CHAPTER 18 Derivatives and Risk Management Derivative securities Fundamentals of risk management Using derivatives 18-1 Are stockholders concerned about whether or not a firm reduces the volatility of its cash flows? Not necessarily. If cash flow volatility is due to systematic risk, it can be eliminated by diversifying investors’ portfolios. 18-2 Reasons that corporations engage in risk management Increase their use of debt. Maintain their optimal capital budget. Avoid financial distress costs. Utilize their comparative advantages in hedging, compared to investors. Reduce the risks and costs of borrowing. Reduce the higher taxes that result from fluctuating earnings. Initiate compensation programs to reward managers for achieving stable earnings. 18-3 What is an option? A contract that gives its holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy (or sell) an asset at some predetermined price within a specified period of time. Most important characteristic of an option: It does not obligate its owner to take action. It merely gives the owner the right to buy or sell an asset. 18-4 Option terminology Call option – an option to buy a specified number of shares of a security within some future period. Put option – an option to sell a specified number of shares of a security within some future period. Exercise (or strike) price – the price stated in the option contract at which the security can be bought or sold. Option price – the market price of the option contract. 18-5 Option terminology Expiration date – the date the option matures. Exercise value – the value of an option if it were exercised today (Current stock price - Strike price). Covered option – an option written against stock held in an investor’s portfolio. Naked (uncovered) option – an option written without the stock to back it up. 18-6 Option terminology In-the-money call – a call option whose exercise price is less than the current price of the underlying stock. Out-of-the-money call – a call option whose exercise price exceeds the current stock price. 18-7 Option example A call option with an exercise price of $25, has the following values at these prices: Stock price $25 30 35 40 45 50 Call option price $3.00 7.50 12.00 16.50 21.00 25.50 18-8 Determining option exercise value and option premium Stock price $25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00 50.00 Strike price $25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 Exercise value $0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 Option Option price premium $3.00 $3.00 7.50 2.50 12.00 2.00 16.50 1.50 21.00 1.00 25.50 0.50 18-9 How does the option premium change as the stock price increases? The premium of the option price over the exercise value declines as the stock price increases. This is due to the declining degree of leverage provided by options as the underlying stock price increases, and the greater loss potential of options at higher option prices. 18-10 Call premium diagram Option value 30 25 20 Market price of option 15 10 5 Exercise value of option Stock Price 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 18-11 What are the assumptions of the Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model? The stock underlying the call option provides no dividends during the call option’s life. There are no transactions costs for the sale/purchase of either the stock or the option. kRF is known and constant during the option’s life. Security buyers may borrow any fraction of the purchase price at the short-term, risk-free rate. 18-12 What are the assumptions of the Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model? No penalty for short selling and sellers receive immediately full cash proceeds at today’s price. Call option can be exercised only on its expiration date. Security trading takes place in continuous time, and stock prices move randomly in continuous time. 18-13 Which equations must be solved to find the Black-Scholes option price? ln(P/X) [k RF 2 d1 σ t d2 d1 - σ t 2 V P[N(d1 )] - Xe -k RF t t] [N(d2 )] 18-14 Use the B-S OPM to find the option value of a call option with P = $27, X = $25, kRF = 6%, t = 0.5 years, and σ2 = 0.11. ln($27/$25 ) [(0.06 0.11 )] (0.5) 2 d1 0.5736 (0.3317)(0 .7071) d2 0.5736 - (0.3317)(0 .7071) 0.3391 From Table A - 5 in the textbook N(d1 ) N(0.5736) 0.5000 0.2168 0.7168 N(d2 ) N(0.3391) 0.5000 0.1327 0.6327 18-15 Solving for option value V P[N(d1 )] - Xe -k RF t [N(d2 )] -(0.06)(0.5 ) V $27[0.7168] - $25e [0.6327] V $4.0036 18-16 How do the factors of the B-S OPM affect a call option’s value? As the factor increases … Current stock price Exercise price Option value … Increases Decreases Time to expiration Risk-free rate Stock return variance Increases Increases Increases 18-17 What is corporate risk management, and why is it important to all firms? Corporate risk management relates to the management of unpredictable events that would have adverse consequences for the firm. All firms face risks, but the lower those risks can be made, the more valuable the firm, other things held constant. Of course, risk reduction has a cost. 18-18 Definitions of different types of risk Speculative risks – offer the chance of a gain as well as a loss. Pure risks – offer only the prospect of a loss. Demand risks – risks associated with the demand for a firm’s products or services. Input risks – risks associated with a firm’s input costs. Financial risks – result from financial transactions. 18-19 Definitions of different types of risk Property risks – risks associated with loss of a firm’s productive assets. Personnel risk – result from human actions. Environmental risk – risk associated with polluting the environment. Liability risks – connected with product, service, or employee liability. Insurable risks – risks that typically can be covered by insurance. 18-20 What are the three steps of corporate risk management? 1. 2. 3. Identify the risks faced by the firm. Measure the potential impact of the identified risks. Decide how each relevant risk should be handled. 18-21 What can companies do to minimize or reduce risk exposure? Transfer risk to an insurance company by paying periodic premiums. Transfer functions that produce risk to third parties. Purchase derivative contracts to reduce input and financial risks. Take actions to reduce the probability of occurrence of adverse events and the magnitude associated with such adverse events. Avoid the activities that give rise to risk. 18-22 What is financial risk exposure? Financial risk exposure refers to the risk inherent in the financial markets due to price fluctuations. Example: A firm holds a portfolio of bonds, interest rates rise, and the value of the bond portfolio falls. 18-23 Financial Risk Management Concepts Derivative – a security whose value is derived from the values of other assets. Swaps, options, and futures are used to manage financial risk exposures. Futures – contracts that call for the purchase or sale of a financial (or real) asset at some future date, but at a price determined today. Futures (and other derivatives) can be used either as highly leveraged speculations or to hedge and thus reduce risk. 18-24 Financial Risk Management Concepts Hedging – usually used when a price change could negatively affect a firm’s profits. Long hedge – involves the purchase of a futures contract to guard against a price increase. Short hedge – involves the sale of a futures contract to protect against a price decline. Swaps – the exchange of cash payment obligations between two parties, usually because each party prefers the terms of the other’s debt contract. Swaps can reduce each party’s financial risk. 18-25 How can commodity futures markets be used to reduce input price risk? The purchase of a commodity futures contract will allow a firm to make a future purchase of the input at today’s price, even if the market price on the item has risen substantially in the interim. 18-26