2 (n 1) s 2 02 Hypothesis Test, Standard Deviation (Section 9.5) After enactment of new financial laws, financial economists are curious if the laws have changed the risk of the stock market. Risk is commonly measured by the standard deviation. Assume stock returns are normally distributed (not a proper assumption) and independent. Prior to the passage of the new laws, the standard deviation of stocks were .27. After the passage of the laws, a sample of 20 returns were tracked. The sample standard deviation was .24. Has the standard deviation changed? State the null hypothesis State the alternative hypothesis Is this a one tail or two tail? If one tail, which? Which distribution is being used? Assume α = .05. What are the critical values? 2 (n 1) s 2 02 What is the value of the test statistic? What conclusion do you draw? Example 2 Do the above test again, but this time test whether stocks have become less risky Example 3 of Testing Standard Deviation A new corn hybrid is created. The old corn crop had a mean of 23 grams and standard deviation of .2 grams. A sample of 10 ears of corn are weighed. Conduct a hypothesis test to determine if the variation in weight has changed. Weight of sample: 24.36, 23.54, 24.18, 24.06, 23.74, 23.92, 24.06, 24.72, 24.56, 23.70. A company does a marketing study by selling a product at 10 different stores at 10 different prices. Plot the above data below. Find the Least Squares Regression Line: Qty = a + b Price Draw the Least Square Regression Line on the graph below State r, R2, and calculate the Predicted Qty and the Residual Interpret b1, Y intercept, X intercept If the price rises by $2, predict what happens to sales If the company set a price of $10.75, what would be the predicted sales? If the company wants to sell 275 goods, what price should they charge? Store 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Price (X) $7 9.50 8 11.5 10 10.5 11 9 7.5 8.5 Qty Sold (Y) 335 248 291 195 255 237 229 294 302 277 Pred Qty Resid Demand 360 340 Quantity Sold 320 300 280 260 240 220 200 6 7 8 9 Price 10 11 12 Review, Confidence Interval and Hypothesis Test A sample of how much people watch TV was conducted. The numbers represent the number of hours the person watched per day. Data Set: 2, 4.5, 7, 1, 2.5, 4, 2, 2.5, 3, 3.5, 2.5, 5.5, 0 a. What must be true to draw inferences from the data? Test this with a modified box plot. b. Construct a 95% confidence interval for the population mean. c. What is the margin of error? d. What does it mean that you are 95% confident in that interval? Conduct a hypothesis test to see if people watch less than 4.5 hours of TV per day. Level of significance is .05 e. State the null and alternative hypothesis f. Using the critical value method, what is/are the critical value(s), and which distribution is being used? g. Using the critical value method, what is the result (statistically) of the hypothesis test and why? h. Draw a diagram to represent the previous test. i. Using the P-value method, what is the result (statistically) of the hypothesis test and why? j. State, in English, the result of the hypothesis test.