Scottish Government
Justice Analytical Services
Analytical Programme 2015-16
About Justice Analytical Services
The overarching purpose of Justice Analytical Services is:
to provide analytical insights to underpin and influence the delivery of justice
and safety for the people of Scotland.
We play a key role in creating, delivering and communicating the evidence base for a
Safer and Stronger Scotland. We are a multi-disciplinary team and our analytical
contribution comes in various forms including social research, statistics, economics,
operational research and the administration that underpins analysis.
We seek to promote the use of analysis to challenge and improve the policy and
practice essential for achieving outcomes and to influence the policy agenda and
debate. We strive to ensure that robust evidence gets to the people who need it, is
accessible, easy to interpret and is widely used.
We support delivery of policies that are focused on the key national outcomes:
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We live our lives safe from crime, disorder and danger
We have strong, resilient and supportive communities where people take
responsibility for their own actions and how they affect others
Our public services are high quality, continually improving, efficient &
responsive to people’s needs
Our evidence shapes, informs and measures progress towards the vision set out in
The Strategy for Justice in Scotland:
a justice system that contributes positively to a flourishing Scotland, helping to
create an inclusive and respectful society in which all people and communities
live in safety and security, where individual and collective rights are
supported, and where disputes are resolved fairly and swiftly.
The Justice Strategy is explicitly based on evidence and follows an outcomesdriven and user-focused approach that has been shaped by our analysis. We have
developed a Justice Dashboard to provide an overview of progress towards
improving justice outcomes. The dashboard displays information on selected highlevel measures for each of the eight justice outcomes.
The Justice Strategy for Scotland
We seek to deploy our analytical resources in a flexible, innovative and cost-effective
way to provide timely, fit-for-purpose, quality-assured analysis.
Justice Analytical Services consists of two cross-professional units and a business
management support team.
Justice Analytical Unit
The Justice Analytical Unit provides analytical advice and support in the areas of
both criminal and civil justice, working with a range of key stakeholders to develop a
shared understanding of available evidence and to maximise the use and impact of
this evidence across the justice system. This work includes the publication of key
statistical data on both criminal and civil justice issues. The current work of the Unit
has a particular focus on community justice redesign, penal policy, domestic abuse,
business volumes, and advising on the impact and value for money of interventions
for offenders, both in prisons and in the community. The unit also provides economic
support across both the Justice and Safer Communities Directorates.
Safer Communities Analytical Unit
The Safer Communities Analytical Unit is a multi-professional unit that provides
evidence, analysis and advice to the Safer Communities Directorate. It also works
closely with the a range of external stakeholders, including Police Scotland, the
Scottish Police Authority, and the Scottish Fire and Rescue Service, to develop a
shared understanding and promote use of the available evidence. Policy areas
covered by the work of the unit, include policing, fire and rescue, organised crime
and counter terrorism, resilience, community safety, illicit drugs use and recovery.
Significant themes in the unit’s current work are: police and fire reform; and
enhancing the evidence-base on drug misuse and treatment, serious and organised
crime and violence. The unit also produces a range of regular statistics publications,
and is responsible for the management, analysis and dissemination of the Scottish
Crime and Justice Survey (SCJS).
Our Work in Review – Key Achievements from the 2014-15 Analytical Programme
Over the past year JAS has supported key Ministerial priorities by delivering analysis and evidence into the heart of policy making
and debate, improving our understanding and measurement of justice outcomes and the justice system and working with
stakeholders and external experts to make significant progress in expanding and enhancing the evidence base around a number of
priority issues. Selected highlights from last year’s programme include:
Provided a strong
analytical platform for
Ministerial priorities
and events
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Improved our
understanding of
justice system and
justice outcomes
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Delivered key
messages and insights
into the policy process
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Pioneered new
approaches and
innovative analysis
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presented evidence and insights to frame, inform and challenge the female penal policy debate
including the consultation on the custodial estate for women
delivered and synthesised the results of 3 new studies to provide Ministers and others with a fresh
and reliable account of sectarianism
estimated the social and economic costs of crime and the costs of the criminal justice system
in Scotland to help policy makers and justice partners understand the costs of decision making
published robust data on a range of national indicators and justice outcomes including police
recorded crime and reconviction rates
reported on the 2013/14 Scottish Crime and Justice Survey (SCJS), providing key insights on
drugs use, partner abuse and sexual victimisation and completed fieldwork for 2014/15 survey
explored current knowledge on the scale and associated harms of new psychoactive
substances in Scotland with a view to improving the evidence base
produced an evidence review of what works to reduce crime to support strategic thinking and
highlight key messages for the Building Safer Communities programme; updated an evidence
review of what works to reduce reoffending and delivered evaluations to inform community justice
redesign and reducing reoffending policy
developed driver diagrams for e.g. problem drug use, Reducing Reoffending, Building Safer
Communities to ensure policy is focused on key priorities and actions
designed and disseminated innovative evidence-based, outcomes-focussed ‘5-step approach to
evaluation’ which has proved extremely popular with practitioners aiming to promote behaviour
change e.g. around reducing reoffending
To access our published evidence and analysis visit the
Scottish Government website: www.gov.scot
To access our statistical publications visit
www.gov.scot/Topics/Statistics/Browse/Crime-Justice
To access our research publications visit
www.gov.scot/Topics/Research/by-topic/crime-andjustice/publications
Follow us on Twitter @SGJusticeAnalys for updates and
information including photos and videos including:
One in 36 homes in Scotland received a Home Fire Safety
Visit in 2013-14 –#firesafety stats
The number of offences involving firearms in Scotland
between 1980 to March 2014 #FirearmsScotland
Our Forward Work Plan – Analytical Programme Priorities for 2015-2016
The work of the division covers both an agreed forward programme of analytical priorities and routine analytical work. Analytical
planning to develop a programme for 2015/16 followed a process of engagement with policy colleagues designed to closely align
our analysis with key priorities and the delivery of justice outcomes. Key priorities for 2015-16 include:
Improve our
understanding of
justice system and
justice outcomes
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Undertake crosscutting analysis to
understand and
inform the bigger
picture
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Deliver, assure and
improve key data;
build analytical
capacity
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Support and deliver
measurement and
evaluation
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clearly present key messages on progress towards justice outcomes using new approaches to
promote effective communication
model the system-wide impacts of decisions taken by justice partners to inform future decisionmaking across the system as a whole
feed in evidence to support and frame approach to justice change programmes e.g. Building Safer
Communities, Reducing Reoffending
gather and communicate evidence from multiple sources and perspectives to strengthen policy and
shape strategy e.g. on penal policy, domestic abuse, sex work, serious and organised crime, new
psychoactive substances
collaborative strategic analysis with our partners to develop a better quality, consistent evidence base
e.g. working with Police Scotland to analyse data on violence and sexual offences and on scale
and nature of organised crime
cross-cutting data analysis e.g. on long-term changes in sentencing practice
deliver new evidence in priority areas e.g. drugs, sectarianism and OBFTC Act
deliver analysis and improve dissemination of 2014/15 data from flagship Scottish Crime and
Justice Survey, and procure future survey
assure the quality of collation, collection and reporting of key national and official statistics
help build analytical capacity and capability of justice partners to develop their own data
first year of the programme of police and fire reform evaluation
support approaches to evaluation and measurement including dissemination of the ‘what works’
evidence base and the ‘5-step approach’ to evaluation
research on user experience of the tribunal system as part of wider focus on improving measurement
and understanding quality of justice services for users
Scottish Crime and Justice Survey (SCJS)
.
A key area of work for Justice Analytical Services is the
flagship Scottish Crime and Justice Survey (SCJS).
The SCJS is a large-scale social survey which asks people
about their experiences and perceptions of crime in Scotland,
including crimes that haven’t been reported to, or recorded by
the police. The survey is important as it not only provides a
picture of crime in Scotland, but also examines trends, over
time, in the number and nature of crimes in Scotland,
assesses varying risks and characteristics of crime for
different groups of adults in the population, and allows the
exploration of sensitive issues such as partner abuse and
drug use.
An important role of the SCJS is to provide an alternative and
complementary measure of crime to the police recorded crime
statistics, which provide statistics on crimes and offences
recorded and cleared up by the police in Scotland. The
findings from the SCJS are used by policy makers across the
public sector in Scotland to help understand the nature of
crime in Scotland, target resources and monitor the impact of
initiatives to target crime
JAS Analytical Programme for 2015-16
This section sets out more detail on our planned projects for the coming year and was approved by the Cabinet Secretary for
Justice in June 2015. The list of projects is organised by policy areas and includes cross-cutting projects. While some of the
projects are new topic areas or introduce new methodologies to existing evidence issues, others are continuations of existing
programmes. We also undertake routine work in addition to this programme including answering Parliamentary Questions (PQs)
and Freedom of Information requests.
Cross-cutting
Title
Detail of Proposed Analysis
Lead Person
Scottish Crime and Justice
Survey (SCJS) - Project
Management & Work Plan
Deliver 2014/15 fieldwork analysis and reports to ensure continuation of SCJS series. Continuous
improvement. Develop required amendments to SCJS. Improved dissemination of survey results. Review
and consider publication of additional information on SCJS trends. Re-procure new survey. Questionnaire
review, including consideration of fraud and cyber crime.
Neil Grant
SCJS - 2014/15 –
Main Findings report
Production and publishing of SCJS main findings 2014/15, on crime, victimisation etc. Early preparatory
work to set up report templates based on previous years and plan addition and updates, including on
making comparisons to Police Recorded Crime.
Trish BradyCampbell
SCJS - 2014/15 –
Production and publishing of module report which identifies the extent of partner abuse.
Partner Abuse report
SCJS - 2014/15 –
Production and publishing of module report looking at the extent of sexual victimisation and stalking
Sexual Victimisation report among adults in Scotland.
Trish BradyCampbell
Trish BradyCampbell
SCJS - 2014/15 –
Drug Use report
Production and publishing of report the extent of self-reported illicit drug use ever, in the last year and in
Trish Bradythe last month and examines the experience of first drug use and drug use in the last month by adults aged Campbell
16 or over.
SCJS Questionnaire
Consultation
Development of SCJS questionnaire (following on from 2014-15 review) through internal and external
consultation.
Trish BradyCampbell
SCJS - 2012/13 –
Microdata Release (SDC)
Costs of the Criminal
Justice System
Publication of the SCJS 2012/13 microdata via the UK Data Service.
Alex Reid
Publication of updated figures on the costs of the criminal justice system in relation to i) expenditure of
criminal justice agencies, ii) unit costs of case stages for courts, prosecution and legal aid, and iii)
community disposals.
Michael
O’Neill
Economic and social costs
of crime
Finalise initial estimates of the economic and social costs of crime, and publish figures and explanation of
methodology.
Michael
O’Neill
Criminal justice system
modelling
Consider the optimal strategy for future modelling of the criminal justice system, and apply in the context
of work on likely future business volumes and costs.
Michael
O’Neill
Rape in Scotland
Work with Police Scotland on the analysis and reporting of data on rape.
Katherine
Myant
Domestic abuse analysis
Analysis of trends in domestic abuse and impacts on criminal justice system, and synthesis of available
research evidence and coordination of an academic event on ‘what works’.
Debbie
Headrick
Domestic abuse recorded
by the police 2013-14
Annual data collection, quality assurance and publication of statistical bulletin - for 2013-14. Explore
feasibility of publishing 2-years- worth of data.
Alan Sloan
Analysis of trends in young
people offending
Update previous analyses of youth offending and produce briefing paper, explore data sources and
potential for data linkage.
Jenny
Leishman
Criminal Proceedings in
Scotland 2014-15
Analyse data relating to 2014-15. Seek to improve structure and commentary, identifying other
improvements in data collection, processing and quality assurance where time permits.
Gilly Diggins
Extending provision of bail
data
Review the availability of data relating to bail and with a view to extending the data on the conditions
attached to bail, the reasons behind bail decisions and factors in breach of bail. The project would involve
establishing whether and how data on, for example, bail decisions is collected.
Gilly Diggins
Linking offender data from
the Criminal History
System (CHS) to the
"spine" via the data
linkage service
Update methods of
publication 2013-14 in
Safer Communities
Analytical Unit
Racist incidents in
Scotland 2013-14
Explore the feasibility of including offender characteristics from the CHS within the population spine potentially focusing on linking offender data with the SLS. Joint project with Administrative Data Research
Centre
Phillipa
Haxton
Consideration of the benefits of updating methods of publication of statistics relating to the seven main
data collections within SCAU. Relevant factors include changes to the format/content of publications,
dissemination of material via web tables, level of geographical presentation of statistics etc.
David Smith
Annual data collection, quality assurance and publication of statistical bulletin (Official Statistics).
Potentially developed into Hate Crime publication and publishing 2 years-worth of data
Alan Sloan
Recorded Crime in
Scotland 2014-15
Publication on police recorded crime in Scotland. Annual publication which provides a measure of the
volume of crime with which the police are faced.
David Smith
Homicide in Scotland
2014-15
Annual data collection, quality assurance and production of a statistical bulletin.
Alasdair Greig
Hate crime - data
collection and publication
Scoping out the setting up of a new data collection on hate crime, quality assurance and publication of a
Alan Sloan
statistical bulletin. Would involve detailed discussions with a range of stakeholders including PSoS, SPA and
COPFS as well as internal SG colleagues.
Recorded Crimes and
Offences involving
Firearms 2013-14
Annual data collection, quality assurance and publication of statistical bulletin.
Alasdair Greig
Scottish Crime Recording
Board
Chairing the Scottish Crime Recording Board.
David Smith /
Euan Dick
Scottish Centre for Crime
and Justice Research
Financial support for SCCJR and staff input on business planning, monitoring, ticketing system, and
management meetings.
Debbie
Headrick
Communications project
A strategy to improve our communication of evidence analysis to external and internal audiences. Last
year we introduced a number of new communication methods, tools and channels to the Division (e.g.
infographics, social media). This year, the main priority is to further embed these and to encourage those
within the Division to start using them and improving communication of analysis. A second priority is to
improve skills around developing narratives or stories around analysis.
Katherine
Myant
IT infrastructure
Current focus on re-engineering prison statistical system, with plan to appraising/re-engineering criminal
proceedings statistical system. Longer term aspiration to enhance access to and use of justice data through
improved IT infrastructure and support.
Elizabeth
Fraser
Admin data peer
collaboration network
Chairing peer collaboration network to improve quality and transparency of admin data based statistics.
Elizabeth
Fraser
JAS monthly brief
Monthly synthesis of topical justice information
Alan Fleming
Justice dashboard
Maintaining justice dashboard
Alan Fleming
Scottish Index of Multiple
Deprivation - development
of a crime domain
Request individual level crime data (for selected crime codes) from Police Scotland. Develop data sharing
agreement. Working with OCSP, quality assure data submitted by Police Scotland.
David Smith
Civil Law and Legal System
Title
Detail of Proposed Analysis
Lead Person
Civil Law Statistics in
Scotland bulletin 2013-14
To publish an improved bulletin on civil issues across Scotland.
Alasdair Anthony
Civil Justice Statistics 2014 onwards
Establish a way forward for the production and publishing of civil justice statistics
Alasdair Anthony
Civil stats: Data
development and
improvement project
Family Justice Strategy
evidence base
Improvement, development and extension of data and statistics on civil law court cases. Includes
assessment of data on children, ancillary craves and length of time taken for cases.
Alasdair Anthony
Review evidence base for Family Justice Strategy.
Debbie Headrick
Divorce and dissolution
statistics publication
Production and publication of divorce and dissolution statistics. Implementation of changes following
same-sex marriage Act.
Eddie Chan
Court Reform Bill:
measuring success
Development and sign off of indicators; development of measures for success; baseline data review;
recommendations; design and implementation of pilots.
Debbie Headrick
Taylor Bill
Advice on Taylor Bill
Debbie Headrick
User experience of
tribunals
To commission a mixed-methods study of users' views of the tribunals system.
Debbie Headrick
Costs of Administrative
Justice
To assist Audit Scotland in developing costing methodology and case study for helping Local Authorities
cost administrative justice activates in order to help them understand and reduce costs across the whole
system including that to the justice system itself.
Michael O’Neill
Community Justice
Title
Detail of Proposed Analysis
Lead Person
SPS performance
management support
Refinement of logic models based on the new vision of SPS, which could be used to develop a more
meaningful performance management system. Includes logic modelling of "purposeful activity" and
helping to develop prisons surveys.
Catherine Bisset
Reducing Reoffending
Programme 2 (RRP2) funding
RRP2 - Support for
Throughcare and Services
project
Assisting with revising formula for distributing CJA funds including providing the necessary statistics.
Michael O’Neill
Support Ministerial group and any follow-up work
Catherine Bisset
RRP2 - Performance
Management
Analytical support for the Performance Management project within RRP2. To include logic modelling,
development of outcome framework, metrics, and governance issues.
Peter Conlong
RRP2 - Women offenders
Participation in project board and any associated work, and input to future custodial estate for women.
Catherine Bisset
Reducing Reoffending
Change Fund Analytical
Support
Reconviction Rate
Statistics, 2013-14 cohort
Ongoing support including management of years 2-3 evaluation, plus support to develop and implement a
monitoring framework. 2015-16, oversight of a contractor in the Robertson Trust to continue the
evaluation.
Produce statistical publication of reconvictions of offenders discharged from custody or given noncustodial sentences in 2013-14, Scotland
Sacha Rawlence
Development of
Review of potential methodology to allow robust comparisons of reconviction outcomes for different
reconviction rate matching groups of offenders (e.g. matched pairs, propensity score matching etc), and testing of methodology in the
methodology
context of community sentences vs short prison sentences.
Andrew Morgan
Andrew Morgan
Criminal Justice Social
Work Statistics, 2014-15
The publication of Criminal Justice Social Work Statistics at a national level derived from Local Authority
Social Work management information systems
Alan Fleming
Review of criminal justice
social work statistics
Dependent on progress in policy area, review throughcare data. Also review CPO and DTTO collections in
time for 2014-15 data collection.
Alan Fleming
Improvement project on
use of remand and short
sentences
Community Justice division is developing a range of potential options to reduce the number of prison
receptions. This will require further analysis of the impact of various options such as increasing the
presumption against short sentences, extending the use of electronic monitoring, increasing the use of
supervised bail, etc.
Peter Conlong
Research on unit costs of
CJSW services
Commissioning and management of external work on the unit costs of delivering community justice
disposals/services.
Michael O’Neill
Evaluation strategy for
community justice
interventions
To provide leadership and support on evaluation strategies for CJ interventions, including drawing up
guidance, providing ad hoc support, clarifying issues around statistical significance and control groups, and
to ensure a clear line of sight to performance management frameworks.
Catherine Bisset
Evaluation of Caledonian
System
Design, commissioning and management of an evaluation of the Caledonian system, to inform
reaccreditation decision.
Sacha Rawlence
Community Women’s
Justice Services Evaluation
Design, commissioning and management of evaluation.
Tamsyn Wilson
Redesign of the prison
statistical system
Redesign of Scottish Government prison statistical system to ensure it runs on modified IT platform.
Elizabeth Fraser
Prison statistics and
projections 2012-13
Annual update of prison statistics and 10 year population projections.
Elizabeth Fraser
Prison statistics 2013-14
Loading and cleaning 2013-14 data. Finish user guide.
Elizabeth Fraser
SG Criminal Proceedings
Database - Postcode
Outcode Analysis 2013-14
First part of post code now included in Criminal Proceedings data feed. To carry out analysis of the quality
of the information with a view to recommending how the information could possibly feed into the
Statistics site as well as be used in other areas of JAS.
Gilly Diggins
Data linkage remand and
sentencing outcomes
An update of the original pilot project using more recent data, which will include near complete S numbers
from the prisons data
Elizabeth Fraser
Reconvictions analysis
Review Group
An initial review of the reconvictions analysis programmes has raised a number of questions about the
detail of the methodology. The aim of this group will be to explore these issues in more detail to ensure
that the analysis fully reflects the current Justice system and user needs
Andrew Morgan
LS-CMI and convictions
data
Linking data from risk assessment tool to convictions data and conducting factor analysis on results in
order to identify the factors related to offending
Phillipa Haxton
Barriers to compliance evidence review
PhD intern to conduct review of evidence in this area.
Tamsyn Wilson
Logic modelling support
Internal support to other analysts, and external support to third sector organisations. Capacity-building for
self-evaluation.
Catherine Bisset
Electronic monitoring
Project management of SCCJR work on tagging.
Catherine Bisset
Reconviction rates for
CPOs
Linking unit level CPO data to reconvictions data to produce analysis for CPO requirements/order
completions etc
Andrew Morgan
Problem-solving courts
Analysis and monitoring to support the development of problem-solving courts
Tamsyn Wilson
Fiscal work orders:
evaluation
Scope JAS input to an evaluation - cover intended outputs/outcomes.
Sacha Rawlence
Criminal Justice
Title
Detail of Proposed Analysis
Lead Person
Business Volumes and
Criminal Justice
Management Information
System
Monitor business volumes, respond to Audit Scotland report and other requests, and manage the data
collection and validation of monthly data from CJOs, loading on to the CJBMIS site. Review calculation
of 26 week indicator with COPFS. Update code used to export COPFS data from SG extract,
communicate to stakeholders on update, review CJBMIS upload codes
Jenny Leishman
Justice Digital Strategy
Attendance at workshops and inputting of evidence to each workstream, esp "analytics" workstream
Peter Conlong
Evaluation of HMIP prison
monitors
Process evaluation of new arrangements, following consultation in 2014. Timescales are likely to cover
an LM workshop in June, and then commissioned evaluation for a year from September.
Sacha Rawlence
Carloway - evidence and
procedure review
Review of possible options
Debbie Headrick
Criminal Law and Licensing
Title
Detail of Proposed Analysis
Lead Person
Liquor licensing statistics
2014-15
Publication of statistics collected from local licensing boards on number of businesses licensed to sell
alcohol.
Alan Fleming
Criminal Proceedings Additional Datasets 201415
Review and recommend further developments for the additional datasets which are produced along
with the Criminal Proceedings statistical tables. Specifically around datasets for age breakdowns and
further tables on offences. To scope feasibility of publishing multi-dimensional tables related to
Criminal Proceedings data for publication on the Scottish Government website in the future.
Interrogate the Criminal Proceedings database to extract numbers of extended sentences (and
potentially other sentence types) and mainstream this within the main CP analysis.
Gilly Diggins
Special measures for
victims and witnesses
Identifying "success" for special measures; advice on monitoring systems
Debbie Headrick
Research into prostitution
Commission research via SCCJR and external contractor on evidence base on the potential impacts of
criminalising the purchase of sex.
Debbie Headrick
Inclusion of new sentence
types in Criminal
Proceedings
Gilly Diggins
Defence, Security and Cyber Resilience & Resilience
Title
Detail of Proposed Analysis
Lead
Person
Public Attitudes to
Cybercrime
Potential development of questions on an omnibus survey on public attitudes to cybercrime
Kirsty Bosley
Resilience - Risk
methodology
This potential analysis will look at the existing impact boundaries in National Risk Assessment Guidance,
review them in the light of differences in Scotland to consider the need for any new Scottish specific
boundaries.
Kirsty Bosley
Resilience - evidence base
and guidance
SCORDS have a requirement to develop ways that they can learn lessons from past national emergencies.
JAS can advise Resilience whether it would be beneficial to produce a small number of case studies for
various resilience audiences and generate a structured methodology for resilience colleagues to derive
their own learning.
Kirsty Bosley
Fire and Rescue Services
Title
Detail of Proposed Analysis
Fire Data Collection and
SG have planned a managed handover of the FRS statistics publication to SFRS. The Performance
Requirements Post Reform Committee of the Fire Board will take on a remit for to oversee fire related data and performance and JAS
will be on that group. This project will oversee the implementation of these activities
Lead Person
Kirsty Bosley
Fire and Rescue Service
Statistics Scotland 2014-15
(formerly Fire Statistics
Scotland)
This is the Scottish Statistical Bulletin that contains Fire and Rescue Services incident data for financial year Kirsty Bosley
2013-14. Work closely with the Scottish Fire and Rescue service on the production of these statistics.
Police and Fire Reform
Evaluation
Consortium led by Scottish Institute of Policing Research have been commissioned to conduct an
evaluation of police and fire reform. The contract runs for four years from Feb 2015 to Feb 2019.
Katherine Myant
Police
Title
Detail of Proposed Analysis
Lead Person
Police Officer Quarterly
Strength
Quarterly stats bulletin used to monitor 2007 and 2011 manifesto commitment.
Alex Reid
Missing Persons
Support consultation on draft missing persons strategy.
Trish BradyCampbell
Recorded Crime User
Consultation
Consult with users of the suite of recorded crime publications to: understand who the users are, what
their requirements for data are and how they would benefit from any new suggested structure/content;
guiding future strategy for how, what and when we publish, identify any improvements to the process.
Keith Paterson
Police and Fire Reform
Evaluation
Consortium led by Scottish Institute of Policing Research have been commissioned to conduct an
evaluation of police and fire reform. The contract runs for four years from Feb 2015 to Feb 2019.
Katherine Myant
Serious organised crime:
Understanding community
harm
A qualitative, ethnographic study of the operations of organised crime in one or more communities to
establish its scale and nature and its harms. This may follow on from a nationally-based omnibus survey
of public perceptions of organised crime.
Ben Cavanagh
Proceeds of crime process mapping
Process mapping of proceeds of crime processes, report writing and presentation at meetings.
Brendan Nisbet
Organised crime evidence summary
A summary of the evidence of organised crime scale and nature, its impact and how it may be reduced.
This is to support the organised crime strategy 2015.
Brendan Nisbet
Organised crime understanding SOC
legislative clauses
Research with stakeholders - could be externally contracted
Ben Cavanagh
Organised crime Performance
measurement
improvement
Meetings and follow up work with academics and policy team to advise on proposals for future
performance measurement of organised crime including recorded crime, victimisation surveys.
Ben Cavanagh
Title
Detail of Proposed Analysis
Lead Person
Firearm certificates 201415
Annual data collection, quality assurance and publication of statistical bulletin
Alasdair Greig
Prevalence estimates of
problem drug use for
2012/13
To work with ISD and academic experts to revise (using new data from Glasgow) estimates of the
prevalence of problem drug use in Scotland in 2012/13.
Fiona Fraser
Religiously aggravated
offending: Analysis of
charges under Section 74
Analysis of Section 74 data held by COPFS including data on characteristics of accused and victim, religion
targeted, location of incident and the outcome of the charges.
Neil Davidson
Offensive Behaviour at
Football - Analysis of
charges under Section 1 of
OBFTC Act
Analysis of the COPFS data on Section 1 charges. To include analysis of characteristics or accused and
victim, nature and location of offensive behaviour and outcome of charge.
Neil Davidson
Safer Communities
Offensive Behaviour at
Football - Evaluation of
Part 1 of OBFTC Act
Continuing project management of the OBFTC evaluation, being undertaken by Stirling Uni. Will be
completed in Summer 2015.
Ben Cavanagh
Threatening
Communications:
Evaluation of Part 6 of
OBFTC Act
Research on New
Psychoactive Substances
Continuing the delivery of the evaluation of part 6 of the OBFTC Act. Will be completed in Summer 2015.
Ben Cavanagh
To establish the prevalence of use, patterns of use and motivations for use of NPS amongst vulnerable
sub groups across Scotland.
Isla Wallace
Provide quality assurance
and contribute to briefing
and handling for routine
ISD publications on drug
use
Update analytical briefing
note on drugs
Provide quality assurance and contribute to the briefing and handling for routine publications, ensuring
that the key messages are brought to the attention of policy colleagues and Ministers to inform policy
making going forward.
Fiona Fraser
Update the analytical briefing note on drugs in line with new information published since the last update.
Fran Warren
Development of a Scottish
Drugs Research Agenda
To assist with setting up and running an event to establish a drug misuse research agenda for Scotland.
Agenda to be launched at ISAM conference in Autumn.
Fiona Fraser
Report of National Drug
Related Deaths Database
Provide support to ISD and policy colleagues with quality assuring the NDRDD report and contributing to
briefing. Going forward, take part in review of annual NDRDD report to ensure content relevant and best
use of ISD resources.
Fiona Fraser
Scottish Drug Misuse
Database reports
Work with ISD to ensure that the quality of the data in the SDMD is as good as possible and to improve
the structure and content of the SDMD reports. New SDMD dashboard planned for June 2015 - work
with ISD to review and consider handling.
Fiona Fraser
Sectarianism: Up-date of
evidence summary on
sectarianism in Scotland
To update the literature review 'Empirical Evidence on Sectarianism in Scotland', including new analysis
from the 2011 Census data.
Linzie Liddell
Drug seizures 2013-14
Continuation of recent data collection to meet statutory data requirements.
Alasdair Greig
Assessment of ADP
performance
measurement frameworks
Review 15 of the 30 ADP annual reports to assess the quality of their performance measurement
frameworks. Health ASD assessing the other 15.
Fiona Fraser /
Fran Warren
Evidence review: Fear of
Crime
A review of existing data and research on fear of crime, its causes and effects and how it can be
adequately measured. This is to provide context to existing work on reducing crime and why crime has
fallen.
Neil Davidson
SALSUS 2015
To provide analytical support for SALSUS 2015, commenting on draft questionnaires, reports, etc.
Fiona Fraser
Building Safer
Communities
Work on aim for the building safer communities programme and will support development of a
breakdown of measures to show progress towards that aim. We will work within the Performance
theme of the programme to determine what is being measured and delivered at local levels in the
project areas, and to establish how JAS can best support neighbourhood profiling and evaluation of
activities.
Kirsty Bosley
Violence evidence review.
Updating a previously done evidence review to provide a summary of what evidence exists on the
prevalence and nature of different types of violence in Scotland. This will support policy work, and
support engagement and funding of other organisations and projects
Linzie Liddell
Work to establish the best
means of deriving
prevalence estimates of
Problem Drug Use in
Scotland
There is debate around the best way to estimate the prevalence of problem drug use in Scotland. The
work would involve establishing a technical group to discuss and explore the various issues prior to
specifying the work for the next round of estimates, due for 2015/16.
Fiona Fraser
Research on drug misuse
and older people
Research to find out about the experience of older people misusing drugs in Scotland, what are their
needs and how suited are current services to meeting them.
Fran Warren
Driver diagram and
performance framework
for problem drug use
Work with DPU and stakeholders to develop a driver diagram on problem drug use, and a performance
measurement framework to monitor progress towards achieving outcomes over the next few years. May
involve chairing an evidence sub group to provide the data required by the Executive Group.
Fiona Fraser
UKSA Re-assessment of
Recorded Crime
Completion of the re-assessment of recorded crime.
David Smith
Analytical Support to the
National Naloxone
Advisory Group (NNAG)
Assist the NNAG with interpreting the statistics required to monitor the success of the programme and to
set targets for ADPs.
Fiona Fraser /
Fran Warren
Homicide in Scotland
Work with Police Scotland to producing a report on homicide in Scotland in 2014/15 which combines
analysis conducted by Police Scotland with context provided by JAS around trends.
Katherine Myant
Develop and agree a
definition of New
Psychoactive Substances
Improve data sharing and
capture on NPS
To work with DPU and stakeholders to agree a definition of NPS.
Isla Wallace
Work with key stakeholders to improve data capture and sharing around NPS.
Isla Wallace
What works in drug use
education?
Research is required to identify what works in terms of drug use education.
Fiona Fraser
Assess the performance
framework element of the
ADP 3 year plans
To assess the performance framework element of 15 of the ADP plans due to be submitted in June.
Health Analytical Services to assess the other 15.
Fiona Fraser /
Fran Warren
Improvement practitioner
programme
Take part in an improvement project to increase the opportunity for people in recovery to access
sustained employment.
Fiona Fraser
Series of briefing papers
on topics related to
violence
Short briefing papers on a number of topics including: potentially to include - what works to reduce
crime; location of violence; knife crime profiles and likely interventions to tackle change in profile;
alcohol and crime
Ben Cavanagh /
Linzie Liddell
What works to reduce
prejudice?
PhD internship. 'Review of international evidence of prejudice reduction programmes.
Linzie Liddell
Static demonstrations understanding their risks
and policing needs
Potential exploratory research on static demonstrations. This might have a possible link to international
evidence about what other EU countries do to handle static demonstrations.
Neil Davidson
ANNEX – ORGANISATION CHART FOR JULY 2015
JUSTICE ANALYTICAL SERVICES
External number is 0131 -244 (ext no)
Nicola Edge
Head of Justice ASD
Ext 44501
Business Support Team
B2 - Elaine Brown, Business Manager
40882
B1(TRS) – Willie Hunter, Administration 40874
A3 - Emma Petrie, PA
47100
Safer Communities Analytical Unit
C2 - Euan Dick Ext 47408
Head of Safer Communities
Justice Analytical Unit
C2 - Peter Conlong, Ext 47542
Senior Economist
Safer Communities Analytical Unit
Community Safety, Knives/violence, Reducing Crime, Drugs/Alcohol, Fire/Resilience, Crime Stats, Sectarianism,
Police Organisation, Organised Crime, Defence Research, SCJS
C2 Sandy Stewart, Senior Statistician
C1 Kirsty Bosley, Analyst &OR
C1 Fiona Fraser, Researcher
C1 Ben Cavanagh, Researcher
C1 David Smith, Statistician
C1 Neil Grant, Statistician
C1 Katherine Myant, Researcher
B3 Linzie Liddell, Researcher
B3 Fran Warren, Researcher
B3 Alan Sloan, Statistician
BFS Trish Brady Campbell, Researcher
BFS Brendan Nisbet, Researcher
B3 Isla Wallace, Senior Research Officer
B2 Neil Davidson, Researcher
B2 Alastair Greig, Statistician
B1 Alex Reid, Statistician
B1 Keith Paterson, Statistician
Police Scotland data
Fire and Resilience
Drugs and Safer Communities
Community Safety
Crime Statistics
Police Reform
Police & Fire Reform
Safer Communities/Organised Crime
Drugs and Safer Communities
Crime Statistics
Scottish Crime and Justice Survey
Police
Drugs Misuse Analysis
Safer Communities
Scottish Crime and Justice Survey
Police Strength and Performance
Crime Statistics
42825
47447
41626
41602
42402
46176
44085
44729
42541
45459
46598
43512
44648
44949
43707
43649
45241
Justice Analytical Unit
MJW, Criminal Proceedings, Victims & Witnesses, Civil Stats, Civil Research/Access to Justice, Reassuring the
Public, SCCJR-lead, Reoffending/RRP II, Sex Offending, Offender Management, Sentencing Policy, Reconviction
Analysis, CJSW, Prison Population, Law Reform
C1 Phillipa Haxton, Statistician
C1 Debbie Headrick, Researcher
C1 Catherine Bisset, Researcher
C1 Elizabeth Fraser, Statistician
C1 Michael O’Neill, Economist
Criminal Justice Analysis
Civil Justice
Offender Management & Rehabilitation
Prisons Analysis
Economic Analysis
C1 Jenny Leishman, Statistician
Youth Justice
B3 Alan Fleming, Statistician
Community Sentencing
B3 Tamsyn Wilson, Researcher
Reducing Reoffending
B3 Gilly Diggins, Statistician
Criminal Justice Analysis
B3 Alasdair Anthony, Statistician
Civil Justice /Access to Justice
B3 Sacha Rawlence, Researcher
Sentencing
B2 Eddie Chan, Statistician
Civil Justice/Access to Justice
B2 Eileen Rospendowski, Data manager Prisons Data
B2 Andrew Morgan, Statistician
Reconviction Analysis
B2 Peter Malek
Statistical Administrator
A4 Liz Martin,
Statistics Support Officer
A4 Adele Walls
Statistics Support Officer
41673
44737
42983
45908
45913
44297
47768
43842
44905
44373
43675
44931
40085
42595
42927
42931
45428