Assessing the ecological status in species-poor systems: A fish-based index for Mediterranean Rivers (Guadiana River, SW Spain) Virgilio Hermoso a,b,∗ , Miguel Clavero c,d , Francisco Blanco-Garrido e , José Prenda a,f a Departamento de Biología Ambiental y Salud Pública, Universidad de Huelva, Avda. Andalucía s/n, 21071 Huelva, Spain The Ecology Centre, School of Biological Sciences, University of Queensland, St Lucia, Qld 4072, Australia Grup d’Ecologia del Paisatge, Àrea de Biodiversitat, Centre Tecnològic Forestal de Catalunya, Pujada del Seminari s/n, 25280 Solsona, Spain d Departament de Ciències Ambientals, Universitat de Girona, Campus de Montilivi, 17071 Girona, Spain e Mediodes, Consultoría Ambiental y Paisajismo S.L. Bulevar Louis Pasteur, 1 Blq. 2-1-1, 29010 Malaga, Spain f CIECEM, Parque Dunar Matalascañas s/n. Almonte, Huelva, Spain b c a b s t r a c t Keywords: ANNA model Bioassessment Freshwater fish Introduced species Site-specific indices Type-specific indices The assessment of the ecological status of freshwater ecosystems is a key issue for many international laws such as the Water Framework Directive (WFD) in light of the actual impoverished status of these ecosystems. Different multimetric approaches have been successfully developed in different freshwater environments. However, multimetric indices are difficult to apply to Mediterranean rivers basins, characterized by freshwater fish communities very low in species richness and support a high number of endemics with generalist and opportunistic life strategies. Here we follow a site-specific approach to develop an adaptation of the multimetric procedure usually used in Indices of Biotic Integrity (IBI), resulting in the Index of Community Integrity (ICI). We modeled the presence–absence of 10 native freshwater fish species from the Guadiana River basin using the Assessment of Nearest Neighbor Analyses (ANNA) model, to assess the deviation of the observed and expected community composition at reference condition. ANNA, which is a multi-species model, allowed incorporating in the index some rare species, though not all of them present in the basin. Deviations were transformed into probabilities of belonging to a reference site and species by species measures were then integrated in a final score. The use of presence–absence only data reduces potential errors associated with estimations of species’ abundance and its seasonal changes, which is especially important in Mediterranean environments. The ICI was sensitive to both habitat degradation and the degree of dominance of non-native species within the freshwater fish community (or biotic perturbation), which have been traditionally overlooked in IBIs, but was unresponsive to natural sources of variation. Given the site-specific nature and the simplicity of the index that we propose here, we expect it to be applicable to other Mediterranean basins for which predictive models can be produced. 1. Introduction Freshwater ecosystems are of great importance to human culture, welfare and development and the intense human utilization has led them to a generalized poor conservation status (Malmqvist and Rundle, 2002). As a consequence, extinction rates are larger among freshwater organisms than among terrestrial ones (Ricciardi and Rasmussen, 1999). At present many freshwater species have become extinct or are highly endangered (Darwall et al., 2008), a situation that is particularly worrying in rivers of arid and semi-arid ∗ Corresponding author at: The Ecology Centre, School of Biological Sciences, University of Queensland, Goddard Building, St Lucia, Qld 4072, Australia. Tel.: +61 07 3365 2709. E-mail address: virgilio.hermoso@gmail.com (V. Hermoso). regions, such as Mediterranean bioclimatic areas (Collares-Pereira and Cowx, 2004; Smith and Darwall, 2006). As a response to the generalized degradation of freshwaters, the development of tools to assess their ecological status has been a key issue in the management of freshwater ecosystems in the last decades. International laws as the Clean Water Act in the United States or the European Water Framework Directive (WFD; European Commission, 2000) have been introduced in an attempt to address these problems, requiring the protection and restoration of biological integrity as part of water quality standards. According to the WFD the status of all European rivers and streams must be assessed and classified into five predefined levels of ecological status or quality classes (bad, poor, moderate, good and high) based on four biotic elements (diatoms, macroinvertebrates, macrophytes and freshwater fish). The aim of this bioassessment is to help diagnose potential problems causing the Fig. 1. Location of the 241 sampled sites and water courses network of the Guadiana River basin. deterioration of freshwater ecosystems and to guide objective management plans and corrective actions leading them to a good ecological status by 2015. Many efforts have been devoted to the development of efficient tools to measure the ecological status of freshwater systems based on fish. Karr (1981) originally designed an Index of Biotic Integrity (IBI) for rivers in the northeast United States, following a multimetric approach, in which the final score, or biotic integrity, was the result of multiple partial evaluations made through different parameters or metrics. This IBI was originally composed of twelve metrics that reflected the important components of community ecology: taxonomic richness, habitat and trophic guild composition, and individual health and abundance. Following this multimetric approach many other indices have been developed and adapted to specific environmental conditions and requirements (see Roset et al., 2007 for a review on these indices). Two different trends can be distinguished among recent approaches: spatially based or type-specific methods (Melcher et al., 2007; Schmutz et al., 2007b) and site-specific methods (Oberdorff et al., 2002; Pont et al., 2007). Both approaches are based on the Karr’s original multimetric concept and the reference condition approach (Hughes et al., 1986; Reynoldson et al., 1997; Bailey et al., 1998), comparing an ecosystem potentially impaired against a similar ecosystem in the best possible condition (its maximum ecological potential or reference conditions). Type-specific and site-specific methods differ in the way they find the reference conditions for a given site under evaluation. Type-specific approaches rely on grouping techniques to cluster reference sites in a set of homogeneous landscape or biological groups. Then a given site only has to be compared against the reference conditions of the group in which it is included, which are normally referred as the biotic characteristics of the best preserved sites within each group. The site-specific approach does not require any classification and it simply finds specific reference conditions for every new given site according to its environmental characteristics. A site-specific index was the option selected for the development of the European Fish Index (EFI) which arose from the European FAME project (FAME, 2004b) and is currently applied to most of north and central European rivers. On the other hand, typespecific methods such as RIVPACS (Clarke et al., 2003) or AUSRIVAS (Simpson and Norris, 2000) have been developed elsewhere for other taxonomic groups. These two methods directly compare the observed and expected communities using presence–absence data, instead of relying on metrics gathering different compositional or ecological aspects, as multimetric approaches do. However these methods have received little attention in freshwater fish indices (Hawkins, 2006; Kennard et al., 2006a; Carlisle et al., 2008). The EFI has not been validated for the Mediterranean region of Europe (Pont et al., 2007) and little attention has been given to the adaptation of and IBI for these rivers (Sostoa et al., 2003; Ferreira et al., 2007; Magalhães et al., 2008; Benejam et al., 2008). Mediterranean fish communities in Europe share common problems with streams under similar climatic conditions in other regions, which make it difficult to develop traditional IBIs (Moyle and Randall, 1998). These differences include: a reduced number of species per site, a high number of endemics per basin and high spatial and temporal changes in fish communities (Moyle and Randall, 1998; Moyle and Marchetti, 1999; Kennard et al., 2006a). Moreover, Mediterranean freshwater fish species have evolved in harsh environments (e.g. facing severe droughts and floods) and have generally developed short lifespans, generalist habitat use, opportunistic feeding strategies, high fecundity and early sexual maturity (e.g., VilaGispert and Moreno-Amich, 2002; Clavero et al., 2004). All of these characteristics may impose serious limitations to the development of an effective multimetric index for Mediterranean rivers, as it did in other similar environments with even richer freshwater fish communities (Shields et al., 1995; Harris and Silveira, 1999). For these reasons we set out to develop a new approach suited for the assessment of ecological the status of the Guadiana River basin, which features a Mediterranean climate, using freshwater fish communities. The base of the index proposed here is the assessment of the distance between the current community composition and the reference condition, using the presence–absence of ten native species in the basin. We tested its sensitivity to the most significant perturbation and natural gradients along the basin defined through a Principal Component Analysis (PCA). We also propose five quality classes according to the WFD needs and validated the ICI evaluations comparing the output of others two local indices: IBMWP and QBR, sensitive to different sources of habitat perturbation. The biotic status of native freshwater fish communities was carried out as the focal output of the index, that traditionally received little attention in these kinds of indices to biotic disturbances (when non-native species substitute natives) since even though they suppose a major recognized threat to the conservation of freshwater fish, this perturbation has traditionally received little attention in these kinds of indices. Table 1 Environmental and biotic variables used to characterize the sampled sites. *Denotes human-biotic potentially perturbed variables and used to describe stressor gradients. Mean values for the reference and the test data set are given separately. The total range is also shown. Scale Variable Method Mean reference Mean test Site Water depth (cm) Refuge cover availability (m2 of shelter/river width) Elevation (m) Relative position (dist. to the most headwater point/total length of the stream) Stream order (Strahler) Distance to headwater (km) Distance to Guadiana River (km) River width (m)* Substrate coarseness (Wentworth scale)* Riparian quality index (QBR, Munné et al., 2003)* In situ In situ GIS GIS GIS GIS GIS In situ In situ In situ In situ In situ In situ In situ In situ In situ In situ In situ In situ GIS GIS GIS GIS GIS In situ In situ 40.2 5.0 393.0 0.4 2.1 97.9 71.7 12.6 6.0 79.8 0.36 0.04 2.74 0.50 98.1 35.5 19.6 471.8 7.7 675.7 2033.8 15.7 83.8 99.6 1.0 12.0 40.0 5.9 392.7 0.5 2.1 63.2 52.7 10.4 4.9 54.3 1.78 0.13 4.63 1.20 123.8 72.7 20.9 684.9 7.8 554.0 2034.5 15.8 58.7 90.0 50.0 45.0 NH4 + (mg/L)* NO2 − (mg/L)* NO3 − (mg/L)* PO5 3− (mg/L)* SO4 2− (mg/L)* Cl− (mg/L)* Water temperature (◦ C)* Conductivity (ES/cm)* pH* Annual precipitation (mm/m2 ) Solar radiation (10 kJ/m2 *dia*Em) Average annual air temperature (◦ C) Distance to the nearest reservoir upstream (km)* Distance to the nearest reservoir downstream (km)* % Exotic fish abundance* % Exotic fish species richness* Reach (500 m) Basin Range 7.0–200 0.0–60.6 7.1–974.9 0.04–1.00 1.0–6.0 3.6–1036.1 0.0–196.0 1.4–123.0 1.0–9.0 0–100 0.02–51.60 0.01–2.00 0.50–55.90 0.05–23.20 10.0–2380.0 2.0–834.0 9.4–32.6 38.0–3230.0 2.21–10.63 370.2–1114.5 1646–2227 13.0–18.0 0.0–196.0 0.2–115.8 0–100 0–100 Slope (0 /00 ) Sinuosity Land uses Urban/industrial (%)* Intensive agriculture (%)* Extensive agriculture (%)* Natural (%)* GIS GIS 8.9 1.2 4.6 1.2 0.00–58.03 1.00–2.79 GIS GIS GIS GIS 5.0 9.0 3.0 86.0 10.0 36.0 8.0 54.3 0.0–36.0 0.0–100.0 0.0–100.0 0.0–100.0 Basin area (drainage surface upstrema of each site, 103 km2 ) Gravelius index Land uses Urban/industrial (%)* Intensive agriculture (%)* Extensive agriculture (%)* Natural (%)* Reservoir (%)* Population density (inhabitant/km2 )* GIS GIS 4.1 1.6 2.3 1.7 0.9–5919.1 1.14–2.68 GIS GIS GIS GIS GIS GIS 4.1 13.1 7.8 78.5 0.15 15.6 4.6 27.0 12.5 59.6 0.43 23.6 0.0–6.7 0.0–97.0 0.0–89.1 0.9–100.0 0.0–21.2 0.0–459.3 2. Methods 2.1. Study area The Guadiana River basin is located in the South-Western Iberian Peninsula draining a total area of 67,039 km2 to the Atlantic Ocean (Fig. 1). It features a typical Mediterranean climate, with high intra and interannual discharge variation, with severe floods and droughts (Gasith and Resh, 1999). Mean air temperature ranges from 13 to 18.1 ◦ C, with a strong intra-annual variation in extreme temperatures. Mean annual precipitation ranges from 350 to 1200 mm (with a mean of 450 mm) (Ninyerola et al., 2005). Although it is a sparsely populated area (20 inhabitant/km2 ), the landscape has been heavily transformed during the last century by agricultural activities. Nearly one half of the basin (49.1%) is currently being used for agriculture (30.6% occupied with intensive agriculture as irrigated agriculture and 18.5% is occupied with other agriculture, like olive groves or fruit trees). Due to the large agricultural water demand, about 13,000 hm3 of water is regulated by 88 big reservoirs (>1 hm3 ) and more than 200 smaller reservoirs (<1 hm3 ). Water abstraction in wells is also a great problem in some areas of the basin, since there are thousands of legal exploitations and an uncertain number of illegal ones, with severe consequences for the main aquifers. Other common human perturbations are related to river channel modifications due to river channelization and degradation and even complete depletion of the riparian forest and water quality deterioration (Urrea and Sabater, 2009). 2.2. Fish community and habitat characterization Fish communities were characterized in 241 localities across the basin (Fig. 1), using electrofishing during spring (2005–2006). Sampling was carried out through a single-pass at each location without block-nets along 100 m long stretches whenever possible, covering all habitats available at this scale following the recommendations of the FAME Consortium (2004b) for European rivers. Sály et al. (2009) and Bertrand et al. (2006) demonstrated this method adequately characterized spatial and temporal trends in fish abundance and richness. Whenever used, abundances were standardized as captures per unit of effort by the total length surveyed and time devoted [CPUE = number of fish/length (m) × time (h)] (Blanco-Garrido et al., 2005). Habitat was characterised by 38 environmental variables, covering three different spatial scales: site, reach and basin. Two approaches were used in this characterization: (i) in situ measures, which described micro- and mesohabitat characteristics at each sampling location; and (ii) remotely collected data, using geographic information systems (GIS) to map broader scale environmental attributes (Table 1). With the exception of physicochemical water characteristics, in situ variables were recorded from transects located every 20 m within the surveyed river stretch (9–27 measures/reach) and mean values were used for the analysis. Climatic variables were extracted from the Digital Climatic Map of the Iberian Peninsula (Ninyerola et al., 2005) which was built on long temporal series (15–50 years long), assuming that data represented a mean climatic year in the area. We used a digital map provided by the Guadiana basin’s management authority (Confederación Hidrográfica del Guadiana) to represent existing land-cover. Potential changes in land uses were ruled out in the short period of time in which the study was carried out. All these environmental variables fell within two categories: (a) natural habitat variability in the basin and (b) human perturbation (Table 1). All variables were checked for normality and transformed when necessary prior to analysis (arcsine for land-cover variables – expressed as proportion – and log (x + 1) for all other variables). The database was divided into two independent sub-sets: (1) a reference data set used to build and calibrate a predictive model and (2) a test data set used in conjunction with the reference to establish quality classes according to the WFD exigencies. Reference sites were defined following the approach proposed by Hermoso et al. (2009a), and were characterised by low urban or agricultural land uses within the whole basin and at the reach scale (500 m around the sampling point) (Table 1). Furthermore, bank and channel structure as well as the riparian zone should be in natural condition (see Hermoso et al., 2009a for more details on the definition of reference sites in this area). To ensure freshwater fish communities at reference sites were not seriously impacted by introduced fish, all sites where non-native species accounted for more than 5% of total fish abundance were also discarded (Kennard et al., 2006b). Since the number of reference sites identified when following these criteria (p = 55 sites) was not sufficient for both model construction and validation, some reference sites were also chosen following the same approach from adjacent basins in the same biogeographical region (Tinto, Odiel and Guadalquivir basins, n = 35). These basins share most of their native species and fell within the same biogeographic region according to Doadrio (1988) and Abell et al. (2008). To avoid the effect of basin species distinctiveness in our predictions we also introduced the variable basin as an additional predictor. 2.3. Development of the Index of Community Integrity The Index of Community Integrity (ICI) measures the deviation of the observed community composition from an expected community following the reference condition approach (Hughes et al., 1986; Reynoldson et al., 1997; Bailey et al., 1998). To do so our index uses species composition at reference localities to build an n-dimensional ordination space. Then the biotic ordination is related to environmental characteristics using discriminant function analyses, so each new evaluated site can be spatially allocated in the n-dimensional ordination space according to its environmental variables. Then it finds the most environmentally similar reference sites in the ordination space and compares the observed community at the site under evaluation with those close reference neighbours. Finally, ICI summarizes the partial evaluations obtained in a species by species fashion (Fig. 2). We first used reference sites to build and validate a predictive model describing the presence–absence of the 10 most frequent native species (Table 2) in relation to a set of environmental variables not affected by human perturbations (Table 1). This set of non-perturbed environmental variables were used to match test sites with the most similar environmental reference sites allowing site-specific predictions of expected taxonomic composition. The predictions of the expected probabilities of occurrence of each species were derived through an Assessment by Nearest Neighbour Fig. 2. Flowchart for the development of Community Health Index. An example of the transformation of the standardized residuals into sites’ probabilities to be in reference condition is showed. The accumulated probability for a low residual (−1.6) is very low (5%) while for a large one (1.6) is high (95%). Dotted lines separate steps where the whole community (all species) or partial evaluations (species by species) are used. Analyses (ANNA) predictive model (Linke et al., 2005) which was available for the region (see Hermoso et al., 2009a). In ANNA models, sites are treated as a continuum and predictions are derived from the most environmentally similar reference sites, avoiding any previous classification. It creates an n-dimensional ordination space based on species composition (presence–absence) at reference sites and uses discriminant functions to allocate new sites within the ordination space using environmental variables. The model then finds the set of reference sites most environmentally similar to the target site under evaluation and predicts its community composition based on the community composition of those nearest neighbours (Linke et al., 2005). The contribution of each selected reference site to the final prediction is weighted according to their relative environmental distance to the test site. Then the closer the selected reference site, the higher is its weight on predictions. Our ANNA model used the nearest six nearest reference sites to predict species occurrences. This approach is a whole community predictive model, such as RIVPACS (Wright, 1995), allowing Table 2 List of the 14 native freshwater fish found in the Guadiana River basin surveys. Only species with a prevalence >5% were used for the construction of the ICI. The 10 introduced species found in the Guadiana’s river network and their prevalence are also shown. Prevalence is expressed as the % of sites where each species occurred (n = 241 sites). Species Author Distribution Prevalence (%) Iberocypris alburnoides Cobitis paludica Squalius pyrenaicus Luciobarbus microcephaus Iberochondrostoma lemmingii Luciobarbus comizo Pseudochondrostoma willkommii Salaria fluviatilis Luciobarbus sclateri Anaecypris hispanica Gobio Lozanoi Luciobarbus guiraonis Anguilla anguilla Alosa alosa Lepomis gibbosus Gambusia holbrooki Micropterus salmoides Cyprinus carpio Esox lucius Ameiurus melas Alburnus alburnus Carassius auratus Australoheros facetum Rutilus rutilus Steindachner (1866) Buen (1930) Günter (1868) Almaça (1967) Steindachner (1866) Steindachner (1864) Steindachner (1866) Asso (1801) Günter (1868) Steindachner (1866) Doadrio and Madeira (2004) Steindachner (1866) Linnaeus (1758) Linnaeus (1758) Linnaeus (1758) Girard (1859) Lacepède (1802) Linnaeus (1758) Linnaeus (1758) Rafinesque (1820) Linnaeus (1758) Linnaeus (1758) Jenyns (1842) Linnaeus (1758) Iberian Peninslua Iberian Peninsula Iberian Peninsula Guadiana Iberian Peninsula Iberian Peninsula Iberian Peninsula Circunmediterranean Iberian Peninsula Guadiana Iberian Peninsula Iberian Peninsula North Atlantic Eastern Atlantic Non-native Non-native Non-native Non-native Non-native Non-native Non-native Non-native Non-native Non-native 45 44 22 21 18 16 12 9 7 5 2 1 <1 <1 36 28 12 5 4 4 2 2 <1 <1 the prediction of rare species which should be discarded in other traditional predictive methods. The ANNA model was built on a set of 70 randomly chosen reference sites and validated through different tests using the remaining 20 reference sites (see Supplementary materials for more details on model validation). The basic unit used to construct the index was the probability of a given site to be in reference condition. The probability was dependent on the deviation of an observed community composition from a reference site with similar environmental characteristics (expected composition). We measured the deviation of the observed presences-absences against the expected probabilities in the best ecological potential status (O-E). We did this for each species in each evaluated site (referred to as residuals hereafter). Then, since the index compares the community composition in a species by species fashion, we had ten different residuals for any given site. Negative values indicate species loss (the species was predicted to be present with a certain probability but it was absent). The lower the residuals, the higher the probability of presence unconfirmed hence. In the opposite extreme, positive residuals owe to observed presences with low predicted probabilities. All residuals were standardized to a (0, 1) normal distribution (x-mean/SD in the reference data set) and then transformed into probabilities of belonging to a reference site, as a way of rendering them comparable (Fig. 2). Since we assumed that residuals decreased with disturbance, we only used one-tailed evaluations for probabilities’ calculations. With this approach we assumed all the 10 native species to be sensitive to any source of perturbation according to previous studies on species tolerances in the same area (Hermoso et al., 2009b). In this study the authors showed all these species to be sensitive to particular sources of perturbation in the Guadiana River basin. The inclusion of this set of species enabled us to evaluate a wide range of perturbations and to make diagnoses through post hoc analyses, as it usually can be done with traditional IBI’s parameters (using species-specific sensitivities). The probability of a site to be in reference condition having a standardized residual x is obtained from the cumulative normal distribution function corresponding to that x value [pnorm(x), according to Pont et al. (2007)]. Each species’ measure was then summed up in the final index score. It ranged between 0 (the site has a null probability to be a reference site according to all the partial species’ evaluations) and 10 (the site has a high probability to be a reference site according to all the partial species’ evaluations) (Fig. 2). 2.4. Scoring and validating the Index To validate the index and to establish the cut-off points between different quality classes according to the WFD exigencies, we checked its relationships with impairment gradients and its response vs. other accepted indices. A Principal Component Analysis (PCA) was carried out on the environmental matrix (Table 1) to identify a set of independent gradients representative of the main sources of variation in the study area. PCA is usually used to summarize large datasets in a number of orthogonal Principal Components (PCs) which gather the main sources of variation within the original data. The first three Principal Components (PC) accounted for 37% of the original variance recording a longitudinal headwater-mouth gradient (PC1), a habitat impairment gradient (PC2) and a biotic perturbation gradient (PC3) (Table 3). This analysis highlighted the independence of natural, habitat perturbation and biotic perturbation gradients. We tested the general response of the index to the gradients described above and the evaluations of habitat perturbations obtained using two alternative indices: (1) the Iberian Biomonitoring Working Party (IBMWP) which evaluates water quality based on benthic macroinvertebrate communities (Alba-Tercedor et al., 2002); and (2) the Qualitat del Bosc de Ribera index (QBR) used to assess the perturbation status of the riparian-zone habitats (Munné et al., 2003). We expected the ICI to be sensitive to perturbation gradients and to show similar evaluations to the other two indices, however, to be insensitive to natural sources of variation. In this way, we could discard the effects of natural patterns from our evaluations. The limits between quality classes were established to maximize the differences along the perturbation gradients and to reduce the risk of committing Type I (inferring impairment when it does not exist) and Type II (not detecting impairment when it does exist) errors. To check the sensitivity of the ICI’s quality classes we performed ANOVA analyses on the scores of the other two biotic indices, using the current quality classes as categorical predictors. With this analysis we did not aimed to intercalibrate the ICI and the Table 3 Factor loadings for each variable in the first three Principal Components (PC) extracted from the Principal Component Analysis carried out in the whole habitat-biotic variables data set listed in Table 1 except QBR. Only variables with loadings >0.6 in any PC are shown. % of explained variance (in parenthesis) and eigenvalues are also shown. Denomination denotes the name for each PC in the text. Variable PC1 Alt (13.0%) 5.4 PC2 Alt (13.0%) 5.4 PC3 Alt (11.0%) 4.5 Denomination Eigenv. Longitudinal gradient Habitat impairment Biotic perturbation Basin area Distance to headwayer River order River width Gravelius Index Water depth Reach Int. Agr. Basin Int. Agr. 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.6 SO4 − NO3 − Substrate coarseness Basin natural land Precipitation Reach natural land % exotic richness % exotic abundance 2 other indices (to ensure that a given locality will fall in the same quality class when evaluated through different indices). Although intercalibration is highly recommended to ensure comparability in the evaluations obtained with different biotic indices (Sandin and Hering, 2004; Birk and Hering, 2006) it was beyond the scope of this study. As neither of both indices accounted for invasion status, we also performed an additional check on the sensitivity of our quality classes to the degree of biotic invasion (measured as the proportion of non-native species richness and abundance). The inclusion of rare species (with a probability of occurrence <0.5 according to the ANNA model) in the ICI might have pernicious effects on the index performance (Kennard et al., 2006a; Van Sickle et al., 2007). To address this potential downfall we re-assessed the index including only common species (expected to be present with a probability >0.5). As the number of species included in the assessment varied among localities we led the final index score to a 0–10 scale (we calculated the average probability values obtained from the species included and multiplied by10). We then checked the sensitivity of this new approach as we did for the ICI (see above). Finally, we explored the temporal consistency of the ICI. A set of 58 of the 241 localities were re-sampled in spring 2007. These sites covered a wide range of the ICI scores, ensuring reasonable comparisons of different values between both periods. Moreover, a year is a period of time short enough to discard major changes in the ecological status due to human causes (except those due to drastic events such as waste water spills). So we expected the index scores derived from 2007 samples to be highly related to those obtained from 2005 to 2006 data. 3. Results The ICI ranged between 1.7 and 8.3 and clearly discriminated between reference and test sites (t-test, t = 5.5 p < 0.001). The scores were normally distributed in both cases (Kolmogorov–Smirnov test; KS = 0.08, p > 0.2, KS = 0.07, p > 0.2 for the reference and the test datasets, respectively). The index was sensitive to habitat and biotic perturbations but insensitive to natural sources of variation (Table 4). We also found strong correlations with the scores of the other two indices measuring water quality and the perturbation status of the riparian area (Table 4). The cut-off points fulfilled the goals we demanded. The limits for the bad-poor and high-good quality classes (Table 5) reduced the probability of Type I and II errors minimizing the probability of labelling a reference site as in bad condition and perturbed sites as in high condition. Different −0.9 −0.9 −0.9 −0.8 −0.6 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 Table 4 Pearson correlation between natural and perturbation gradients summed up in Table 3 and the Index of Community Integrity. Directions of association and p values are shown (n = 241). ICIall Longitudinal gradient Habitat impairment Biotic perturbation QBR IBMWP species p = 0.613 p = 0.025 (−) p < 0.001 (−) p < 0.001 (+) p < 0.001 (+) ICIcommon species p p p p p = 0.008 (−) = 0.040 (−) < 0.001 (−) < 0.001 (+) < 0.001 (+) QBR from Munné et al. (2003); IBMWP from Alba-Tercedor et al. (2002). percentiles were used in both extremes to maximize the discriminatory power between quality classes. Mean index scores in the reference data set were used as limit between moderate-good quality classes, ensuring that only sites with a score higher than an average reference site could be labelled as in good condition, while in moderate condition otherwise. Similarly the limit between poormoderate was set at the mean value of the perturbed sites. In this way only sites in a condition higher than an average perturbed site could be labelled as in moderate condition while in poor condition otherwise (Table 5). The ICI’s quality classes showed a high concordance with the other two tested indices (Fig. 3). A previous analysis proved no redundancy between both indices and the pressure gradients used to calibrate the present index (Pearson’s r < |0.5| for all the relationships between the gradients in Table 3 and the QBR and IBMWP), avoiding circularity effects in the validation at this stage. There were significant differences in the scores of both alternative indices among present quality classes (ANOVA, F = 13.5, p < 0.001 for IBMWP and F = 4.6, p < 0.001 for QBR). Similarly, we found strong statistical differences in the proportion of exotic species abundance and their richness among quality classes (ANOVA; F = 22.37, p < 0.001 and F = 29.88, p < 0.001, respectively) (Fig. 3). Moreover, the ICI was rather constant through two consecutive year periods (Pearson correlation; r = 0.6, p < 0.001). Finally, the exclusion of rare species from the index (p < 0.5) had significant consequences, since the new scores became sensitive to the natural gradient and responded less clearly to habitat perturbation (Table 4). 4. Discussion The reference condition approach assumes that human and biotic impairment affects the local community composition, and thus biological integrity is defined in terms of compositional sim- Table 5 Quality classes for the Community Health Index. The cut-off points were established to maximize the index response to habitat and biotic impairment and reduce the risk of Type I and II errors. Quality class Cut-off point Aim High Percentile 95 perturbed sites Less than 5% of perturbed sites are misclassified as in high condition (Reduced Type II error) Mean reference sites Only sites with a score higher than the mean scores within sites in reference condition are classified as Good Mean perturbed sites Only sites with a score higher than an average perturbed site are classified as moderate Percentile 1 reference sites Less than 1% of reference sites are misclassified as in bad condition (Reduced Type I error) Good Interval 6.46–10 5.51–6.46 Moderate 4.36–5.51 Poor 3–4.36 Bad ilarity between observed and expected optimal situations in the best ecological potential status (or reference condition) (Hughes et al., 1986; Reynoldson et al., 1997; Bailey et al., 1998). Multimetric indices quantify the biological integrity through several community attributes (as changes in guilds-based metrics) rather than species by species comparisons. Since taxa are the basic unit of communities, alterations at the taxonomic composition level may occur before changes at other structural levels (Norris and Hawkins, 2000; Hawkins et al., 2000). Moreover, different members of the same ecological aggregation (as different species included within the same metric in multimetric indices) may not respond in the same way to a given disturbance or show independent responses to different types and degree of degradations (Thiollay, 1992; Lindermayer et al., 1999, 2000). This could make indices insensitive to specific disturbances. Additional problems have been linked to traditional multimetric approaches, such as circularity in the selection of sensitive metrics to conform the final index or the tendency to make Type I errors associated also to metrics selection (Norris and Hawkins, 2000). It is also difficult to develop complex indices with numerous metrics in rivers with a small number of native species, such as the Mediterranean ones (Miller et al., 1988). Finally, multimetric indices require a good knowledge on species basic ecology aspects (Norris and Hawkins, 2000) but this information is often lacking for Mediterranean fish fauna and hence most of the ecological classifications are based on expert judgment, as has been highlighted in other areas (Kleynhans, 1999). Therefore, a predictive approach which considers species composition instead of elaborated metrics seems a more efficient way to face the assessment of the ecological status in this type of environment. However, some predictive approaches based on species composition such as RIVPACS or AUSRIVAS (Simpson and Norris, 2000; Clarke et al., 2003) simplify the complex effects of natural or perturbation induced changes on community composition through the use the O/E ratios as a synthetic measure of community integrity. Some important changes in ecosystem structure or function may not be detected through this simplistic approach (Karr and Chu, 2000; Norris and Hawkins, 2000). To overcome this drawback, and according to Pont et al. (2006), changes at the whole community were considered in this study through species by species comparisons making the index more powerful and flexible. We used presence–absence data as the basis for the comparison between the observed and the expected communities. It could be argued that this approach would be insensitive to many stressors, because individual populations of some species can suffer a considerable degradation before going locally extinct. However, at the assemblage level, presence–absence data appears to be sufficiently robust to allow the detection of reasonably subtle differences 0–3 among sites (Hawkins et al., 2000) and has widely been used in other common indices (Clarke et al., 2003). On the other hand, population densities are submitted to greater temporal (seasonal and inter-annual) and spatial rates of change than presence–absence data even under natural conditions in Mediterranean and other similar harsh environments (Meffe and Minckley, 1987; Matthews and Marsh-Matthews, 2003; Magalhães et al., 2007). In addition, species occurrence has been showed to be more persistent than abundance through natural dramatic climatic events such as severe droughts or floods, which are frequent in Mediterranean environments (Magalhães et al., 2007). This temporal variability usually forces researchers to validate their indices through time series to account for the effect of these natural changes (Pont et al., 2006; Kennard et al., 2006a; Collier, 2008). The characterization of species’ abundances is also more complex and difficult to standardize than species occurrences, while little or no improvement of the first over the second approach when analyzing species-habitat relationship has been highlighted (Lewin et al., 2009). Key issues related to sampling methodologies, such as sampling effort and methods used, have strong consequences on bioassessment results (Lenat, 1993; Reynolds et al., 2003). Moreover, this also has economic implications for the implementation of bioassessment programs (Joseph et al., 2006). Systems requiring more detailed data (such as abundance vs presence–absence) are more expensive, while a cost-efficient method is always desired (Schmutz et al., 2007a). Thus, the use of presence–absence data supposes not only a considerable simplification for the implementation of the index but also a way to overcome other weakness related to the use of abundance data. Nevertheless standardized sampling protocols should be always used when characterizing fish populations to ensure a correct application of presence–absence indices. Summing partial evaluations from different metrics to produce a final index score cannot be recommended unless it could be demonstrated every single partial measure to varies in the same direction and with the same magnitude of response to damage (Norris and Hawkins, 2000). The present index fulfils this exigency since the residuals between the observed presences-absence and the expected probabilities tend to decrease with humanbiotic impairment given that all the species included in the index have been proved to be sensitive to different sources of perturbation (Hermoso et al., 2009b). Sensitive species will disappear at perturbed sites deriving high negative residuals in case of being predicted to be present while tolerant species will remain at perturbed sites implying higher positive residuals. These partial evaluations are then transformed into probabilities of a site being in reference condition. Each species’ evaluations had the same weight within the final index score since all their derived probabilities were Fig. 3. Responses of the Index of Community Integrity quality classes detailed in Table 5 to different indicators of water quality, physical habitat and biotic perturbations. IBMWP (Alba-Tercedor et al., 2002) measures water quality, QBR Munné et al. (2003) evaluates the perturbation status of the riparian area. The responses to the invasion status (measured as the proportion of invasive species richness and abundance) are also shown. summed up without any weighting to avoid the index being more sensitive to particular perturbations. Even rare species with low prevalence (5%) were successfully modelled using the ANNA model, overcoming potential weaknesses of discarding important ecological information (Pont et al., 2007). A similar approach has been developed and applied to rivers in South Africa (Kleynhans, 1999), what enhances the possibilities of this approach to be adapted to other geographical areas sharing common problems. Both aspects, the use of all species data with no weighting and the wide range of environmental conditions accounted for when using data from the whole basin, ensures that the index responds to a broad range of perturbations. The ability to distinguish between natural and impairmentinduced changes in community composition is critical in bioassessment (Fausch et al., 1990; Hughes et al., 1986; Norris and Hawkins, 2000). The lack of concordance of the present index and the longitudinal upstream-downstream gradient was managed through the predictive model which accounted for a substantial portion of the spatial variability of species’ presence–absence making its scores independent of natural variations. The inclusion of the whole pool of modelled species played an important role, since when rare species were discarded form the index it lost its independence to natural changes. A site-specific approach was used in this study following the river continuum concept (Vanote et al., 1980) avoiding artificial classifications and their derived consequences on bioassessment. We found reasonably good responses for all the sources of perturbation tested as well as for the other two indices (IBMWP and QBR). This result not only validates the present index but also supports and enhances its ability to detect different sources of habitat impairment. In this way we have tested the index to respond to water quality and physical habitat degradation, which are the main perturbations also evaluated in the IBMWP and QBR indices (Alba-Tercedor et al., 2002; Munné et al., 2003), and the main perturbations gathered in the habitat impairment gradient defined using PCA analysis. In this PCA analysis we found the most significant sources of human impairment in the basin to be related to agriculture development, resulting in water quality (increase in nitrate and sulphates) and physical habitat degradation (e.g., siltation). Given that the index computes differences in assemblage composition in a species by species fashion, it will gather the independent responses of all the species included in the index (lead by their specific sensitivities). The response showed to the biotic disturbance measured as the relative dominance of exotic species within the whole fish community is also remarkable. Exotics are considered one of the major threats to the conservation of native fish communities (Kaufman, 1992; Godinho and Ferreira, 2000; Clavero et al., 2004) and thus a main issue to consider when assessing the ecological status (Pont et al., 2006). However, the effect of introduced species on native fish communities have often not been considered in recent studies (Oberdorff et al., 2002; Pont et al., 2007; Ferreira et al., 2007; Magalhães et al., 2008). Although a relationship between habitat deterioration and the degree of invasion of freshwater fish communities has been noted (e.g. Ross et al., 2001), the presence and dominance of exotic species may occur even in areas with good physico-chemical water quality (Kennard et al., 2005; Light and Marchetti, 2007). Thus, impacts of exotic species on the ecological integrity of communities may not be shown by physico-chemical habitat quality measures, making especially important for any index to be sensitive to biotic disturbances. The present ICI is capable of detecting not only commonly measured habitat perturbations but also but perhaps more important the biotic status of the native freshwater fish community. Furthermore, the relative weight of different perturbation factors can be assessed in a post hoc diagnostic using each species partial evaluations based on species-specific sensitivities (Hermoso et al., 2009b) which should guide the development of efficient corrective plans to lead the assessed freshwater ecosystems to a good ecological status as the WFD requires. The adaptation of the present index to different areas (or even to a broader extent) would not be an issue since the only requisite needed is the development of accurate predictive models for local faunas. In this way, the ICI could be adapted and validated in other Mediterranean basins that at the moment lack efficient fish-based bioassessment tools. In addition, it would also be interesting to evaluate the performance of the index on other taxa, such as macroinvertebrates. However, further research is necessary on this field, to test whether this method is suitable for other Mediterranean basins and/or taxa. The site-specific approach overcomes the limitations imposed by closed classifications of river types, in which an index is only applicable to a river previously included within the same type. However, given the high basin endemicity of Mediterranean freshwater fish communities, a basin approach seems to be the best option for site-specific predictive methods. A multi-species predictive approach is highly recommended for other Mediterranean basins due to the reduced distribution areas of some endemics and the high constraints imposed by low species richness values, forcing the inclusion of rare species. The evaluation of model’s performance plays an important role in avoiding potential inaccuracies in the ecological status derived from prediction errors. Acknowledgements The fieldwork was financed by the Confederación Hidrográfica del Guadiana through the project “Diseñ o y Explotación de la Red de Control Biológico de la Cuenca del Río Guadiana” and the Ministry of Science and Technology (REN2002-03513, CGL2005-02699). V. H. held a pre-doctoral fellowship funded by the Spanish Ministry of Education (MEC; AP-2004-1414) and M.C. from a Juan de la Cierva contract also funded by MEC. We also thank URS Corporation for their help with field works and providing the macroinvertebrate data used in this paper. 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