6. Pittwater-Orielton Lagoon Information in the Ecological Character Description (ECD) (Dunn 2009) and the latest version of the Ramsar Information Sheet (RIS) for the Pittwater-Orielton Lagoon Ramsar site were reviewed to identify threats to the ecological character of the site. Terminology from these key Ramsar documents was aligned to be consistent with the approach of the Ramsar Rolling Review (see Table 1 explanation notes). The Ramsar Rolling Review uses the IUCN threat classification (reference) to standardise terminology across sites. All threat categories identified at the Pittwater-Orielton Lagoon Ramsar site are listed in Table 2. The critical components, processes and services (CPS) specified in the ECD are reproduced in Table 3. Threats which have the potential to change one or more of the critical CPS within a 10 year timeframe are defined as imminent threats to the ecological character of the site (labelled IMM in Table 3). . Consultation with site managers was undertaken to ensure the correct identification of current and imminent threats (see Table 1). A stressor model is presented to illustrate the major pathways by which imminent threats effect the critical CPS. For clarity, the model does not attempt to show non-imminent threats, weak linkages or feedbacks. Table 1: Notes regarding alignment of terminology and additional information sourced from site managers to aid in the development of the sites threat conceptual model. Notes: Threats in the ECD were matched to IUCN categories as follows: Loss of freshwater inputs = 7.2 Dams and water management/use Changes in sediment transport = 7.2 Dams and water management/use and 7.3 Other ecosystem modifications (changes to the tidal movement) Agricultural services = 2.3 Livestock farming and ranching Waste products = 9.1. Household Sewage & Urban Waste Water and 9.2. Industrial & Military Effluents Urban development = 1.1 Housing and Urban Areas, 6.1 Recreational Activities and 9.1 Household Sewage & Urban Waste Water Invasive species = 8.1 Invasive alien species and genes Climate change = 11.1; 11,2, 11.3; 11.4 (various effects of climate change) Model was updated and imminent threats re-assessed based on the advice of Parks Tasmania (Lynne Sparrow) as follows: Urban and commercial development was considered an imminent threat due to increased sediment discharge to the site and disturbance of breeding and migratory birds; Recreation was expanded to include the Golf Course and associated impacts; Human Intrusions and Disturbance (6.3 Work & Other Activities) was added to encompass disturbance to birds from the local airport, commercial properties, roads, etc. Impacts of recreation are not limited to bird disturbance, but also trampling of littoral vegetation; Climate change (Habitat alteration and increased frequency and intensity of storms) was considered an imminent threat to littoral vegetation communities; Invasive species (African Boxthorn) is a concern in part of the site, particularly on islands. However, is not considered likely to change the ecological character of the Ramsar site in the short term. Drought and reduced freshwater inflows is a threat to aquaculture (Provisioning service: Provision of aquatic foods for human consumption). However this is not considered to be likely to change the ecological character of the site. Table 2: Major categories and subcategories of current threats for the Ramsar site. 6. Pittwater-Orielton Lagoon 1. Residential & Commercial Development 1.1. Housing & urban areas 8. Invasive & Other Problematic Species & Genes 8.1. Invasive Non-native/Alien Species 2. Agriculture and Aquaculture 2.3. Livestock Farming and Ranching 9. Pollution 9.1. Household sewage & urban waste water 9.2. agricultural & forestry effluents 6. Human Intrusion & Disturbance 6.1. Recreation activities 6.3. Work & other activities 7. Natural System Modifications 7.2. Dams & water management/use 7.3. Other ecosystem modifications 11. Climate Change & Severe Weather 11.1. Habitat Shifting & Alteration 11.2. Droughts 11.3. Temperature Extremes 11.4. Storms & Flooding Hydrology Water quality IMM IMM Littoral vegetation IMM IMM Submerged vegetation IMM IMM IMM IMM IMM IMM IMM Geomorphology IMM Invertebrates Fish Birds Provisioning service: Provision of aquatic foods for human consumption Regulating service: Pollution control and detoxification through trapping, storage and/or treatment of contaminants Regulating service: Natural hazard reduction IMM IMM IMM IMM IMM 11.4. Storms & flooding IMM IMM IMM 11.3. Temperature extremes IMM IMM Climate 11.2. Droughts 9.2. Agricultural & forestry effluent IMM 11.1. Habitat shifting & alteration 9.1. Household sewage & urban waste water IMM 8.1. Invasive nonnative/alien species IMM 7.3. Other ecosystem modifications IMM 7.2. Dams and water management/use 6.3. Work & other activities 6.1. Recreation activities 2.3. Livestock farming & ranching Components (blue), Processes (green), Services (yellow) 1.1. Housing & urban areas Table 3: Matrix of all current threats against critical components, processes, and services showing those considered to be an imminent threat to the ecological character of the Pittwater-Orielton Lagoon Ramsar site (components shaded blue, processes green, services yellow). IMM IMM Cultural service: Tourism Cultural service: Science and education Cultural service: Cultural heritage and identity Cultural service: Spiritual and inspirational Supporting service: Nutrient cycling IMM Supporting service: Sediment trapping, stabilisation and soil formation Supporting service: Biodiversity Key to shapes used in conceptual model. IMM IMM IMM IMM 11.4. Storms & flooding IMM Cultural service: Recreation 11.3. Temperature extremes IMM 11.2. Droughts 9.2. Agricultural & forestry effluent IMM 11.1. Habitat shifting & alteration 9.1. Household sewage & urban waste water IMM 8.1. Invasive nonnative/alien species IMM 7.3. Other ecosystem modifications IMM 7.2. Dams and water management/use 6.3. Work & other activities 6.1. Recreation activities 2.3. Livestock farming & ranching 1.1. Housing & urban areas Components (blue), Processes (green), Services (yellow) References: Dunn, H., 2009, Pitt Water - Orielton Lagoon Tasmania Ecological Character Description, Draft 1 August 2009 6. Pittwater-Orielton Lagoon 7. Natural Systems Modification 7.2. Dams and Water Management Decreased high flows Indicator: Hydrograph 1. Residential & Commercial Development 1.1. Housing & urban areas Increased suspended sediments Indicator: Total suspended solids 11. Climate Change & Severe Weather 11.1. Habitat shifting & alteration 9. Pollution 9.1. Household sewage & urban waste water 9.2. Agricultural & forestry effluents 6. Human Intrusions and Disturbance 6.1. Recreational activities 6.3. Work & other activities Increased erosion Indicator: Area of shoreline impacted Increased nutrients Indicator: Nutrient concentrations (PO4, NH4, NOx, Total N, Total P) Increased human activity Indicator: Numbers of visitors/vehicles Decreased health (saltmarsh and seagrass) Increased primary productivity Indicator: chlorophyll a Disruption of breeding and migration (birds) Increased salinity Indicator: Salinity Disruption of breeding (fish) Component: Hydrology Component: Water quality Service: Nutrient cycling Altered community composition (saltmarsh) Component: Fish Services: Aquatic foods for human consumption, Biodiversity Component: Invertebrates Service: Biodiversity Component: Littoral vegetation Service: Biodiversity Component: Submerged vegetation Service: Biodiversity Component: Birds Service: Biodiversity