EBM – July 2, 2010 Alexis Ponder ARTICLE: “Rapid Measurement of B-Type Natriuretic Peptide in the Emergency Diagnosis of Heart Failure” Maisel et al. NEJM 2002: 347(3) 161-167 SCENARIO: 40yo M with PMH of CHF - EF 30% and COPD presents to the ED with chief complaint of acute shortness of breath. He is afebrile and vital signs are stable, O2 sat 93% on 2L. On exam, you note crackles and wheezing, mild lower extremity edema. You are told that patient’s cardiac enzymes are negative, WBC is 11. BNP ordered comes back – 50pg/ml. How would you treat him? METHODS: - Prospective study of 1586 patients who came to ED with acute dyspnea as presenting symptom at 7 sites (5 US, 1 France, 1 Norway) o April 1999-December 2000 - BNP measured with bedside assay - Exclusion criteria: under age 18, dyspnea was clearly not secondary to congestive heart failure, acute MI, renal failure (Cr 1.2), or unstable angina unless predominant symptom at presentation was dyspnea - Gold standard in this case: Clinical diagnosis of CHF was adjudicated by two independent cardiologists, who were blinded to the results of the assay o Reviewed medical records – asked to agree on severity according to NYHA classification in all cases o Note: study does not reveal how well the 2 observers agreed RESULTS: - Diagnosis of dyspnea assigned to categories: o Due to CHF = 744 (47%) o Due to non-cardiac cause with hx of LV dysfxn = 72 (5%) o Not due to CHF = 770 (49%) - BNP values associated with these assigned groups obtained o Due to CHF = 675 ± 450 o Due to non-cardiac cause with hx of LV dysfxn = 346 ± 390 o Not due to CHF = 110 ± 225 - Primary outcome: dyspnea due to CHF BNP SENSITIVITY SPECIFICITY POSITIVE LR NEGATIVE LR (pg/ml) (%) (%) Sens/(1-Spec) (1-Sens)/Spec 97 62 2.5 .05 50 85 83 5.0 .18 150 Example: BNP = 50 - LR+ = 97/(1-62) = 97 / 38 = 2.5 - LR- = (1-97)/62 = 3 / 62 = .05 LIKELIHOOD RATIO NOMOGRAM: Example: In the patient with BNP of 50, propose the pre-test probability is 20% - LR+ = 2.5, post-test probability = ~40% - LR - = 0.5, post-test probability = ~1% CONSIDERATIONS: - Does this test truly measure heart failure? No, but the goal is to find how closely this test can approximate shortness of breath due to heart failure v. other noncardiac causes o BNP is a more useful diagnostic test at extremely low levels in specific populations, identifying those patient’s whose dyspnea is not due to CHF o As the BNP value increases, it becomes increasingly more difficult to utilize this value to differentiate dyspnea due to CHF v. other causes - SCNENARIO: What about the patient above? Does this BNP value help influence your clinical impression? In this case, the value is low enough to help exclude CHF as the primary cause of his dyspnea