An evidence informed approach to developing an adaptable regeneration programme for declining informal settlements The 8th Space Syntax Symposium Santiago de Chile January 2012 Dr. Kayvan Karimi Ed Parham Senior Lecturer - Bartlett, UCL ; Director - Space Syntax Limited Associate Director - Space Syntax Limited Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Deteriorated unplanned settlements/Slums a disturbing reality • According to UN-Habitat’s ground breaking report, The Challenge of Slums, in 2003, 924 million people, or 31.6 per cent of the world’s urban population, lived in slums or squatter settlements. • The majority of these settlements were in the developing regions, accounting for 43 per cent of the urban population (UNHABITAT, 2003).” • These figures are unfortunately in continuous rise according to internationally verified statistics (UN-HABITAT, 2006). • Due to complexities of defining a slum area, these figures don’t necessarily include the ‘slum-like’ conditions of many other deteriorated urban areas, such as historic centres, which would not automatically qualify as a slum. Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Cities in transition Forces of change Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham First modern slums Victorian UK Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Unplanned/informal settlements and slums Not always is an informal settlement a slum, or is a slum created in unplanned areas, but it is fair to say that in most cases slums happen to be informal or unplanned areas that are suffering from multiple physical or socio-economic problems. Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Regenerating urban slums a huge challenge In many developing countries, the governments that don’t have the resources, or are highly influenced by economic, social and political agendas, resort to a variety of harsh solutions to transform the slums. “urban segregation is not a frozen status quo, but rather a ceaseless social war in which the state intervenes regularly in the name of ‘progress’, ‘beautification’, and even ‘social justice for the poor’ to redraw spatial boundaries .. (Mike Davis, Planet of Slums).” . In other words, the whole effort is sometimes about eliminating the question through removing human encumberments, urban evictions, city beautification, slums de-criminalisation, and so on, rather than finding a solution to create a condition that informal settlements could self-correct themselves. Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Image: Sau Paolo - Luiz Arthur Leirão Vieira (Tuca Vieira) Physical segregation and social segregation Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Physical segregation and social segregation Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Urban Slums the vicious circle of depravation Forces of change: Rapid growth, urbanisation, changing economies, migration, poverty … Spatial conditions: Segregation, Degradation, Encroachment, densification, … Socio-economic conditions: Deprivation, Impoverishment, low income, … Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Physical transformation Force of demolition Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham The need for change physical transformation Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Slum Clearance The UK case Much of this effort was associated with slum clearance, as encouraged by the 1930 Act, which made the local authorities responsible for slum clearance and providing alternative accommodation. Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham The social approach illusion of ‘self help’ At the other end of the regeneration spectrum, it is argued that the slums have to be fixed by themselves. By helping people to help themselves, the life conditions will improve and the slums will be saved. Being much less costly, interruptive, and authority-dependent, this approach is favoured by institutions such as the World Bank, international aid agencies, NGOs and philanthropists. On the face of it, it looks like a good approach, but when it comes to the realities of the vast slums and deteriorated areas, the solutions do not seem to work. Mike Davis goes as far as calling it the ‘illusion of self-help’ and scholars such as Jeremy Seabrook, call it a misrepresentation: “it would be foolish to pass from the distortion – that the slums are places of crime, disease and despair – to the opposite; that they can be safely left to look after themselves (Seabrook, 1996, p. 197).” So, what should be done? Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Conservative surgery Geddesian approach Patrick Geddes (1854-1932). Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Physical transformation Conservative Surgery The Indian Town of Barlampur (1917) Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Urban Slums the virtuous circle of regeneration Forces of change: Intervention, Regeneration, Investment, Redevelopment, … Spatial conditions: Access, Integration infrastructure, development, … Socio-economic conditions: Improvement, cohesion viability, investment, … Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Complex issues need complex approaches The case of Santiago Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Jeddah Unplanned Settlements How did the Growth of Jeddah lead to the formation of unplanned settlements and what conditions exist within them today? Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Jeddah Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia Biggest port on Red Sea Gateway to the holy cities of Makkah and Madinah - 2.5m pilgrims in 2009 2010 Population 3.4 million 2030 Population 5.6 million Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Urban growth 2000 1980s – Present day 1964 - 71 Oil boom 1947 City wall removed 1800 1600 1500s City walls built 1400 1200 1000 800 400 bc Jeddah established as fishing village by Quda’a tribe 200 bc 0 200 400 600 646 Jeddah main port for holy cities Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham The city of Jeddah historical background Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham History Phases of growth Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Planning History Modern masterplans Proposed Masterplan for Jeddah, Dr. Abdul Rahman Makhloof (1963 AD), Source: Historical Area: yesterday, today and tomorrow, King Abdul Aziz Project for Protection and Development Jeddah Historical Area Proposed Masterplan for Jeddah, Sirt Jackson and Saudi Consultants (1978 AD) Source: Historical Area: yesterday, today and tomorrow, King Abdul Aziz Project for Protection and Development Jeddah Historical Area Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham “Planned” areas Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Unplanned areas 2.7 km Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Unplanned areas Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Unplanned areas Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Unplanned areas Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Unplanned settlements Over 50 unplanned settlements across Jeddah Settlement populations range from 3,000 to 120,000 Current estimation of 1m unplanned settlement inhabitants in total Worked with Municipality of Jeddah and public private partnership since 2006 to address Unplanned Settlements Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Current conditions Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Current conditions Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Current conditions Conditions across settlements vary but all of them combine at least 3 of the 5 characteristics the UN uses to define a slum: • Inadequate access to safe water • Inadequate access to sanitation and other infrastructure • Poor structural quality of housing • Overcrowding • Residential status Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Spatial analysis Local scale Jeddah Spatial accessibility Unplanned settlements High Spatial Accessibility Low Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Spatial analysis City wide scale Jeddah Spatial accessibility Unplanned settlements High Spatial Accessibility Low Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Spatial analysis Local scale Agra Spatial accessibility Unplanned settlements High Spatial Accessibility Low Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Spatial analysis City wide scale Agra Spatial accessibility Unplanned settlements High Spatial Accessibility Low Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Current conditions Problems Benefits • Isolated communities • Poor physical quality • Inadequate access to utilities • Under provision of social infrastructure • High proportion of illegal immigrants • High (perceived) levels of crime • Cheap accommodation • Established family/social networks • Established local economies • Contribution to wider city economy • Least reliance on cars Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Reversing the cycle of decline How can an intervention be developed to address the fundamental spatial problems at the heart of the unplanned settlement condition, and which can respond to potential changes in the economic, social and political conditions? Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Settlement profile Analytic indices Transformability index 27.5 to 40 25 to 27.5 22.5 to 25 20 to 22.5 15 to 20 10 to 15 5 to 10 0 to 5 Vacant land Public Realm index Access to public realm components 3 to 4 2 to 3 1 to 2 0 to 1 Utilities Realm index Number of utilities 3 to 4 2 to 3 1 to 2 0 to 1 Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Settlement profile Fulfils three roles: Access and Public Realm Access Provides settlement-specific profile which can be used to categorise areas Identifies areas to target improvements in each settlement Public Realm (sq m) Road Widening Parking 5,420 Road Surfacing Street Lighting Pavements 106,304 * 60 * Utilities and Services Utilities Provides design tool for later in process Services (%) Sewers Surface Drainage Water Supply Electricity Supply 5% 100% 5% 5% Regular Refuse Collection Police Patrol Socio-Economic and Social Infrastructure Social Infrastructure Socio-Economic Health Facilities Hygiene Facilities Primary School Secondary School Community Centre Micro-Credit Market Places 100% 100% (no.) 0 0 8 1 1 1 Facelifting (m2) Services Remove Abandonned Cars 106,304 Public realm Façade maintenance Public Space 141,092 4,126 Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Settlement classification Ranking formed the basis for the JDURC classification of settlements: 1. Settlements attractive to developers 2. Settlements partially attractive to developers 3. Areas with potential for self improvement 4. Settlements in need of immediate partial intervention Attractiveness to developers High Low Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Approach Spatial intervention If the heart of the unplanned settlement condition is spatial, how can changes be made to spatial structure which minimise disruption to existing residents and stakeholders? If each of these approaches has its own strengths which are suited to a particular set of economic, social and political conditions, what can be done to combine the benefits of all of them and switch between them? Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Principles of design Adapt existing spatial network to reverse cycle Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham metres Principles of design Adapt existing spatial network to reverse cycle Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Principles of design Distribution of functional components Distribute land use and density in mixed use areas according to route hierarchy and exposure to movement (accessibility) Exposure to movement Route hierarchy Block type Land use/FAR Special blocks Primary routes Primary blocks Secondary routes Secondary blocks Higher FARs Predominantly Commercial Lower FARs Predominantly Residential and Social infrastructure Tertiary routes Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Principles of design Distribution of functional components Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Design Scenarios Flexibility Private lead Superblock-based redevelopment (Scenario A) Maximum intervention Maximum investment Maximum rehousing Minimum program Private-lead Route-based regeneration (Scenario B) Private lead land Route-based plot assembly (Scenario C) Public-lead Route based road widening (Scenario D) Public-lead Community assisted improvement (Scenario E) Minimum intervention Minimum investment Minimal rehousing Maximum time for transformation Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Design Scenarios Flexibility Private lead Superblock-based redevelopment (Scenario A) Private-lead Route-based regeneration (Scenario B) Maximum intervention Maximum investment Maximum rehousing Minimum program Private lead land Route-based plot assembly (Scenario C) Public-lead Route based road widening (Scenario D) Public-lead Community assisted improvement (Scenario E) Minimum intervention Minimum investment Minimal rehousing Maximum time for transformation Scenario A Private sector, super–block based redevelopment Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Design Scenarios Flexibility Private lead Superblock-based redevelopment (Scenario A) Private-lead Route-based regeneration (Scenario B) Maximum intervention Maximum investment Maximum rehousing Minimum program Private lead land Route-based plot assembly (Scenario C) Public-lead Route based road widening (Scenario D) Public-lead Community assisted improvement (Scenario E) Minimum intervention Minimum investment Minimal rehousing Maximum time for transformation Scenario B Private sector, route-based regeneration Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Design Scenarios Flexibility Private lead Superblock-based redevelopment (Scenario A) Private-lead Route-based regeneration (Scenario B) Maximum intervention Maximum investment Maximum rehousing Minimum program Private lead land Route-based plot assembly (Scenario C) Public-lead Route based road widening (Scenario D) Public-lead Community assisted improvement (Scenario E) Minimum intervention Minimum investment Minimal rehousing Maximum time for transformation Scenario C Public/Private, route-based regeneration Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Design Scenarios Flexibility Private lead Superblock-based redevelopment (Scenario A) Private-lead Route-based regeneration (Scenario B) Private lead land Route-based plot assembly (Scenario C) Maximum intervention Maximum investment Maximum rehousing Minimum program Public-lead Route based road widening (Scenario D) Public-lead Community assisted improvement (Scenario E) Minimum intervention Minimum investment Minimal rehousing Maximum time for transformation Scenario D Public lead, route-based road widening and self-organising regeneration Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Functional components Cost model Projects need to optimise public investment. To make sure designs offer a viable option for private development cost models were developed. Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Functional components Cost model Sherafiyah Primary investment Secondary investment Land Government grant Total 0 133,785,000 Government grant Total 0 529 Cost per sq m Area for demolition 210 324,563 0 0 Government grant Total 0 68,158,230 Resettlement Government grant Total Cost per sq m Built area Compensation 1,000 799 133,785 Cost per household No. of households Further investment Buildings Land value sq m No. of plots Area of plots sq m 1,000 324,563 0 324,563,000 Demolition Vacant land costs Compensation per household No. of households Government grant Total 0 529 0 0 Road building Serviced land costs Cost per sq m Area for required Government grant Total 500 23,884 0 11,942,000 Urbanised land costs Design guidelines: Sherafiyah Developed land costs Cost of utilities per plot Plots requiring utilities sq m Cost 0 0 0 Cost of utilities per plot Plots requiring utilities sq m Cost 0 0 0 Cost of utilities per plot Plots requiring utilities sq m Cost 0 121,905 0 Government grant Total 0 0 Cost of public realm sq m Area of roads, public space Cost 0 0 0 Cost of public realm sq m Area of roads, public space Cost 0 23,884 0 Government grant Total 0 0 Cost of building sq m Area of built space Cost Government grant Total 2,425 414,477 1,005,106,725 Primary Plot Area FAR Built Area Maximum plot coverage (ground) Minimum plot coverage (ground) Available plot area Maximum plot coverage (upper) Minimum plot coverage (upper) Available plot area Land use Commercial Retail Commercial Office Residential private Residential social Social infrastructure 81,477 4.5 366,647 100% 80% 81,477 60% 50% 48,886 Land use split Built Area 15% 15% 45% 20% 5% 100% 0 1,005,106,725 Plot Area 54,997 54,997 164,991 73,329 18,332 366,647 Min. no. of floors 12,222 12,222 36,665 16,295 4,074 81,477 Max. no. of floors 6 6 6 6 6 6 Average plot coverage 7 7 7 7 7 7 Max ground floor area Max upper level area 12,222 12,222 36,665 16,295 4,074 81,477 69% Min ground floor area 42,775 42,775 128,326 57,034 14,258 285,170 Min upper level area 9,777 9,777 29,332 13,036 3,259 65,182 45,220 45,220 135,659 60,293 15,073 301,465 Secondary Revenue Revenue 1: Vacant 0% Revenue 2: Serviced 0% Revenue 3: Urbanised 0% Revenue 4: Developed 100% 3,775 121,905 4.0 85% 414,477 Value of land sq m Area of land sq m 0 0 Value of land sq m Area of land sq m 0 0 Value of urbanised land sq m Area of land sq m 0 0 Value of built space sq m Area of land sq m FAR Plot coverage Area of built space Total value 0 Total Value 0 Total Value 0 Total Value Primary investment 0 Primary investment 0 Primary investment 0 Primary investment Secondary investment 0 Secondary investment 0 Secondary investment 0 Secondary investment Further investment 0 Further investment 0 Further investment 0 Further investment 1,005,106,725 Total cost 0 Total cost 0 Total cost 0 Total cost 1,543,554,955 Profit (value - cost) return 0 0% Profit (value - cost) return 0 0% Assumptions - existing values/costs Assumptions - potential values Existing land value sq m Existing building value per sq m Compensation per household Cost of resettlement per household Cost of demolition per sq m Cost of road building per sq m vacant land sale value sr/sq m vacant land rental value sr/sq m 2,000 2,000 serviced land sale value sr/sq m serviced land rental value sr/sq m 3,000 3,000 urbanised land sale value sr/sq m urbanised land rental value sr/sq m 4,000 4,000 retail sale value sr/sq m retail rental value sr/sq m office sale value sr/sq m office rental value sr/sq m private residential sale value sr/sq m private residential rental value sr/sq m social residential sale value sr/sq m social residential rental value sr/sq m social infrastructure sale value sr/sq m social infrastructure rental value sr/sq m 6,000 6,000 5,000 5,000 3,500 3,500 2,500 2,500 0 0 1,000 1,000 0 0 210 500 cost of electricty sr/sq m cost of water sr/sq m cost of sewers sr/sq m cost of telecoms sr/sq m 0 0 0 0 cost of road surfacing sr/sq m cost of pavement sr/sq m cost of street lighting sr/sq m cost of land scaping sr/sq m 0 0 0 0 retail building cost office building cost private residential building cost sr/sq m social residential building cost sr/sq m social infrastructure building cost 2,000 3,000 2,500 2,000 2,500 Profit (value - cost) return 0 0% Profit (value - cost) return Total Cost Total Profit Overall return 1,564,645,874 458,348,000 Plot Area FAR Built Area Maximum plot coverage (ground) Minimum plot coverage (ground) Available plot area Maximum plot coverage (upper) Minimum plot coverage (upper) Available plot area Land use Commercial Retail Commercial Office Residential private Residential social Social infrastructure 40,428 3.0 121,284 80% 70% 32,342 60% 50% 24,257 Land use split Built Area 5% 5% 55% 20% 15% 100% Plot Area Min. no. of floors 6,064 6,064 66,706 24,257 18,193 121,284 2,021 2,021 22,235 8,086 6,064 40,428 121,905 487,931 4.0 71.3% 61,061 61,061 231,697 97,586 36,525 13% 13% 47% 20% 7% Max no. of floors 4 4 4 4 4 4 Average plot coverage 5 5 5 5 5 5 Max ground floor area 74% Max upper level area 1,617 1,617 17,788 6,468 4,851 32,342 Min ground floor area 4,447 4,447 48,918 17,788 13,341 88,942 Min upper level area 1,415 1,415 15,565 5,660 4,245 28,300 4,649 4,649 51,141 18,597 13,948 92,984 80,100,230 21,090,919 1% Summary Financial model headlines Area of plots Proposal built area Average settlement FAR (financial model) Average plot coverage (financial model) Commercial Retail Commercial Office Residential private Residential social Social infrastructure Guidelines 121,905 487,620 4.0 85.0% 65,057 65,057 227,639 97,400 32,467 1,543,554,955 21,090,919 1.37% Once we have an outline of the amount of development required, and the land use mix, it is easy to develop a set of design guidelines for massing Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Design guidelines Option testing Impact There are a huge number of potential guideline combinations that satisfy the requirements of the population and financial model but what is the physical impact? Guideline example one (preferred) Primary Secondary Land use distribution 15% Commercial retail 15% Commercial office 65% Residential 5% Social infrastructure 5% Commercial retail 5% Commercial office 75% Residential 15% Social infrastructure Floor Area Ratio (FAR) 4.5 3.0 Plot Coverage (ground floor) 80 – 100% 70 – 80% Plot Coverage (upper floors) 50 – 75% 50 – 60% Building heights 6–7 4–5 Impact Guideline example two Primary Secondary Land use distribution 15% Commercial retail 15% Commercial office 60% Residential 5% Social infrastructure 5% Commercial retail 5% Commercial office 75% Residential 15% Social infrastructure Floor Area Ratio (FAR) 5.0 2.0 Plot Coverage (ground floor) 80 – 100% 70 – 80% Plot Coverage (upper floors) 50 – 75% 50 – 60% Building heights 7-8 2-3 Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Design guidelines Public realm character Detailed design guidelines developed to create consistent, high quality, safe, and inhabited public realm Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Consultation At all stages of project, consultation carried out with Residents, Local Municipalities, Omdahs, Developers, JDURC and Municipality Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Slowing the cycle of decline If the wider context to the project does not support the levels of investment required to implement changes to reverse the cycle of decline, what can be done to slow it, improve living conditions, and start to create the forces of change? Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Design Scenarios Private lead Superblock-based redevelopment (Scenario A) Maximum intervention Maximum investment Maximum rehousing Minimum program Private-lead Route-based regeneration (Scenario B) Private lead land Route-based plot assembly (Scenario C) Public-lead Route based road widening (Scenario D) Public-lead Community assisted improvement (Scenario E) Minimum intervention Minimum investment Minimal rehousing Maximum time for transformation Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Design Scenarios Private lead Superblock-based redevelopment (Scenario A) Private-lead Route-based regeneration (Scenario B) Private lead land Route-based plot assembly (Scenario C) Maximum intervention Maximum investment Maximum rehousing Minimum program Public-lead Route based road widening (Scenario D) Public-lead Community assisted improvement (Scenario E) Minimum intervention Minimum investment Minimal rehousing Maximum time for transformation Scenario E Public lead, community assisted improvement Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Current problems What improvements need to be made to improve existing living conditions? Poor access for vehicles (Cars, Security, Refuse) No Street lighting Poor access to Education facilities Perception of crime No Pavement No Road Surface No connections to Sewers Streets blocked by cars and rubbish (no Parking) Inadequate access to services No access to Water mains No Storm Water Drainage No connections to Electricity Poor condition and lack of maintenance of buildings Poor access to Health facilities Uncollected rubbish Poor quality Public Spaces Difficult to establish local Economic Activity Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Analysis and strategic design Principles of design How can improvements be implemented? Improvements cannot be implemented across the whole settlement uniformly so a framework for improvement is required. Route-based improvement of Access, Utilities, Public Realm and Face Lifting Settlement-wide improvement of access to services and Social Infrastructure Self-organising regeneration through guidelines and access to micro credit Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Route-based improvements Access andstructure Public Realm which can be used Define a spatial to analyse existing conditions and Access Road Widening implement improvementsParking Public Realm Road Surfacing Street Lighting Pavements Utilities and Services Utilities Sewers Surface Drainage Water Supply Electricity Supply Services Regular Refuse Collection Police Patrol Socio-Economic and Social Infrastructure Social Infrastructure Health Facilities Hygiene Facilities Education Facilities Community Centre Socio-Economic Micro-Credit Market Places Facelifting Services Remove Abandonned Cars Public realm Façade maintenance Public Space Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Route-Based Improvements Access, Utilities and Public Realm Framework for improvements to Access, Public Realm and Utilities Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Route-Based Improvements Access, Utilities and Public Realm Upper levels Residential uses Privacy provided through screening First floor Residential uses Privacy provided through screening Ground floor Commercial uses 0.75 – 1m pedestrian 4.0 - 5.0m traffic 2.0m Tolerance /parking 0.75 - 1m pedestrian 8.0m Section allows access for vehicles, parking, utilities and pedestrians Where more space is available additional parking or pedestrian space can be added Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Route-Based Improvements Face Lifting (Valparaiso) Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Route-Based Improvements Face Lifting Favela Painting, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Route-Based Improvements Face Lifting In the immediate term “Face Lifting” can be carried out to improve conditions quickly and cheaply. This could involve re-painting facades, removing all abandoned vehicles and cleaning up Public Spaces. Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Settlement-Wide Improvements Social Infrastructure Use Identify existing existing vacant vacant plotsplots to provide and provide range social of public spaces and infrastructure other facilities based on plot size Less than 250 sq m.: - Local public space - Car parking - Hygiene facilities - Water taps 250 – 1,000 sq m - Neighbourhood park - Clinic - Car parking 1,000 sq m + - Sports ground / public park - School - Community centre - Weekly market Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Settlement-Wide Improvements Development allowances Plot size (sq m) Primary route FAR Max Commercial land use Max height 301 625 901 2,000 3,001 5,001 Plot size < < Plot size < < Plot size < < Plot size < < Plot size < < Plot size < < Plot size 300 625 900 2,000 3,000 5,000 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.5 3.0 2.5 0.5 N/A 100% 50% 40% 33% 40% Case by case assessment 1.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 301 625 901 2,001 3,001 5,001 Plot size < < Plot size < < Plot size < < Plot size < < Plot size < < Plot size < < Plot size 300 625 900 2,000 3,000 5,000 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 N/A 50% 25% 25% 33% 50% Case by case assessment 1.0 3.0 4.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 301 625 901 2,001 3,001 5,001 Plot size < < Plot size < < Plot size < < Plot size < < Plot size < < Plot size < < Plot size 300 625 900 2,000 3,000 5,000 0.0 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.3 0.5 0% additional to existing 0% additional to existing 0% additional to existing 0% additional to existing 0% additional to existing 0% additional to existing 0% additional to existing 1.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 Secondary route Tertiary route Plots do not have to be vacant or affected by access improvements to be redeveloped. Owners may redevelop plots according to a set of Self-Organising Guidelines based on location and plot size Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Minimum Intervention Improvement Framework Route-based improvements to access, utilities, public realm and face lifting Settlement-wide improvements to social infrastructure Self-organising regeneration of existing built fabric Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Implementation Flexible programme of Improvements Project Access and Public realm Land Building Facelifting Demolition Public Realm Lighting Total Façade Phase 1 Grand Total Public Space Settlement Wide Total Phase 2 Phase 3 Design Guidelines/Self Organsinig Regeneration Social Infrastructure Phase 1 1 8,623 0 0 852,796 104 861,523 80,955 22,502 103,457 2 176,818 40,395 52,595 646,977 3 531,575 40,662 52,944 419,800 878 917,664 10,320 23,187 33,507 951,171 0 1,044,981 7,645 0 7,645 1,052,626 4 564,341 80,986 105,446 474,462 102 1,225,336 8,700 18,644 27,344 1,252,681 5 1,347,335 505,762 658,516 535,227 0 3,046,839 8,925 2,062 10,987 3,057,826 Social Infrastructure 964,980 Social Infrastructure Route Based Project 1 Project 2 Phase 2 6 1,912,098 255,333 332,451 387,950 0 2,887,832 7,620 0 7,620 2,895,452 7 1,437,692 200,808 261,458 447,250 282 2,347,490 8,175 0 8,175 2,355,665 8 1,082,239 139,167 181,200 575,365 86 1,978,058 13,305 9,468 22,773 2,000,831 Project 3 Project 4 Phase 3 9 1,958,167 152,550 198,624 284,440 157 2,593,937 10,070 655 10,725 2,604,662 10 520,408 61,295 79,808 185,895 444 847,849 6,010 19,978 25,988 873,837 11 0 0 0 149,764 0 149,764 3,115 6,643 9,758 159,522 12 0 0 0 96,000 0 96,000 2,005 0 2,005 98,005 13 0 0 0 53,000 29 53,029 2,040 0 2,040 55,069 9,539,295 1,476,959 1,923,042 5,108,925 2,084 18,050,304 168,885 103,138 272,023 18,322,327 All Projects Some elements of the framework are flexible enough to be delivered early if the budget is available If additional budget is available, some items can move forward If less budget is available, key improvements can be chosen and the rest shifted back Project 5 Project 6 Project 7 Project 8 Project 9 Project 10 Project 11 Project 12 Project 5 Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Flexibility of implementation Private lead Superblock-based redevelopment (Scenario A) Private-lead Route-based regeneration (Scenario B) Maximum intervention Maximum investment Maximum rehousing Minimum program Public/Private Route-based regeneration (Scenario C) Public-lead Route based road widening (Scenario D) Public-lead Community assisted improvement (Scenario E) Minimum intervention Minimum investment Minimal rehousing Maximum time for transformation Scenario hybrid Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham Thank You! The 8th Space Syntax Symposium Santiago de Chile January 2012 Dr. Kayvan Karimi Ed Parham Senior Lecturer - Bartlett, UCL ; Director - Space Syntax Limited Associate Director - Space Syntax Limited Dr. Kayvan Karimi, Ed Parham