Hedging Using Interest Rate Futures Contracts • There are two main interest rate futures contracts – Eurodollar futures – US T-bond futures • Eurodollar futures are the most popular and active contract – Open interest in excess of $4 trillion at any one point in time – Eurodollars in this case are not Eurodollar currency. They are US Dollar deposits in banks that are not subject to US banking regulations. Intermediate Investments F303 1 Hedging Using Interest Rate Futures Contracts • Eurodollar futures contracts are based on the interest rate payable on a Eurodollar time deposit • This rate is known as the LIBOR (London Interbank Offer Rate) and has become the benchmark short-term interest rate for many US borrowers and lenders • Interest rates are typically quoted as LIBOR + basis points (.0001, so 100 basis points = 1%) • LIBOR is an annualized rate based on a 360 day year Intermediate Investments F303 2 How is LIBOR Interest Calculated? • LIBOR is calculated on a notional principal amount of $1M. • The contract is settled in cash; there is no actual delivery of the time deposit • The interest on a 3 month (90-day) contract with notional principal of $1M and an 8% rate would be calculated as: .08 * (90/360) * 1,000,000 = ?? Intermediate Investments F303 3 Other Characteristics of LIBOR • Prior to expiration, the quoted futures price “implies” a LIBOR rate. So Implied LIBOR = 100 – Quoted Futures Price • At Expiration, the Futures Price is quoted at 100 – LIBOR So, if the LIBOR rate was 8% at expiration, the contract would be quoted at 92. Intermediate Investments F303 4 Other Characteristics of LIBOR • • • • Contract is a Eurodollar time deposit Traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Notional principal is $1,000,000 Contracts are delivered in – – – – March June September December • Cash settlements based on a 3-month LIBOR • Minimum Price Movement is $25 or 1 basis point Intermediate Investments F303 5 An Example • Assume the following – On November 15 you purchase one December Eurodollar Futures contract – The quoted futures price at the time is 94.86 – What is your profit or loss if the LIBOR rate falls 100 basis points between now and the expiration date of the contract? • Remember – No money changes hands when you buy the contract • What was the implied LIBOR rate when the contract was purchased? Intermediate Investments F303 6 Example (cont) • What is the LIBOR rate if interest rates fall 100 basis points? • What is the new futures price? • What is our gain or loss based on the price? • What is the overall gain or loss on the contract? Intermediate Investments F303 7 Hedging Using Interest Rate Futures • As with any hedge, you are not locking in a rate per se. You are locking in an effective rate based on gains and losses on the contract! • Assume the following – Suppose a firm knows in February that it will be required to borrow $1M in March for a period of 3 months (90 days) – It will pay the loan off at the end of the period – The firm borrows at LIBOR + 50 basis points – The firm wants to hedge its interest rate risk Intermediate Investments F303 8 In Order to Hedge, Do You Buy or Sell? • If interest rates go up, your company’s borrowing costs go up. • So, to hedge your position, you want a strategy that will allow you to offset borrowing costs if rates go up! • So, you would sell a contract, because if interest rates rise, the cost of the contract goes down, but you will have an agreement to deliver the contract at a higher price Intermediate Investments F303 9 How Does the Hedge Work? • Assume the following: – The March Eurodollar futures price is 94.86 – What does that make the implied LIBOR rate? – If we lock in this effective borrowing rate, what will our interest expense be? • Now assume that LIBOR increases to 6.14%. How does the hedge work? – What is our borrowing cost now that interest rates have gone up? – What was our gain or loss on futures contract? – What does that make the net expense to the borrower? Intermediate Investments F303 10 How Does the Hedge Work? • Now assume that LIBOR falls to 4.14%. How does the hedge work? – What is our borrowing cost now that interest rates have gone up? – What was our gain or loss on futures contract? – What does that make the net expense to the borrower? Intermediate Investments F303 11