Tracking Progress Towards QNV 2030 Development Goals Environment Targets and Related Monitorable Indicators Presented by Noura Essa Abdullah and Sharon Ng Department of Social Development, GSDP QSA Workshop on Environment Statistics Concepts and Frameworks 24 September 2012 Presentation Themes 1 Context 2 Qatar National Vision 2030, National Development Strategy 2011-2016 and Sustainable Development 3 Environment Points of Stress 4 NDS Environmental Management Outcomes 5 Monitoring NDS Projects, Sector Outcomes and QNV Goals 6 Conclusion 1 Qatar – A Dynamic Arab Islamic Gulf State Rapidly rising prosperity and high human development Qatar - one of 6 Gulf Cooperation Council States….. ….with an increasing global presence Rapid economic growth averaging 16.2% in real terms between 2004-2010 – Qatar now highest per capita globally propelled by growth of its hydrocarbon industry, especially liquified natural gas Very rapidly growing population 1.7m in 2011 compared with 0.7m in 2004 – Includes large, growing and culturally diverse expatriate population High human development with HDI ranked 37th in world in 2011 compared with 57th a decade earlier – Leading country in terms of GNI per capita – Health and education dimensions of HDI below those of average of highest human development countries Qatar’s GDP and Population Grew Unsustainably Between 2000 and 2010 Called for planned growth with balance Exceptionally rapid rise in population, averaging 15% a year between 2004-2008 when economic growth was at its peak, called for substantial planning as well as infrastructure and social services Need for Sustainable Development and Environmental Management Qatar’s growing urban population, rising per capita income and rapid economic growth affecting the environment Increasing per capita Income Rapid population growth Increasing impact on Qatar’s environment Environmental impact per $ of income To meet this challenge Qatar establishing comprehensive environmental management system that aligns national growth and prosperity to realities of environmental constraints, supported by increasing capacity and sustainable technologies 2 Qatar National Vision 2030 Sustainable development, intergenerational equity, an underlying and cross-cutting principle QNV 2030 beginning to transform Qatar into an advanced country, capable of sustaining its own development and providing a high standard of living for all Qatar National Vision 2030 Human development Social development Economic development Environmental development Develop all people to enable them to sustain a prosperous society Develop just and caring society with high moral standards and active role in global development Develop competitive diversified economy to secure prosperity for all in present and future Ensure harmony between economic growth, social development and environment Institutional Development and Modernisation Sustainable Development QNV 2030 is built on four interrelated development pillars that envisage that development will be carried out with responsibility and respect, balancing the needs of economic growth and social development with environmental protection 3 Sustaining the Environment for Future Generations Addressing environmental points of stress Priority Areas Environmental Environmental Points Challenges of Stress Lack of integrated water management system − High water consumption and increasing demand − Rising water table in Doha that raises construction costs and threatens marine life Flaring intensity and high carbon dioxide emissions contributing to greenhouse gases Qatar vulnerable to rising sea levels as a small coastal country Water Management Energy and Climate Pollution and Waste Biodiversity Poor air quality as a result of high levels of particulate matter which impact on respiratory illnesses Large quantities of solid waste generated by high income households, construction and industry Threats to biodiversity with species vulnerable to extinction − Lack of comprehensive biodiversity database limits effective policy − Protected areas lack effective management plan and public awareness of biodiversity issues low 4 NDS Environmental Management Outcomes Priority projects with related targets 10 Projects National Water Act 14 Targets to be Achieved by 2016 Enact a comprehensive National Water Act establishing an integrated system of quality requirements, discharge controls and incentives for conservation Urban water table management plan Monitor groundwater, conserve freshwater aquifers where possible and eliminate excess water in Doha’s water table Improve air quality Management Eliminate instances of excess ozone levels through improved air quality management Halve gas flaring to 0.0115 billion cubic metres per million tonnes of energy produced from 2008 level of 0.0230 billion cubic metres per million tonnes of energy produced Establish a solid waste management plan, strongly emphasizing recycling Recycle 38% of solid waste, up from the current 8% Contain domestic waste generation at 1.6 kilogrammes per capita per day Reduction of gas flaring and venting Establishing a solid waste management plan 7 Outcomes Cleaner Water and Sustainable Use Cleaner Air and Effective Climate Change Reponses Reduced Waste, More Recycling and More Efficient Use NDS Environmental Management Outcomes (Cont) 10 Projects 14 Targets to be Achieved by 2016 7 Outcomes Creating a National Biodiversity Database Establish a comprehensive electronic biodiversity database Expand actively managed protected areas Functional Green Spaces Establish three shady greenspace corridors in Doha and monitor their effect on urban air quality and health Environmental Awareness Build an environmentally aware society Appoint a well known national champion for the environment to raise awareness and commitment through demonstration projects and conversation partnerships Environmental Information Database Create a searchable electronic information source at the Ministry of Environment Strategic Partnerships Lead one regional environment effort, and launch two environmental projects involving private sector participation Nature and Natural Heritage Conserved, Protected and Sustainably Managed Sustainable Urbanization and Healthier Living Environment An Increasingly Environmentally Aware Population Improved Governance and Cooperation 5 Level of monitoring What are we monitoring? What we will be learning QNV Pillars Monitoring high level goals QNV 2030 goals Have we achieved QNV development goals NDS Sectors Monitoring achievements NDS Projects Monitoring deliverables Monitoring tasks Quantitative and qualitative indicators NDS sector outcomes Quantitative and qualitative indicators Have the project deliverables contributed to the stated outcomes Quantitative and qualitative indicators Have the tasks we have implemented led to the desired results(eg legal, policy, regulation Project activities What tasks we are going to do through projects (eg drafting Project outputs changes, awareness campaigns ) legislation, policy, regulations, organising campaigns) Monitoring input investments Project inputs What resources we are investing in projects (eg financial, human, enabling environment) Planning Implementation Monitoring NDS Projects, Sector Outcomes and QNV Goals Who Monitors What and Why Transparency and Accountability Higher Level Development Results GSDP QNV 2030 Goals GSDP NDS Sectoral Outcomes GSDP and Ministries and Agencies Project outputs Ministries and Agencies Project activities MoEF and Ministries and Agencies Project inputs Why are we monitoring? • To measure gap between reality and development vision • To determine extent to which projects have contributed towards achieving desired development outcomes, to learn lessons and to support future planning • To determine extent to which deliverable have been met, to assess project effectiveness and take corrective measures • To determine extent to which activities have been completed (rate of project implementation), to learn lessons and to adjust project activities through corrective measures • To monitor resource effectiveness Effective National Planning: Managing for Results Who will monitor and what will they monitor? Expected Results Tracking Progress in Achieving NDS Results – Illustrative Example Results chain QNV Goal NDS Outcome Outputs (Deliverables) Activities (Tasks) Inputs What results are we aiming to achieve? Develop a sound social structure with effective public institutions and active civil society organisations Indicators of progress (Baselines and targets) • CEDAW and CRC ratified and complied with Reduced family violence • Number of reported cases of domestic violence reduced • Increase in % of women who feel that domestic violence has decreased O1. Comprehensive domestic violence prevention, protection and support system established O2. An early child neglect and abuse detection mechanism established • Increased awareness of harmful effects of domestic violence • New policy and legislation on child abuse implemented • Procure services • Collect and review data • Drafting legislation • Training programme • Create hotline • etc, etc Budgets, human resources • Budget allocated and spent for each activity Towards a NDS Monitoring Framework Measuring For Results Indicator frameworks at different levels, including baselines and targets (process, outcome and goal indicators), methods of collection, sources of data, level of detail, frequency of collection, assumptions and risks need to be factored Template(s) to collect monitoring information along with reporting matrices of monitorable indicators (piloted and validated) E-monitoring system for data storage, analysis and reporting with defined accessibility with flexibility to modify according to evolving needs (Institutional and participatory dimensions need also to be factored in measuring for results) A Guiding Principle When it comes to indicator selection less is more ... and be SMART Specific Does indicator capture essence of desired result? Measurable Will indicator show desired change/results? Achievable Are desired changes/results realistic? Relevant Is it applicable to intended development result ? Trackable Are data available or collectable at reasonable cost? Environmental Development Pillar A Balance Between Development Needs and Protecting the Environment NDS Sector Outcome 1: Preserving and protecting the environment, including air, land, water and biological diversity Target 1: Cleaner air through improved air quality management to meet WHO Air Quality Guideline levels (AQ 2005). Air quality – ambient concentration of air pollutants in urban areas: (i) carbon monoxide, (ii) nitrogen dioxide, (iii) sulfur dioxide and (iv) ozone. Target 2: More sustainable land use and healthier living environments by maintaining sustainable growth of urban land comparative with top 10 OECD countries. Land cover and land use rates of change Target 3: Cleaner water and sustainable use to meet the Environmental Protection Agency human health benchmarks for coastal water quality or Cleaner water and sustainable use by reducing water consumption to the average per capita consumption of OECD countries Quality of coastal waters in Qatar: (i) salinity, (ii) temperature, (iii) dissolved oxygen, (iv) biochemical oxygen demand and (v) chemical oxygen demand. Water abstraction per capita Target 4: Nature and natural heritage conserved, protected and sustainably managed by achieving 30% of total land and sea area as protected areas . Area of selected key ecosystems protected as a percentage of total area (land and marine) Abundance and change in threat status of selected key species NDS Sector Outcome 2: A comprehensive urban development plan for Qatar that adopts a sustainable policy with regard to urban expansion and population distribution Target 1: More sustainable urbanization and a healthier living environment, maintaining the average OECD urban growth rate for developed countries. Rate of growth of urban population Target 2: More healthier living environment and reducing premature deaths from air pollution by adopting OECD’s 25% air pollution reduction scenario. Estimated number of premature deaths from exposure to outdoor airborne particulate matter and ground-level ozone NDS Sector Outcome 3: Encouragement of regional cooperation to put in place preventive measures to mitigate the negative environmental effects of pollution arising from development activities Target 1: Improved governance and regional and international cooperation by supporting research and development in environmental management in line with OECD average and comparable to high-spending GCC countries. Gross domestic expenditure on R&D in environmental management as a percentage of total domestic expenditure on R&D R&D personnel in environmental management as a percentage of total R&D personnel NDS Sector Outcome 4: A proactive and significant regional role in assessing the impact of climate change and mitigating its negative impacts, especially on countries of the Gulf Target 1: Improved regional and international cooperation by providing development aid to foster innovation and support new clean technologies in line with the International Energy Agency (IEA) member countries average and comparable to high-spending GCC countries. Aggregate development assistance flows in support of climate change adaptation and mitigation as a percentage of GDP NDS Sector Outcome 5: Support for international efforts to mitigate the effects of climate change Target 1: Improved governance and regional and international cooperation, meeting or exceeding target for reduction of GHG emissions set by the Kyoto Protocol. Implementation of ratified global agreement for climate change Emissions of greenhouse gasses (Carbon dioxide equivalent) 6 Conclusion GSDP will monitor and report twice yearly to the Supreme Committee for Development Planning on NDS progress, including on strategy outcomes in relation to QNV goals prepare a mid-term review of the NDS by end 2013 as part of its mandate in the 6 year planning cycle QSA will work with GSDP on indicator selection and continue to support with relevant data for monitoring the progress and achievement of QNV 2030 development goals