Supporting Information Table S1. Trends in total rainfall, zero rainfall days, air temperature and solar radiation on upper Haleakalā volcano over two time periods. Linear trends are fitted to data with least squares regression and adjustment for autocorrelation (see Materials and Methods). All coefficient standard errors, t statistics and p values shown are adjusted values; p values ≤0.10 highlighted in bold. 1950-2010 1990-20101 Variable trend2 SE t p trend2 SE t p 3 2130 m elevation rainfall (annual) -5.419 4.582 1.183 0.122 -26.534 4.669 5.683 <0.001 rainfall (dry seas) -0.501 1.582 0.317 0.376 -3.761 2.229 1.687 0.051 rainfall (wet seas) -4.918 3.425 1.436 -22.773 4.032 5.648 <0.001 0.078 0 rainfall days (annual) 0.468 0.206 2.268 1.881 0.393 4.788 <0.001 0.014 0 rainfall days (dry seas) 0.142 0.125 1.134 0.131 1.307 0.207 6.303 <0.001 0 rainfall days (wet seas) 0.326 0.107 3.059 0.574 0.166 3.452 <0.001 0.002 air temperature 0.015 0.004 4.014 <0.001 0.009 0.006 1.480 0.078 solar radiation anomaly ----0.416 0.033 1.274 0.119 2600 m elevation3 rainfall (annual) rainfall (dry seas) rainfall (wet seas) 0 rainfall days (annual) 0 rainfall days (dry seas) 0 rainfall days (wet seas) air temperature solar radiation anomaly --------- --------- --------- --------- -11.441 -6.405 -10.886 0.674 1.067 -0.081 0.006 1.031 10.776 4.124 15.186 0.936 0.629 0.531 0.018 0.400 1.062 1.553 0.717 0.720 1.698 0.152 0.357 2.578 0.152 0.069 0.241 0.241 0.054 0.440 0.364 0.010 3000 m elevation3 rainfall (annual) rainfall (dry seas) rainfall (wet seas) 0 rainfall days (annual) 0 rainfall days (dry seas) 0 rainfall days (wet seas) air temperature solar radiation anomaly --------- --------- --------- --------- -35.356 -6.985 -6.099 0.664 0.759 0.183 0.002 0.329 26.225 5.650 21.022 0.903 0.592 0.586 0.019 0.573 1.348 1.236 0.290 0.735 1.284 0.312 0.094 0.574 0.100 0.119 0.388 0.237 0.107 0.379 0.463 0.293 1 For some variables at some stations, trends were calculated for the period 1990 to 2009 due to incomplete data for parts of 2010. 2 Trend units for rainfall are mm per year or per season; units for 0 rainfall days are days per year or per season; units for air temperature are ºC per year; units for solar radiation are W per m2 per year. 3 Data for 2130 m elevation were obtained from the Haleakalā Ranger Station, except for solar radiation which came from HaleNet station 151; data for 2600 m elevation and 3000 m elevation were obtained from HaleNet stations 152 and 153, respectively. HaleNet data begin in 1990.