Urban Renewal Programme Assessment: impacts of investment in Khayeletsha and Mitchells Plain URP nodes: proposed work plan v.4 29/07/2010 Task Details Period 1 Collate existing Information: Baseline information / data Latest profiling data Identify projects Financial statements and project details Obtain relevant policies, existing studies & financial information MCA 2006 study Project documentation (Business Plans, reports etc, as relevant) Financial statements and project details (George) Other internal and external studies done in the KhayePlain area since the 2001 census. Already commenced – End of July 2010 Urban-Econ Development Economists Resources & Dependencies Chantal to assist Project documentation to also come via Task 2. Urban Renewal Programme Assessment: impacts of investment in Khayeletsha and Mitchells Plain URP nodes: proposed work plan v.4 29/07/2010 Task Details Period 2 Initial role player engagement: Clarify and manage expectations of this study Workshop KPIs to be assessed in this URP evaluation: o UE to develop KPI framework for work shopping, informed by policy and plans (espoused objectives of URP & National URP Review Indicators) o Workshop should ensure a holistic set of KPIs i.t.o financial, economic and social returns. o Identify nodal areas for comparative purposes Identify further role players for “lessons learnt” / qualitative aspects of the evaluation, including. Engage Ivan, Patrick & George and snowball role players from there; ensuring that role players are representative – i.e. both internal (CoCT and projects, incl. private sector investors) and external (groups representing the broader community). July 2010 (& ongoing throughout project) Attend multi-stakeholder forum in August 2010. Resources & Dependencies Jonathon & Chantal to assist with initial meetings – Ivan, Patrick and George. Chantal to provide contact list & minutes of last stakeholders forum meeting, & details (date, time, venue) for next meeting. Workshop #1 Chantal to assist: KPI & nodal areas workshop (determine the assessment framework for Task 5) – Provisional Date 2nd week August Assistance will be requested by UE only in the case of difficulty getting responses from Urban-Econ Development Economists Urban Renewal Programme Assessment: impacts of investment in Khayeletsha and Mitchells Plain URP nodes: proposed work plan v.4 29/07/2010 Task Details Period 3 Policy and Programme Review: Review relevant policies and programme plans Spatially map planned vs. implemented projects and delineate nodal areas for comparative assessment (Task 5) Identify strengths and weaknesses (read: gaps) in policy vs. implemented projects Desktop analysis of obtained policies, project plans, project reports and financial statements, with ad hoc role player engagement for clarifications and additional insight. August 2010 First Invoice Deliverables: Minutes of meetings and workshops held Policy and documentation review Identified KPIs and baseline data Overview of projects, investments & spatial representation (draft) Urban-Econ Development Economists Resources & Dependencies further role players. Information obtained in Task 1, and ongoing role player engagement (Task 2) Set up Workshop #2 Role player workshop: initial “lessons learnt” / process evaluation (primarily qualitative) – Provisional Date (last week August) R 45 000 (excl. VAT) Urban Renewal Programme Assessment: impacts of investment in Khayeletsha and Mitchells Plain URP nodes: proposed work plan v.4 29/07/2010 Task Details Period 4 Detailed Data Analysis Develop Investment Matrix: investment in different nodes and/or themes (2003-2009) Chart revenues and expenses (flow chart of various financial streams) Chart inputs-process-outputs (flow charts of financial and non-financial streams and the specific tangible outputs) Where relevant/possible, spatially map inputs and outputs (nodal areas) Identify known outcomes / spin-off effects of various input-streams. Where possible, spatially map these outcomes. Desktop analysis of obtained project plans, project reports and financial statements, with ad hoc role player engagement for clarifications and additional insight. August/September 2010 Urban-Econ Development Economists Resources & Dependencies Financial and Project information obtained in Task 1, 2 & 3. Presentation of draft flowchart: proposed for 22 September 2010. Urban Renewal Programme Assessment: impacts of investment in Khayeletsha and Mitchells Plain URP nodes: proposed work plan v.4 29/07/2010 Task Details 5 Detailed Impact assessment: Develop statistical impact models and evaluation matrices. Based on Qualitative and quantitative known inputs from Workshop #1 outcomes (from task 4) Qualitative and quantitative KPI impact assessment : o Use revenue and expense flows (Task 4) to model quantitative impacts o Ongoing role player engagement to unpack qualitative impacts Comparative analysis of nodal areas: o Develop a matrix of nodal areas by KPI as assessed above (i.e. comparison of financial, economic and social returns per nodal area) o Include areas identified in Workshop #1*. o Include timeframes: from initial input to final outcome. Unpack causal linkages: o Compare modeled impacts and reported outcomes with changes in KPIs (2003-2009)* o Unpack other interventions and changes in the broader environment that contributed positively/negatively to inputs, processes, outputs and outcomes. Urban-Econ Development Economists Period September 2010 Resources & Dependencies Requires KPI workshop(s) (Task 2) and completion of Task 4 *Reliable data availability for each KPI is a potential limitation to these steps Urban Renewal Programme Assessment: impacts of investment in Khayeletsha and Mitchells Plain URP nodes: proposed work plan v.4 29/07/2010 Task Details Period 6 Analysis and review of Lessons learnt: Unpack the impact assessment and interpret reasons for any variance in achievement of KPIs Second lessons leant workshop: UE to present findings of Tasks 4 and 5 and engage role players in interpretation of variances uncovered: What reasons (causal linkages) can be attributed to those inputs and processes successful in resulting in positive / intended outcomes? What reasons (causal linkages) can be attributed to those inputs and processes not successful in resulting in positive / intended outcomes? Other key success factors for other programmes: insights and variables End of September/Beginning of October 2010 Mid October: Presentation format of draft findings: KPIs, financial flows & impacts, lessons learnt. Second Invoice Deliverables: Minutes of meetings and workshops Investment matrix Funding flow charts Draft findings of impact analysis, nodal comparison & lessons learnt (presentation format) Urban-Econ Development Economists Resources & Dependencies Assistance convening second lessons learn workshop. R 105 000 (excl VAT) Urban Renewal Programme Assessment: impacts of investment in Khayeletsha and Mitchells Plain URP nodes: proposed work plan v.4 29/07/2010 Task Details Period 7 Report writing & recommendations: Finalise write-up on steps 1-6 Develop recommendations for future phases of URP or similar initiatives based on the successes and disappointments unpacked in the analyses. 8 Submit & present final report and presentation Desktop based on Tasks 1-7 October 2010 Submit final report & present findings to project team 9 Mayco Presentation Present findings to Mayco Submit first draft in mid October, followed by a comments period, revision and second comments period. (Complete final in early November 2010) December 2010 Final Invoice Deliverables: Finalised full report (write up of findings) Presentation of final findings. Urban-Econ Development Economists Resources & Dependencies N/A Chantal to assist with arranging the final presentation (date, time, venue, attendees etc) George Penxa to confirm date & requirements of presentation R40 000 (excl. VAT)