Chapter 5 Valuing Bonds Chapter 5 Topic Overview Bond Characteristics Annual and Semi-Annual Bond Valuation Reading Bond Quotes Finding Returns on Bonds Bond Risk and Other Important Bond Valuation Relationships Bond Characteristics z z z z z Face (or Par) Value = stated face value that is the amount the issuer must repay, usually $1,000 Coupon Interest Rate Coupon (cpn) = Coupon Rate x Face Value Maturity Date = when the face value is repaid. This makes a bond’s cash flows look like this: Characteristics of Bonds • Bonds pay fixed coupon (interest) payments at fixed intervals (usually every 6 months) and pay the face value at maturity. cpn/2 cpn/2 cpn/2 cpn/2 … cpn/2+par 0 1 2 ... n Bonds WARNING The coupon rate IS NOT the discount rate used in the Present Value calculations. The coupon rate merely tells us what cash flow the bond will produce. Since the coupon rate is listed as a %, this misconception is quite common. Bond Pricing The price of a bond is the Present Value of all cash flows generated by the bond (i.e. coupons and face value) discounted at the required rate of return. PV = cpn cpn (cpn + par ) + +....+ 1 2 (1 + r ) (1 + r ) (1 + r ) t Bond Valuation z Discount the bond’s cash flows at the investor’s required rate of return. z z z the coupon payment stream (an annuity). the face (par) value payment (a single sum). PV = cpn (PVAF r, t) + par /(1+r)t cpn 0 cpn 1 cpn+par 2 ... t Bond Valuation Example #1 Duff’s Beer has $1,000 par value bonds outstanding that make annual coupon payments. These bonds have an 8% annual coupon rate and 12 years left to maturity. Bonds with similar risk have a required return of 10%, and Moe Szyslak thinks this required return is reasonable. What’s the most that Moe is willing to pay for a Duff’s Beer bond? 0 80 80 80 ... 1000 80 1 2 3 ... 12 P/Y = 1 12 = N 10 = I/Y 1,000 = FV 80 = PMT CPT PV = -$863.73 Note: If the coupon rate < discount rate, the bond will sell for less than the par value: a discount. Let’s Play with Example #1 Homer Simpson is interested in buying a Duff Beer bond but demands an 8 percent required return. What is the most Homer would pay for this bond? 80 80 80 ... 1000 80 1 2 3 ... 12 0 P/Y = 1 12 = N 8 = I/Y 1,000 = FV 80 = PMT CPT PV = -$1,000 Note: If the coupon rate = discount rate, the bond will sell for its par value. Let’s Play with Example #1 some more. Barney (belch!) Gumble is interested in buying a Duff Beer bond and demands on a 6 percent required return. What is the most Barney (belch!) would pay for this bond? 0 80 80 80 ... 1000 80 1 2 3 ... 12 P/Y = 1 12 = N 6 = I/Y 1,000 = FV 80 = PMT CPT PV = -$1,167.68 Note: If the coupon rate > discount rate, the bond will sell for more than the par value: a premium. Bond Prices and Interest Rates have an inverse relationship! ($)M arket Value Bond Values for 8% Annual Coupon Bonds 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 12-yr Bond 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% Required Return Bonds with Semiannual Coupons Double the number of years, and divide required return and annual coupon by 2. VB = annual cpn/2(PVAFr/2,2t) + par /(1+r/2)2t Semiannual Example A $1000 par value bond with an annual coupon rate of 9% pays coupons semiannually with 15 years left to maturity. What is the most you would be willing to pay for this bond if your required return is 8% APR? Semiannual coupon = 9%/2($1000) = $45 15x2 = 30 remaining coupons 0 45 45 45 ... 1000 45 1 2 3 ... 30 P/Y = 1 15x2 =30 = N 8/2 = 4 = I/Y 1,000 = FV 90/2 = 45 = PMT CPT PV = -$1,086.46 Bond Yields z z Current Yield - Annual coupon payments divided by bond price. Yield To Maturity - Interest rate for which the present value of the bond’s payments equal the price. Bond Yields Calculating Yield to Maturity (YTM=r) If you are given the price of a bond (PV) and the coupon rate, the yield to maturity can be found by solving for r. PV = cpn cpn (cpn + par ) + +....+ 1 2 (1 + r ) (1 + r ) (1 + r ) t Yield to Maturity Example $1000 face value bond with a 10% coupon rate paid annually with 20 years left to maturity sells for $1091.29. What is this bond’s yield to maturity? -1091.29 100 0 1 100 100 2 3 ... ... 1000 100 20 P/Y = 1 -1091.29 = PV 20 = N 1,000 = FV 100 = PMT CPT I/Y = 9% = YTM What is the bond’s current yield? Current yield = annual cpn/price = $100/$1091.29 = 9.2% Note: a bond’s current yield will be in between its coupon rate and YTM