You’re never too young! Jumpstart your retirement planning in your 20s & 30s Financial Planning For Women March 2012 Presented by Dr. Jean Lown WWW.USU.EDU/FPW Overview 2 $Why Start Young $Find $ To Invest $How Much To Invest 3 4 Why Start Young? 5 Retirement is so far away! I have so many other pressing needs! Student loans Credit card bills Car payments, saving for a house… I can wait until I’m older… National Retirement Risk Index Measures % of American households who are ‘at risk’ of being unable to maintain pre-retirement level of living in retirement 51-65% of Americans are at risk Young adults at highest risk… no more company pensions How long are you likely to live? 6 Americans are living longer Utahns live longer than rest of U.S. Women live longer than men Estimate your expected longevity Plan on 30+ years in “retirement” Planning for a Lifetime 7 Start NOW Pensions are passe Be aware and prepare Responsibility Shift 8 Previous generation of employees Defined Benefit Plans Employer assumed investment risk & responsibility Pension for life + health care in retirement Current (future) employees Defined Contribution Plans (401k) Responsibility rests with employee Whether, how much & where to invest Primarily employee funded ~½ of current employees: NO employer retirement plan Self-employed: YOYO What’s Your Plan? 9 Twins Sally & Susan 10 Sally invested Susan invested $5000/yr. for 10 years ages 25-34 @ age 65 $50,000 grew to : $778,000 $5000/year for 20 years starting at age 35… $100,000 @ age 65: $494,000 47% more $! Take advantage of the Time Value of Money (compound interest) Assumes 8% annual return It’s not magic! It’s TVM! 11 Time Value of Money (compound interest@ 7%) 12 Annual contribution to Individual Retirement Account $2,000/year for 10 years = $27,633 $2,000/year for 25 years = $126,498 Contribute maximum $5,000/year to $5,000/year for 10 years = $69,082 $5,000/year for 25 years = $316,245 $5,000/year for 35 years = $691,184 $5k/yr. = $416.67/mo. Time Value of Money (@ 7%) 13 Monthly contribution to IRA $50/month ages 27-67 = $131,241 $100/month ages 27-67 = $262,481 $50/month ages 37-67 = $60,999 $100/month ages 37-67 = $121,997 Note how much less for 30 vs. 40 years: ½ the amount due to TVM Start young! Small $ grow dramatically with time 14 Find Money to Invest 15 Marry $ Inherit $ Spend Less Earn More Spend Less & Earn More Yes you can find $ to invest 16 Start with $50/month Where does it all go? Step Down Principle (Alena Johnson) Cut down, not out Eating out: less &/or less expensive Pay cash! Research shows you spend less Stash the debit and credit cards for a month Pay off credit cards (come to April FPW) Envision your future… It’s Your Choice! 17 How much to invest? 18 $Start with Whatever You Can Manage $Increase Amount Gradually $What Does Research Tell Us is the “Right Amount”? National Savings Rate Guidelines For Individuals 19 by Roger Ibbotson, James Xiong, Robert P. Kreitler, Charles F. Kreitler, & Peng Chen Journal of Financial Planning April 2007 pp. 50-61 http://corporate.morningstar.com/ib/documents/M ethodologyDocuments/IBBAssociates/NationalSavin gsGuidelines.pdf How will these guidelines help me? 20 “Provides guidelines that individuals of different ages, incomes, and accumulated wealth can easily apply in determining how much to save for an adequate retirement.” Main “Take Home” Points 21 Shows how much to save/invest for retirement Importance of starting no later than age 35 Sets benchmarks for how much capital you should have accumulated based on income & age Savings guidelines & capital needs are calculated on retirement income as a % of net pre-retirement income— gross income minus annual retirement savings in preretirement Definitions 22 Savings: stocks, mutual funds, bonds, CDs, IRAs, savings accounts Pre-retirement gross income: yearly income before subtracting any deductions Pre-retirement net income: gross income minus the amount saved for retirement each year during preretirement Percent of pre-retirement income: post-retirement replacement income (calculated at 60% & 80%) 23 The amount needed for The Approach retirement savings is calculated based on preretirement net income rather than gross income Basing savings rate on pre- retirement net income significantly reduces the amount of money that must be saved Three “Easy” Steps 24 1. Determine the annual cash flow needed in retirement 2. Determine the capital needed to generate this lifetime retirement cash flow 3. Determine the annual savings needed to build the capital that will provide the retirement cash flow Determine annual cash flow needed in retirement Calculation of Assets Needed at Age2565 to Provide Retirement Cash Flow $40,000 $60,000 Less Annual Contributions to Savings $ 4,880 $8,760 Net Income (Gross Less Savings) $35,120 $51,240 $28,096 $40,992 Estimated Social Security $17,795 $22,177 Pension or Other Income -- -- Annual Cash Flow from Portfolio $10,298 $18,815 Total Annual Income in Retirement $28,096 $40,992 Portfolio Assets Needed to Provide Annual Cash Flow $190,647 $434,847 Income Pre-retirement Income Post-Retirement (80% Replacement of Net Income) Sources of Retirement Income Capital needed to generate retirement cash flow 26 Savings Rate for Different Income Levels with 80% or 60% Replacement of Gross Income and No Past Savings Age Income 25 25 30 30 30 35 35 35 $40,000 $60,000 $40,000 $60,000 $80,000 $40,000 $60,000 $80,000 Savings Rate for 80% Income Replacement 10.0% 12.0% 12.8% 15.6% 17.2% 16.4% 19.6% 22.0% Savings Rate for 60% Income Replacement 4.6% 6.4% 5.8% 8.4% 10.4% 7.4% 10.6% 13.2% How to use the table 27 35 Deduction Gross Savings Each Income Rate $10,000 of Portfolio $40,000 12.2% 0.86% 35 $60,000 14.6% 0.55% 35 $80,000 16.4% 0.43% Age 35 year old w/gross income of $40,000 should save 12.2% or $4,880, leaving net income of $35,120. However, if already saved $50,000, deduct 5 x 0.86% = 4.3% so she should save 12.2% - 4.3% = 7.9% each year until retirement = $3,160 Capital needed to generate retirement cash flow 28 Savings Rate for Different Gross Income Levels with 80% Replacement of Net Income Deduction Each Age Income Savings Rate $10,000 of Portfolio 25 $40,000 8.2% 0.78% 25 $60,000 10.0% 0.55% 30 $40,000 10.0% 0.79% 30 $60,000 11.8% 0.54% 30 $80,000 13.6% 0.42% 35 $40,000 12.2% 0.86% 35 $60,000 14.6% 0.55% 35 $80,000 16.4% 0.43% Projected Accumulated Wealth by Current Age for Various Income Levels at 80% Net Income Replacement 50% Probability Age Income $40,000 35 40 45 $0 $27,836 $63,243 Income $60,000 Income $80,000 Income $100,000 $0 $0 $0 $49,969 $74,839 $100,394 $113,526 $170,029 $228,088 90% Probability Age Income $40,000 Income $60,000 35 40 45 $0 $21,824 $45,408 $0 $39,176 $81,512 Gross income. Savings start at age 35. 29 Income $80,000 Income $100,000 $0 $0 $58,674 $78,710 $122,082 $163,768 But wait… You’ve got help 30 Social Security benefits Lifetime income Cost of living adjustment for inflation 31 32 Summary Checklist 1 33 Saving for retirement is possible with reasonable savings rates Starting early is important so you can save without a significant drop in lifestyle (TVM works for you) Provides benchmarks based on income and age Summary Checklist 2 34 Calculated on retirement income as a % of net pre-retirement income Shows the difference in savings required for 60% & 80% replacement ratios Takes into account Social Security benefits Summary Checklist 3 35 Higher-income individuals need to save at a substantially higher rate because Social Security benefits replace larger % for lowerincome workers Starting your savings after 35 increases the challenge of an increasingly higher savings rate needed to accumulate sufficient capital Book & magazine give away 36 Get a life: Personal Finance in your Twenties and Thirties by Beth Kobliner Personal Finance magazines: Money & Kiplingers’ A great way to educate yourself about personal finances, credit, investing What questions do you have? 37 NATIONAL SAVINGS RATE GUIDELINES FOR INDIVIDUALS http://corporate.morningstar.com/ib/documents/Methodology Documents/IBBAssociates/NationalSavingsGuidelines.pdf Upcoming FPW Programs 38 April 11: 12:30 here & 7 pm @USU Family Life Center Take Control of Your Credit & Avoid ID Theft May 9: The Perfect Mutual Fund for your IRA Specific funds researched by FCHD 4350 Advanced Family Finance class FPW has a blog Check the blog for updates and become a follower at: http://fpwusu.blogspot.com Become a Facebook friend of FPW