1 Constraining cloud lifetime effects of aerosols using 2 A-Train satellite observations 3 Minghuai Wang1, Steven Ghan1, Xiaohong Liu1, Tristan L’ Ecuyer2, Kai Zhang1, 4 Hugh Morrison3, Mikhail Ovchinnikov1, Richard Easter1, Roger Marchand4, Duli 5 Chand1, Yun Qian1, and Joyce E. Penner5 6 [1] Atmospheric Science and Global Change Division, Pacific Northwest National 7 Laboratory, Richland, Washington, United States 8 [2] Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Wisconsin, Madison, 9 Wisconsin, United States 10 [3] Mesoscale and Microscale Meteorology Division, National Center for Atmospheric 11 Research, Boulder, Colorado, United States 12 [4] Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, 13 Seattle, Washington, United States 14 [5] Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Space Sciences, University of Michigan, Ann 15 Arbor, Michigan, United States 16 17 Supplementary Information 18 19 20 1 21 1 Model descriptions 22 Two conventional global aerosol-climate models (NCAR CAM5 and ECHAM5-HAM2) and 23 a multi-scale aerosol-climate model (PNNL-MMF) are used in this study. These models have 24 been documented extensively elsewhere and are only briefly described here. 25 1.1 26 The 27 (http://www.cesm.ucar.edu/models/cesm1.0/cam/) is the latest version of the NCAR 28 Community Atmospheric model, which is the atmospheric component of the Community 29 Earth System Model (CESM1.0). CAM5 includes a range of enhancement and improvements 30 in the representation of physical processes compared to previous versions, which makes it 31 possible to simulate the full aerosol-cloud interactions in stratiform clouds, including aerosol 32 effects on warm, mixed-phase, and cirrus clouds. 33 The moist turbulence scheme is based on Bretherton and Park [Bretherton and Park, 2009], 34 which explicitly simulates stratus-radiation-turbulence interactions. The shallow convection 35 scheme is from Park and Bretherton [2009] and uses a realistic plume dilution equation and 36 closure that accurately simulates the spatial distribution of shallow convective activity. The 37 deep convection parameterization is retained from CAM4.0 [Neale et al., 2008]. The two- 38 moment cloud microphysics scheme from Morrison and Gettelman [2008] is used to predict 39 both the mass and number mixing ratios for cloud water and cloud ice with a diagnostic 40 formula for rain and snow. Autoconversion of cloud droplets to rain and accretion of cloud 41 droplets by raindrops are based on Khairoutdinov and Kogan [2000] (hereafter KK00). 42 The cloud ice microphysics was further modified to allow supersaturation and aerosol effects 43 on ice clouds [Gettelman et al., 2010]. The cloud macrophysics scheme is documented in Park NCAR CAM5 Community Atmospheric Model Version 5 (CAM5) 2 44 et al. [2011] for liquid clouds, and was further modified by Gettelman et al. [2010] for ice 45 clouds. The radiative transfer scheme in CAM5 is a broadband k-distribution radiation model 46 known as the Rapid Radiative Transfer Model for GCMs (RRTMG) [Iacono et al., 2003; 47 Iacono et al., 2008; Mlawer et al., 1997]. 48 A modal approach is used to treat aerosols in CAM5 [Liu et al., 2011]. Aerosol size 49 distributions are represented by using three or seven log-normal modes. The three-mode 50 version adopted in this study has an Aitken mode, an accumulation mode, and a single coarse 51 mode. Aitken mode species include sulfate, secondary organic aerosol (SOA), and sea salt; 52 accumulation mode species include sulfate, SOA, black carbon (BC), primary organic matter 53 (POM), sea salt, and dust; coarse mode species include sulfate, sea salt, and dust. Species 54 mass and number mixing ratios are predicted for each mode, while mode widths are 55 prescribed. Both aerosols outside the cloud droplets (interstitial) and aerosols in the cloud 56 droplets (cloud-borne) are predicted. Aerosol nucleation (involving H2SO4 vapor), 57 condensation of trace gases (H2SO4 and semi-volatile organics) on existing aerosol particles, 58 and coagulation (Aitken and accumulation modes) are treated. Water uptake and optical 59 properties for each mode are expressed in terms of both relative humidity (accounting for 60 hysteresis) and the hygroscopicities of the mode’s component [Ghan and Zaveri, 2007]. 61 1.2 62 The PNNL-MMF is documented in detail in Wang et al. [2011a; 2011b] and is only briefly 63 described here. It is an extension of the Colorado State University (CSU) MMF model[ 64 Khairoutdinov et al., 2005; Khairoutdinov et al., 2008; Randall et al., 2003; Tao et al., 2009], 65 first developed by Khairoutdinov and Randall [2001]. The host GCM in the PNNL-MMF is 66 updated to NCAR CAM5. The embedded CRM in each GCM grid column is a two- 67 dimensional version of the System for Atmospheric Modeling (SAM) [Khairoutdinov and The PNNL-MMF multi-scale aerosol-climate model 3 68 Randall, 2003], which replaces the conventional moist physics, convective cloud, turbulence, 69 and boundary layer parameterizations in CAM5. During each GCM time step (every 10 70 minutes), the CRM is forced by the large-scale temperature and moisture tendencies arising 71 from GCM-scale dynamical processes and feeds the cloud response back to the GCM-scale as 72 heating and moistening terms in the large-scale budget equations for heat and moisture. The 73 CRM runs continuously using a 20-s time step. 74 The version of the SAM CRM used in this study features a two-moment cloud microphysics 75 scheme [Morrison et al., 2005; 2009], which replaces the simple bulk microphysics used in 76 the original CSU MMF model, and is similar in many respects to the stratiform cloud 77 microphysics scheme in CAM5 (e.g., KK00 is used in both CAM5 and MMF for 78 autoconverion and accretion) [Gettelman et al., 2008; Morrison and Gettelman, 2008]. The 79 new scheme predicts the number and mass mixing ratios of five hydrometeor types (cloud 80 droplets, ice crystals, rain droplets, snow particles, and graupel particles). The precipitation 81 hydrometeor types (rain, snow, and graupel) are fully prognostic in the CRM model, rather 82 than diagnostic in CAM5 [Morrison and Gettelman, 2008]. Droplet activation is calculated at 83 each CRM grid cell, based on the parameterization of Abdul-Razzak and Ghan [2000]. 84 Aerosol fields used in droplet activation for the CRM are predicted on the GCM grid cells as 85 described next. 86 In the PNNL-MMF, the modal aerosol representation in CAM5 [Liu et al., 2011] is retained 87 (Sect. 1.1). However, aerosol and trace gas processing by clouds (i.e., aqueous chemistry, 88 convective transport, and wet scavenging) in the standard CAM5 is replaced by the explicit- 89 cloud-parameterized-pollutant (ECPP) approach in the PNNL-MMF [Gustafson et al., 2008; 90 Wang et al., 2011b]. The ECPP approach uses statistics of cloud distribution, vertical velocity, 91 and cloud microphysical properties resolved by the CRM to drive aerosol and chemical 4 92 processing by clouds on the GCM grid, which allows the MMF to explicitly treat the effects 93 of convective clouds on aerosols in a computationally feasible manner. The ECPP approach 94 predicts both interstitial aerosols and cloud-borne aerosols in all clouds, while the 95 conventional CAM5 only treats cloud-borne aerosols in stratiform clouds. In addition, by 96 integrating the continuity equation for aerosols and trace gases in convective updraft and 97 downdraft regions, the ECPP approach treats convective transport, aqueous chemistry, and 98 wet scavenging in an integrated, self-consistent way [Wang et al., 2011b]. 99 The CAM5 radiative transfer calculation (RRTMG) is applied to each CRM column at each 100 GCM time step (10 minutes), assuming 1 or 0 cloud fraction at each CRM grid cell based on 101 the presense or absence of condensate. Aerosol optical properties are diagnosed on the CRM 102 grid from the dry aerosol on the GCM grid, and the aerosol water on the CRM grid that is 103 calculated from Kohler theory based on the relative humidity on the CRM grid, accounting for 104 hysteresis and the hygroscopicities of each of the modes’ components [Ghan and Zaveri, 105 2007]. 106 1.3 107 The global aerosol-climate model ECHAM5-HAM, version 2 is the latest version of 108 ECHAM5-HAM [Stier et al., 2005; Zhang, et al., 2011]. It features a two-moment stratiform 109 cloud scheme, introduced by Lohmann et al. [2007], with further improvements documented 110 in Lohmann [2008] and Lohmann and Hoose [2009]. It solves the prognostic equations of 111 cloud water mass, cloud droplet number concentration, ice water mass, and ice crystal number 112 concentration. A diagnostic formula is used for rain and snow. Aerosol activation in warm 113 clouds is parameterized by the semi-empirical scheme of Lin and Leaitch [1997]. KK00 is 114 used for the autoconversion and accretion parameterization. Homogeneous freezing is 115 assumed for cirrus clouds with a temperature below -38C, while heterogeneous freezing is ECHAM5-HAM2 5 116 assumed for the mixed-phase clouds, with a temperature between 0C to -38C [Lohmann and 117 Hoose, 2009]. 118 The microphysical aerosol module HAM was first introduced in Stier et al. [2005], with 119 further improvement documented in Zhang et al. [2011]. HAM also uses a modal approach to 120 represent the aerosol size distribution. Seven log-normal modes are used to represent 6 major 121 aerosol types: sulfate, black carbon, primary organic carbon, secondary organic carbon, dust, 122 and sea salt. 123 2 124 For CAM5, a finite-volume dynamical core is chosen, with 30 vertical levels at 1.92.5 125 horizontal resolution and 30 minutes time step. The model was integrated for 5 years for each 126 simulation, and the results from the last 4 years are used for the analysis. 127 For the PNNL-MMF, the host GCM CAM5 uses the same finite-volume dynamical core, and 128 the same horizontal and vertical resolution as those in CAM5. The GCM time step is 10 129 minutes. The embedded CRM includes 32 columns at 4-km horizontal grid spacing and 28 130 vertical layers coinciding with the lowest 28 CAM levels. The time step for the embedded 131 CRM is 20 seconds. The MMF model was integrated for 36 months. Results from the last 34 132 months are used in this study. 133 For the ECHAM5-HAM2, model simulations have been performed both at T42 horizontal 134 resolution on 19 vertical levels with a time step of 30 minutes and at T63 horizontal resolution 135 on 31 vertical levels with a time step of 12 minutes. The model was integrated for 5 years, and 136 the results from the last four years are used. 137 Climatological sea surface temperature and sea ice are prescribed, and greenhouse gases are 138 fixed at the present day level in all model simulations. Both the MMF and CAM5 use the Set-up of simulations 6 139 same aerosol and precursor emissions as described in Liu et al. [2011]. Anthropogenic SO2, 140 BC, and primary organic carbon emissions are from the IPCC AR5 emission data set 141 [Lamarque et al., 2010]. The years 2000 and 1850 are chosen to represent the present day 142 (PD) and the pre-industrial (PI) time, respectively. 143 For the ECHAM5-HAM2, anthropogenic SO2, BC, and primary organic carbon emissions are 144 from the IPCC AR5 emission data set, the same as those used in the MMF and CAM5. The 145 emissions of sea salt and dust are computed interactively. Natural emissions of dimethyl 146 sulfide (DMS) from the marine biosphere are calculated online according to DMS seawater 147 concentrations [Kettle and Andreae, 2000] and the model calculated air-sea exchange rate 148 following Nightingale et al. [2000]. DMS from terrestrial sources are prescribed according to 149 Pham et al. [1995]. 150 A pair of simulations are performed for each model experiment: one with the PD aerosol and 151 precursor emissions, and the other with the PI aerosol and precursor emissions. 152 3 153 In addition to the model experiment with the default CAM5 configuration, 16 CAM5 154 sensitivity experiments are performed by varying the autoconversion formulas, as described in 155 Table S1. The default KK00 autoconversion scheme used in the CAM5 has the following 156 formula: Aqc2.47Nc-1.79, where qc is cloud water content in kg kg-1, and Nc is cloud droplet 157 number concentration in cm-3. A is a constant with a unit of cm0.186 sec-1, which is 1350 in 158 KK00, but it can vary in CAM5 depending on the subgrid distribution of cloud water content 159 assumed in the model [Morrison and Gettelman, 2008]. 160 These sensitivity experiments can be grouped into the following categories: CAM5 sensitivity experiments 161 i) Sensitivity to the minimum cloud droplet number concentrations in the autoconversion 162 formula (experiments A, B, C, and D). The minimum droplet number 7 163 concentration has been shown to affect aerosol indirect forcing significantly [Ghan 164 et al., 2001; Hoose et al., 2009; Wang and Penner, 2009]. Here we focus on the 165 autoconverion formula, and examine how the minimum droplet number 166 concentration affects cloud lifetime effects by varying the minimum droplet 167 number concentration from 0 in the default CAM5 to 1, 5, and 20 cm-3. 20 cm-3 is 168 the default minimum droplet number concentration used in ECHAM5-HAM2. 169 ii) Sensitivity to different autoconversion schemes (experiments L-Q). Here we test two 170 Kessler-type autoconversion schemes. One is from Chen and Cotton [Chen and 171 Cotton, 1987] (experiments L-O), which is the default autoconversion scheme used 172 in NCAR CAM3 [Rasch and Kristjansson, 1998]. The critical cloud droplet radius 173 is the volume-weighted mean radius. Several different critical cloud droplet radii 174 are tested. A constant collection efficiency of 0.0285 is used, following Baker 175 [1993]. The second Kessler-type autoconversion scheme is from Liu and Daum 176 [2004], which is similar to the Chen and Cotton scheme but accounts for the 177 dispersion effect and uses a collection efficiency that depends on droplet number 178 concentration (experiments P and Q). The modified Liu and Daum formula 179 suggested by Wood [2005] is used, which predicts autoconversion rates that are 180 about a factor of 10 smaller than the original formula and is found to agree better 181 with field observations [Wood, 2005]. Two different forms of threshold functions 182 H(R, Rcrit) are tested, where R is droplet radius, and Rcrit is the critical radius. One 183 is H(R, Rcrit)=(R+0.01*Rcrit)/(Rcrit+R), which is the default in CAM3 and produces 184 a very smooth transition when R increases from below Rcrit to above Rcrit. The 185 second one is H(R, Rcrit)=1/(1+exp(-40.(R/Rcrit-1))), which produces a much 186 sharper transition from 0 to 1 when R increases from below Rcrit to above Rcrit. For 187 the Chen and Cotton scheme, the second threshold function is used. 8 188 iii) Sensitivity to the dependence of the autoconversion rate on droplet number 189 concentrations (Nc). Using the autoconversion scheme in the form of KK00, we 190 vary the power dependence of autoconversion rate from Nc-0.00 to Nc-3.30 191 (experiments G-K). In all these sensitivity tests, the autoconversion rate is scaled 192 to produce the same rate as that from the default KK00 scheme at a cloud droplet 193 number concentration of 100 cm-3. The autoconversion rate in Case K is further 194 scaled by 0.1 as the original one produces too low LWP. The autoconversion rate 195 in Case H is further scaled by 10.0 to test how the magnitude of the autoconversion 196 rate affects Spop and dlnLWP/dlnCCN. The Chen and Cotton scheme has a 197 dependence of Nc-0.33 (L-O), and the Liu and Daum scheme has a dependence of 198 Nc-1.00 (P-Q). 199 iv) Sensitivity to the magnitude of the autoconversion rate. These sensitivity tests include 200 several pairs of simulations that differ only in the magnitude of the autoconversion 201 rate or accretion rate by a factor of 5 or 10. In Case E, the autoconversion rate in 202 the CAM5 default is scaled by 0.1, while in case F, the accretion rate is further 203 scaled by 10.0. Compared with case G, the autoconversion rate in case H is scaled 204 by a factor of 10. Compared with case N, the autoconversion rate in case O is 205 scaled by a factor of 5. 206 4 Surface rain rate vs. radar reflectivity 207 For the satellite observations, attenuation-corrected near-surface (about 750 meter above the 208 surface) radar reflectivity is used to define a rain event. Two rain categories are used in this 209 study. One is the ‘rain certain’ category in which radar reflectivity is in excess of 0 dBZ, and 210 the other is the ‘drizzle’ category in which radar reflectivity is in excess of -15 dBZ. Although 211 some radar instrument simulators have been applied to global climate models to simulate 9 212 radar reflectivity [Bodas-Salcedo et al., 2011], uncertainties remain regarding how to 213 horizontally and vertically distribute precipitating hydrometeors in conventional global 214 climate models with fractional cloudiness [Zhang et al., 2010]. Instead, we choose surface 215 rain rate to define a rain event in models and used the QuickBeam radar simulation package, 216 which 217 (http://cfmip.metoffice.com/COSP.html) [Bodas-Salcedo et al., 2011], to simulate the radar 218 reflectivity at each CRM column in the MMF model [Haynes et al., 2007; Marchand et al., 219 2009] in order to provide guidance for the choice of surface rain rate threshold that 220 corresponds to these two ‘rain’ categories. The same hydrometer size distributions as those in 221 the MMF model are used in the QuickBeam radar simulator. The attenuation of radar 222 reflectivity from hydrometers and water vapor are turned off in the simulator. 223 Figure S1 shows the scatter plot of surface rain rate and the radar reflectivity in the first model 224 layer (Fig. S1a) and the fifth model layer (about 750 meter above the surface, comparable to 225 the height of the lowest bin of CloudSat observations, Fig. S1b) based on the daily model 226 output at 1:30pm local time for warm and marine clouds over the 34-month MMF simulation 227 period. It shows that radar reflectivity in either the first model layer or the fifth model layer 228 can indicate the strength of surface rain rate, especially at radar reflectivity larger than 0 dBZ. 229 Also shown in Figure S1 are the radar reflectivity at 10, 20, 50, 80, and 90 percentiles at each 230 surface rain rate bin (red lines). Based on the middle line in Fig. S1b (the median radar 231 reflectivity), surface precipitation rates that corresponds to 0 dBZ and -15 dBZ in the fifth 232 model layer (about 750 meter above the surface) are 0.60 mm/day and 0.12 mm/day, 233 respectively. So these two values are chosen as the thresholds of surface rain rate to define 234 ‘rain certain’ and ‘drizzle’ category in models. Spop calculated based on two definitions in the 235 MMF model with the CRM-scale output are also comparable. For the ‘rain certain’ category, is part of the CFMIP Observation Simulator Package (COSP) 10 236 Spop is 0.35 using the radar reflectivity and 0.38 using surface rain rate. For the ‘drizzle’ 237 category, Spop is 0.28 using the radar reflectivity and 0.33 using surface rain rate. 238 5 239 Similar to the construct of cloud susceptibility [Platnick and Twomey, 1994], precipitation 240 susceptibility has been employed by Feingold and Siebert [2009] and Sorooshian et al. [2009] 241 to examine the dependence of rain rate on cloud droplet number concentration or a proxy of 242 cloud droplet number concentration. Sorooshian et al. [2010] further explored this concept by 243 breaking up the precipitation susceptibility construct into two components: an aerosol-cloud 244 interaction component and a cloud-precipitation component. The rain susceptibility construct 245 has also been used in regional modeling studies to examine aerosol effects on precipitation 246 rate [Bangert et al., 2011; Jiang et al., 2010; Seifert et al., 2011]. Here we calculate rain 247 susceptibility in the MMF model to examine whether this can be a useful tool to evaluate 248 cloud lifetime effects. 249 The rain susceptibility is defined as 250 SN 251 where P is surface precipitation rate and N is cloud droplet number concentration (cloud-top 252 droplet number concentration Nctop or column-mean droplet number concentration Nccol) or a 253 CCN proxy (AI). Similarly, we can also calculate how P changes with cloud droplet radius, R: 254 SR 255 where R can be cloud-top droplet effective radius (retop), cloud-top droplet volume radius 256 (rvtop), or column-mean droplet volume radius (rvcol). SR is called the cloud-precipitation 257 component in Sorooshian et al. [2010]. The minus sign is applied in Eq. (1) but not Eq. (2) so Precipitation susceptibility d ln( P) , d ln( N) d ln( P) , d ln( R) (1) (2) 11 258 that a positive value of S (either SN or SR) reflects the conventional wisdom that cloud droplet 259 number concentration and precipitation rate are negatively correlated for warm-rain clouds 260 while cloud droplet radius and precipitation rate are positively correlated. The aerosol-cloud- 261 interaction (ACI) component is defined as 262 ACIR / N 263 The rain susceptibility can be separated into the cloud-precipitation component and ACI 264 component as 265 SN SR ACIR / N . 266 To isolate aerosol effects and cloud microphysics on surface precipitation rate, LWP and 267 LTSS are again used to stratify data. Only single-layer warm clouds are chosen, as well as 268 clouds with a depth that is within 15% of the mean value within a given LWP bin to further 269 reduce the influence of the dynamical variations. Only results that are statistically significant 270 with 95% confidence (1-tailed t-distribution) are reported. Following the study of Sorooshian 271 et al. [2010], only clouds with the LTSS less than 15 K and surface rain rate ranging 2.4-120 272 mm/day are sampled, to facilitate the direct comparison between the MMF results and 273 Sorooshian et al. [2010] satellite study. 274 Figure S3 shows SN and SR in tropical (20S to 20N) marine clouds simulated by the MMF. 275 Sretopis around 0.5, which is near the lower end of the range derived from the satellite 276 observation (Fig. 4 in Sorooshian et al. [2010]). Replacing cloud-top droplet effective radius 277 with cloud-top droplet volume-mean radius has little effect on simulated SR, reducing it very 278 slightly (compare S rvtopand S retop). SAI is quite small, ranging from 0.08 to 0.24 for LWP less 279 than 700 g m-2, which is slightly smaller than that derived from the satellite data (0.17-0.25 280 for LWP500-700g m-2, Fig. 5 in Sorooshian et al. [2010]). However, at larger LWP bins d ln( R) . d ln( N) (3) (4) 12 281 model predicted SR goes slightly negative. In general, AI and surface precipitation rate are 282 weakly correlated for tropical marine clouds in the model (the correlations are smaller than 283 0.1 for all LWP bins, not shown). 284 Replacing cloud-top droplet volume-mean radius with column-mean droplet volume-mean 285 radius leads to negative Srvcol (i.e., negative correlation between surface rain rate and column- 286 mean droplet effective radius), except at the smallest LWP bins. The negative Srvcol is 287 consistent withthe negative S Nctop and SNccol (i.e., surface rain rate and cloud droplet number 288 concentration are positively correlated). These results are surprising, as one might expect a 289 positive correlation between surface rain rate and column-mean droplet radius, and a negative 290 correlation between surface rain rate and column-mean droplet number concentration, in 291 warm clouds. This suggests that other factors may play an important role in determining the 292 correlation between surface rain rate and cloud droplet number concentrations and droplet 293 effective radius. For example, dynamical factors, such as updraft velocity, can affect both 294 surface rain rate and cloud droplet number concentration in a way that may distort the 295 relationship between surface rain rate and cloud droplet properties expected from solely 296 microphysical arguments. Although cloud droplet concentration and size exert a major 297 influence on the autoconversion rate, the autoconversion itself plays only a quite minor role in 298 rain production and therefore in regulating the surface rain rate in MMF (Fig. 3b). This 299 suggests that the rain susceptibility is not a good measure of the dependence of 300 autoconversion rate on droplet number concentration. 301 13 302 References 303 304 Abdul-Razzak, H., and S. J. Ghan (2000), A parameterization of aerosol activation 2. 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