Institute for International Business (IIB) International Business Research Competition Application Forecast for International Business – More Cloudy? February 15, 2010 Submitted by Andrew Chen Associate Professor Accounting and Information Systems School of Business University of Kansas Phone: (785) 864-7529 achen@ku.edu Forecast for International Business – More Cloudy? Part I: Summary of Research Objectives As global economy becomes more information- and network-oriented, businesses create and collect tremendous amount of electronic data and information which needs to be processed, stored, and disseminated and requires ever-increasingly intensive and ubiquitous information technology (IT) capabilities. In addition, in this internationally competitive environment, large and small enterprises not only demand more IT resources but also strive for lower investment on and ownership of IT, more agile IT applications, more flexible IT functionalities, and highly reliable and available IT resources. A promising computing model has emerged to meet this business and technology trend – cloud computing. Cloud computing is a form of information processing and storage where massively scalable IT resources (hardware and computational capacity, data storage, software and applications, platforms, and infrastructures) are remotely delivered as on-demand services to customers through advanced Internet technologies and connectivity. Could computing is driven by new IT trends such as mobile interactive applications (ubiquitous computing and global connections for any device, any location, and any communication mode), parallel batch processing (grid computing and better collectively utilize idled computational resources), the rise of analytics (business intelligence), extension of compute-intensive desktop applications (off-premise global-class computing might gradually replace on-site enterprise-class or individual-class computing), and green IT (Armbrust, et al., 2009). Gartner predicted that industrialized utility and cloud-based services will (1) account for at least 50% of the new demand for managed IT infrastructure services by 2012, and (2) grow to more than $140 billion by 2013 (Gartner, 2009). Almost all major IT companies have promoted and participated with this “cloudy” movement by developing and offering cloud computing solutions such as Google AppEngine, Microsoft Azure, IBM Smart Business, and Amazon EC2. The purpose of this project is twofold. First, at the country level, will and how can a government build a suitable environment to lure international businesses and promote cloud computing for benefiting its economy? A case study of Taiwan will be conducted (Lee, 1989). Future data collections and analyses on China and India will also be pursued. The results from this endeavor can provide significant implication for governments around the globe to prepare for international business competition on cloud computing and related IT. Second, at the organization level, will and how can a firm leverage implicit benefits (e.g., networking and alliance) and explicit benefits (e.g., cost saving) from adopting international cloud computing to compete in the global market? We propose a “dynamic capability theory” perspective to study this problem. Empirical data from small and large companies that utilize cloud computing will be collected. The findings from this endeavor can shed light on theoretical validity and empirical benefit of organizations’ pursuing “dynamic capabilities” through IT means (e.g., cloud computing). Andrew Chen Forecast for International Business – More Cloudy? Part II: Significance to International Business With the advancement in Internet networking and telecommunication transmission capacity, international businesses has further boomed beyond geographical boundaries since individuals and businesses are more easily connected, and data and information are more conveniently exchanged. Cloud computing can further impact international business beyond information communication with exchange and distribution of resources, applications, services, and capabilities. In this project, we focus on two areas. First, we explore the impact and consideration of the international location of cloud computing providers. Second, we study the theoretical rationale of utilizing cloud services beyond obvious economic benefits. According to TechNavio (2009), the global market for cloud computing was $17.3 billion in 2008, and is forecast to reach $43.2 billion by 2012. According to Sandra Ng of the global market intelligence firm IDC, the market for cloud services in the Asia-Pacific region in 2009 is valued at US$549 million (Chang, 2009). She expects the sector to grow by an average compound rate of 44 percent per year between 2008 and 2013. Taiwan’s cloud computing services market is estimated to reach NT$5.56 billion (US$172 million) for 2009, and to hit NT$6.21 billion (US$201 million) in 2010. For most, if not all, cloud computing practices, the user’s data and applications reside (at least for some time) on the cloud cluster, which is owned and maintained by the cloud provider. Therefore, “Where is the cloud located?” is a serious question for users and providers. Issues of providers will include suitable physical space in which to construct the warehouse-sized building or facility (physical geography, climate and weather, natural disaster, natural resource, safety of crime and attack), proximity to high-capacity Internet connection, the abundance of affordable electricity and other energy resources, and the laws, policies, and regulations of the jurisdiction (legal jurisdiction, government intervention, and costs of doing business (taxes, insurance, and regulations on safety, environmental, industrial, etc.)). Important questions can include: Should we get cloud computing domestically or internationally? Which country or region should we get cloud computing oversea? What can a country or region do to attract cloud computing businesses? What can a country or region gain by attracting cloud computing businesses? To answer these questions, we propose to conduct a case study of Taiwan. As Taiwan is among the leading technological and economic forces in Asia and the Pacific Rim, cloud computing experiences learned from Taiwan mirror regional and global trends and certainly reflect the U.S. market as well. The results from this endeavor can (1) provide significant implication for governments around the globe to prepare for international business competition on cloud computing and related IT, and (2) provide valuable guidelines for global businesses to consider and prepare for adopting domestic and international cloud computing services. Andrew Chen Forecast for International Business – More Cloudy? Part III: Research Plan, Support Data, and Proposed Time Schedule III.1. Background of Cloud Computing Basically, there can be three usage modes of cloud computing services (Jaeger, et al., 2009). First, the “cloud” hosts a user’s application (software, data storage, computational resources, etc.) with a “Web service” provided. Second, the “cloud cluster” executes the application code and returns the results to the user (batch processing). Third, the “cloud” is temporarily providing computing services in conjunction with user’s existing IT infrastructures for temporary peaks or seasonal peaks in traffic (cloud bursting). For business IT consideration, cloud computing holds the promises of providing benefits including cost containment (shift from IT capital expenditure to IT operating expenditure), immediacy (fast, if not instant, agile access to IT resources), availability (diverse and plentiful IT resources around the globe), scalability (provisioning and implementation of needed IT are done on demand and as needed), efficiency (reallocate operational IT to cloud and focus on strategic IT and business core competence), resiliency (cloud providers have mirrored solutions and backup connections that can be utilized in a disaster scenario as well as for load-balancing traffic), flexibility (cost of switching providers is low) (ISACA, 2009). While proponents of cloud computing emphasize the potential opportunities of develop cloud-based applications and benefits of exploiting cloud-based services, many issues and caveats cannot be simply ignored. Usually, issues and expectations of users of cloud services can include access, reliability, security, data confidentiality and privacy, liability, intellectual property, ownership of data, fungibility, auditability, available contractual remedies, and supplier stability (Jaeger, et al., 2009). In this project, we focus on the location issue of cloud computing for both users and providers. III.2. Cloud Computing at International Locations According to TechNavio (2009), the global market for cloud computing was $17.3 billion in 2008, and is forecast to reach $43.2 billion by 2012. For cloud computing, location consideration is naturally without geographical boundary constraint since technology feasibility will not be an important issue. Other than fix locations for cloud computing facilities, other portable and easily assembled facilities are also proposed and implemented. For example, Sun’s “Project Blackbox” is a large shipping container (IBM, Google are looking into it as well) which can be strategically and quickly deployed to ideal locations. “Google Navy” – water-based data center on ships positioned in international waters (mobile and easy to form a fleet) – is also an innovative way to setting up cloud computing services. For US companies, utilizing Asian countries’ cloud services can even take advantage of time zone difference (off-peak hours of using energy) to reduce costs and environmental impacts. Traditionally, India's top IT companies make up approximately 45% of the entire global market. Companies like Tata, Infosys, and Satyam enjoy worldwide Andrew Chen Forecast for International Business – More Cloudy? reputations and attract and land multinational deals every year. In addition to English language competency and IT expertise, trust in those companies, and in India as the go-tocountry for IT outsourcing, has grown because the nation successfully combines low labor costs with Western management skills. However, the regulations and laws in India were not as developed as expected. On the other hand, China is also catching up on global IT outsourcing and service market. In China, the government has built entire cities and towns (e.g., Shenzhen) dedicated to the IT industry, presenting almost perfect conditions for companies. In addition, China has long been known for its low cost of labor and its fast evolving infrastructure. However, issues such as level of IT expertise of Chinese workers and concerns about intellectual property rights are often mentioned for China’s IT offerings. In addition, China does not have many large IT companies. Many people argue that China’s IT market needs to consolidate in order to become more competitive. Currently, standardized IT services are outsourced to China and the more complex IT services are entrusted to India. These factors fundamentally reflect to cloud computing considerations in the international arena. III.3. Cloud Computing in Taiwan To compete in international cloud computing market, government and related IT institutions are gearing up necessary efforts and strategies. On November 4, 2009, Microsoft announced that Microsoft and Taiwan’s Ministry of Economic Affairs will jointly establish the “Software and Services Excellence Center” at Taiwan in 2010 with US$9.5 billion in research and development projects (with considerable portion going to cloud-computing technologies) (Ho, 2009). Microsoft said this venture is aimed at helping local contract makers of electronic products develop devices and services related to cloud computing. Both hardware and software firms in Taiwan will participate in the development of related technologies at the proposed center, which will operate in parallel with the “cloud-computing mobile application technology center” set up recently by the government-backed Industrial Technology Research Institute (ITRI). On December 21, 2009, IBM announced a new Research collaboratory will be established in Taipei, Taiwan (IBM, 2009). This collaboratory which focus on using technologies – including cloud computing, analytics, and mobile devices – to advance wellness-centric healthcare that manages diseases more efficiently and effectively to keep people healthier. Cloud computing will serve as the foundation for much of the collaboratory’s work in areas such as sensor data collection, record sharing, analysis, and diagnostics. The cloud computing model is suited to healthcare applications due to the volume of dynamic and diverse source of information. Further, IBM is also teaming up with Tsing Hua University in Taiwan to set up a cloud computing center based on the global PC heavyweight’s software research project, code-named “Pangoo”. Other players who have expressed an interest in the race include notebook maker Quanta Computer Inc. and system manufacturer Foxconn Technology Group, among others. Andrew Chen Forecast for International Business – More Cloudy? Even with all these developments in Taiwan, it is still of great interest how and can countries like Taiwan to compete with China or India in cloud computing. Research findings of implementation cases in Taiwan can reflect global aspects of cloud computing movement. That is, since Taiwan is technologically advanced and there are substantial trading and cooperation relationships between Taiwan and the U.S., research findings can be used as a comparison with or references for those of the United States. These findings can also provide further awareness of cloud computing implementation issues and guidelines for setting adoption strategies. III.4. Dynamic Capability Theory Teece et al. (1997) define dynamic capabilities as “the ability to integrate, build, and reconfigure internal and external competencies to address rapidly-changing environment”. Dynamic capabilities theory proposes that dynamic resources help a firm adjust its resource mix and thereby maintain the sustainability or the firm’s competitive advantage. While the resource-based view (RBV) (Barney, 1991) emphasizes resource choice, or the selecting of appropriate resources, dynamic capabilities emphasize resource development and renewal. Wade and Hulland (2004) argued that IS resources may take on many of the attributes of dynamic capabilities, and thus may be particularly useful to firms operating in rapidlychanging environments. That is, IS resource helps firms to develop, add, integrate, and release other key resources over time. We argue that capability is about the ability to do things that otherwise couldn't be done. We conjecture that businesses can benefit greatly from the cloud computing services to fulfill their desire to create new solutions that were not technically or economically feasible without the use of cloud services. That is, cloud computing model can help firms to foster and utilize necessary dynamic capabilities to compete and innovate. From current IS literature, the popular theory to explain the relationships between IT and performance is RBV. In today’s business environment, however, the competitions between coalitions of firms require not only capabilities and resources owned by single firms but also “dynamic capabilities” that integrate, deploy, and reconfigure organizational skills, resources, and functional competences in the range of a network (Teece, Pisano et al. 1997). We conjecture that such dynamic capabilities perspective is especially important to explain the roles of cloud computing model to facilitate coordination, collaboration, and assembly of global IT resources. III.5. Research Methodology At the first stage, semi-structured interviews and documentation collections will be conducted in Taiwan. Through governmental and academic connections (e.g., Dr. San Gee, Deputy Minister, Council for Economic Planning and Development, Executive Yuan, Taiwan; Dr. Houn-Gee Chen, Professor, College of Management, National Taiwan University, Taiwan; Dr. Chih-Ping Wei, Professor, College of Technology Andrew Chen Forecast for International Business – More Cloudy? Management, National Tsing Hua University, Taiwan) which have close relationships with large Taiwan-based companies in the global e-business market and strong ties with governmental units, the proposed project can be better and successfully facilitated. We will contact and meet with top-level people of institutions such as Ministry of Economic Affairs, Industrial Technology Research Institute, and Tsing Hua University to collect data. The results from this endeavor can provide significant implication for governments around the globe to prepare for international business competition on cloud computing and related IT. At the second stage, we will conduct semi-structured interviews and surveys with organizations which utilize international cloud computing services. These companies will be mainly US- and Asian-based companies which have connections with Taiwan’s cloud computing providers. The findings from this endeavor can shed light on theoretical validity and empirical benefit of organizations’ pursuing “dynamic capabilities” through IT means (e.g., cloud computing). III.6. Activity Planned for the Grant Period (April 2010 – May 2011) Time Activity Connect with contacts in Taiwan to set up visits and April – May 2010 interviews. Visit connected institutions to collect documentations and May – July 2010 conduct interviews with top-level people of those institutions August – December 2010 Analyze data January – May 2011 Complete and submit research manuscripts Andrew Chen Forecast for International Business – More Cloudy? Part IV: Curriculum Vitae Andrew Chen, Associate Professor, Accounting and Information Systems EDUCATION Ph.D. Operations and Information Management, University of Connecticut, 1999 M.S. Accountancy, George Washington University, 1992 B.B.A. Accounting, Soochow University, Taiwan, 1986 ACADEMIC EXPERIENCE 2009 – Associate Professor, AIS, University of Kansas (KU) 2006 – 2009 Assistant Professor, AIS, University of Kansas (KU) 1999 – 2006 Assistant Professor, Department of IS, Arizona State University (ASU) 1997 – 1998 Visiting Lecturer, OPIM, University of Connecticut (UConn) RESEARCH INTERESTS Knowledge Management, IT Business Value, Human Computer Interface Design, Electronic Commerce, Robust Databases, Healthcare Information Systems TEACHING INTERESTS Strategic IT Planning, Contemporary and Emerging IT, Web Technology and Applications, Computer Networking, Business Intelligence, Accounting Information Systems RECENT REFEREED JOURNAL PUBLICATIONS 1. Chen, A., Y. Hwang, and R. Santanam, “Knowledge Lifecycle, Knowledge Inventory, and Knowledge Acquisition Strategies,” Decision Sciences, 41(1), 2010, (forthcoming). 2. Chen, A., and J. Nichols, “A Model of Service-Oriented Architecture and Firm/Network Performance,” International Journal of Information Technology Management, 9(1), 2010, 54–74. 3. Vroblefski, M., A. Chen, B. Shao, and M. Swinarski, “Managing User Relationships in Hierarchies for Information System Security,” Decision Support Systems, 43(2), 2007, 408–419. 4. Chen, A., S. Sen, and B. Shao, “Strategies for Effective Web Services Adoption for Dynamic E-Business,” Decision Support Systems, 42(2), 2006, 789–809. 5. Chen, A., “Robust Optimization for Performance Tuning of Modern Database Systems,” European Journal of Operational Research, 171(2), 2006, 412–429. 6. Chen, A., P. Goes, A. Gupta, and J. Marsden, “Heuristics for Selecting Robust Database Structures with Dynamic Query Patterns,” European Journal of Operational Research, 168(1), 2006, 200–220. 7. Chen, A., and T. Edgington, “Assessing Value in Organizational Knowledge Creation: Considerations for Knowledge Workers,” MIS Quarterly, 29(2), 2005, p. 279–309. Andrew Chen Forecast for International Business – More Cloudy? 8. Chen, A., Y. Hwang, and B. Shao, “Measurement and Sources of Overall and Input Inefficiencies: Evidences and Implications in Hospital Services,” European Journal of Operational Research, 161(2), 2005, 447–468. RECENT CONFERENCE PROCEEDINGS 1. “Designing Preferable Virtual Worlds: An Analogy of Space,” with Y. Lee and M. Ellis, Americas Conference on Information Systems (AMCIS) 2009. 2. “Healthcare Information Technology Adoption and Protection Motivation: A Study of Computerized Physician Order Entry Systems,” with Y. Lee, Americas Conference on Information Systems (AMCIS) 2008. 3. “The Effect of Individual Differences, Tasks, and Decision Models on User Acceptance of Decision Support Systems,” with Y. Liu, Americas Conference on Information Systems (AMCIS) 2008. PAPERS UNDER REVIEW 1. Lee, Y., A. Chen, and V. Ilie, “Can Online Wait be Managed? The Effect of Filler Interface Design on Perceived Waiting Time and Web Site Appraisal,” MIS Quarterly. 2. Lee, Y., and A. Chen, “An Exploratory Investigation of Constructs and Nomological Networks of Usable Virtual Worlds,” ISR. RECENT THESIS COMMITTEE Doctoral Dissertation Chair, “The Role of IS and Network Performance,” Yucong Liu, KU (in progress) Member, “The True Cost of Pair Programming,” Nan Sun, KU (in progress) Member, “A Comparison study on preferences of Student and Instructors in relation to the current online course design at the KU Continuing Education,” Charlene Hu, KU, 2009 Member, “An Empirical Investigation into the Moderating Relationship of Computer SelfEfficacy on Performance in a Computer-Supported Task,” Miguel Aguirre-Urreta, KU, 2008. RECENT INSTITUTIONAL SERVICE Affiliated Faculty, Council of Investigators, eLearning Design Lab, KU, 2009– Chair, Online Education ad hoc Committee, School of Business, KU, 2009– Member, Ph.D. Team, School of Business, KU, 2008– Member, AIS Director Search Committee, KU, 2009–2010 Research Workshop Coordinator, AIS, KU, 2006–2009 RECENT HONORS AND AWARDS Institute for International Business Research Grant, KU, 2009 Best Paper, IT in Health Care Track, Americas Conference on Information Systems, 2008 New Faculty General Research Grant, KU, 2007 AFFILIATIONS The Association for Information Systems (AIS) Andrew Chen Forecast for International Business – More Cloudy? Part V: Other Sources of Funding: None. Potential governmental assistance and funding from targeted countries can be pursued. Part VI: Budget Category Details Airfare Kansas – Taiwan – Kansas Hotels $ 100 × 7 nights = $ 700 Meals Transportation Gift Faculty Summer Support (including fringe benefits) Total Budget $ 50 × 14 days = $ 700 Taxi, Train, and Bus For interviewees Budget $ 1,500 $ 700 $ 700 $ 300 $ 1,000 Andrew Chen Forecast for International Business – More Cloudy? References: Armbrust, M., Fox, A., Griffith, R., Joseph. A. D., and Katz, R., 2009. “Above the Clouds: A Berkeley View of Cloud Computing,” UC Berkeley Reliable Adaptive Distributed Systems Laboratory, http://www.eecs.berkeley.edu/Pubs/TechRpts/2009/EECS-200928.pdf. Barney, J. 1991. "Firm Resources and Sustained Competitive Advantage." Journal of Management, 17(1), 99-120. Chang, M., 2009. “Taiwan’s ICT firms embrace cloud computing,” Taiwan Today, November 27, 2009, http://www.taiwantoday.tw/ct.asp?xItem=81617&CtNode=429. Ho, J., 2009. “Update: Microsoft, Taiwan to Develop Cloud Computing Technology,” The Wall Street Journal, November 4, 2009. IBM, 2009. “IBM Research Collaborates with Leading Taiwanese Institutions to Deliver Wellness-Centric Healthcare Via Cloud Computing,” IBM Press Release, December 21, 2009, http://www-03.ibm.com/press/us/en/pressrelease/29086.wss. ISACA, 2009. “Cloud Computing: Business Benefits with Security, Governance, and Assurance Perspectives,” ISACA Emerging Technology White Paper, Rolling Meadows, IL. Jaeger, P. T., Lin, J., Grimes, J. M., Simmons, S. N., 2009. “Where is the Cloud? Geography, Economics, Environment, and Jurisdiction in Cloud Computing,” First Monday, 14(5), 112. Lee, A. S. 1989. “A Scientific Methodology for MIS Case Studies.” MIS Quarterly, 13 (1), 33-50. TechNavio, 2009. “Global Cloud Computing Services Market 2008-201,” TechNavio Reports, May 21, 2009. Teece, D. J., G. Pisano, and Shuen, A., 1997. "Dynamic Capabilities and Strategic Management." Strategic Management Journal, 18(7), 509-533. Wade, M., and Hulland, J., 2004. “The Resource-Based View and Information Systems Research: Review, Extension and Suggestions for Future Research,” MIS Quarterly, 28(1), 107-142. Andrew Chen