AGENCY COST OF EQUITY COSTS ARISING FROM THE FACT THAT CORPORATE MANAGERS (CEOs, FOR EXAMPLE) MAY MAXIMIZE THEIR OWN VALUE (UTILITY/SATISFICATION) AT THE EXPENSE OF THEIR PRINCIPALS (SHAREHOLDERS). CEOs ARE “AGENTS” OF FIRM SHAREHOLDERS, BUT THEIR INTERESTS MAY NOT BE FULLY 1 ALIGNED WITH SHAREHOLDER INTERESTS. AGENCY PROBLEMS ARISE WHEN CEO HAS LESS THAN 100% OF EQUITY. EXAMPLE *ASSUME CEO CAN STEAL RESOURCES (OR ENGAGE IN NEGATIVE NPV ACTIVITIES THAT PLEASE HIM. *MANAGER’S UTILITY FUNCTION: 2 U(WEALTH IN SHARE VALUE+ AMOUNT STOLEN) *NOW, IF TOP MANAGEMENT HAS 100% EQUITY IN FIRM, NO INCENTIVE TO STEAL *THIS IS BECAUSE FOR EVERY $1 HE STEALS, SHARE VALUE DROPS BY $1, SO HE IS WORSE OFF THAN IF HE DID NOT STEAL. *ASSUME CEO EQUITY HOLDING IS 80%. NOW, IF FIRM VALUE CORRESPONDING TO NO-STEALING 3 BY THE CEO IS V, CEO HAS INCENTIVE TO STEAL, AS SHOWN BELOW: ASSUMING RISK NEUTRAL CEO AND INVESTORS, UTILITY OF CEO IF HE STEALS $1 = U{0.8(V - $1) + $1} = 0.8V - 0.8 + $1 {AMOUNT STOLEN} = 0.8V + 0.2 CEO’S UTILITY IF HE DOESN’T STEAL = U(0.8V) = 0.8V VALUE OF EQUITY HELD BY HIM 4 *IN PRACTICE, THE COST TO THE FIRM FROM EACH DOLLAR OF WASTEFUL ACTIVITY UNDERTAKEN WILL BE GREATER THAN $1. *WHAT WILL BE THE AMOUNT STOLEN? DETERMINED BY: MARGINAL BENEFIT TO CEO FROM STEALING NEXT DOLLAR = MARGINAL COST TO CEO ARISING FROM A REDUCTION IN HIS EQUITY VALUE. 5 *LOWER THE FRACTION OF EQUITY IN THE FIRM HELD BY CEO, MORE THE AMOUNT STOLEN IN EQUILIBRIUM (SINCE THE CEO WILL BEAR ONLY A LOWER FRACTION OF THE COST TO THE FIRM FROM HIS STEALING!) *BUT OUTSIDE SHAREHOLDERS ARE NOT FOOLS : IF THEY ARE RATIONAL, THEY WILL ANTICIPATE SUCH BEHAVIOR (AT LEAST PARTLY). 6 *THUS, IF A CEO, WHO OWNED 100% EQUITY TO BEGIN WITH, STARTS DIVESTING, THE VALUATION PLACED BY OUTSIDERS ON EACH 1% OF EQUITY HE SELLS WILL BE SMALLER AS HIS EQUITY-HOLDING IN THE FIRM GETS SMALLER. *IN OTHER WORDS, IT IS ULTIMATELY THE CEO/LARGE SHOLDER HIMSELF WHO BEARS THIS AGENCY COST OF EQUITY (SINCE OUTSIDE SHARE HOLDERS 7 ANTICIPATE HIS ACTIONS AND PRICE EQUITY CORRECTLY)! *THIS MEANS THAT THE CEO, OR CONTROLLING SHARE HOLDER, HAS AN INCENTIVE TO LIMIT THESE COSTS. *HOWEVER, DOING THIS IS NOT EASY, SINCE MOST SUCH “STEALING” ACTIVITIES ARE NONCONTRACTIBLE (BECAUSE THEY ARE NONOBSERVABLE). 8 *A “PROMISE” NOT TO STEAL AT THE TIME OF SELLING EQUITY TO OUTSIDERS IS CLEARLY NOT CREDIBLE (WILL BE RENEGED UPON LATER, SHARE HOLDERS KNOW!). AGENCY COSTS OF EQUITY CAN BE REDUCED BY: (I) MONITORING, BY: (i) BOARD OF DIRECTORS (ii) LARGE SHARE HOLDERS/INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS. 9 (II) OPTIMAL (AT LEAST BETTER) EXECUTIVE COMPENSATION PACKAGES, THAT LINK A LARGE CHUNK OF PAY TO STOCK PRICE PERFORMANCE. FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS: BANKS & SAVINGS INSTITUTIONS, INSURANCE COMPANIES, MUTUAL FUNDS, PENSION FUNDS, INVESTMENT COMPANIES, PRIVATE TRUSTS & ENDOWMENTS HOLD: 10 ALMOST 50% OF EQUITY CLAIMS OF CORPORATIONS - 80% OF CORP BONDS - 60-70% OF LARGE BLUECHIP EQUITIES. CALPERS AND CORPORATE GOVERNANCE -CALPERS CORPORATE GOVERNANCE AGENDA 11 (I) ISSUES IMPAIRING ABILITY OF SHAREHOLDERS TO SELECT THE BEST DIRECTORS (II) ISSUES RELATING TO DIRECTORS’ (BOARD’S) ABILITY TO SUPERVISE MANAGEMENT (III) ISSUES RELATING TO ANY DIVERGENCE OF INTEREST BETWEEN SHAREHOLDERS AND FIRM MANAGEMENT/BOARD. ORGANIZATIONAL CONSTRAINTS 12 - ACTIVE, LARGE BETS ON COMPANIES MIGHT BE A POLITICAL LIABILITY. - LOW PAYING JOBS FOR PORTFOLIO MANAGERS. - NOT ENOUGH STAFF - RESTRICTED TRAVEL AND OTHER BUDGET - EXPERTISE LIMITED? - GOING TOO FAR MIGHT INDUCE CEO TO COMPLAIN TO GOVERNOR OR LEGISLATURE 13 EXAMPLE OF LARGE (INSTITUTIONAL) SHAREHOLDER MONITORING: CALPERS ON AVERAGE, PERFORMANCE BY FIRMS CALPERS IS INVOLVED IN SEEM TO HAVE DRAMTICALLY IMPROVED (AS MEASURED BY CUMULATIVE EXCESS RETURN RELATED TO S&P 500 INDEX). [SEE CAPLERS ARTICLE ON READING LIST] 14 PERFORMANCE - IMPROVEMENT IS IN 1990-92 PERIOD, WHEN CALPERS TARGED CORPORATE PERFORMANCE EXPLICITLY (AS AGAINST 1987-89, WHEN ANTI-TAKEOVER PROVISIONS WERE THE FOCUS). 15 DEBT AS A WAY OF MITIGATING THE AGENCY COST OF EQUITY (FREE CASH FLOW): JENSEN (1986) FREE CASH FLOW: CASH FLOW IN EXCESS OF THAT REQUIRED TO FUND ALL POSITIVE NPV PROJECTS. *THE IDEA: BY ISSUING DEBT IN EXCHANGE FOR STOCK (i.e., WITHOUT INCREASING CASH FLOW) MANAGERS ARE EFFECTIVELY COMMITTING TO PAY OUT FUTURE FREE CASH FLOWS. 16 *THE SAME “COMMITMENT” EFFECT IS NOT OBTAINABLE FROM DIVIDEND INCREASES: DEBT HOLDERS CAN TAKE THE FIRM TO BANKRUPTCY COURT IF THE RENEGE! E.g: LEVERAGED BUYOUTS; AN EXAMPLE OF THE BENEFITS OF REDUCING AGENCY COSTS USING DEBT. COMPARE TWO FIRMS: FIRM A: ALL EQUITY 17 FIRM B: HIGHLY LEVERAGED, WITH SENIOR DEBT, CONVERTIBLE DEBT, PREFERRED AS WELL AS COMMON EQUITY. (ASSUME STRIP FINANCING) BOTH SECURITY HOLDERS HAVE SAME CASH DISTRIBUTION, BUT DIFFERENT ORGANIZATIONALLY *FIRM B SHAREHOLDERS CAN STEP IN IF MANAGEMENT INVESTS IN VALUE-REDUCING PROJECTS AND THE FIRM DEFAULTS ON SOME INTEREST PAYMENTS. 18 *EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FROM OIL INDUSTRY SEEMS TO BE CONSISTENT WITH THIS: POSTIVE MARKET RESPONSE TO DEBT CREATION IN OIL-INDUSTRY TAKEOVERS. UNFORTUNATELY, DEBT CAN CREATE ITS OWN AGENCY PROBLEMS, AS WE WILL NOW DISCUSS. 19 AGENCY COSTS OF DEBT COSTS ARISING TO THE FIRM FROM CONFLICTS OF INTEREST BETWEEN STOCKHOLDERS (AS A GROUP) AND BOND HOLDERS (AS A GROUP). *MOST SEVERE IN FIRMS WITH A HIGH PROBABILITY (CHANGE) OF BANKRUPTCY. *IN FACT, MANY STUDIES INDICATE THAT SUCH COSTS ARE MUCH HIGHER THAN DIRECT COSTS OF BANKRUPTCY. (LAWYER FEES, ETC). 20 *ARISES FROM THE FACT THAT IN HIGH-LEVERAGE FIRMS, STOCKHOLDERS HAVE AN INCENTIVE TO INCREASE SHARE VALUE AT THE EXPENSE OF THE VALUE OF BONDS (DEBT). EXAMPLE: FIRM CHOOSES BETWEEN TWO MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE PROJECTS: ASSUME: FACE VALUE OF DEBT = $100 21 PROJECT A: LOW-RISK PROBABILITY FIRM VALUE STOCK VALUE BOND VALUE RECESSION 0.5 100 0 100 BOOM 0.5 200 100 100 EXPECTED VALUE 150 50 100 PROJECT B: HIGH-RISK PROBABILITY FIRM VALUE STOCK VALUE BOND VALUE RECESSION 0.5 50 0 50 BOOM 0.5 240 140 100 EXPECTED VALUE 145 70 75 WHICH ONE WILL STOCK HOLDERS PICK? PROJECT B, BECAUSE IT INCREASES EQUITY VALUE! WHICH ONE MAXIMIZES TOTAL FIRM VALUE? PROJECT A. 22 *BUT BOND HOLDERS ARE NO FOOLS THEY ANTICIPATE STOCK HOLDER BEHAVIOR *PRICE PAID FOR DEBT = $75 ONLY SO STOCKHOLDERS BEAR THE AGENCY COST. *AGENCY COST OF DEBT = VALUE OF ALL EQUITY FIRM - VALUE OF LEVERED FIRM = 150 - 145 = $5 23 EXAMPLE-II WITHOUT PROJECT. WITH PROJECT. BOOM RECESSION BOOM RECESSION 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 FIRM CASH FLOW 5000 2400 6700 4100 BOND CASH FLOW 4000 2400 4000 4000 STOCK CASH FLOW 1000 0 2700 100 PROMISED DEBT PAYMENT = $4000 INVESTMENT REQUIRED FOR PROJECT = $1000 ADDITIONAL CASH FLOW FROM PROJECT = $1700 EXPECTED CASH FLOW TO EQUITY HOLDERS WITHOUT PROJECT = 0.5(1000) + 0.5(0) = 500 24 EXPECTED CASH FLOW TO EQUITY HOLDERS WITH PROJECT = 0.5(2700) + 0.5(100) = 1400 BUT STOCK HOLDERS WON’T TAKE PROJECT IF THEY HAVE TO FINANCE IT THROUGH EQUITY (NEW EQUITY OR CUTTING DIVIDEND) BECAUSE STOCKHOLDER CASH FLOW GOES UP BY ONLY $900 = 1400 - 500 WHILE COSTING $1000 TO EQUITY HOLDERS. 25 *NOTICE THAT AN ALL EQUITY FIRM WOULD INVEST IN THE PROJECT SINCE THE PROJECT IS +NPV ASSUMING r = 0, NPV = 1700 - 1000 = $700 AGENCY COST OF DEBT HERE = NPV FOREGONE DUE TO DEBT IN THE CAPITAL STRUCTURE = $700 *THE FIRST EXAMPLE IS REFERRED TO AS “RISK-SHIFTING” 26 *THE SECOND EXAMPLE IS REFERRED TO AS “UNDERINVESTMENT” *CONTROLLING AGENCY COST OF DEBT: - PRIME TOOL DEBT COVENANTS - CONTROLS WHAT EQUITY HOLDERS CAN AND CANNOT DO. - DIVIDENDS CANNOT BE PAID WILL DEBT PAYMENTS OUTSTANDINGS OR DELINQUENT (OBVIOUS). 27