STATISTICAL INFERENCE ABOUT MEANS AND PROPORTIONS WITH TWO POPULATIONS STATISTICS IN PRACTICE The testing process in the pharmaceutical industry usually consists of three stages : 1.preclinical testing 2.testing for long-term usage and safety 3.clinical efficacy testing 10.1 ESTIMATION OF THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE MEANS OF TWO POPULATINS:INDEPENDENT SAMPLES Point Estimator of the Difference Between the Means of populations x1 x 2 (10.1) Sampling Distribution of x1 x2 Expected Distribution of E( x1 x2 ) 1 2 (10.2) x x 12 / n1 22 / n2 1 2 x1 x 2 (10.3) Interval Estimate of 1 2 :large-sample case Interval Estimate of the Difference Between the Means of Two Populations: Large-Sample Case (n1 30, n2 30) x1 x 2 z a / 2 x Point Estimator of (10.4) 1 x2 sx x 1 2 x1 x2 s12 s 22 n1 n 2 (10.5) Interval Estimate of the Difference Between the Means of Two Population: Large-Sample Case (n1 30, n2 30) With 1 and 2 Estimated by s1 and s2 x1 x2 z a / 2 s x x 1 2 (10.6) 1 2 Interval Estimate of :Small-Sample Case We begin by making the following assumption: 1.Both populations have normal distributions 2 2 2 2.The variances of the populations are equal ( 1 2 ) x x 1 2 1 1 / n1 / n2 ( ) n1 n2 (10.7) 2 1 2 2 2 2 Pooled estimator of 2 2 ( n 1 ) s ( n 1 ) s 1 2 2 s2 1 n1 n2 2 Point Estimate of sx x 1 x x 1 1 s ( ) n1 n2 1 2 When 2 2 (10.9) (10.8) 12 22 2 Interval Estimate of the Difference Between the Means of Two Populations: Small-Sample Case (n1 30 and / or n2 30) With 1 and 2Estimated by s1 and s2 x1 x 2 t a / 2 s x x 1 (10.10) 2 10.2HYPOTHESIS TESTS ABOUT THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE MEANS OF TWO POPULATIONS :INDIFFERENT SAMPLE Large-sample Case z ( x1 x 2 ) ( 1 2 ) 12 / n1 22 / n2 (10.11) Small-Sample Case t where ( x1 x 2 ) ( 1 2 ) s (1 / n1 1 / n 2 ) 2 (10.12) (n1 1) s12 (n2 1)s22 s n1 n2 2 2 10.3 INFERENCES ABOUT THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE MEANS OF TWO POPULATIONS:MATCHD SAMPLE In choosing the sampling procedure that will be used to collect production time data and test the hypotheses ,we consider two alternative designs: 1.Independent sample design 2.Matched sample design t d sd / d n (10.13) 10.4 INFERENCES ABOUT THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE PROPORTIONS OF TWO POPULATIONS Point Estimator of the difference Between the Proportions of Two Populations p1 p2 (10.14) Sampling Distribution of Expected Value: E( p1 p2 ) p1 p2 (10.15) Standard deviation: p p 1 2 p1 p2 p1 (1 p1 ) p2 (1 p2 ) n1 n2 (10.16) Interval Estimation of Point Estimator of p p 1 s p1 p2 p1 (1 p1 ) p2 (1 p2 ) n1 n2 p1 p2 2 (10.17) Interval Estimate of the Difference Between the Two Populations: Large-Sample Case With n1 p1 , n1 (1 p1 ), n2 p2 , and n2 (1 p2 ) 5 p1 p 2 z a / 2 s p p 1 (10.18) 2 Hypothesis Tests About z p p 1 2 n1 p1 n2 p2 p n1 n2 ( p1 p 2 ) ( p1 p 2 ) sp p 1 2 p(1 p)( 1 1 ) n1 n2 (10.19) (10.20) (10.21) p1 p2