Global Trends Lisa Davis on Emerging Global Energy Trends Shale oil and gas, distributed energy, big data, and energy storage are disrupting the status quo in the energy industry. Living Energy met Member of the Siemens Managing Board Lisa Davis to discuss global energy trends. Text: Justin Gerdes Photos: Chris McEniry Y ou come to Siemens with nearly three decades of experience in the oil and gas sector. What attracted you to this new challenge and new role with Siemens? Lisa Davis: That’s a good question, because I’ve always very much enjoyed the oil and gas business, so it wasn’t a desire to leave oil and gas, but more a desire to expand my knowledge and ability to participate in the energy field in total. Oil and gas is a big part of energy, but there’s so much more to it. If you look at where the energy business is going, if you look at where society’s demands in the energy field are, it’s more around electrification; it’s more around alternate fuels; it’s less traditional oil and gas. The demands of society are growing so fast that you have to have solar, you have to have wind, and other sources. Gas becomes a much more relevant part of the energy portfolio. 42 Living Energy · No. 11 | December 2014 How will you use your oil and gas industry expertise to help position Siemens for growth opportunities in the coming years? L. Davis: I have spent almost 30 years now in oil and gas, so I have a very good understanding of the market and how the different oil and gas companies operate, whether they be oil and gas companies in the upstream, midstream, or downstream. I do see significant opportunity in all three of those areas. Oil and gas customers are very different from what we see in the rest of our customer base – the utility customers, for example. They have different expectations. They’re looking for solutions, to a large extent, and not project support. They’re also looking for significant innovation. One of the big energy stories in the USA in recent years has been the fracking boom, tapping unconventional oil and natural gas. Does u Siemens Board Member Lisa Davis on the future energy market: “There’s an incentive in the marketplace that drives development of new solutions; and, over time, those solutions become more and more economical until growth takes off. I see that happening in storage.” Global Trends Siemens plans to have a bigger footprint in that part of the market in the USA? L. Davis: At Siemens, we see that area as a huge opportunity. It’s an area where we’re having success today in terms of capturing business, but there’s so much more out there that we could do. With my background, I bring knowledge of the marketplace. I know how the oil and gas companies do business. I know what’s important to them. Global Trends Lisa Davis The recently announced agreement to acquire Dresser-Rand strengthens Siemens’ portfolio for the oil and gas industry. How will Dresser-Rand be integrated in the Siemens strategy? L. Davis: Our aim is to become the leading rotating equipment and process system integrator for the oil and gas industry. Dresser-Rand has strong presence in oil and gas, a reputation for technology leadership and innovation, and a talented and experienced leadership team. Our intention is to leverage these strengths by maintaining the existing company and brand name and selectively moving complementary products and ­services from the existing Siemens portfolio into Dresser-Rand enabling us to offer a much broader range of products, services and solutions to meet our customers’ needs. We are also purchasing Rolls-Royce’s business in aero-derivative gas turbines, which have a very strong footprint in the oil and gas industry. That will make us more attractive to oil and gas customers and offer them a broader solution. and gas, the situation calls for distributed-power-type solutions – not the traditional utility supply. Furthermore, Siemens is developing subsea power grid solutions for use 3,000 meters below the surface of the ocean. The oil that is available globally is becoming harder to reach, requiring developers to spend more money to reach offshore deposits. How does Siemens plan to position itself in that part of the market? L. Davis: Our approach within Siemens is to build on the competence that we have in electrification, in automation, and in data management. If you look at the challenges in the oil and gas business and the hard-toreach locations of unconventional oil The power sectors in Europe and the USA are becoming less dominated by big electric generation utilities, especially in Germany, where very little of the new renewables coming online are owned by the big utilities. How does Siemens plan to take advantage of a more decentralized power sector? L. Davis: We have small and medium gas turbines, both those using the existing technology within Siemens and Rolls-Royce’s aero-derivative turbines. 44 Living Energy · No. 11 | December 2014 Background and Education Lisa Davis studied chemical engineering at the University of California, Berkeley, where she graduated with a Bachelor of Science (Honors). Professional Experience During her nearly 30-year career in the oil and gas industry, Lisa Davis served in several executive positions. Before j­ oining Siemens in August 2014 as a Member of the Managing Board, responsible for the Division of Power and Gas, D ­ ivision Wind Power and Renewables, Division Power Generation Services, and North and South America, Davis served as Executive Vice ­President, Strategy, Portfolio & Alternative Energy for Royal Dutch Shell. We also have a very strong business in wind, both onshore and offshore. Our smart grid technologies are very well suited for integrating the distributed power generation units into the grid. It’s not just about generating the power, it’s also about bringing that power into the broader infrastructure. In addition, we have very good potential in the area of storage solutions. How do we create more capability not only to generate power in a very distributed fashion, but also to then store it for broader use? Historically, gas turbines have been a strength for Siemens. Utilities in the USA are planning for pending regulations from the Environmental Protection Agency under the Clean Power Plan requiring each state to come up with a cleaner generation portfolio. How is Siemens preparing for coming regulatory changes in the USA? L. Davis: The market is changing; that is a fact. Renewables are becoming even more affordable, and they increasingly reflect the market cost for power. We see renewables becoming a much stronger and more competitive form of energy in the future. This is also prompted by the challenges within the USA in connection with the shift from coal to gas to renewables. The EPA’s Clean Power Plan certainly strengthens and reinforces that trend. We expect that the importance of highly efficient and flexible gas power plants, as well as of renewable energy plants, will continue to grow significantly. Our gas turbines offer very clean power and very reliable base-load operations; on the other hand, our clean energy portfolio, which is predominantly our wind business, can be further increased based on the foundation of the reliable gas business. Another trend is the move to harness the power of big data in the energy sector through the use of digitization and data analytics. Where does Siemens see opportunities in that part of the market, with increasing reliance on sensors, remote connected systems, and smart grid technologies? L. Davis: We do see this as a huge opportunity. What we are talking about is the data that we receive from the sensors on our equipment, but we also collect – and this is probably less well known – a significant amount of data and information generated by our systems from all of our service activities. We have a very strong service business, which we leverage to maximize the life cycle of our equipment. At the end of the day, though, data in itself doesn’t have any value; what is important is how you use it, how you interpret it, and how you create value with it. We can also use this data to manage our systems much more efficiently. Energy systems are becoming much more decentralized. The user data and the information technology help us to optimize the values of that within the broader system, allowing us to make suggestions on how to collate different assets within a system in order to meet the customers’ needs in terms of power generation or power availability. The diverse mix of clean distributed generation being added to the grid is creating hybridized energy systems. What are some of the opportunities available for crossover applications with heat and cold, mobility, and power? L. Davis: As we start to introduce a greater mix of energy sources, whether they be gas generated or ­renewable generated, and these sources begin feeding electricity into the grid, we have to have the ability to create flexibility in order to optimize the system. the grid. On the other hand, I also believe that the economics of storage solutions will be challenging in the near future. Even though we see solutions emerging, those solutions are not as economical as they need to be to develop at a fast pace in most regions. This is a typical trajectory for new technologies in that there’s an ­incentive in the marketplace that drives development of solutions; and then, over time, those solutions become more and more economical until growth takes off. I see that happening in storage. Imagine we were to resume this conversation ten years from now. What big trends will have solidified? What surprises will have come about? L. Davis: I do see a number of trends developing. The first one is in the “We see energy generation becoming much more flexible, with crossover forms of energy between power and hydrogen.” Lisa Davis, Member of the Managing Board, Siemens, CEO Energy For example, if there’s an oversupply, the power can be transformed into other forms of energy – power to heat, to cold, or power to hydrogen for industry, or mobility, or storage applications. How close is cost-competitive energy storage for homes? And how important do you think energy storage will be in general in the shift to a more decentralized power sector? L. Davis: It’s a field that’s developing quickly. Residential storage solutions are already emerging. If you look at some of the producers who face very high energy prices, it becomes a lot cheaper for them to produce on site and store their extra energy instead of purchasing from area of electrification. We see more and more applications running on electricity rather than primary fuel. Secondly, we see energy forms or energy generation becoming much more flexible; crossover forms of energy between power and hydrogen. Third, with the growth and emphasis on distributed energy, we see power generation and power consumption overlapping. You will see new markets with new players, new business models being required – that’s typical of any evolving marketplace. p Justin Gerdes is an independent journalist ­specializing in energy and climate change base­­­­d in the San Francisco Bay Area. His work has ­appeared at Forbes.com, the Guardian, Yale ­Environment 360, Ensia, and Smithsonian, among others. Living Energy · No. 11 | December 2014 45