mTYfW4&feature=relmfu 23 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide DH3 Development and philosophy DH3.1 Doing good Broadly speaking, ethics is the branch of philosophy that is concerned with the moral principles that govern a person’s or a group’s behaviour; it deals with right and wrong, good and bad. Some people choose to focus on the ethics of personal behaviour, others think it is more important to look at group behaviour and the systems within which individuals operate. In this section we explore both approaches in relation to Development. Let us start by examining what we mean by ‘good’. What is it that makes certain types of behaviour good or bad? This question is the central question of the intellectual discipline of ethics. There are four widely used approaches (ethical frameworks) to answering this question. Ethical frameworks Project hint The four main ethical frameworks are: utilitarianism, divine command theory, the theory of rights and responsibilities and virtue theory. A Dissertation EP could compare the strengths and weaknesses of these four ethical frameworks (ways of thinking) in relation to the challenge posed by depletion of the Earth’s natural capital and the production of waste. Utilitarianism A utilitarian believes that the right thing to do is the action which has the most beneficial consequences overall. What does ‘benefit’ mean? Utilitarians explain benefit in terms of happiness, pleasure or welfare. So the right action, or the right system, may be defined as the one which creates the most happiness for the greatest number of people. Applied to questions of development, this approach analyses the benefits and drawbacks of courses of action in terms of their impact on conscious creatures: creatures that can suffer, or feel pleasure. It is thought to be a strength of utilitarianism that it gives reasons for doing the right thing: the right thing will make life better, overall. But there are problems making sense of how to ‘add up’ happiness, and some will argue that the value of the natural world should not be seen purely through the lens of human interests. Doesn’t the natural world have a value in its own right? Divine command Another conventional approach to ethics is to identify the right course of action with the one that is commanded by a divine being – the divine command theory of ethics. The application of theological teaching to the question of how the natural world has been treated has been controversial. Some have interpreted texts from the book of Genesis as implying that humanity has ‘dominion over’ the natural world, and we can thus more or less do as we please with it. It has been argued that texts like this are a licence for disregarding nature. On the other hand, the fact that the Bible also designates humanity as a ‘steward’ of nature suggests that God would expect a more caring approach. Critics of the divine command theory will point out the central difficulty here, namely that one and the same 24 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide sacred text can be interpreted in quite different ways, and used to support contradictory approaches. The question of how religious teaching is linked to ethics is therefore a complex one, and the issue of environmental ethics provides a good context within which to explore this. Rights and responsibilities The theory of rights and responsibilities is relevant here too. We accept that human beings have rights – and most would accept that animals do too. The basis for this is that they are capable of suffering, in other words – being harmed. We assign rights to individuals as a safeguard against harm. This is why, for example, most civilised nations recognise that it is wrong to torture people – even if, from a utilitarian standpoint, there might be beneficial consequences. It might seem that the theory of rights and responsibilities applies straightforwardly to development: we have a responsibility not only to reduce waste, and to conserve precious natural capital, but also to do good through individual actions and by setting up systems that are beneficial. We might enquire into the basis of this. It makes sense to talk about ‘harm’ when considering the interests of conscious creatures, but you cannot ‘harm’ a rock, or a river, or a landscape, since these things are not capable of suffering. You could of course damage them – but what makes damaging something wrong? Someone whose interests were served by the damage might argue that they have a right to do as they please. What exactly is wrong with this argument? Some people would say that the environment itself has rights, whilst others think that the harm would be found when the consequences for conscious creatures are brought into the picture. Virtue theory A final approach to developmental ethics is provided by virtue theory. The focus of virtue theory is not on actions, but on actors. In fact, virtue theorists prefer not to give an answer to the question, ‘what makes a certain course of action right or wrong?’ They emphasise instead the importance of becoming a particular sort of person – a person with virtues. Virtues are attractive personal characteristics, such as integrity, honesty, compassion and wisdom. The virtue theorist will emphasise that finding the right course of action is complicated, and that the process is not usually reducible to a simple formula. But virtuous people will judge well, and we should aim to emulate people like this. This theory has an indirect application to the question about environmental ethics. We generally admire people who do not squander the world’s natural capital, who try to live in ways which show respect for the natural world, and whose actions are beneficial. So there is a basis here for talking about the virtues of being environmentally friendly. Critics of virtue theory will, however, point out that it does not really help provide us with an answer of what we should do in particular cases. Also, there is a problem with identifying who the virtuous people are. Historically, the idea of virtue has shifted considerably. So it is not obvious that the idea of emulating virtuous people provides us with an answer to the question of how we ought to live. How much of a weakness this is depends on whether you think ethics should provide such a set of rules. 25 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide Activity DH3.1 Doing wrong Most people would agree that polluting a river with toxic factory waste is wrong, and a bad thing to do. But why is it bad? Use each of the four ethical frameworks, in turn, to write down reasons explaining why such an action is wrong. Activity DH3.2 Ethical living In the media, the terms ‘ethical’ and ‘ethical living’ are often used when discussing issues that might broadly be termed ‘developmental’ (or perhaps ‘environmental’) – such as whether we should switch to low-energy light bulbs, or eat organically grown food, or whether holiday companies should organise tours of Antarctica. Make a collection of articles from newspapers and magazines that use ‘ethical’ in this sense. Then choose a couple of examples and comment on the extent to which the questions being discussed are ‘ethical’; use the four ethical frameworks for guidance. References for Activity DH3.2 Ethical Living magazine: http://www.ethical-living.org/Site/Welcome.html The Co-operative magazine: http://www.co-operative.coop/magazine/ethical-living/ The weekly ‘ethical living’ feature in the Observer magazine, and the associated blog: http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/ethical-living Groups and individuals How can we explain the following? Good people who try to do the right thing and behave well to those around them can get caught up in events that they know are wrong, or simply fail to act when the overall benefits are obvious. For example in the 1980s in Sri Lanka, terrible atrocities were being committed in the conflict between the Tamils and the Sinhalese. During a succession of anti-Tamil riots many individual Sinhalese sheltered Tamils often at great risk to their families. Yet there was no public outcry or outraged, mass protest. Project hint An exploration of the relationship between collective and individual ethics could make an interesting Dissertation project. See Part DD, Section DD1.2 of these materials for some further advice and suggestions. Similarly the Research Institute for Military History, Potsdam, Germany (2009) acknowledges that Nazism cannot be blamed only on a fiendish minority: it was the result of a fundamental aberration on the part of large sections of society. Activity DH3.3 Groups and individuals In a small group, suggest other examples of ‘a fundamental aberration on the part of large sections of society’. Then suggest possible reasons why large numbers of people turn a blind eye and let bad things happen. Is creating massive amounts of waste such an example? Everyone knows it is wrong, so why do we allow it? 26 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide Do you think it is helpful to draw a distinction between personal ethics and group ethics? Write a few sentences putting forward your own point of view then discuss your views in a small group. DH3.2-3.3 Naturally good? Natural goodness A common feature of thinking about development, particularly about environmental issues, is that people use the word 'natural' to mean 'good'. For example, advertisers often stress that their products ‘use only natural ingredients’. And it is sometimes suggested that we would do better if we operated in the ways we observe in the natural world. Take this example from the Ellen MacArthur Foundation’s statement of founding principles: The closed loop model is a biomimetic (life-imitating) approach, a school of thought that takes nature as an example and considers that our systems should work like organisms, processing nutrients that can be fed back into the cycle – hence the ‘closed loop’ or ‘regenerative’ terms usually associated with it. http://www.ellenmacarthurfoundation.org/about/circular-economy/part-ii-the-circularmodels-founding-principles In this argument, the assumption is being made that the models we find in nature are good ones for us to adopt. Is this a valid assumption? Arguably not, because there are some natural processes which are good (for instance, natural processes by which wounds heal) and some which are not. The polio virus is natural, but its effect on humans is not good. Natural remedies – such as using comfrey to help wounds heal – may work, but whether they do so is not determined just by the fact that they are natural. Project hint In a project that draws on circular economy principles, it could be interesting to explore the meaning of ‘nature’ in the context of the project question. So it seems as though we have to re-think the original argument. Perhaps the point is not to assume that whatever is natural is good, but rather, to draw inspiration from natural systems for new ways of thinking, which can then be evaluated in terms of their potentially beneficial consequences. So, having looked at how effectively nature deals with waste, we might begin to think of new ways in which we could design waste out of our economic system (move from a linear towards a circular economy). We do, as a matter of fact, value processes which produce less waste – this gives us a reason to look widely for examples of effective systems, and this can of course include looking closely at how natural systems work effectively. Activity DH3.4 Natural goodness Discuss the link between the concepts of goodness and naturalness. Try to think of examples of good things which are not natural, and natural things which aren’t good. Why do you think people often connect these two ideas? What does it mean to say that something is ‘natural’? 27 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide Why should we care? Most people would agree that it is important that we should care for the environment. We have a duty to show respect for the natural world. But why? Broadly speaking, there are two different answers you could give to this question. One is to say that the natural world has value in itself: that it is intrinsically deserving of respect. The other answer is that the environment has derived, or instrumental value: it is valuable because conscious beings such as ourselves value it. We may value it for its utility – because, for instance, we can derive food or medicines from nature. Or we may value it for its sheer beauty. Either way, we regard the natural world as something valuable because it is valuable to us, or to other conscious creatures. The difference between these viewpoints can be seen in the following thought experiment. You have probably heard the question, ‘if a tree falls over in the forest, and there is no-one around to hear it, does it make a sound?’ Well, imagine this variation on that question: suppose that the tree is struck by lightning and dies, but there is no-one around to see it. In fact, suppose that the tree exists in a world which is entirely devoid of any conscious creatures at all. Is it a bad thing if lightning strikes the tree? Someone who believes that nature has intrinsic value – that nature has value on its own, regardless of how we view it – might say that it is a bad thing; something valuable has just died, and that constitutes a loss, even if no-one knows about it. Alternatively, they might say it’s a good thing, as the fallen tree rots down and provides nutrients for new growth; natural events such as lightning strikes are all part of the way the ecosystem operates. Someone who thinks, however, that the tree is not valuable-in-itself, but is only valuable because conscious beings value it, will say that, in this case, there is no loss of value, since no conscious creatures were in any way affected by the death of the tree. In 2011, the UK Government published the ‘National Ecosystem Assessment’ report: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-13627055 This report attempted to put a cash value on the benefits people gain from the environment. The Secretary of State for the Environment commented that the report demonstrated that it is possible to put a value on, for example, the millions of day visits that people make to woodlands and forests, which are worth £1.2 billion to the economy. The report was welcomed by some environmentalists as a demonstration of the economic importance of caring for the natural world. However, it could be argued that the report rests on a problematic philosophical assumption, namely that the right way to assess the value of nature is in economic terms. There are three arguments which might be given against this assumption. One is that it makes no sense. A walk in the woods is not something which can have a price put on it. The good things that result from such an activity are subjective and cannot be ‘cashed out’ in financial terms. Secondly, even if a value could be assigned, it might be felt that the whole approach of turning other forms of value into financial values is mistaken; that to assign a cash value reduces or cheapens the value we should assign to nature. Suppose that a teacher decided to cancel the school trip to the woods and pay the students a cash sum equivalent in value, as calculated by economists. It seems, here, that the students have missed out, and that the money isn’t really a 28 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide substitute for the experience they have missed. Thirdly, it frames the question as though humans are not themselves part of nature. Is this appropriate? Activity DH3.5 Natural values Discuss the example of the tree that falls over in a world without any conscious creatures. Do you think that this would be a bad thing? If you think that nature has intrinsic value, can you explain why? What makes it valuable? Does the value of a natural system depend on the value that humans derive from it? If so, is this based on what we can get out of it in terms of materials and energy? Do we value nature as a teacher? If you think that nature is only valuable because of its value to conscious creatures, why do you think this is the case? What interest do conscious creatures have in the natural world? What is it that we value about nature? Is it simply that it is useful to us? Or does it have other forms of value? Many would agree that the circular economy principle of trying to design systems that build up (rather than deplete) natural and social capital is a good thing. But why? What would we lose if much of our natural environment was destroyed, or replaced with an artificial environment? Why do town planners take care to include parks in cities? Why do so many people appreciate having gardens? Care for the future The view that the natural world has instrumental value (value derived from the way that conscious creatures view it) might seem to support the view that we Project hint can ‘do what we want’ with it. After all, if nature is valuable because The relationship of its value to us, doesn’t this mean that we can simply use it in between humans and ways which give us as much of what we want? But this does not the rest of nature raises many questions follow. One way of seeing this is to think about the fact that there that could be explored will, we hope, be many future generations of humans, and other conscious creatures. They too will find pleasure and value in nature. through a Dissertation project. See Section DD2 of these materials for some examples and suggestions. So some – perhaps much – of the value of nature derives from the value that they will place on it. Therefore we cannot argue that we can do as we please with nature – for if we show no regard for the natural capital it contains, and simply waste it, we will have deprived future generations of something which they would have found valuable. This argument suggests that there is a strong reason for being concerned about not wasting valuable natural capital, even if the value of this capital is purely instrumental. However, plausible though this argument is, it does rely on assumptions. It assumes, for a start, that there will be future generations, and that they will find the natural world valuable. It also assumes that this fact should affect the way we act now. Someone might ask: why should I care about the needs and interests of future generations? After all, the future is not real. These future generations of people do not currently exist. So how can their needs and interests exercise any hold over us? Can people who don’t exist now still have interests that matter now? Why should I care about people who do not yet exist? We might think that this is just a selfish, short-sighted view. Imagine if people in the past had thought like that! If our ancestors had shown no thought for those who would have 29 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide come after, we could reasonably blame them for being inconsiderate. But there is something puzzling about the fact that we feel we ought to care for future generations, since it means that we have obligations towards people who do not (now) exist. Activity DH3.6 Present and future Do you think that we should care about future generations? Should we consider their interests as much as our own? If not, how much weight should we give to their interests? What happens if there is a conflict between the interests of real, living people, and the interests of future people who do not yet exist? How much can people reasonably be expected to change the way they behave, in order to ensure that natural capital is still available for the benefit of future people? Minding your language The way language is used is particularly important to philosophers. A distinction is sometimes made between uses of words to state facts and uses of words to express values. For example, ‘squares have four sides’ is a statement of fact. But a statement such as ‘the Mona Lisa is a beautiful picture’ expresses a value: it says something about how someone feels about this particular object. In everyday life, of course, we tend to use words which both describe and express values at the same time. If a student says, ‘that was a really boring lesson’, then they are describing something about the lesson (namely, the fact that it bored them), but at the same time, expressing something about how they feel: they are making a value-judgement. Someone else might disagree; for them, the lesson may not have been boring at all. It is important to be aware of the linguistic difference between statements of fact and expressions of value because, often, language can be used in a way which carries implicit values. Take, for example, the statement, ‘we are producing enormous quantities of waste food each year’. This could be treated as a neutral statement of fact. It could simply mean: a lot of food does not get used. But the word ‘waste’ carries negative overtones; it is an expressive, value-laden term. We associate waste with something bad. The implication of the statement that we are producing a lot of waste food is that we are doing something wrong. This might or might not be true – whether it is true needs to be thought about. The mere fact that a quantity of food is not used is not in itself good or bad. So there are extra assumptions which enter when the unused food is described as ‘waste’. Becoming aware of this is a first step towards thinking critically about whether you agree with those assumptions. Activity DH3.7 Words and values Use a dictionary to find definitions of these words: ‘nature’, ‘natural world’, ‘biosphere’, ‘living system’. Do they all mean the same thing? Write a few sentences to clarify any distinctions between them. Think about these words: ‘sustainable’, ‘eco-friendly’, ‘efficient’, ‘polluting’, ‘green’, re-usable’, ‘waste’, ‘restorative’, eco-effective’. What values do you associate with these words? Do you think they indicate Project hint In any project, careful use of language, and reflection on the meanings of the terms you use and the values that they imply, can enhance the quality of the project work. 30 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide positive or negative qualities? Could they be used in positive and negative ways, in different situations? If they could be used in both positive and negative ways, what is it that determines whether the use is positive or negative? For further details see: ‘Conceptualizing the environment’ in Making Sense: philosophy behind the headlines, J Baggini, OUP, 2002 See The ethics of systems thinking, available on the Ellen MacArthur Foundation website. 31 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide DH4 Development and economics DH4.1 Money Money and debt A great deal of discussion about the economy focuses on the taking and the making and consuming, on the using and inputs of energy and the flow of materials. However, there are other essentials and one of them is money. Someone once said that we are about as aware of money as a fish is of water – it just surrounds us. We tend not to think about what money is, where it comes from and what it does – or for that matter why it matters (other than the struggle to earn some of course). But if we look back a few years the world’s banking system nearly destroyed itself and governments across the world scrambled to try and save it. Bernard Lietaer (economist and author of The Future of Money) wrote: The 4 trillion US dollars committed by November 2008 is about a trillion dollars ($979 billion dollars) greater than the entire cost of World War II borne by the United States. In short, governments, the world over, have just bled themselves dry to a totally unprecedented extent, just to save the banking system. In fact, it is worse than this. According to Olivier Garret (CEO of Casey Research) the true cost of the American bailout was more like $8.5 trillion. The value of the world’s financial sector is between 7 and 10 times the value of the real economy; no one knows for sure. This means there are not enough goods and services, resources and energy to match the claims in the financial system based on these real assets. The financial system has been compared to a large hot air balloon dragging with it the basket which is the people and the products and those services which make up the ‘real’ economy. If the balloon deflated suddenly, we’d crash, figuratively and literally: there would be no banks, no money to pay wages, and no savings. Hence the bailout. Banks Money is supposed to be just a medium of exchange, mere tokens or in these days, numbers, which represent transactions in the real economy. In a crude way money equals stuff. However, money is almost all created out of nothing as debt. In the UK, 97 percent of money is debt, most of the rest is cash. The private banks create money when they make loans. Most people think banks just lend what their depositors leave on account with them but this is not so. As the economist Herman Daly puts it, banks are “able to live the alchemist’s dream of creating money out of nothing and lending it at interest”. See http://steadystate.org/money-and-the-steady-state-economy/ Since the money is created for the principal (the loan) but not the money to pay the interest then the economy has to produce more to create the wealth which enables more loans to be made. Debt requires that the economy grow just to service debt. The payment of interest drives the economy hard, unrelentingly so, pushing the exploitation of resources and labour. It is important, therefore, that costs fall (through efficiency, usually meaning 32 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide fewer workers per unit of output). As noted, the growing economy in turn requires more money and so more debt to be created. This is a positive feedback cycle which periodically runs out of control leading to boom and bust (see Activities DH1.5 and DH1.6). It seems we have a choice between keeping the financial hot air balloon in the air and consuming resources, damaging the environment and fragmenting society in the urgency of it, or crashing the balloon and with it the economy and leaving communities to their own meagre resources and the environment under pressure from poverty and want. 2008 showed what world leaders chose. Neither makes a lot of sense in the long run. Public utility? There could be another choice. In short, money need not be created as debt by private banks and private benefit and the amount of money could be kept in balance with the output of the economy. It would be supplied by the government as a public utility. Banks, now no longer able to create money through creating loans, would lend only what money has been saved. In terms of the balloon metaphor the balloon should balance the basket so that it floats and neither falls nor rises very much. Interest is also interesting. Why should just holding money be rewarded? Unless the money is invested productively in say buying a bakery or something which produced more real wealth, holding money means it is not acting as a medium of exchange and not doing its main job. To make sure that the flow is kept going, the idea of interest for merely holding money would be replaced by a maintenance charge. Impossible? These seemingly strange ideas all have a very long intellectual history. Indeed, it happened in August 2011 when the Bank of New York Mellon Corp announced it would charge its clients 0.13 percent for holding deposits of more than $50 million. See: http://www.npr.org/blogs/money/2011/08/04/138994595/bank-will-charge-a-fee-to-holdcustomers-money and http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2011/08/04/national/main20088321.shtml Activity DH4.1 Negative interest Watch the video on Silvia Gesell’s theory of negative interest, or charging to hold money, and how it worked in practice. http://www.youtube.com/watch?gl=GB&v=W9dttjObGrQ Could this ever work here? If not, why not? The choice about how money is created and whether interest can be charged is one which in real life has been the cause of war, has exercised the minds of no fewer than five US presidents, driven an influential social movement in the 20th century, and reaches way back to the great religions which, with rare unanimity, prohibited usury (lending money at interest). Activity DH4.2 Usury Investigate the teachings on usury among the major faiths. Choose one major faith, and work in a small group to make a presentation to the rest of your class. 33 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide DH4.2 Markets Prices Project hint In a project that looks at factors affecting people’s behaviour, a discussion of markets and prices could be relevant. For example see Part DN2 Section 2.2 ‘Recycling’. Prices are messages. That’s the first thing most businesses recognise. It helps in deciding whether to produce, trade, offer services, sell or hold, invest or leave the market. The price to the buyer is also a rather complex message which is assumed to give a sense of what something is worth, and to allow supposedly rational choices to be made. It is complex because there are values embedded. An example would be an expensive perfume or hi-fi. It may be expensive because it is expected to be, and to have it cheaply would reflect badly on the status of the buyer. Prices can then be social messages “Look…I can afford this…” So, prices are complex messages but it is widely assumed that resources are allocated efficiently when a market allows many buyers and sellers to negotiate freely and to enter and leave the market freely, and everyone has access to the same information. Figure 8 shows how supply and demand are interrelated in a free market. ‘Cheaper’ brings out more effective demand and ‘more expensive’ brings out more production. The intersection marks the spot when the market clears and where everyone is happy; it is the market price. However, a free market does not happen very often because the conditions which make it work are often partially or wholly missing. Figure 8: Supply, demand and market price in a free market. What if prices are incomplete messages? If the full costs, the real costs of the extraction, production and disposal of waste and its impact on workers are not accounted for as part of the market price because they have been borne by the environment and society at large then rational decisions cannot be made. These are the externalities, those costs not paid for by the seller or, often, the buyer. But the question might be: external to what, exactly, on a fully connected planet? Where is ‘away’? 34 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide Activity DH4.3 Externalities Discuss the externalities – the things that are not factored into the price – when you buy and burn a litre of petrol or diesel. To what extent should these be included in the price? What are your reasons for coming to this conclusion? Taxes and subsidies In practice, many vital resources not only fail to be fully costed but they are pushed below even partial ‘market’ prices by being actively subsidised by governments across the globe. A study by Prof Myers at the turn of the millennium found that subsidies which accelerated the unsustainable exploitation of resources in just the five key areas of fossil fuels, agriculture, fishing, forestry and water were worth nearly US$2 trillion per year. Myers compared these ‘perverse subsidies’ (note the value-laden term) to other costs: They are almost three times as large as global military spending per year They are larger than the annual sales of the 20 largest corporations They are four times as much as the annual cash incomes of the 1.3 billion poorest people They are five times as much as the international narcotics industry They are half again as large as the global fossil-fuels industry or the global insurance industry. For an updated account of this work, see: http://www.eoearth.org/article/Perverse_subsidies Taxes are the other side of government subsidies, ways of making prices higher than they would normally be. Employ a worker and you have tax and national insurance to pay as well as the take-home pay; buy a machine instead and you can get a tax break. A government wishing to move towards a circular economy might shift the tax burden from what it values (such as people having jobs) to those things which it considers less desirable, such as waste, and raw material extraction (compared to recovering materials) or fossil fuel burning. Without such changes to the market, a shift to a circular economy might be really hard to do no matter what the clever designers, engineers and materials scientists achieve. Activity DH4.4 Perverse subsidies It might be argued that all subsidies are ‘perverse’ because they interfere with the free market and lead to lower prices that in turn lead to exploitation of resources. Do you agree with this point of view? Research some examples of subsidies and their effects. Take part in a debate on the motion that ‘all subsidies are perverse’. Project hint An exploration of what might be involved in introducing a circular economy could make an interesting project. See Section DD2 ‘Dissertation Project Starters’. 35 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide DH4.3 World views Economy and ecology A central element of circular economy thinking is that a functioning, regenerative, selfrepairing planet is the ever evolving sum of its systems and that humans must recognise this and then fit within these connections. The ecological crisis might thus be called the erosion of the fabric of life. It’s not just that the resources are short or pollution widespread or the number of species on Earth are in decline; it is the connections between physical, biological and social (human) systems which sustain life itself which are at the heart of this crisis. We need to recognise that most species that have ever lived on Earth are long gone. Humans are perhaps unique in having more choices, so we can perhaps influence the survival of our species.Our choices seem to be related to our worldviews. There is a contrast between those who see the ‘how the world works’ as a sort of metabolism, in which we are embedded as part of the system (the circular economy perspective), and those who see it as machine to understand, predict and control (the linear economy perspective). Linear economy From a circular economy perspective, there is a crisis resulting from of the kind of economics we have now. In this linear economy, resources are exploited, whether this is the mining of metals, the clearing of forests for agriculture or timber or the depletion of fish stocks. Then, not forgetting the use of labour (workers) and organisation, goods are made or food processed and then sold. The consumer then disposes of the waste. Indeed, every stage of the process has a lot of waste. The faster this process can be made to run, then the more wealth can accumulate, some of which is reinvested in accelerating the takemake-dispose still further. Some of this wealth can be spent cleaning up the environment and for health care, benefits and pensions. The key to linear economic growth is cheap and available energy, and money to borrow. It is often called capitalism but the word has many connotations. It is commonly understood as focused on accumulating only some sorts of assets by reducing the value of other capitals. The main ones which are worn down or depleted are called natural capitals [environmental or ecological – what the Earth provides at no cost] and social capitals [what communities do for each other without payment in money]. This conventional way of seeing economics also means avoiding paying the full cost of resources and waste, since what matters is what is in the market and has a price and can be subject to competition, supply and demand. The rest is ‘externalised’. Activity DH4.5 Capital According to Forum for the Future there are five types of capital: http://www.forumforthefuture.org/sites/default/files/project/downloads/five-capitals-model.pdf Visit the website and make brief notes on each of the five types. For each, write a short definition that distinguishes it from the other four. 36 EPQ Development Resource Materials: Hub Student Guide Circular economy Project hint The vision of the circular economy is that, instead of a linear Renewable energy is ‘machine’ for taking-making-and-disposing and building money a topic that can wealth, we have a system which is assumed to be more like a living fruitfully be explored system, full of feedback, where waste is food, where energy is in an Investigation increasingly based on harvesting renewables not depleting fossil project. See Section DN2.1 ‘Energy’ for resources and where wealth means increasing or replenishing all some suggestions. the capitals – soil quality, fisheries, the opportunities for communities to thrive by sharing outside and inside the market – as well as financial or money-denominated capital. That would be a different form of capitalism, based on optimising all the flows. Sometimes it is described as a ‘lake economy’ rather than a ‘river economy’. The lake is the stock of capital and water can flow in and out so long as the lake remains at about the same level in the longer term. A river economy is just draining the lake. The regenerative or restorative economy is one where a partially drained ‘lake’ can be refilled- where capital rebuilds. The linear, or river, economy driven by the need to meet interest on debt demands throughput, which uses energy intensively in mining and original manufacture, demands global scale and mass consumption to go with mass production and finally mass disposal (paid by the public purse directly or in health or social costs). It counts the cost of only some of the inputs and outputs. It resembles a spiral, or Catherine wheel. A circular or lake economy might be an endless flow, using energy less intensively in refurbishing and repair and working well on a regional level as it stresses use not consumption. It eliminates waste. Prices are messages and they increasingly tell the truth because costs are now internalised, they have become real to business since business keeps a hold of the product or recovers it. Fuel would less likely to be used in a profligate way as prices rise. A money supply based on ever increasing debt would no longer be functional; there is not the increase in output to repay the principal plus interest as growth measures change. It becomes as much qualitative (rise of wellbeing) as about output . Money would be primarily a medium of exchange maintained to match level of overall output. Only money on deposit could be lent at interest. Activity DH4.6 Linear vs circular Review what you have read in Parts DH1-4 of these materials, and elsewhere, about the circular and linear economy models. Working with a partner or in a small group, make a poster summarising and comparing the key features of the two models. Consider how the ideas might be communicated effectively. (Lists of bullet points? Talking heads? Graphic images?) Put your poster on display and discuss its messages with other students. Activity DH4.7 Circular economy: a realistic goal? Discuss with other students whether you think a circular economy is achievable in practice. Think beyond whether it would simply be ‘nicer’ to live in a circular economy: try to think of changes that could realistically be made to our current systems, and try to identify changes that, in practice, would be difficult or impossible. 37