Fall 2014 Biostatistics II (Regression) PH 8027 - 85304 Thursdays, 4:30 – 7:00 pm, Sparks Hall 131 INSTRUCTOR: Ruiyan Luo, PhD 640M One Park Place (404) 413-1435 rluo@gsu.edu OFFICE HOURS: Thursday 3:00 -- 4:00 pm, 640M One Park Place, or by appointment. COURSE DECRIPTION: Prerequisites: PH7017 Public Health Biostatistics or instructor approval. General topics covered will include simple linear regression, multiple regression, and logistic regression. Students who successfully complete this course will have a working knowledge of many analytical methods used regularly by public health researchers. The course will be taught in a lecture style with a focus on both concepts and practical application. Some familiarity with either SAS or SPSS is required. LEARNING OBJECTIVES Upon completion of this course, students will be able to: Utilize advanced statistical regression terminology and concepts within a Public Health research context. Conduct appropriate regression analyses to novel data sets using standard statistical software (SAS, SPSS). Interpret the results of regression analyses. Produce biostatistical reports to address selected Public Health-related problems. Text Book REQUIRED TEXT: pper LL, Nizam A, Muller KE (2013) Applied regression analysis and other multivariable methods, Fifth Edition. Publisher: Cengage Learning. ISBN-10 1285051084, ISBN-13 978-1285051086 Data sets for this textbook can be found at the following link: http://www.thomsonedu.com/statistics/discipline_content/dataLibrary.html OPTIONAL TEXT: Applied linear statistical models. (5th ed) by Michale H. Kutner, Christopher J. Nachtsheim, John Neter and William Li SOFTWARE Since the required textbook uses SAS, we will primarily focus on the use of SAS. Since this class emphasizes the use of statistical software for conducting analyses, you need to keep in mind that you will be required to conduct analyses outside of our designated class time; therefore, you need to have access to at least one statistical software package that will allow you to accomplish these analyses. Free University Edition for Windows: http://www.sas.com/en_us/software/universityedition.html Virtual computing lab: https://vcl.gsu.edu Computer lab in SPH, open computer labs on GSU campus. EMAIL COMMUNICATION When I send email regarding class information, I will use your GSU student email address. As such, you need to plan to check your GSU student email account and or forward your GSU email to an account that you do check on a regular basis. ALL class-related announcements will be sent to your GSU student email – check it! I will not use any other email address for official class communications. When you send me an e-mail, please put PH 8027 and your name on the subject line. If this information is not included in the subject line, there may be a substantial delay in receiving a response from me. Desire2Learn Desire2Learn will be used to post class documents. The Desire2Learn logo is on the GSU home page. Students are expected to access the information posted on the class web pages. I will make an effort to inform the class when new information is posted to the class website; however, you should check the site on a regular basis. The site will have a copy of the updated syllabus and any changes that occur as we go along, as well as other relevant class materials including required and recommended readings, assignments, quizzes and data sets. Date TENTATIVE COURSE SCHEDULE Topic Textbook Chapter 1-3 1-4 8/28 Introduction and review 9/4 SAS problems Introduction and review (revisited), Intro to assigned regression 9/11 Correlation/Simple linear regression 5-6 9/18 Homework 1 due Multiple linear regression / ANOVA tables 7-8 9/25 Testing hypotheses 9 10/2 Test 1 distributed Types of correlations / Confounding/Interaction 10-11 10/9 Test 1 due Confounding/Interaction/Dummy variables 11-12 10/16 Regression Diagnostics 14 10/23 Homework 2 due Polynomial regression/Model selection 15-16 10/30 Logistic regression 22 11/6 Homework 3 due Logistic regression 11/13 Polytomous and ordinal logistic 23 11/01 Homework 4 due Poisson regression 11/27 Thanksgiving day NO CLASS 27 12/4 Test 2 distributed Sample size planning 12/11 Test 2 due Test 2 DUE no later than 16:30 “The course schedule noted above provides a general plan for the course; deviation may be necessary.” SUBMITTING ASSIGNMENTS Unless otherwise indicated, assignments MUST be submitted in the form of a hard copy (paper copy) the day (and time) it is due or sooner. You are expected to follow all submission guidelines included with the assignment, quiz, or test; failure to do so will result in the automatic deduction of 5 points from that particular assessments point total. So the highest number of points possible on a 10 point assignment that is not submitted according to guidelines would be 5 ---- follow the instructions! VERY IMPORTANT: Unless otherwise noted, there is an expectation that ALL assignments and tests submitted for a grade be the product of your own efforts. GRADING & OTHER CLASS POLICIES Grading Summary Assessment 4 Assignments 2 Tests Points per 10 25+35 Total Points 40 60 Completion Dates 9/18,10/23,11/6,11/1 10/9,12/11 Each test, quiz or assignment has been assigned a certain number of points as noted in the above table. Points earned from each assignment will be summed in order to determine your final point total for the semester. Final Grades will then be determined based on the following point ranges: 94 – 100 = A 90 – 93.9 = A87 – 89.9 = B+ 84 – 86.9 = B 80 – 83.9 = B77 – 79.9 = C+ 74 – 76.9 = C 70 – 73.9 = C60 – 69.9 = D Below 60 = F Test 1 (25 points) &Test 2 (35 points): There will be two take-home tests: Test 1 will be distributed on October 2nd and will be due at the beginning of class on October 9th. This test will include content covered from chapter 1 through chapter 10. Test 2 will be distributed on December 4th and will be due no later than 4:30pm on December 11th. This test will include content covered from 10/2 (chapter 11) to 12/5. Although each test will cover relatively new material, it is important to remember that material covered earlier in the course will remain relevant to concepts covered later in the course. In addition, at least one section of each test will require you to analyze data using the statistical software of your choice. It is expected that all portions of the test, including data analysis using software, be the product of your own efforts. Giving or receiving help on a test is considered unauthorized collaboration. If you have questions or get stuck in the course of completing a test, I encourage you to seek help from me. 4 Homework Assignments (10 points each): Homework assignments will be distributed in class at least one week prior to the due date listed on the class schedule. These assignments will involve some calculations but will primarily focus on using statistical software to obtain analyses in order to address specific questions regarding the techniques covered in the preceding class periods. Specific information and instructions will be provided with each homework assignment. Although it is acceptable for you to work together when running the analyses needed for the assignments, responses to homework questions should be the product of your own efforts. Make-up Tests & Late Assignments: Since the tests and assignments are of the takehome variety, NO make-up tests or assignments will be offered. Given that you will have assignments ahead of time and that you will have a one week window to complete the tests, the expectation is that these assignments and tests be submitted according to the schedule noted on the syllabus. Extensions for either the homework assignments or tests will NOT be granted except in the case of an officially documented emergency situation (e.g. a doctor’s note, a letter from your academic advisor, a letter from your employer, etc.). Let’s be clear, failure to complete and submit tests and assignments on the scheduled date by the designated time will result in loss of points on that particular assignment or test. Once the due date and time have passed, 5 points will automatically be deducted from the total point for each day that the assignment is late. For example, if an assignment worth 10 points is due on 9/13 and you do not turn it in until 9/14, the highest number of points you could possibly receive for the assignment would be 5….two days late, 0 points… Turn in things when they are due!!! Class Attendance: Attendance at each class meeting is extremely important and is highly related to overall success in the course. Really, it is! Although I have chosen not to grade class attendance directly, I would like to emphasize that regular attendance and participation is to your benefit. You will note that many important events take place during class time (quizzes, assignments, tests, presentation of content, review information, etc.). In some cases, missing a class may mean a grade of zero on a quiz, test or assignment. If you miss class, you are responsible for obtaining information about the course content and any other class activities that took place during the missed class from one of your fellow classmates. Be aware of all make-up policies. Arriving on Time: Class is scheduled to begin at 1:00pm, you should plan to arrive ON TIME!! It is extremely disruptive for students to enter the classroom once class has already started. How to be successful in this course: 1. Come to every class and be on time. If you miss class or come in late, you will be missing an important learning opportunity. In addition, arriving late is disruptive to everyone. 2. Be attentive for the 2.5 hours we are in class. This means, no checking email, searching the internet, texting, or otherwise engaging in activities that take your attention away from what is happening in class. I normally take a short break about half way through class; engage in these activities during that time. 3. Try problems at the end of each chapter. Doing the practice problems is an important way for you to learn the material and determine your level of understanding. 4. Keep up with the reading and practice problems – don’t try to cram. What more can I say? 5. Don’t be afraid to ask questions before, during, and after class. I am here to help you and facilitate your learning; my ability to do this is much greater if I know what problems you are having. 6. If you ever feel lost, you probably are – ask for help SOONER rather than later. Waiting until the last few weeks of class may lead to an unwanted outcome (i.e., lower grade). Withdrawal Periods and Grades of W and WF During registration: When the registration system is open to students at the beginning of each semester, students may drop or add classes using PAWS. When a class is dropped during this period, no grade is recorded and no record of the student’s being enrolled in the class appears on the student’s transcript. Registration ends at the end of the first week of classes. After registration and before the midpoint of the semester: During this period, students may make a voluntary withdrawal from a class or classes using PAWS. Students will receive a grade of W or WF for any class dropped during this period depending on whether or not they have exceeded their limit of withdrawals with a grade of W. Specifically, students will automatically be awarded a W if they have not exceeded their limit and a WF if they have. Grades of W and WF appear on the student’s transcript. (Note: A grade of WF is treated as an F for GPA calculation purposes.) NOTE: Students cannot make a voluntary withdrawal after the midpoint. For more information, consult the Student Advisement Center or Office of Academic Assistance in your college. Incompletes: A student will be given the grade I only if nonacademic circumstances beyond the student’s control prevent the student from completing a small segment of the course— e.g. the final examination/test. For a student to receive the grade of I, he/she must be doing satisfactory work (an average grade of C or better) up to the point that he/she could not continue. Arrangements must be made with instructor to remove the I within one semester. Students with Disabilities: Students who wish to request accommodation for a disability may do so by registering with the Office of Disability Services. Students may only be accommodated upon issuance by the Office of Disability Services of a signed Accommodation Plan and are responsible for providing a copy of that plan to instructors of all classes in which an accommodation is sought.” [Office of Disability Services is located in the Student Center, Suite 230] Academic Honesty: All students at this University are expected to engage in academic pursuits on their own with complete honesty and integrity. Any student found guilty of dishonesty in any phase of academic work will be subject to disciplinary action. The complete Academic Honesty policy is located in the GSU Graduate Catalog: http://www.gsu.edu/enrollment/catalogs.html, Sec. 1350. Students and faculty are expected to review the policy on academic honesty. Courtesy: Courteous behavior is an essential component for creating a positive learning environment for everyone (students and instructors). Alas, turn OFF cell phones and other electronic devices when you come to class. Using cell phones or other similar devices (including laptops or classroom computers for ANY non-class related activities) during class is disruptive and extremely discourteous. If you find yourself in a situation that requires (e.g., work requirement, medical reason – your own or a family member) you to make use of a cell phone (or some other device) during class time, let me know BEFORE class starts and sit in a location that will allow you to unobtrusively leave the classroom to answer a call. In addition, the following behaviors should be avoided: excessive tardiness, leaving and entering class frequently without notifying the instructor of extenuating circumstances, and disruptive personal conversations with other class members. Violation of these common courtesies is grounds for dismissal from the course. [Faculty Handbook, Section 401. Disruptive Student Behavior Policy] Student Assessment of the Course: “Your constructive assessment of this course plays an indispensable role in shaping education at Georgia State. Upon completing the course, please take the time to fill out the online course evaluation.” “The course syllabus provides a general plan for the course; deviation may be necessary.”