Elementary Probability & Statistics Practice Exam #3 (10 points) 1. Thirty five randomly selected students took the statistics final. If the sample mean was 80 and the population standard deviation was 12, construct the 97% confidence interval for the mean score of all students. Assume that the population has a normal distribution. Be sure to interpret your result and show your graph. n(number of sample) x s or (Circle one) Degree of Confidence Critical Value (z/2or t/2) 35 80 12 97% 2.17 (Circle one) Margin of Error (E) E 2.17 12 4.4 35 Confidence Interval Interpretation of confidence interval. 75.6< <84.4 We are 97% confident that interval from 75.6 to 84.4 actually does contain true value Graph 1 2. The amounts (in ounces) of juice in eight randomly selected juice bottles are 14.1 15.1 14.6 15.2 14.7 15.5 14.8 15.3 Find a 90% confidence interval for the population standard deviation σ. Assume that the population has a normal distribution. Be sure to interpret your result and show your graph. n(number of sample) 8 x 14.91 s or (Circle one) 0.45 Degree of Confidence 90% Degree of Freedom (if required) 7 Critical Values (2L and 2R) L2 2.167, R2 14.067 Confidence Interval 0.317 0.809 Interpretation of confidence interval. We are 90% confident that the interval from 0.317 to 0.809 does actually contain true value Graph 2 3. Scores on a certain test are normally distributed with a variance of 82. A researcher wishes to estimate the mean score achieved by all adults on the test. Find the sample size needed to assure with 98% confidence that the sample mean will not differ from the population mean by more than two units. 2 (2.33)(9.06) n 112 2 4. A random sample of 100 babies is obtained, and the mean head circumference is found to be 40.6 cm. Assuming that the population standard deviation is known to be 1.6 cm, use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that the mean head circumference of all two-month-old babies is equal to 40 cm. Use P value method. Original claim: 40 Competing idea: 40 Null hypothesis ( H 0 ): 40 Alternative hypothesis ( H 1 ): 40 Which tail test? Two tail test Significance Level ( ) :0.05 Critical value(s) (if required): z 1.96,1.96 Test Statistic: z t .s. 40.6 40 3.75 1. 6 100 P value : 2( p( z 3.75) 21 p( z 3.75)] 0.0002 Graph: Final Conclusion in terms of null hypothesis ( H 0 ): Reject H 0 Final Conclusion in terms of original claim: There is sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that 40 . 3 5. The Regional Transit claims that the average wait time is no more than 17 minutes in any particular route. You survey 100 randomly selected passengers and find that they waited an average of 18.4 minutes, with standard deviation 4.6 minutes. At the 0.01 level of significance, what if anything could you conclude? Use traditional method. Original claim: 17 Competing idea: 17 Null hypothesis ( H 0 ): 17 Alternative hypothesis ( H 1 ): 17 Significance Level ( ) : 0.01 Critical value(s): t 2.364 Right tail test Test Statistic: t t .s. 18.4 17 3.06 4 .6 100 Graph: Final Conclusion in terms of null hypothesis: Reject null hypothesis H 0 Final Conclusion in terms of original claim: There is sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that the average wait time is no more than 17 minutes in a particular route. 4