20 YEARS OF TRANSFORMATIONS IN SOUTH ASIA Thursday, January 31, 2013 9:00 – 9:45 Introduction & Keynote Address Introductory Remarks Jessica Mathews, President, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Keynote Speaker Jagdish Bhagwati, Columbia University 9:45 – 11:15 Will India Ever Be the “Locomotive of History” in South Asia? Where Does the Indian Economy Stand? Arvind Subramanian, Peterson Institute for International Economics An Elephant in the Dragon’s Den: India’s Trade with Southeast Asia Vikram Nehru, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace India: The Challenge of Human Capital Devesh Kapur, University of Pennsylvania The Difficult Path to Reform: Confronting Political Corruption in India Milan Vaishnav, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Moderator: Ashley J. Tellis, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace 11:15 – 11:30 Coffee Break 11:30 – 1:00 India and the Balance of Power in Asia 1:00 – 2:00 Managing the Giant Next Door: India’s Response to China’s Military Modernization Ashley J. Tellis, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Integrating, Balancing, Deterring: India’s “Look East” Policy Revisited Frédéric Grare, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace India and Pakistan: The Way Out of a Deadlock Jack Gill, Near East and South Asia Center Moderator: George Perkovich, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Lunch 2:00 – 3:30 The Stability of Deterrence in South Asia Is There an Arms Race in South Asia? Toby Dalton, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace The Proliferation of Pakistan’s Tactical Nuclear Weapons Neil Joeck, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory The Non-Unitary Model and Deterrence Stability in South Asia George Perkovich, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Moderator: Iskander Rehman, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace 3:30 – 3:45 Coffee Break 3:45 – 5:15 Differentiated Trajectories in the Indian Subcontinent Afghanistan: The Search for a Functional Political System Sarah Chayes, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace The State vs. the Nation: The Quest for Political Legitimacy in Pakistan Christine Fair, Georgetown University Sins of the Fathers: The Origins, Future, and Implications of the Bangladesh Governance Dilemma Maneeza Hossain, Hudson Institute Moderator: Frédéric Grare, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace