DECOLOGUE OF THE ENERGY REFORM IN MEXICO Ontier México July 16, 2014 The Energy reform in Mexico represents a historic transition in the outline of Mexican economic development and presents a unique investment and business opportunity. With an unprecedented constitutional reform, the projects of the secondary legislation, which will deepen the transformation of the energy sector in Mexico, find themselves close to enactment with full force. Through this article, and pending the confirmation of the details and definitive wording of the secondary laws, we will summarize the key points of such a controversial and expected reform. ______________________________________________________________ 1.- Will there be an opening in the sector? The Mexican nation will keep ownership of the hydrocarbons in the subsoil, however after the modification of articles 25, 26 and 27 of the Constitution and through the enactment of nine new laws and the modification of twelve existing laws, free competition between the State and private companies, both Mexican and foreign, will be permitted in the following activities of the energy sector: exploration and production, transformation, logistics and electricity. Commission on Economic Competition will assure that a concentration of power in the market is never created. …................................................................................ 2.- What is the aim of the energy reform? Much has been talked about the benefits that could be generated for Mexico and its economy with this energy reform, the most relevant are summarized in the following points: According to the message of President Peña Nieto, energy reform will allow Mexico to grow more rapidly and for its economy to become more competitive on an international level, generating thousands of new jobs, lowering the cost of energy and creating bases for economic development for the country. The reform has a spirit of openness expressing that both Mexican companies (“Pemex”) and the Federal Electrical Commission (“CFE”), shall compete with private companies. The Federal Strengthen the competitiveness between the generators of energy, speed up the strengthening of the transmission networks, improve the quality in supply and distribution and to widen options for the final consumer in order to satisfy their consumption at more competitive prices. Provide Mexico with a modern legal framework that will strengthen the oil industry. Reduce the price of light and the price of gas. EL PRIMER DESPACHO GLOBAL CON ALMA LOCAL BOLIVIA • BRAZIL • COLOMBIA • CHINA • MEXICO • PANAMA • PARAGUAY • PERU • PORTUGAL • SPAIN • UK • USA • VENEZUELA www.ontier.net Utilize in a more efficient manner and in larger quantities the natural resources of the nation. Create new opportunities for the private sector so it can participate in a more active manner in the electricity sector. Promote transparency and competitiveness in the electricity sector, allowing greater competition in the generation and access to the network. Promote sustained development of clean energy through minimal fees or green certificates. Strengthen programs for expansion of transmission and distribution, facilitating the interconnection of renewable capacities and reducing power losses in distribution networks. ................................................................................. 3.- Who is who in the energy reform? a) b) c) d) e) f) g) Ministry of Energy (“Sener”): defines the technical guidelines of contracts. Ministry of Finance (“SHCP”): sets economic classifications and taxation. National Commission on Hydrocarbons (“CNH”): proposes calls for bids, assigns and administers contracts. Mexican Petroleum Fund (“FMP”): this trust created by the Bank of Mexico will make the payments of contracts and manage oil revenues, except those that apply to the Ministry of Finance. National Commission on Hydrocarbons (“CNH”) and the Regulatory Commission on Energy (“CRE”): regulatory entities with technical, administrative and budgetary autonomy. National Center of Energy Control (“CENACE”): responsible for the operational control of the electrical system, the operation of the wholesale market and the management of access to the national network. State Production Companies: Pemex and CFE. Additionally, it calls for the creation of the National Agency of Industrial Security and Environmental Protection of the Hydrocarbon Sector, which will establish specialized technical criteria that seeks greater protection for the environment. ................................................................................. 4.- What are Companies? the State Production Pemex and CFE shall cease to be decentralized organizations and will become State Production Companies, taking budgetary, technical and managerial autonomy and a new tax regime to higher profitability and will have the ability to freely determine worker wages. These Production Companies must also comply with state laws pertaining to the Mexican stock market, which will mean greater control, transparency and reporting requirements for these entities. The reform has a spirit of openness, it will cause both CFE and Pemex to compete with other companies. Therefore, they will not need the approval of the Ministry of Finance to make or modify their budget, provided they meet a debt and spending limit previously set by Congress. ................................................................................. 5.- Will this reform affect clean energies? To comply with the constitutional mandate of sustainability in an electricity industry that seeks to achieve the national goals of generating clean energy efficiently and at the lowest cost to the country, the Electricity Industry Law project creates a set of obligations on large consumers of energy called "Qualified Users" and utility companies to purchase clean energy certificates. This mechanism requires companies to support the national commitment to clean power generation, distributing costs among the participants of the electricity industry. Companies generating energy must: (i) formalize corresponding interconnection contracts as mandated by the CRE, (ii) operate their electrical centers as instructed by the National Center for Energy Control (“CENACE”), (iii) secure the maintenance of their electrical centers through the coordination and instruction of CENACE and (iv) notify such body of the programmed withdrawal of their electrical centers. This mechanism of certificates allows different technologies to compete efficiently with one EL PRIMER DESPACHO GLOBAL CON ALMA LOCAL BOLIVIA • BRAZIL • COLOMBIA • CHINA • MEXICO • PANAMA • PARAGUAY • PERU • PORTUGAL • SPAIN • UK • USA • VENEZUELA www.ontier.net another and allow generators of clean energy sources to interconnect without the delays or cost overruns that currently exist. In this way, it will allow the improvement of infrastructure to draw energy from zones with high renewable potential. ................................................................................. Production Company with at least 20% of the projects investment. b) 6.- What will be new in hydrocarbons? The basic premise of the proposed Hydrocarbons Law is that hydrocarbons remain the property of the nation, however, Mexico will allow the concurrence of private investment to explore and exploit new oil reserves / or natural gas, which requires implementing regulations that provide the legal certainty and security that the private sector needs. Depending on the type of activity performed, we can distinguish between: a) Exploration and extraction activities ("Upstream") exploration and extraction activities are strategic, but the private sector can participate individually or in association with Pemex, through bids or concessions. The Mexican State through the so-called "Round Zero," will assign in favor of State Production Companies the rights to carry out exploration and mining activities. After Round Zero, the state will start with the new bidding process, in which individuals can participate for such activities primarily through contracts with the National Hydrocarbons Commission, bids and partnerships with the state. To perform superficial discovery and exploration activities, previous authorization is required from the National Commission on Hydrocarbons and only societies created and constituted according to Mexican laws will be considered as contractors able to perform activities of exploration and extraction. As an exception, foreign investment will be allowed in services supporting the exploration and extraction of hydrocarbons. Exploration and extraction contracts over cross-border reservoirs require the obligatory participation of Pemex or another State Other activities ("Midstream and Downstream"): Mexican midstream and downstream sectors of oil and hydrocarbons are open for private participation, but that participation is subject to obtaining a permit from the competent authority. Permits for treatment activities and petroleum refining, natural gas processing, import / export of oil, LP Gas, petroleum products and petrochemicals, as well as for the transport and storage of LP Gas out of pipelines, will be awarded by the Ministry of Energy ("Sener"). Permits for the transportation, storage, distribution, compression, liquefaction, compression, regasification and sale to the public of hydrocarbons, petroleum and petrochemicals, as well as for storage and transportation of Gas LP through pipelines shall be awarded by the Regulatory Commission of Energy (“CRE”). ................................................................................. 7.- What about electricity? Despite the changes proposed by the Electrical Industry Law project, public service transmission and distribution will continue to be provided by the CFE, remaining as strategic areas planning and control of the National Electric System ("SEN") and the transmission and distribution of electric energy, opening participation for third parties in the other activities of the electricity industry, such as generation and marketing. The CFE will continue to supply electricity to small and medium business users and industrial and residential users. Meanwhile, large consumers, known as Qualified Users may contract their supply directly from a new electricity market operated by the CENACE, which will receive bids from generators and the demand from users. Therefore: (i) energy prices will be freely negotiated between generators, marketers and Qualified Users, (ii) the Ministry of Finance and Public Credit (“SHCP”) will retain the power to set rates for the users of basic services and (iii) the CRE will regulate rates for transmission and EL PRIMER DESPACHO GLOBAL CON ALMA LOCAL BOLIVIA • BRAZIL • COLOMBIA • CHINA • MEXICO • PANAMA • PARAGUAY • PERU • PORTUGAL • SPAIN • UK • USA • VENEZUELA www.ontier.net distribution. The objective of the electricity market is to make it easier for generators to find buyers for its energy and to create a more efficient management of distribution networks. In said market, transactions will be conducted for the sale of: (i) electrical energy, (ii) connection services included in the electricity market; (iii) products that ensure the adequacy of resources to meet electricity demand via imports or exports, (iv) financial transmission rights, (v) clean energy certificates, or, if applicable, certificates of contaminant emissions (vi) other products, rights to charge and penalties that are required for the efficient operation of the National Electricity System. Furthermore, generators con make long-term energy contracts with Qualified Users and in this manner set prices with anticipation. Investors may become qualified service providers and offer innovative services and prices and sell energy directly to Qualified Users and the CFE through auctions. For its part, the State may enter into contracts and partnerships for the operation of their distribution networks, allowing companies with experience and the latest technology to access, expand and improve the transmission and distribution networks in the country, which will give CFE an important tool to combat energy losses and increase the efficiency in the process of electric energy distribution. Policy, regulation and oversight of the electricity industry is mainly implemented through SENER and CRE: (i) Sener will establish the design of the initial market, will be responsible for planning the electrical system and will have supervisory powers; For its part, (ii) the CRE will regulate rates for segments outside the electricity market, will regulate the system reliability and oversee the continued development of market rules. Finally, we believe it is important to point out that the proposed law calls for a Universal Electric Fund as a financing vehicle for the electrification of rural communities and marginalized urban zones. ................................................................................. 8.- What will happen with gasoline and diesel? The Energy reform states that the exploitation, exploration, processing, distribution and storage of hydrocarbons will open to the market as soon as the remaining secondary legislation is approved by the Mexican Congress, however, the opening of gasoline commercialization will be gradual over the next three years. During this period, Pemex will be the sole authority for the marketing of hydrocarbons. Below is an outline on the various stages of this opening process: In 2014 prices will be determined in accordance to the existing legal provisions in force. After January 1, 2015 and at maximum, until December 31, 2017 the regulation on maximum public price on gasoline and diesel will be established by the Federal Executive, taking into consideration the expected inflation of the economy. After January 1, 2018 prices will be determined under market conditions. Until December 31, 2016 only Pemex and its subsidiaries are allowed to import gas and diesel. Starting January 1, 2017 or before if the market conditions allow it, permissions for the importation of gasoline and diesel will be given to anybody interested if he complies with the applicable laws. Permits for the sale of gasoline and diesel to the public will be given by the Regulatory Commission of Energy (CRE) starting January 2016. The duration of supply contracts subscribed by Pemex or its affiliates may not exceed December 31, 2016. At any time, if in the judgment of the Federal Commission on Economic Competition conditions of effective competition arise before the stated timeline, the referred timeline will be reduced. ................................................................................. 9.- Will corruption be reduced? The energy sector in Mexico has historically been linked with all kinds of corrupt practices, for that reason after the adoption of the energy reform, all EL PRIMER DESPACHO GLOBAL CON ALMA LOCAL BOLIVIA • BRAZIL • COLOMBIA • CHINA • MEXICO • PANAMA • PARAGUAY • PERU • PORTUGAL • SPAIN • UK • USA • VENEZUELA www.ontier.net contracts will go through a thorough public scrutiny, which may be summarized in the following sections: (i) direct appropriations are eliminated, and a procurement procedure is expected through bids, (ii) all bidding rounds will be public and transmitted in real time via the Internet, and the sessions of bids will be held in public sessions (iii) contracts will contain clauses on transparency so they can be viewed by all stakeholders, (iv) costs incurred and payments received by companies will be public, (v) the State will have to publish the report of all resources generated from the extraction of hydrocarbons (vi) discretionary decisions by a single authority will be avoided, (vii) there shall be a system of external audits to monitor the effective recovery of costs, (viii) there will be support from coordinated regulatory entities, the National Commission on Hydrocarbons and the Regulatory Commission of Energy will hold public meetings, which will involve advertising their agreements and resolutions, and (ix) every case will require that more than one commissioner meets with the interested companies and minutes of any agreement will be submitted, commissioners should refrain from participating in cases where a conflict of interest exists and shall conduct themselves in adherence to a code of ethics. ................................................................................. An increase in generation capacity of more than 55,000 MW (65% of the total) to satisfy they electricity demand for the next 15 years. An increase of 15% in the generation of non fossil fuel electricity by 2024. A 17% expansion of the electrical transmission grid over the next 10 years. 10.- What are the most important figures of this energy reform? Despite having a huge energy potential, today Mexico imports 33% of its natural gas, 50% of its gasoline, 65% of its petrochemicals, 30% of its LP Gas and 70% of its fertilizers. In accordance with public data, the energy reform is estimated to obtain the following results: The creation of 500 thousand additional jobs in 2018 and 2.5 million in 2025. A 1% increase in GDP in 2018 and 2% additional increase in 2025. The growth in the production of petroleum, from 2.5 million barrels a day in 2013 to 3 million barrels a day in 2018 and 3.5 million in 2025. A increase in the production of natural gas from 5.7 billion cubic feet daily in 2013 to 8.0 billion cubic feet daily in 2018 and 10.4 billion in 2025. EL PRIMER DESPACHO GLOBAL CON ALMA LOCAL BOLIVIA • BRAZIL • COLOMBIA • CHINA • MEXICO • PANAMA • PARAGUAY • PERU • PORTUGAL • SPAIN • UK • USA • VENEZUELA www.ontier.net