MPC, MPS, and Multipliers Special thanks to Mr. David Mayer & Mr. Ken Norman from whom I adapted this power point • Any increase in spending will result in an even larger increase in GDP due to the fact that every dollar spent is spent again multiple times. • Any money spent is someone else’s income and therefore subject to spending. • The limiting factor is savings. • For every additional dollar spent a portion of it will be saved (the MPS). • The multiplier is the reciprocal of the MPS or 1/MPS. • The larger the MPC (the smaller the MPS) the larger the multiplier will be. Spending Multiplier = 1/MPS MPC .90 .80 .75 .60 .50 1/MPS 1/.10 1/.20 1/.25 1/.40 1/.50 = M = 10 = 5 = 4 = 2.5 = 2 The First Round of Government Spending Causes The Biggest Splash MPC of 75% G spends $200 billion on the highways. Highway workers save 25% of $200 billion [$50 billion] & spend 75% or $150 billion on boats. Boat makers save 25% of $150 bil. [$37.50 bil.] & spend 75% or $112.50 bil. on iPod Minis, etc. Total Saving has reached $87.50 • A change in taxes also has a multiplied effect, but the tax multiplier is smaller than the spending multiplier. • Tax Multiplier (note: it’s negative because tax increases reduce spending) -MPC/ or MPC/ 1-MPC MPS • If there is a tax-CUT, then the multiplier is +, because there is now more money in the circular flow Tax Multiplier = -MPC/MPS MPC .90 .80 .75 .60 .50 = M -MPC/.10= -9 -MPC/.20= -4 -MPC/.25= -3 -MPC/.40= -1.5 -MPC/.50= -1 MPC/MPS Spending Multiplier = 1/MPS Tax Multiplier = MPC/MPS Tax Multiplier Multiplier MPC .9 -9 10 .8 5 .75 4 -3 -4 .60 2.5 -1.5 .5 2 -1 The larger the MPC, the smaller the MPS, and the greater the multiplier. This is the “simple multiplier” because it is based on a “simple model of the economy”. OU USING MULTIPLIERS • The multiplier can be used to calculate how any change in spending will affect total spending (AD)/income (GDP). • The formula used is: Change in Spending x Multiplier = Change in AD. USING MULTIPLIERS • Since any change in GDP is the result of the change in spending x multiplier, you can find the multiplier by dividing the change in AD/GDP by the change in spending. USING MULTIPLIERS • Knowing that any change in spending will have a multiplied effect government can calculate how much to change spending by dividing the needed change in GDP by the multiplier. Multiplier Practice • Assume US citizens spend $.90 for every extra $1 they earn. • Further assume that the real interest rate (i) decreases, causing a $50 billion increase in Investment (I). • Calculate the effect of this increase in spending on AD. Step 1: Calculate the MPC and MPS MPC = C / DI MPS = 1- MPC = Step 2: Determine which multiplier to use, and whether its + or – The problem mentions an increase in I, use a (+) spending multiplier Step 3: Calculate the Spending and/or Tax Multiplier Step 4: Calculate the Change in AD ( C, I, G or NX) * Spending or Tax Multiplier More Practice • Assume Germany raises taxes on its citizens by 200b. • Assume that Germans save 25% of the change in their disposable income. • Calculate the effect of these taxes on the German economy. More Practice • Assume the Japanese spend 4/5 of their disposable income. • Assume that the Japanese government increases its spending by 50 trillion and in order to maintain a balanced budget simultaneously increase taxes by 50t. • Calculate the effect of these changes on the Japanese Aggregate Demand. The Balanced Budget Multiplier • When government spending increases are matched with equal size increases in taxes, the change ends up being = to the change in government spending • Why? • 1/ -MPC/ 1- MPC/ MPS/ + = = MPS MPS MPS MPS = 1 • The balanced budget multiplier always = 1