CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND LEVERAGE 13-1 LEARNING OBJECTIVES n n n n Differentiate Business vs. financial risk Discuss the Optimal capital structure Discuss the Operating leverage Discuss the Capital structure theory 13-2 Four factors influence the firm’s capital structure decision 1. Business risk n Uncertainty about future operating income (EBIT) if it used on debt n The greater the firm’s business risk, the lower its optimal debt ratio 2. The firm’s tax position A major reason for using debt is that interest is deductible, which lowers the effective cost of debt. 13-3 Four factors influence the firm’s capital structure decision 3. Financial flexibility This is the firm’s ability to raise capital with reasonable terms under adverse conditions. The greater the probable future need for capital, and the worse the consequences of a capital shortage, the stronger the balance sheet should be. 4. The conservatism or aggressiveness of management Firms with aggressive managers are more inclined to use debt in an effort to boost profits. 13-4 What is business risk? ◦ Uncertainty about future operating income (EBIT), i.e., how well can we predict operating income? Low risk Probability High risk 0 E(EBIT) EBIT ◦ Note that business risk does not include financing effects. 13-5 What determines business risk? ◦Uncertainty about demand (sales). ◦Uncertainty about output prices. ◦Uncertainty about costs. ◦Product, other types of liability. ◦Operating leverage. 13-6 Employing Leverage ◦ Leverage: ◦ Use of “fixed cost” items in the process of magnifying earnings. ◦ Operating Leverage: ◦ Use of “fixed operating costs” in the process of magnifying operating income (EBIT) ◦ Financial Leverage: ◦ Use of “fixed financial costs” (e.g., debt and preferred stock financing) in the process of magnifying earnings per share EPS. Our discussion focuses on the use of debt financing. 13-7 Leverage and the Income Statement Sales - Fixed costs - Variable costs Operating Leverage Total Leverage EBIT - Interest EBT Financial Leverage - Taxes EAT Note: EPS = EAT/(# shares) [assuming no pfd. stock] 13-8 What is operating leverage, and how does it affect a firm’s business risk? ◦Operating leverage is the use of fixed costs rather than variable costs. ◦If most costs are fixed, hence do not decline when demand falls, then the firm has high operating leverage. 13-9 Effect of operating leverage ◦ More operating leverage leads to more business risk, for then a small sales decline causes a big profit decline. Rev. Rev. $ TC $ } Profit TC FC FC QBE Sales QBE Sales ◦ What happens if variable costs change? 13-10 Using operating leverage Low operating leverage Probability High operating leverage EBITL EBITH ◦ Typical situation: Can use operating leverage to get higher E(EBIT), but risk also increases. 13-11 Operating Breakpoint The amount quantity at which Sales = Costs, hence when EBIT = 0. Sales = Costs P*Q = V*Q + F Where P is average sales price per unit of output, Q is units of output, V is variable cost per unit EBIT = PQ – VQ- F = 0 Breakeven Q = F/(P-V) 13-12 EXAMPLE: ◦ A Company produces shoes with a selling price of P250 each. The variable cost for the production of shoes is P130. The fixed costs incurred by the company is P240,000. ◦ How many units should be produced to breakeven? 13-13 EXAMPLE: ◦ A Company produces shoes with a selling price of P250 each. The variable cost for the production of shoes is P130. The fixed costs incurred by the company is P240,000. ◦ How many units should be produced to breakeven? Breakeven = F/ (P-V) = 240,000 / (250 -130) = 2,000 units 13-14 Plan A : F = $40,000, P =$4, V=$3 Assets = $ 400,000 Plan B: F = $120,000, P =$4, V=$2 Assets = $ 400,000 What plan has a higher number of units to be breakeven? 13-15 Degree of Operating Leverage The degree of operating leverage is defined as the percentage change in operating income (EBIT) that results from a given percentage change in sales. DOL = % change in EBIT / % change in sales 13-16 Degree of Operating Leverage Another way to estimate DOL is: DOLQ = Q (P-V) / [Q (P-V) – F] based on output units Q DOLS = S -VC / [S -VC – F] based on dollar sales 13-17 Plan A : F = $40,000, P =$4, V=$3, Assets = $ 400,000 Plan B: F = $120,000, P =$4, V=$2, Assets = $ 400,000 Assume the quantity produced is 100,000 units. 13-18 Plan A : F = $40,000, P =$4, V=$3, Assets = $ 400,000 Plan B: F = $120,000, P =$4, V=$2, Assets = $ 400,000 Assume the quantity produced is 100,000 units. For Plan A: DOLQ = Q (P-V) / [Q (P-V) – F] = 100,000 (4-3) / [100,000 (4-3) – 40,000] = 1.67 For Plan B: DOLQ = 100,000 (4-2) /[100,000 (4-2)– 120,000] = 2.5 The results suggest that if Plan A has 1% increase in sales, it’s EBIT will increase by 1.67%, while for Project B the increase in EBIT will be 2.5%. 13-19 EXAMPLE: Company A, which has sales of P800,000 in year one, which further increased to P1,000,000 in year two. In year one, the operating expenses of the company stood at P450,000, while in year two, the same went up to P550,000. Determine the DOL for Company A. 13-20 Business risk vs. Financial risk ◦Business risk depends on business factors such as competition, product liability, and operating leverage. ◦Financial risk depends only on the types of securities issued. ◦ More debt, more financial risk. ◦ Concentrates business risk on stockholders. 13-21 What is financial leverage? Financial risk? ◦Financial leverage is the use of debt and preferred stock. ◦Financial risk is the additional risk concentrated on common stockholders as a result of financial leverage. 13-22 What is financial leverage? Financial risk? ◦ Financial leverage is the extent to which fixedincome securities (debt and preferred stock) are used in a firm’s capital structure ◦ Financial risk is an increase in stockholder’s risk over and above the firm’s basic business risk, resulting from the use of financial leverage. ◦ The use of debt (financial leverage) concentrates the firm’s business risk on its stockholders. This concentration occurs because debtholders who receive fixed interest payments bear none of the business risk. 13-23 An example: Illustrating effects of financial leverage ◦ Two firms with the same operating leverage, business risk, and probability distribution of EBIT. ◦ Only differ with respect to their use of debt (capital structure). Firm U No debt $20,000 in assets 40% tax rate Firm L $10,000 of 12% debt $20,000 in assets 40% tax rate 13-24 Firm U: Unleveraged Prob. EBIT Interest EBT Taxes (40%) NI Economy Bad Avg. 0.25 0.50 $2,000 $3,000 0 0 $2,000 $3,000 800 1,200 $1,200 $1,800 Good 0.25 $4,000 0 $4,000 1,600 $2,400 13-25 Firm L: Leveraged Prob.* EBIT* Interest EBT Taxes (40%) NI Economy Bad Avg. 0.25 0.50 $2,000 $3,000 1,200 1,200 $ 800 $1,800 320 720 $ 480 $1,080 Good 0.25 $4,000 1,200 $2,800 1,120 $1,680 *Same as for Firm U. 13-26 Essential Formulas ◦ Basic Earning Power (BEP) BEP = EBIT / Total Assets This ratio shows the raw earning power of the firm’s assets, before the influence of taxes and leverage. It is useful for comparing firms with different tax situations and different degrees of financial leverage. 13-27 Essential Formulas ◦ Times Interest Earned (TIE) ratio = EBIT / Interest charges A measure of the firm’s ability to meet its annual interest payments. ◦ Return on Equity= Net Income / Shareholder’s Equity 13-28 Ratio comparison between leveraged and unleveraged firms FIRM U Bad BEP ROE TIE FIRM L BEP ROE TIE Avg 10.0% 6.0% ∞ Bad Good 15.0% 9.0% ∞ Avg 10.0% 4.8% 1.67x 20.0% 12.0% ∞ Good 15.0% 10.8% 2.50x 20.0% 16.8% 3.30x 13-29 The effect of leverage on profitability and debt coverage ◦ For leverage to raise expected ROE, must have BEP > kd. ◦ Why? If kd > BEP, then the interest expense will be higher than the operating income produced by debt-financed assets, so leverage will depress income. ◦ As debt increases, TIE decreases because EBIT is unaffected by debt, and interest expense increases (Int Exp = kdD). 13-30 CONCLUSIONS ◦ Basic earning power (BEP) is unaffected by financial leverage. ◦ L has higher expected ROE because BEP > kd. ◦ L has much wider ROE (and EPS) swings because of fixed interest charges. Its higher expected return is accompanied by higher risk. 13-31 Degree of Financial Leverage ◦ The degree of financial degree is defined as the percentage change in EPS that results from a given percentage change in EBIT. DFL = % change in EPS / % change in EBIT. or = EBIT / [EBIT – Interest] EPS = Net Income / Ave. # of shares outstanding Note: If interest expense = 0, DFL = 1.0 (i.e., without any debt financing, the % change in EPS would be equal to the % change in EBIT). By incurring interest expense (debt financing) the firm’s % change in EPS will be greater than the % change in EBIT. 13-32 ◦Jayco has $2 million in sales, variable costs of 70% of sales, fixed costs of $100,000 and annual interest expense of $50,000. ◦What is the degree of financial leverage? 13-33 ACTIVITY ABC Inc. has operating income or (EBIT) of P5 million in Year 1, with interest expense of P1 million, and has 10 million shares outstanding. 1. What is the company’s EPS for Year 1? 2. What is the company’s DFL for Year 1? Assume ABC has a 20% increase in operating income in Year 2. The interest expense remain unchanged in Year 2. 3. What is the company’s EPS for Year 2? 13-34 Degree of Total Leverage Combining operating and financial leverage The greater the use of fixed operating costs as measured by DOL, the more sensitive EBIT will be to change in sales The greater the use of debt as measured by DFL, the more sensitive EPS will be to changes in EBIT 13-35 If a firm uses a considerable amount of both operating leverage and financial leverage then a slight change in sales will lead to wide fluctuations in EPS. The degree of total leverage, which combines the degree of operating leverage and financial leverage, shows how a given change in sales will affect EPS. 13-36 Formula for DTL DTL = DOL* DFL = (%D EBIT/ %D sales) * (%D EPS/ %D EBIT) = %D EPS/ %D sales DTL = [Q (P-C)] / [Q(P-V)-F-I] DTL = [S-VC] / [ S-VC-F-I ] shows that 1% change in sales will result in a difference the computed DTL% in its earnings per share 13-37 Formula for DTL % D in EPS DCL = % D in Sales Q( P - V ) = Q( P - V ) - F - I S - VC S - VC = = S - VC - F - I EBT æ % D in EBIT öæ % D in EPS ö =ç ÷ç ÷ è % D in Sales øè % D in EBIT ø = (DOL)(DFL) 13-38 ◦ XYZ Company had an EBIT of P5 million in the current financial year whereas it was P3 million in the previous fiscal year. The sales revenue during the same period increased from P60 million to P80 million. The net income in the previous year is P1.8 million and the company has 1 million outstanding shares. The company’s net income increased by 50% with no increase in the outstanding shares. ◦ Determine the company’s DTL. 13-39 Optimal Capital Structure ◦ That capital structure (mix of debt, preferred, and common equity) at which P0 is maximized. Trades off higher E(ROE) and EPS against higher risk. The taxrelated benefits of leverage are exactly offset by the debt’s risk-related costs. ◦ The target capital structure is the mix of debt, preferred stock, and common equity with which the firm intends to raise capital. 13-40 What effect does increasing debt have on the cost of equity for the firm? ◦ If the level of debt increases, the riskiness of the firm increases. ◦ We have already observed the increase in the cost of debt. ◦ However, the riskiness of the firm’s equity also increases, resulting in a higher ks. 13-41 The Hamada Equation ◦ Because the increased use of debt causes both the costs of debt and equity to increase, we need to estimate the new cost of equity. ◦ The Hamada equation attempts to quantify the increased cost of equity due to financial leverage. ◦ Uses the unlevered beta of a firm, which represents the business risk of a firm as if it had no debt. 13-42 The Hamada Equation βL = βU[ 1 + (1 - T) (D/E)] ◦ Suppose, the risk-free rate is 6%, as is the market risk premium. The unlevered beta of the firm is 1.0. We were previously told that total assets were $2,000,000. Tax rate is 40%. 13-43 Calculating levered betas and costs of equity If D = $250,000 βL = 1.0 [ 1 + (0.6)($250K/$1,750K) ] βL = 1.0857 ks = kRF + (kM – kRF) βL ks = 6.0% + (6.0%) 1.0857 ks = 12.51% 13-44 Finding Optimal Capital Structure ◦The firm’s optimal capital structure can be determined two ways: ◦ Minimizes WACC. ◦ Maximizes stock price. ◦Both methods yield the same results. 13-45 What if there were more/less business risk than originally estimated, how would the analysis be affected? ◦ If there were higher business risk, then the probability of financial distress would be greater at any debt level, and the optimal capital structure would be one that had less debt. ◦ On the other hand, lower business risk would lead to an optimal capital structure with more debt. 13-46 Other factors to consider when establishing the firm’s target capital structure 1. Industry average debt ratio 2. TIE ratios under different scenarios 3. Lender/rating agency attitudes 4. Reserve borrowing capacity 5. Effects of financing on control 6. Asset structure 7. Expected tax rate 13-47 What are “signaling” effects in capital structure? ◦Assume: ◦Managers have better information about a firm’s longrun value than outside investors. ◦Managers act in the best interests of current stockholders. 13-48 What can managers be expected to do? ◦ Issue stock if they think stock is overvalued. ◦ Issue debt if they think stock is undervalued. ◦ As a result, investors view a common stock offering as a negative signal--managers think stock is overvalued. 13-49 CONCLUSIONS ◦ Need to make calculations as we did, but should also recognize inputs are “guesstimates.” ◦ As a result of imprecise numbers, capital structure decisions have a large judgmental content. ◦ We end up with capital structures varying widely among firms, even similar ones in same industry. 13-50