Predicting extinction from geographical range data – Appendix S1 1 SUPPORTING INFORMATION Predicting extinction from fossil trajectories of geographical ranges in benthic marine molluscs Melanie Tietje and Wolfgang Kiessling Journal of Biogeography Appendix S1 Supporting tables and figures (Tables S1–S2 and Figs S1–S5) Table S1 Effects of data filtering on sample sizes. Exclusions Original dataset Renaming WoRMS Mesozoic / Cenozoic Subset Single occurrences, NA/0 palaeo-coordinates, unnamed genera, only 0-coordinates Partition Threshold Mass extinction > 25% zero values Maximum at start Suitable for prediction Bivalvia 2084 2002 Number of genera Gastropoda 3075 2944 1521 2219 1135 1389 extinct 766 430 357 196 NA NA extant 368 312 301 214 206 34 Table S2 Effects of different volatility filtering on sample sizes. Zero-values (%) 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35 0.40 0.45 0.50 Excluded genera (%) Bivalves Gastropods 0.25 0.18 0.27 0.19 0.31 0.23 0.42 0.30 0.55 0.39 0.58 0.42 0.74 0.60 0.79 0.66 0.82 0.70 0.90 0.81 extinct 719 376 359 145 NA NA extant 670 534 517 334 319 50 Predicting extinction from geographical range data – Appendix S1 Figure S1 The distribution of stage lengths in the dataset. Stages range from the Induan (earliest Triassic) to the Pleistocene. Median duration of is 5.34 Myr with a minimum of 1 Myr and a maximum of 26.4 Myr. Figure S2 Maximum geographical range observed in each geological stage for the bivalve dataset. Maximum range for all genera was calculated for every stage and plotted against the mean time of the stages. Dashed line is the linear regression of the data. Results look similar for gastropods (data not shown). 2 Predicting extinction from geographical range data – Appendix S1 Figure S3 Percentages of genera of (a) bivalves and (b) gastropods possibly affected by mass extinctions. Shown are ratios of genera with a last geographical range larger than or equal to 50, 75, 90 or 100%, plotted against the mean ages of the corresponding stage. Ratios were calculated by dividing the integer of affected genera by the number of occurrences in the respective stage. The peak at 68 Myr represents the Maastrichtian, the stage of the end-Cretaceous mass extinctions. (a) (b) 3 Predicting extinction from geographical range data – Appendix S1 Figure S4 Geographical range trajectories of extinct (a) bivalve and (b) gastropod genera using means instead of medians to calculate the average (cf. Fig. 1). (a) (b) 4 Predicting extinction from geographical range data – Appendix S1 Figure S5 The effect of mass extinction on average range trajectories for (a) bivalves and (b) gastropods. The solid black line indicates the average trajectory including all genera, the dashed line is the average trajectory excluding genera affected by mass extinctions (cf. Fig. 1). (a) (b) 5