Draft Long-Range Transportation Plan Destination 2035 Orange County Business Council Infrastructure Committee December 14, 2010 Background LRTP OC SCS SCAG RTP/ SCS FTIP • 2035 horizon year for Orange County • Includes “fundable” projects and must be financially constrained • Links land use and transportation for Greenhouse Gas reduction purposes • Provides Orange County’s input into SCAG SCS • 2020/2035 horizon years for SCAG region • Must be financially constrained • Projects must be included in RTP • Financially constrained, six-year project listing LRTP = Long-Range Transportation Plan, RTP = Regional Transportation Plan, FTIP = Federal Transportation Improvement Program, SCS = Sustainable Communities Strategy 2 Goals Expand Choices By: • Improving connectivity • Improving travel mode accessibility • Expanding multimodal integration Improve Performance By: • Increasing person throughput • Reducing travel time • Raising level of service Work Toward Sustainability By: • Promoting alternative modes • Reducing air pollution • Preventing and treating run-off • Supporting timely maintenance 3 Challenges Population will grow by 453,000 persons (14.5 percent) by 2035, the equivalent of 6 cities the size of Tustin. 4 Challenges Employment will grow by 172,000 jobs (10.6 percent) by 2035, the equivalent of adding about 680 major businesses to the Orange County economy. 5 Challenges 2035: Peak period freeway speeds will fall by approximately 40 percent without capacity improvements. 6 Challenges Transportation Capacity Population and Employment Growth 1.5 million daily hours lost to congestion in 2035. Productivity loss = 187,500 jobs (equivalent) 7 Plan Scenarios Preferred 2035 Plan Population, Housing, Employment In 2035 “Baseline” 2035 Population, Housing, Employment in 2035 “Fundable” Projects (M2, etc.) “Funded” Projects in 2035 2008 Base Year Current Transportation Supply Current Demographics 8 Solutions: Major Plan Elements Increase Metrolink service up to 30-minute headways Add approximately 400,000 revenue vehicle hours of bus service (a 25 percent increase) including “Go Local” rubber-tired service Support efforts for fixed-guideway transit systems Add about 300 vanpools, doubling existing levels Expand bikeways network by 750 miles, or 75 percent Study express bus routes for longer-distance travel Support connections to the CA High Speed Rail System 9 Solutions: Elements, cont. Test bike sharing programs at key Metrolink stations Add 414 lane miles, or about 25 percent to the freeway and HOV network including new toll pricing projects Implement continuous access on HOV facilities1 Fund about 800 additional lane miles to the Master Plan of Arterial Highways (a 13 percent increase) Construct key road/rail grade separations Add signal synchronization to a 750-mile network Implement M2 environmental strategies 1 Continuous HOV access on all HOV lanes except where barrier separation is required for safety purposes. 10 Freeways Freeway expansion/ management will address future congestion on Orange County freeways. 11 Bus Frequent and faster bus services will improve transit effectiveness. 12 Rail-Bus Guideway and rubber-tired rail feeder projects will support increased Metrolink service. 13 Express Bus Express bus service is a key component for expanding transportation choices for longer distance commuters. 14 HOV HOV continuous access expansion will improve safety and operations. 15 Streets Future street projects are critical to keep local traffic moving. 16 Signals Signal synchronization will maximize the use of available capacity. 17 Bikeways Bikeways expansion will offer new commuting opportunities. “Bike stations” will increase accessibility to bikes and offer increased flexibility. 18 Vanpools Vanpool program expansion is possible with marketing and promotion to new areas and businesses. 19 LRTP Draft Results Population and Employment Fundable Projects Projected Revenues Delay savings = 105,000 job equivalents Transit ridership increases by 10 percent Future average speeds return to 89% of 2008 levels Daily 2035 delay reduced by 56 percent Note: Including CAHSR ridership would increase transit ridership by 20 percent. 20 Financial Forecast LRTP Revenue by Source in $Billions Total = $39.4 billion (To 2035) Federal $6.3 Local $17.5 State $5.9 Measure M2 $9.7 21 Next Steps Public review period (November 2010 – January 2011) Prepare final Draft (January - February 2011) LRTP adoption by the OCTA Board of Directors (March 2011) Incorporate Final LRTP into: OC Sustainable Communities Strategy Regional Transportation Plan 22