Creating Jobs Through
Infrastructure Investment
National League of Cities
March 13, 2012

Ventura
Los
Angeles
Orange
SCAG Quick Facts
San Bernardino
Riverside
Imperial
 Nation’s largest Metropolitan
Planning Organization (MPO) and
Council of Governments (COG)
 6 counties, 191 cities and over
18 million residents
 Governed by a Regional Council of 84 local elected officials
 15th largest economy in the world
 9,000 lane miles of freeway
 4 major airports
 Nation’s global gateway for trade
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Planning For The Future
SCAG undertakes a variety of planning and policy initiatives to encourage a more sustainable
Southern California now and in the future
.
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Regional Challenges
ENVIRONMENT
CONGESTION
ECONOMY
CLIMATE CHANGE
AGING
INFRASTRUCTURE
4

Our Vision for the Future of Southern California
Mobility
Economy
Sustainability
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5

RTP/SCS Bottom-Up Development Process
Cities met with to update and develop land use and
SED forecasts
175
Data gathering sessions & planning workshops in 2011
Regional Council and Joint Policy Committee Meetings in 2011
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Policy Committee and Subcommittee Meetings in 2011, including CEHD, EEC, TC, RTP Subcommittee, High-Speed Rail Subcommittee
Technical Committee Meetings in 2011, including Aviation TAC, P&P TAC, Transit TAC, Subregional Coordinators,
Transportation Conformity Working Gr oup
30
40
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What is included in the Plan?
• Over $525 billion in investments to improve the SCAG region’s transportation system through 2035
• $263 billion in capital investments
• $217 billion in system operations, preservation, and maintenance
• $45 billion in debt service to advance construction of projects
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7

Highways
Image courtesy Metro © 2011 LACMTA
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8

Goods Movement
9
9

Transportation Demand Management
Active Transportation

Transit and Passenger Rail
Image courtesy Metrolink

Image courtesy MVE & Partners, Irvine, CA
Land Use

What are the funding challenges and how are they addressed?
$524.7 billion (nominal dollars)
Additional
State
$83.2 (16%)
Core State
$46.8 (9%)
Additional
Federal
$84.3 (16%)
Core Federal
$33.0 (6%)
Additional
Local
$51.9 (10%)
Core Local
$225.5 (43%)
Debt Service
$45.1 (9%)
Capital
Projects
$262.8 (50%)
O&M Highway
$56.7 (11%)
O&M Transit
$139.3 (27%)
O&M Local
Roads
$20.9 (4%)
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Benefits of the Draft 2012-2035 RTP/SCS
State Mandate
SB 375 GHG Reduction
Year
8%
13%
8%
16%
Federal Mandate
Air Quality Conformity

Economic and Job Creation Analysis
• Economic Times required More Comprehensive Analysis of
Impact and Benefits of Infrastructure Expenditures
• SCAG Retained Team of Leading Economists o Wallace Walrod, Ph.D., Orange County Business Council o Marlon Boarnet, Ph.D., University of Southern California o Christine Cooper, Ph.D., LA Economic Development
Corporation o John Husing, Ph.D., Economics & Politics
• Team Used Regional Economic Models, Inc. (REMI Model) to assess impacts

Economic and Job Creation Analysis
• Components of Economic Analysis o Cost/Benefit of Investments o Economic Benefits of Construction Spending o Economic Benefits of an Improved Transportation System o Impacts of Fees

Cost/Benefit of Investments
Cost/Benefit
Analysis
Includes:
Travel Time Savings
Veh. Op. Cost Savings
Emission Cost Savings
4%
22%
74%
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2012–2035 RTP/SCS Per Capita Cost
• Total 2012 RTP/SCS Cost in Constant Dollars
• Annualize Costs
• Translate into per day
(365)
• Adjust for per capita
(Average of 20 million)
Cost is Less than
per capita
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2012–2035 RTP/SCS Per Capita Benefit
Over
per capita
$0,21
$1,23
Travel Time Savings
Emission Cost Savings
$4,16
Veh. Op. Cost Savings
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Summary of Results
Employment and Economic Benefits Types
Construction
174,500
Annual Jobs
Network Benefits
• Commuting
• Accessibility
• Transportation
196,000-512,000
Mid-point Estimate
354,000
Annual Jobs
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CONSTRUCTION
Job Creation Benefits
(Thousands of Average Annual Jobs)
2011-
2015
2016-
2020
2021-
2025
2026-
2030
2031-
2035
Annual
Average
176 157 166 180 154 166
ALL NETWORK BENEFITS 21 71 263 543 852 354
AMENITY & OPERATIONS 17 40 65 88 108 64

User Fee Impacts
(Thousands of Average Annual Jobs)
Impacts of revenue options with no reinvestment
2011-
2015
2016-2020 2021-2025 2026-2030 2031-2035 Average
SALES TAX -34.1
-34 -34.2
-35.3
-35.7
-34.6
HIGHWAY TOLLS
FREIGHT FEE
GAS TAX
VMT FEE
0
0
0
0
0
0
-6.4
0
0
0
-5.4
-14.8
-0.3
-0.2
-0.9
-72.9
-0.4
-0.3
-1.6
-63.1
-0.1
-0.1
-2.9
-29
All Revenue Options -34.1 -40.4
-54.4
-109.6
-101.1
-66.8
New jobs and their resulting local, state and federal revenues not reflected

Conclusion
- Per Capita Cost is less than $2 per day
- Per Capita Benefit is greater than $5 per day
Construction Benefits — 174,500 annual jobs
Network Benefits — 354,000 annual jobs
User Fee Impacts — 67,000 annual jobs
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View the Draft 2012-2035 RTP/SCS at