IDTechEx RFID Chris Poulton chris.poulton@smartcitizen.net IDTechEx www.idtechex.com Consulting – Publications – Conferences © IDTechEx Ltd IDTechEx IDTechEx is an independent strategic analyst on RFID smart labels, printed electronics and smart packaging. Our core services provide: Consultancy Publications/ Research Conferences and Exhibitions Clients include: • Independent market and technology research reports covering RFID, printed electronics & smart packaging topics Global Conferences: USA, Europe and Asia Shell Oil Hewlett Packard Rexam Whirlpool Europe Guinness UDV Thin Film Electronics PolyTechnos Schiphol Airport… RFID Smart Labels Active RFID Printed Electronics • Smart Labels Analyst journal, Printed Electronics Review and the world’s largest RFID case study knowledgebase Consulting – Publications – Conferences © IDTechEx Ltd IDTechEx Agenda What is RFID? Why do we need it? Compelling Applications The Future NFC Consulting – Publications – Conferences © IDTechEx Ltd IDTechEx RFID System Basics Tag Chip connected to an antenna Air interface May be powered Communications protocol Which RFID frequency? Consulting – Publications – Conferences Reader sends signal and “reads” response Back end infrastructure Real time connection to network? © IDTechEx Ltd We are already using RFID • • • • • • IDTechEx Transport – Oyster, ITSO etc Door entry Car blippers Passports Citizencards High end mobile phones Consulting – Publications – Conferences © IDTechEx Ltd IDTechEx Example tag: Diagnostics KSW Microtec RFID tag with paper battery and temperature sensing. 13.56 MHz, range one meter $5+ Monitors blood samples, foods etc. Safety of drugs/consumables indicated Consulting – Publications – Conferences © IDTechEx Ltd IDTechEx RFID Multiple choices of parameter Frequency 3 Hz to 30 GHz Order number 1 to 1 billion Range 40 microns to 4km Tag size 0.1 to 10M cubic mm Tag price 0.1¢ to $1,000 Project cost $0.6k to $6bn Consulting – Publications – Conferences © IDTechEx Ltd RFID is used for very different purposes IDTechEx • Healthcare – anti-counterfeiting, locating people and assets • Military – efficient logistics, battlefield intelligence • Retail – increased sales, reduced costs • Financial and transportation – faster, more secure transactions • Animals – accurate, fast, disease response, locating lost pets • Library – find lost books, automate procedures, anti-theft Consulting – Publications – Conferences © IDTechEx Ltd Benefits of RFID vs alternatives (e.g. barcodes, magnetic stripe) IDTechEx • No line of sight needed • Greater reliability, speed and accuracy • Tougher for criminals to crack • More tolerant of obstructions and orientation • Works under environmental extremes • Some types gather data during use • Covert, cosmetic • Full track and traceability – from cradle to grave • Reader has no moving parts • Tags and reader have very long life Consulting – Publications – Conferences © IDTechEx Ltd IDTechEx Some compelling RFID applications • • • • Logistics Security Safety Traceability / product recall • Anti-counterfeiting • Proof of ownership • Product handshaking Consulting – Publications – Conferences • Carrying information around • Transactions • Positioning / locating • Toys • Brand enhancement • Diagnostics © IDTechEx Ltd IDTechEx Copiers, Clothing and Livestock RFID tagged Xerox copier cases auto-monitored Europe 250,000 per year Consulting – Publications – Conferences Goldwin Sportswear Italy 500,000 per year Livestock millions per year © IDTechEx Ltd IDTechEx Laboratory Test Tubes 13.56 MHz “coil on chip” RFID tag from Hitachi on test tube and a smart shelf for the simultaneous interrogation of large numbers of test tubes. Consulting – Publications – Conferences © IDTechEx Ltd IDTechEx RFID and Merchandising • Nokia mobile phones: New mobile phone NFC technology is enabling users to pay at vending machines, sing karaoke, collect information from posters etc. Consulting – Publications – Conferences © IDTechEx Ltd IDTechEx Smart Shelves A smart shelf system for DVDs in a Tesco supermarket in the UK that has increased sales by 4% due to reducing stockouts Consulting – Publications – Conferences © IDTechEx Ltd Tesco – Smart shelves for DVDs at goods inwards store in the supermarket Consulting – Publications – Conferences IDTechEx © IDTechEx Ltd Gas Cylinders and Beer Kegs – about 10 million tagged so far Consulting – Publications – Conferences IDTechEx © IDTechEx Ltd IDTechEx Tyre Tread Monitoring • Reporting requirement following Ford – Firestone fiasco • Only feasible with RFID in tyres • Pressure sensing typically added • UHF Consulting – Publications – Conferences © IDTechEx Ltd IDTechEx Road tolling Reader deployment – open flow traffic at LAX airport Consulting – Publications – Conferences © IDTechEx Ltd IDTechEx Item Level Tagging … happening faster than most think Pfizer, Purdue Pharma, GlaxoSmithKline item level tagging NOW Marks & Spencer apparel NOW – 350M yearly from 2008 DVDs in Tesco, books at manufacture, car tyres trials, DHL and FedEx postal packages invitations to tender……….. RFID Market 2006 by Tag Volume Sold Pallet/case 0.5 billion Item 0.2 billion Other 0.7 billion Total 1.4 billion Total Value $1.22 billion Research from “RFID Forecasts, Opportunities & Players 2006-2016” IDTechEx www.idtechex.com Consulting – Publications – Conferences © IDTechEx Ltd 0 Leisure, Sports Laundry Land and Sea Logistics, Passenger Transport, Retail, Consumer Military Manufacturing Consulting – Publications – Conferences Healthcare Airlines and Airports Animals and Farming Books, Libraries, Financial, Security, RFID Knowledgebase – Applications IDTechEx 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 © IDTechEx Ltd Most RFID is now packaged in labels not cards but cards remain the big spend IDTechEx 350 300 250 200 150 100 Thick enclosure Paper ticket Label Key fob Integrated Implant Wristband/Bracelet Consulting – Publications – Conferences Glass Bead Embedded Ear tag/Bolus tag Card Button 0 Badge 50 © IDTechEx Ltd RFID Potential market sizes Global Potential (Billion/Year) Library Museums, art galleries Laundry Animals Tires Tickets Cards Military items Blood Test tubes Archiving paperwork Air baggage Air freight Drugs Pallets, cases Books Postal Retail items 0.1 0.1 0.1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 30 40 50 650 10,000 IDTechEx RFID Leadership Singapore Europe Europe Thailand, S America, US, Eur. Europe Japan, Europe China US Europe/US Europe/US US US, China US US US, Europe Japan Europe Europe/Japan/US ITEM LEVEL IN RED Consulting – Publications – Conferences © IDTechEx Ltd IDTechEx RFID Applications and Tag Costs Low Volume High Price $100 Military, medical, emergency services, tracking stolen vehicles $1 Secure access, containers, pallets, car immobilisers, libraries, reusable transport cards 50 cents Laundry, air baggage, archiving of folders and oil cores, cattle, designer goods 10 cents Disposable smart tickets, smart cards, lumber, cartons, expensive retail products High Volume Low Price 1 cent or less Postage stamps, all barcodes, The Product Internet, archiving sheets of paper Consulting – Publications – Conferences © IDTechEx Ltd IDTechEx IDTechEx forecast for RFID tags 2006-2016 Item Pallet/case Other 600 500 Billion Number of RFID Tags (billions) 700 400 300 200 100 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 Consulting – Publications – Conferences 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 © IDTechEx Ltd IDTechEx Novelties For the Curious • Typical drivers for RFID are cost savings through replacing an old technology • However 20% of applications replace nothing – car blippers – talking drugs – toys etc • NFC consortium (Philips, Sony, Nokia, Samsung and HP) set up to market new consumer applications we didn’t know we needed Consulting – Publications – Conferences © IDTechEx Ltd IDTechEx NFC • • • • • • NFC Consortium set up by Philips and Sony 13.56 MHz Philips MiFare and Sony FeliCa compatible ISO compliance? Can be powered Applications – Allows mobile phone to securely download value and emulate MiFare card – Allows mobile phone to read MiFare tags – Intended to provide wireless data port to many consumer electronic devices – Bluetooth competitor • Interest from mobile operators and banks Consulting – Publications – Conferences © IDTechEx Ltd IDTechEx For further information read: RFID Forecasts, Players, Opportunities 2006-2016 RFID in Action Item Level RFID 2006-2016 Real Time Location Systems 2006-2016 The RFID Knowledgebase Over 2000 case studies listed and growing every month. Covering more than 2200 companies, 81 countries Learn from the successes and failures of others www.idtechex.com Tel: + 44 (0) 1223 813703 Consulting – Publications – Conferences © IDTechEx Ltd