“Who then beheld the figures of the clouds Like blooms secluded in the thick marine?” W allace Stevens (1879–1955) 3D Cloud Properties & Climate Robert.F.Cahalan@nasa.gov Head, Goddard Climate & Radiation Branch Proj Scientist: 3DWG (I3RC), THOR, and SORCE Observations Radiative Transfer Convection Bell Davis Marshak McGill Oreopoulos Ridgway Varnai Wen Wiscombe … M. Budyko (1920-2001) Theme … 1. Moisture Evap, Precip, Runoff 2. Energy Albedo, Atmos, Sfc 3. Feedback Ice (+), Cloud (-) 4. Global Warming & Life Decades … 1940’s – 50’s 1950’s – 60’s 1960’s – 70’s 1970’s – 90’s Budyko’s Bucket: Soil Capacitance, Physical and Bio-physical “…Assuming Earth’s albedo as α s = 0.33, we find short-wave radiation absorbed …167 kcal/cm2/yr.” Quantity … Qo α s Qo α (1- s) Qo Atmos Abs Sfc Abs Budyko … Kiehl & Trenberth… 333 342 (+9) 111 107 2 222 X 1.3327 222W/m (-4) 235 (+13) 55 67 (+12) 167 168 (+ 1) “The precision of these data is of importance in the study of climate.” Stratus, deep convection, cirrus … We observe many cloud types … Morphological diversity of marine stratocumulus clouds “Who then beheld the figures of the clouds Like blooms secluded in the thick marine?” W allace Stevens (1879–1955) Cloud vortices seen by MISR Von Karman vortex street near Jan Mayen Island 6 June 2001 Time interval from 70º forward to 70º backward view: 7 minutes “Look when the clouds are blowing And all the winds are free: In fury of their going They fall upon the sea.” Frederick W illiam Henry Myers (1843–1901) D. Diner Future: CloudSat radar will see cloud drops (not just rain drops like TRMM) • with complementary measurements from other cars on “the Atrain”: • - CALIPSO: lidar • - PARASOL: polarized radiances (French) • - Aqua, Aura: last great multi-instrument EOS platforms ===== Act II, Scene 1 I3RC phase Imag e o f sc e ne Sc e ne desc riptio n S imple array o f clou d slabs 250 m 18 I3RC Phases and Cases 1 2 18 2 18 2 Status Comp leted 250 m X-Z field observe d by cloud ra dar Comp leted X-Y fields of optica l a nd geom e trica l cloud thicknesses Comp leted 3D str a toc umulu s fields from Larg e Ed dy S imula tions Comp leted 3D c umulu s fields fr om Large Edd y S imula tions Comp leted 3D clou d field from combin e d MODIS /MIS R/ AST ER observation s , usin g comple x surface In progress 2 Now in phase 3 3 Sprea ding of lidar pulses inside clouds In progress I3RC codes demonstrated high accuracy and flexibility ===== Act II, Scene 2 Cloud fraction is insufficent for radiation, and cloud overlap is an inadequate “band-aid” ... none of the 1D schemes work well Validation of THOR geometrical cloud thickness retrievals THOR System QuickTimeª and a Graphics decompressor are needed to see this picture. 1000 Flight altitude: 8060 m 5020 m 900 7320 m 8540 m 7-8 16 6 11 15 800 42 3 5 12 700 9 THOR retrieval (m) 14 600 Cahalan et al. (2005) 13 10 1 Image from DOE ARM program 500 500 600 700 800 900 1000 THOR + ARM estimate (m Remote Sensing depends on 3D Radiative Transfer, while Climate Models depend on 3D Cloud Structure Independent Column Plane-Parallel small pixels have ICA error; large ones have PP biases Retrieved properties of cloud and aerosol depend upon 3DRT … αϖεραγεδ ιλλυµινατεδ σηαδοωεδ 270 275 280 285 Brightness 290Temperature (K) 295 10 12 14 effective radius ( 16 18 20 µ µ) Effect of scattering angle on the retrieval of cloud droplet effective radius (from Vant Hull et al., 2006). Observed aerosol reflectance vs 3D modeled reflectance at the same points assuming constant aerosol optical depth (from Wen et al., 2006). … accounting for 3DRT alters observed correlation of cloud and aerosol ASTER image of a sample scene, and MODIS cloud optical thickness product for the same scene. Cloud coverage is 53%, the average cloud optical thickness is 12. Aerosol optical thickness is near 0.2 at 0.47 µm and near 0.1 at 0.67 µm wavelength. Black rectangles highlight areas selected for detailed analysis and the black dots identify pixels used in operational MODIS aerosol retrievals. 1D cloud-aerosol relation from above scene, and 3D relation for same scene. Aerosol optical thicknesses were corrected using 3D effects estimated from 3D Monte Carlo simulations. Mean droplet effective radius of each 10 km area was corrected by excluding 1 km-size pixels where strong local brightness temperature variability indicated large 3D-related retrieval uncertainties. ===== Act III Can dynamical cloud models be driven by 3d radiation? Cloud resolving models have tall narrow columns that (so far) exclude horizontal radiative fluxes. 3DRT produces hot and cold spots. Simulations of nocturnal stratocumulus driven by 3DRT infrared cooling have shown enhanced convection (Kagan et al.) Daytime convective run with 3DRT heating W. O’Hirok, UCSB WRF 3DRT non-hydrostatic 2D – 400/512 columns x 80 layers 250 m layer and column resolution 240 minute simulation 3 second time step 5 minute radiation time step shortwave - 3D* longwave -1D RRTM microphysics - water, ice, graupel, snow, rain (Lin et al.) surface layer physics - Monin-Obukov turbulence – TKE scheme* ocean/soil surface layers - thermal diffusion open/periodic boundaries initial temperature perturbation * modified for air-surface exchange Two experiments comparing generated cloud fields using *3D and ICA radiation schemes A. Deep convection over water - periodic boundary conditions for dynamics and radiation. B Deep convection over land - open x boundary for dynamics, periodic boundary for radiation. 3D radiation on 2D field * periodic boundary 35 min periodic boundary 55 min periodic boundary 110 min periodic boundary 195 min periodic boundary 220 min Periodic boundary 15 domain average condensate (liquid, ice, snow, graupel,rain) 0 - 240 min 3D ICA height (km) height (km) 0 - 80 min 3D ICA 15 cloud fraction (liquid, ice) 0 .0 g kg-1 .25 0 .0 fraction .40 Domain Average Albedo (3D/ICA) Transmission (3D/ICA) Atm. Heating (3D/ICA) 1.6 1.6 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.8 Time 13:00 17:00 13:00 17:00 13:00 17:00 Domain average ratios (3D/ICA) 2.0 accumulated precipitation 1.0 0.0 2.0 latent Heat 1.0 0.0 5.0 vertical wind variance 1.0 0.0 1.2 atmospheric absorption 0.0 0.8 0 60 120 simulation time (m) 240 cloud condensate (g/kg) ICA 13:40 8.0 SW heating rate (K/hour) ICA 4.0 2.4 2.0 1.6 1.2 2.0 0.8 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.1 0. 3D 8.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 3D 2.4 2.0 1.6 1.2 0.8 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.1 0. 0.0 14:40 ICA 3D cloud condensate cloud condensate 6 g/kg 4.1 g/kg SW heating rate SW heating rate 1.2 K/hour vertical velocity 2.4 K/hour vertical velocity +11 m/s -20 m/s -19 m/s 0 +20 m/s km 100 0 km 100 Summary ・ R em ot e sen si n g & m od eli n g of clou d s r equ i r es 3D T r a n sfer . ・ P u bli c 3D R T cod es a r e n ow a v a i la ble t h a t a r e R a dia tiv e Accurate, Precise, Diverse, Flexible, Rapid, Scalable, Understandable. ・ A p p li ca t i on s ex t en d bey on d clou d s to vegetation, terrain, ice/snow, … 3DRT causes components to interact. ・ D y n a m i ca l clou d m od eli n g w i t h 3D R T i s n ow i n i t s i n fa n cy . ・ C on v ect i v e clou d m od els a r e beg i n n i n g t o a p p ly bot h ex a ct a n d a p p r ox i m a t e 3D R T . “Joy in looking and comprehending is nature’s most beautiful gift.” Albert Einstein (1879-1955)