Chapter 2 Principles of Corporate Finance Tenth Edition How to Calculate Present Values Slides by Matthew Will McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2011 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Topics Covered Future Values and Present Values Looking for Shortcuts—Perpetuities and Annuities More Shortcuts—Growing Perpetuities and Annuities How Interest Is Paid and Quoted 2-2 Present and Future Value Future Value Amount to which an investment will grow after earning interest Present Value Value today of a future cash flow. 2-3 2-4 Future Values Future Value of $100 = FV FV $100 (1 r ) t Present Value PresentValue = PV PV = discount factor C1 2-5 Present Value Discount Factor = DF = PV of $1 DF 1 t (1 r ) Discount Factors can be used to compute the present value of any cash flow. 2-6 Valuing an Office Building Step 1: Forecast cash flows Cost of building = C0 = 370,000 Sale price in Year 1 = C1 = 420,000 Step 2: Estimate opportunity cost of capital If equally risky investments in the capital market offer a return of 5%, then Cost of capital = r = 5% 2-7 Valuing an Office Building Step 3: Discount future cash flows PV C1 (1r ) 420 , 000 (1 .05 ) 400,000 Step 4: Go ahead if PV of payoff exceeds investment NPV 400,000 370,000 30,000 2-8 Net Present Value NP V = P V - required investment C1 NP V = C0 1 r 2-9 Risk and Present Value Higher risk projects require a higher rate of return Higher required rates of return cause lower PVs P V of C1 $420,000at 5% 420,000 PV 400,000 1 .05 2-10 Risk and Present Value 2-11 PV of C1 $420,000at 12% 420,000 PV 375,000 1 .12 P V of C1 $420,000at 5% 420,000 PV 400,000 1 .05 Net Present Value Rule Accept investments that have positive net present value Example Use the original example. Should we accept the project given a 10% expected return? 420,000 NPV = -370,000 + $30,000 1.05 2-12 Rate of Return Rule Accept investments that offer rates of return in excess of their opportunity cost of capital Example In the project listed below, the foregone investment opportunity is 12%. Should we do the project? profit 420,000 370,000 Return .135 or 13.5% investment 370,000 2-13 2-14 Multiple Cash Flows For multiple periods we have the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) formula PV0 (1 r )1 (1 r )2 .... (1 r )t C1 Ct C2 T NPV0 C0 (1 r )t t 1 Ct 2-15 Net Present Values - $370,000 $20,000 $ 420,000 Present Value Year 0 Year 0 -$370,000 20,000/1.12 = $17,900 420,000/1.122 = $334,800 Total = - $17,300 1 2 Short Cuts Sometimes there are shortcuts that make it very easy to calculate the present value of an asset that pays off in different periods. These tools allow us to cut through the calculations quickly. 2-16 Short Cuts Perpetuity - Financial concept in which a cash flow is theoretically received forever. cash flow Return present value C r PV 2-17 Short Cuts Perpetuity - Financial concept in which a cash flow is theoretically received forever. cash flow P V of Cash Flow discount rat e C1 PV0 r 2-18 Present Values Example What is the present value of $1 billion every year, for all eternity, if you estimate the perpetual discount rate to be 10%?? PV $1 bil 0.10 $10 billion 2-19 Present Values Example - continued What if the investment does not start making money for 3 years? PV $1 bil 0.10 $7.51 billion 1 1.103 2-20 2-21 Short Cuts Annuity - An asset that pays a fixed sum each year for a specified number of years. Asset Year of Payment 1 Perpetuity (first payment in year 1) 2…..t Present Value t+1 C r Perpetuity (first payment in year t + 1) C 1 t r (1 r ) Annuity from year 1 to year t C C 1 t r r (1 r ) 2-22 Present Values Example Tiburon Autos offers you “easy payments” of $5,000 per year, at the end of each year for 5 years. If interest rates are 7%, per year, what is the cost of the car? 5,000 Present Value at year 0 5,000 5,000 5,000 Year 0 5,000/ 1.07 4,673 5,000/ 1.07 4,367 2 5,000/ 1.07 4,081 3 5,000/ 1.07 3,814 4 5,000/ 1.07 3,565 T ot alNP V 20,501 5 5,000 1 2 3 4 5 Short Cuts Annuity - An asset that pays a fixed sum each year for a specified number of years. 1 1 PV of annuity C t r r 1 r 2-23 Annuity Short Cut Example You agree to lease a car for 4 years at $300 per month. You are not required to pay any money up front or at the end of your agreement. If your opportunity cost of capital is 0.5% per month, what is the cost of the lease? 2-24 Annuity Short Cut Example - continued You agree to lease a car for 4 years at $300 per month. You are not required to pay any money up front or at the end of your agreement. If your opportunity cost of capital is 0.5% per month, what is the cost of the lease? 1 1 Lease Cost 300 48 .005 .0051 .005 Cost $12,774.10 2-25 Annuity Short Cut Example The state lottery advertises a jackpot prize of $295.7 million, paid in 25 installments over 25 years of $11.828 million per year, at the end of each year. If interest rates are 5.9% what is the true value of the lottery prize? 1 1 LotteryValue 11.828 25 . 059 .0591 .059 Value $152,600,000 2-26 FV Annuity Short Cut Future Value of an Annuity – The future value of an asset that pays a fixed sum each year for a specified number of years. 1 r 1 FV of annuity C r t 2-27 Annuity Short Cut Example What is the future value of $20,000 paid at the end of each of the following 5 years, assuming your investment returns 8% per year? 1 .085 1 FV 20,000 .08 $117,332 2-28 Constant Growth Perpetuity C1 PV0 rg g = the annual growth rate of the cash flow 2-29 Constant Growth Perpetuity NOTE: This formula can be used to value a perpetuity at any point in time. C1 PV0 rg C t 1 PVt rg 2-30 Constant Growth Perpetuity Example What is the present value of $1 billion paid at the end of every year in perpetuity, assuming a rate of return of 10% and a constant growth rate of 4%? 1 PV0 .10 .04 $16.667 billion 2-31 Perpetuities A three-year stream of cash flows that grows at the rate g is equal to the difference between two growing perpetuities. 2-32 Effective Interest Rates Effective Annual Interest Rate - Interest rate that is annualized using compound interest. Annual Percentage Rate - Interest rate that is annualized using simple interest. 2-33 Effective Interest Rates example Given a monthly rate of 1%, what is the Effective Annual Rate(EAR)? What is the Annual Percentage Rate (APR)? 2-34 Effective Interest Rates example Given a monthly rate of 1%, what is the Effective Annual Rate(EAR)? What is the Annual Percentage Rate (APR)? 12 EAR = (1 + .01) - 1 = r EAR = (1 + .01)12 - 1 = .1268or 12.68% APR = .01 x 12 = .12 or 12.00% 2-35 Web Resources Click to access web sites Internet connection required www.smartmoney.com http://finance.yahoo.com www.in.gov/ifa/files/TollRoadFinancialAnalysis.pdf www.mhhe.com/bma 2-36