Results of the Latest Market Research on Connected Homes Ronald J. Zimmer CAE President & CEO Continental Automated Buildings Association http://www.CABA.org LinkedIn Profile LANDMARK RESEARCH “State of the Connected Home Market” Emerald Sponsors Diamond Sponsors U.S. Households with HANS and iREM Nets Households with HANs and iREM Nets (U.S. Only) Million Households Percentage of Households 6 6% 5.6 5 5% 4 Utility-based Home Area Networks Households with iREM Nets % ALL HHs with HANs % ALL HH with iREM Nets 4.5% 3.6 3.3 iREM Net: Independent Residential Energy Management Network (Not Utility-based) 3 3% 2.6 2.7% 2 1.7 1 0.7 0.06 0.1 0.23 0.3 0.7 1.6 4% 2.9% 2% 2.1% 1.4% 1% 0.6% 0 0% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 © 2010 Parks Associates CABA Connected Home Roadmap 2010 Corning – A Day Made of Glass Summary: Benefits & Barriers Remote control, lower energy bills, safety & security drive interest in the connected home; ease of use matters to those who like the connected home Top Connected Home Benefits Total Online Consumers 18-64 (% Range for US & Canada) Remote control and having an easier way to control are related concepts Matters most to: Remote control from anywhere 44%-47% Saving money on energy bills 43%-48% Safety & security 42% Those with the most interest in the connected home Everyone Everyone Women Source: CABA’s State of the Connected Home Market 2011 (Those least interested in the connected home care most about saving energy) Easier to control 19%-29% Those with the most interest in the connected home Men Among energy consumers, the list of benefits is the same as for the general consumer population—remote access, saving money and safety/security Top-3 Connected Home Benefits Total Online Energy Consumers 18+ Control & monitoring (net) Energy (net) Ability to control locks, alarm, temperature and/or lights while away from home Saving money on energy bills Reducing the amount of energy your home uses Easier way to control & monitor home systems/devices Enhanced safety & security More convenient way to control locks, security, temperature and/or lights while at home More comfortable/pleasant home environment Access to desired entertainment content on any device Ability to know when household members have arrived or left Simplified management of home maintenance/repairs Nothing US 2011 (n=618) Canada 2011 (n=209) Source: CABA’s State of the Connected Home Market 2011 • Deadline for submission of presentation for the proceedings: January 14, 2011 • Please ensure that you bring a copy of your power-point slides with you on a thumb drive the day of your presentation – if you change your slides please email the organizers ASAP with the updated copy Data from 2009 CABA State of Connected Home Among energy consumers, potential demand for smart appliances is relatively robust Interest in Smart Appliances • Top-2 Box; % Definitely Buy At a ‘Reasonable’ Price Potential demand is roughly even across device types, though furnaces stand out in Canada. Online Energy Consumers 18+ Thermostat Likelihood to Purchase a Smart Appliance Air conditioner At a ‘Reasonable’ Price, When in the Market, *Discounted Demand 36% 30% 37% 35% Online Energy Consumers 18+ % ‘Definitely’, Top 2-box Water heater 34% 32% 33% Furnace US 2011 (n=614) 41% 31% Home security system Refrigerator Range, cooktop or oven Canada 2011 (n=209) US 2011 (n=185-219) Canada 2011 (n=62-85) Click here for concept description Source: CABA’s State of the Connected Home Market 2011 27% 31% 23% 30% 26% 30% Dishwasher Washing machine/dryer 25% 30% 27% Summary: Target Markets In US, both homeowners and renters, young and old are interested in smart appliances; in Canada, older homeowners have highest interest Those very interested in smart appliances: • Own home (79% US; 97% Canada) • Median age (41; 56) • Women (54%; 60%) • Annual HH income $50K+ (55%; 59%) Women somewhat more focused on laundry & kitchen • Have smartphone (66%; 55%) • Have tablet PC (23%; 39%) • Use/interested in dynamic pricing (55%; 58%) • Use equipment maintenance program (18%; 23%) • Use fiber-optic Internet (17%-US) Those very interested in Home Dashboard/HEMS (US): • Have smartphone (73%) and/or tablet PCs (28%). • Are more likely to participate in a clean energy (16%) or energy management program (17%) with their electric utility than those not interested (4%, 5%). Source: CABA’s State of the Connected Home Market 2011 All consumer types are interested in dynamic pricing– but tablet PCs are more common among those who are (23% in US). The top motivator for smart appliance purchase: saving money • • Reducing energy usage is less important than saving money in the US, while in Canada, it is nearly as important. Ability to get maintenance alerts and remote access are of lower importance. – Users of alarmed security systems are the most interested group in maintenance/repair alerts (US).* – Smartphone owners are more interested in remote control and monitoring than other consumers (US)* Smart Appliance Feature Importance Online Energy Consumers 18+ Mean Importance Based on 100-Point Allocation Ability to save money on energy costs US 2011 (n=618) 51.4 Canada 2011 (n=209) Source: CABA’s State of the Connected Home Market 2011 Rebates or other cost incentives Reduced home energy usage Ability Ability to to get monitor or maintenance/ control repair alerts remotely Whirlpool Smart Device Network Architecture CABA Connected Home Roadmap 2010 Willingness To Pay • For several high opportunity areas, many of those dissatisfied with their current situation are willing to pay for improved capabilities – Programmable lighting controls – Eliminating phantom energy drain – Individual room temperature and lighting control Percent Very/Somewhat Likely to Pay 70% 64% 68% 60% 67% 65% 58% 62% 57% 58% 55% 52% 53% 54% 50% 50% = Solid Opportunity Score US Canadian 50% 48% 47% 43% 33%30% JLA Strategic Research You appear to be most dissatisfied with your ability to perform the following activities. How willing would you be to pay for a better solution to each? Base are those very/somewhat dissatisfied with their current ability to perform each capability Very Strong Willingness >75% Strong Willingness >65% Mild Willingness >50% Weak Willingness <50% Smart Grid Video Consolidated Edison Co. of New York Smart Meter and HAN Canadians are generally more familiar with dynamic pricing and smart meters than Americans—though most still know little if anything about HEMS or HANs • Dynamic pricing and smart meters are more familiar to energy consumers in both the US and Canada than other smart grid concepts. Smart Grid Familiarity Total Online Energy Consumers 18+ US 2011 Never heard of it Heard of it, but not much else Know something about it Never heard of it Know a lot about it Dynamic Pricing (n=618) (n=209) Smart Meter (n=618) (n=209) Demand Response (n=618) (n=209) Home Energy Management System (HEMS) (n=309) (n=110) Home Area Network (HAN) (n=309) (n=99) Source: CABA’s State of the Connected Home Market 2011 Canada 2011 Heard of it, but not much else Know something about it Know a lot about it US: Energy & Green Living Opportunity Landscape There is a substantial market opportunity for energy reduction products/services: • • • Systems that track where and when energy and water is being consumed • Programmable lighting controls Products that schedule and control appliance usage • Analyze appliance efficiency Products that allow users to centrally control room temp and lighting • Monitor/ track electricity consumption • Water conservation/ monitoring system • Off-peak appliance scheduling • Energy management program Over-Served Table Stakes • Automatic maintenance notification • Programmable window covering • Eliminate phantom drain • Individual room control Allowing energy provider to remotely adjusting temps Appropriately Served CABA Connected Home Roadmap 2010 Limited Opportunity Under-Served Percent top 2 box Satisfaction and Importance scores JLA Strategic Research CABA’s Energy as a Managed Service Study Member Participants 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 3M Company Bell Canada Best Buy Direct Energy Freescale Semiconductor Honeywell International Ingersoll Rand/Trane/Schlage Intel Corporation Landis+Gyr Microsoft Corporation TELUS Tyco Electronics Whirlpool Corporation Research Supplier: POCO Labs Project Manager: Direct Energy CABA’s Energy as a Managed Service Research •Consumers would change behavior based on TOU. •TOU pricing on consumer behavior compared. •Preferred data sampling rate was cost/day. •Consumption behavior would change if energy savings were met. •EMS adopters are also into “green” behavior. •Five key segments of consumers were identified. The Home and Beyond from a Telecom perspective Courtesy: ZigBee Alliance Broadband Enables Intelligent MTUs The Verve High Rise Condominiums – Energy Savings Model Lights 12% Energy Savings 35% Receptacles 15% Space Heating 18% Domestic Hot Water 5% Fans & Pumps 12% Source: CABA’s Convergence of Green and Intelligent Buildings 2008 Space Cooling 3% Source: Evaluation of the Impact of Sub-Metering on Multi-Residential Electricity Consumption and the Potential Economic and Environment Impact on Ontario Lighting Systems Proportion of Projects by overall integration Health, 4% Education, 31% Other Comm, 0% Transport Buildings, 5% Retail, 10% Offices, 28% Source: CABA’s Intelligent and Integrated Buildings Technologies: Market Sizing in North America 2011 Other Public, 0.3% High Tech Industrial, 0.5% Life Science, 1% Industrial Assembly, 5% Comms/ Computer Buildings, 1% Warehouses, 0% Entertain/ Leisure, 1% Hotels/ Catering, 0.1% Central / Local Government, 4% Other Industrial (Petro-chem/ Refiniries etc), 2% Multi-occupancy Multioccupancy 0% Residential, Banking/ Finance/ residential, 0% Insurance, 2% Fire Detection Systems Market size by end user vertical market end multiHigh High end multi-occupancy Banking/ Finance/ Other Industrial, 1% occupancy residential, Insurance, 6% residential, 6% Warehouses, 2% Communications & Computers, 4% 6% Offices, 10% Industrial Assembly, 8% Hotels/ Catering, 6% Life Science, 3% Retail, 3% High tech Industry, 4% Entertain/ Leisure, 3% Other public, 1% Transport Buildings, 2% Other Comm, 1% Central & Local Government, 4% Health, 12% Education, 24% Source: CABA’s Intelligent and Integrated Buildings Technologies: Market Sizing in North America 2011 Security Systems Market share distribution by end user, 2008 High multiHighend end multi-occupancy occupancy residential, residential 1% 1% Other industrial 5% Public Surveillance 4% Banking/Finance 6% Offices 12% Warehouses 5% Communication buildings 2% Industry Assembly 6% Hotels/Catering 2% Retail 8% Life science 7% Entertainment/Leisure 2% High-tech manufacturing 3% Transport buildings 6% Other public 6% Central/Local Government 12% Source: CABA’s Intelligent and Integrated Buildings Technologies: Market Sizing in North America 2011 Other commercial 3% Health 5% Education 5% Environmental Controls Integration by building type in the North America 2008 High end residential Highmulti-storey end multi-storey residential Other Industrial Buildings Communications & Computer Buildings Industrial Assembly Life Science High-Tech Manufacturing Buildings Other Public Buildings Central / Local Government Including Military Health Education Other Commercial Buildings Transport Buildings Entertainment / Leisure Retail Hotels / Catering Offices Banking/Finance/Insurance 0% Source: CABA’s Intelligent and Integrated Buildings Technologies: Market Sizing in North America 2011 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Your Information Source for Home & Building Automation 1173 Cyrville Road, Suite 210 Ottawa, ON K1J 7S6 613.686.1814 Toll free: 888.798.CABA (2222) Fax: 613.744.7833 CABA@CABA.org http://www.twitter.com/caba_news http://www.linkedin.com/groups?gid=2121884 http://www.CABA.org