Supplementary Material Cloud cover climatologies in the Mediterranean obtained from satellites, surface observations, reanalyses, and CMIP5 simulations: validation and future scenarios Aaron Enriquez-Alonso1, Arturo Sanchez-Lorenzo2, Josep Calbó1, Josep-Abel González1, Joel R. Norris3 1 2 Department of Physics, University of Girona, Girona, Spain Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (IPE-CSIC), Zaragoza, Spain 3Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA Climate Dynamics Corresponding author: aaron.enriquez@udg.edu Tables Table S1. Description of Physical Parameterization Schemes in the GCMs (updated from Zhang et al., 2005). Models highlighted with (*) provide results with the ISCCP simulator. Models highlighted with (--) do not provide future projections for the scenarios considered at the end of our paper. GCM Stratiform Clouds Convective Clouds Convection Cloud Microphysics ACCESS 1.0 Uses HadGEM2 atmospheric physics. ACCESS 1.3 Uses atmospheric physics similar to that of the Met Office GA1.0 model configuration (Hewitt et al. 2011), including the PC2 prognostic cloud scheme (Wilson et al. 2008) BCC-CSM 1.1 Atmospheric module is BCC-AGCM2.1. Convection: Mass flux (Wu 2012) BCC-CSM 1.1(m) Atmospheric module is BCC-AGCM2.2. Convection: Mass flux (Wu 2012) BNU-ESM CanESM2 (*) Diagnostic (Klein and Hartmann 1993; Kiehl et al. 1996; Collins et al. 2006) The atmospheric module is CAM 3.5: (Zhang and McFarlane 1995) (Xu and Krueger and convective momentum 1991; Hack 1994) transport (Richter and Rasch 2008) (Rasch and Kristjánsson 1998; Zhang et al. 2003) Fractional cloud cover is evaluated from the prognostic moisture and temperature fields through relative humidity (McFarlane et al. 1992) The atmospheric module is CAM 4: CCSM4 As CAM 3.5, modified for polar clouds (Vavrus and Waliser 2008) As CAM 3.5 As CAM 3.5 As CAM 3.5 CESM1-BGC The atmospheric module is CAM 5: CESM1-CAM5 CESM1-FASTCHEM (--) (Park and Bretherton 2009) As CAM 4 CESM1-WACCM (--) (Morrison and Gettelman 2008) As CAM 3.5 CMCC-CESM (--) CMCC-CM Uses atmospheric module ECHAM5 (as MPI models) CMCC-CMS CNRM-CM5 CSIRO-Mk 3.6.0. FGOALS-g2.0 Diagnostic (Ricard and Royer 1993) (Bougeault 1985) Sub-grid condensation parameterization from (Bougeault 1981; Bougeault 1982) Uses atmospheric physics very similar to HadCM/HadGEM models Diagnostic (Rasch and Kristjánsson 1998) Mass flux (Zhang and McFarlane 1995) (Rasch and Kristjánsson 1998) FGOALS-s2.0 (--) Diagnostic RH based (Liu and Wu 1997) FIO-ESM GFDL-CM3 GFDL-ESM2G GFDL-ESM2M Mass flux (Tiedtke 1989) The atmospheric module is CAM 3.5 (see BNU-ESM) Prognostic (Tiedtke 1993; Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Global Atmospheric Model Development Team (GFDL GAMDT) 2004) Prognostic; (Tiedtke 1993; GFDL GAMDT 2004) RAS (Moorthi and Suarez 1992) (Rotstayn 1997; GFDL GAMDT 2004) RH based, Sundqvist type (Del Genio et al. 2005) Diagnostic (Del Genio et al. 2005) Mass flux (Del Genio and Yao 1993) (Del Genio et al. 2005) Statistical (Smith 1990) Diagnostic (Gregory and Rowntree 1990) Mass flux (Gregory and Rowntree 1990; Gregory and Allen 1991) (Smith 1990) Statistical (Smith 1990) with modifications (Cusack et al. 1999; Webb et al. 2001) Diagnostic (Gregory and Rowntree 1990) with modifications (Gregory 1999) Mass flux (Gregory and Rowntree 1990; Gregory and Allen 1991) (Wilson and Ballard 1999) Diagnostic based on RH, temperature and vertical temperature gradient (Betts 1986) (Betts 1986) Statistical (Le Trent and Li 1991) Statistical (Bony and Emanuel 2001) (Emanuel 1991) GISS-E2-H GISS-E2-H-CC GISS-E2-R GISS-E2-R-CC HadCM3 (--) HadGEM2-AO HadGEM2-CC HadGEM2-ES (*) INM-CM4 IPSL-CM5A-LR (*) IPSL-CM5A-MR (*) (Le Trent and Li 1991) IPSL-CM5B-LR MIROC-ESM (*) MIROC-ESM-CHEM (*) (Le Trent and Li 1991) MIROC4h (--) MIROC5 (*) (Watanabe et al. 2009). Convective clouds (Chikira and Sugiyama 2010) MPI-ESM-LR (*) MPI-ESM-MR Prognostic (Tompkins 2002) Diagnostic; (Roeckner et al. 1996) Mass flux (Tiedtke 1989; Nordeng 1994) (Lohmann and Roeckner 1996) MPI-ESM-P (--) MRI-CGCM3 (*) New two-moment bulk cloud scheme (Tiedtke 1993; Jakob 2000). Convective clouds: mass-flux (Tiedtke 1989; Yoshimura et al. 2014) NorESM1-M The atmospheric module is CAM 4 (see CCSM4) NorESM1-ME Table S2. Values of the different metrics used to compare the TCC from the CMIP5 models and multi-model mean (MMM) against PATMOS-x. The metrics are the Mean Difference (MD), the Mean Absolute Difference (MAD), the Skill Score (SS), the Annual Range (AR) difference, this latter being defined as the AR (i.e. mean winter TCC minus mean summer TCC) for a particular GCM minus the AR for the PATMOS-x, and the coefficient of spatial and temporal correlation (R). Units are % of sky cover for MD, MAD and AR difference, while SS and R are dimensionless values between 0 and 1. In parentheses, the ordinal position of each model for each metric. Models ACCESS1.0 ACCESS1.3 BCC-CSM1.1 BCC-CSM-1.1(m) BNU-ESM CanESM2 CCSM4 CESM1-BGC CESM1-CAM5 CESM1-FASTCHEM CESM1-WACCM CMCC-CESM CMCC-CM CMCC-CMS CNRM-CM5 CSIRO-Mk3.6.0. FGOALS-g20 FGOALS-s20 FIO-ESM GFDL-CM3 GFDL-ESM2G GFDL-ESM2M GISS-E2-H GISS-E2-H-CC GISS-E2-R GISS-E2-R-CC HadCM3 HadGEM2-AO HadGEM2-CC HadGEM2-ES INM-CM4 IPSL-CM5A-LR IPSL-CM5A-MR IPSL-CM5B-LR MIROC4h MIROC5 MIROC-ESM MIROC-ESM-CHEM MPI-ESM-LR MPI-ESM-MR MPI-ESM-P MRI-CGCM3 NorESM1-M NorESM1-ME Multimodel Annual Multimodel DJF Multimodel MAM Multimodel JJA Multimodel SON MD -8.9 -0.2 -4.8 -12.1 -10.0 -8.9 -18.5 -18.5 -5.1 -19.0 -14.4 -2.3 -3.3 0.1 -11.8 -0.2 3.5 -14.1 -9.1 7.2 2.3 3.1 5.5 4.5 4.9 4.9 -7.6 -9.7 -8.4 -9.1 -5.9 -12.1 -11.3 -3.2 -13.8 -11.7 -12.0 -11.6 -3.0 -3.3 -3.6 -6.9 -12.1 -11.9 -6.4 -6.6 -9.4 -3.6 -6.0 (24) (2) (14) (36) (29) (24) (42) (42) (16) (44) (41) (4) (9) (1) (33) (2) (11) (40) (26) (21) (4) (7) (18) (13) (15) (15) (22) (28) (23) (26) (19) (36) (30) (8) (39) (32) (35) (31) (6) (9) (12) (20) (36) (34) MAD 14.3 (18) 13.8 (15) 13.2 (8) 17.8 (40) 14.8 (21) 15.2 (25) 21.7 (42) 21.8 (43) 13.0 (4) 21.9 (44) 18.2 (41) 13.7 (13) 12.5 (1) 12.5 (1) 16.4 (34) 13.0 (4) 13.1 (7) 17.4 (39) 14.6 (20) 13.7 (13) 12.9 (3) 13.3 (10) 15.7 (29) 15.3 (26) 15.7 (29) 15.5 (27) 15.5 (27) 14.9 (22) 14.2 (17) 14.4 (19) 13.4 (11) 16.4 (34) 16.6 (36) 13.9 (16) 16.8 (38) 15.1 (24) 16.1 (32) 15.8 (31) 13.0 (4) 13.4 (11) 13.2 (8) 15.0 (23) 16.7 (37) 16.3 (33) 11.2 12.4 12.3 9.3 10.7 PATMOS-x SS 0.69 (17) 0.72 (13) 0.72 (13) 0.56 (40) 0.65 (25) 0.69 (17) 0.44 (42) 0.43 (44) 0.78 (1) 0.44 (42) 0.53 (41) 0.75 (8) 0.76 (5) 0.78 (1) 0.64 (30) 0.71 (15) 0.65 (25) 0.66 (23) 0.64 (30) 0.73 (12) 0.77 (3) 0.76 (5) 0.60 (34) 0.61 (33) 0.60 (34) 0.60 (34) 0.65 (25) 0.67 (21) 0.69 (17) 0.68 (20) 0.75 (8) 0.66 (23) 0.67 (21) 0.75 (8) 0.60 (34) 0.64 (30) 0.65 (25) 0.65 (25) 0.77 (3) 0.75 (8) 0.76 (5) 0.70 (16) 0.59 (39) 0.60 (34) 0.56 - AR difference 2.1 (11) 1.4 (8) -2.0 (10) -5.4 (23) -0.8 (5) 0.0 (1) -17.4 (39) -18.5 (43) 2.9 (16) -17.7 (41) -13.1 (34) 4.5 (20) -3.9 (17) -1.1 (7) -6.2 (24) 16.9 (37) -10.9 (33) 9.2 (30) -9.1 (29) -0.1 (2) 6.5 (25) 5.1 (22) -17.5 (40) -18.2 (42) -18.6 (44) -17.0 (38) -13.7 (35) 2.4 (14) 2.2 (12) 2.2 (12) 10.4 (32) 9.5 (31) 8.1 (27) 2.6 (15) -4.5 (20) -1.0 (6) 4.3 (19) 3.9 (17) 0.1 (2) -1.9 (9) 0.3 (4) -13.8 (36) -8.4 (28) -7.2 (26) -3.0 - R 0.72 (10) 0.68 (26) 0.69 (23) 0.60 (35) 0.72 (10) 0.68 (26) 0.55 (39) 0.55 (39) 0.74 (2) 0.56 (38) 0.64 (34) 0.70 (22) 0.71 (16) 0.71 (16) 0.66 (31) 0.77 (1) 0.66 (31) 0.73 (6) 0.68 (26) 0.74 (2) 0.74 (2) 0.72 (10) 0.50 (43) 0.52 (41) 0.49 (44) 0.51 (42) 0.59 (37) 0.71 (16) 0.72 (10) 0.72 (10) 0.74 (2) 0.72 (10) 0.69 (23) 0.68 (26) 0.71 (16) 0.73 (6) 0.73 (6) 0.73 (6) 0.71 (16) 0.69 (23) 0.71 (16) 0.60 (35) 0.65 (33) 0.67 (30) 0.81 0.67 0.71 0.81 0.78 Figures Figure S1. 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