Fuel Use and Distribution in Ireland LIEN – Reporting Energy & CO2 Emissions for Carbon Tax and Emissions Trading. Fuel Use & Distribution • Where does Industry fit in the overall energy picture • Industry’s fuel mix • Industry CO2 • Carbon Tax • Profile of Industrial Energy Consumption • Competitiveness and Energy • Industrial economic activity and energy consumption Index of GDP, TPER & Energy Related CO2 220 200 Index 1990 = 100 180 160 140 120 100 1990 1991 1992 GDP (CSO) 1993 1994 1995 TPER 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Energy CO2 (EPA) 2001 Total Primary Energy Requirement by Fuel Type 16 14 12 Mtoe 10 8 6 4 2 0 1990 1992 Coal 1994 Peat 1996 Oil Gas 1998 Hydro 2000 Other RE Total Primary Energy Requirement by Sector 16 14 12 Mtoe 10 8 6 4 2 0 1990 1991 Industry 1992 1993 Transport 1994 1995 Residential 1996 1997 1998 Commercial / Public 1999 2000 Agriculture 2001 Energy Import Dependency 90% 85% Import Dependency 80% 75% 70% 65% 60% 55% 50% 45% 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 Ireland 1995 1996 1997 EU-15 1998 1999 2000 2001 Total Final Consmption of Energy by Fuel Type 12 10 Mtoe 8 6 4 2 0 1990 1992 Coal 1994 Peat 1996 Oil Gas 1998 Electricity 2000 Biomass Total Final Consmption of Energy by Sector 12 10 Mtoe 8 6 4 2 0 1990 1992 Industry 1994 Transport 1996 Residential 1998 Commercial 2000 Agricultural Electricity Primary Fuel Mix 6.0 5.0 Mtoe 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1990 1991 Coal 1992 1993 Peat 1994 Fueloil 1995 1996 Gasoil 1997 Gas 1998 Hydro 1999 2000 Other RE 2001 Greenhouse Emissions by Source, 1990 & 2001 Land Use Change & Forestry 0% 1990 Waste 3% Waste 2% Land Use Change & Forestry 1% Agriculture 34% Agriculture 27% Solvent & Other Product Use 0% Industrial Processes 6% 2001 Solvent & Other Product Use 0% Energy 57% Industrial Processes 5% Energy 65% Energy Related CO2 by Sector – includes primary electricity CO2 45 40 35 30 Mt CO2 25 20 15 10 5 0 1990 1991 Industry 1992 1993 Transport 1994 1995 1996 Residential 1997 1998 Commercial 1999 2000 Agriculture 2001 Industry Energy by Fuel 2.5 2.0 Mtoe 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 1990 1991 Coal 1992 Peat 1993 1994 Briquettes 1995 1996 Oil 1997 Gas 1998 Renewables 1999 2000 Electricity 2001 Industry CO2 12 10 Mt CO2 8 6 4 2 0 1990 Coal 1991 1992 Kerosene 1993 Fueloil 1994 1995 LPG 1996 Gasoil 1997 1998 1999 Natural Gas 2000 2001 Electricity Profile of Industrial Energy Consumption • Pareto principle states that; • A vital few of the factors are responsible for the bulk of the effects • 80/20 rule • 80% of the effects are caused by 20% of the factors • It has long been assumed that the bulk of energy consumption in Industry was by a small number of enterprises. Profile of Industrial Energy Consumption 100 90 80 % of Energy Consumption 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 % of Enterprises Total Electricity Fuel 100 CO2 Factors TJ/ktoe Coal Peat Briquettes Gasoline Kerosene Fueloil LPG Gasoil Gas Source: EPA Carbon Factor t C/TJ t CO2/TJ kg CO2/TJ kg CO2/MJ kg CO2/kWh 41.87 24.60 90.20 90200 90.20 324.72 41.87 29.57 108.42 108423 108.42 390.32 41.87 29.57 108.42 108423 108.42 390.32 41.87 18.90 69.30 69300 69.30 249.48 41.87 19.47 71.39 71390 71.39 257.00 41.87 20.73 76.01 76010 76.01 273.64 41.87 17.37 63.69 63690 63.69 229.28 41.87 19.99 73.30 73297 73.30 263.87 41.87 14.98 54.93 54927 54.93 197.74 Electricity CO2 (kg CO2/kWh) 0.95 0.9 kg CO2/kWh 0.85 0.8 0.75 0.7 0.65 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Carbon Tax • Taking an indicative tax of €10/tonne CO2; • This equates to 1c/kg CO2 • Therefore a fuel that produces say 0.2kg CO2/kWh will incur a tax of 0.2c/kWh • Variations on the €10/tonne can be easily calculated from this. Carbon Tax Carbon Tax Rates Coal Peat Briquettes Gasoline Kerosene Fueloil LPG Gasoil Gas Electricity €10/tonne €15/tonne €20/tonne €25/tonne c/kWh c/kWh c/kWh c/kWh kg CO2/kWh €5/tonne c/kWh 0.325 0.162 0.325 0.487 0.649 0.812 0.390 0.195 0.390 0.585 0.781 0.976 0.390 0.195 0.390 0.585 0.781 0.976 0.249 0.125 0.249 0.374 0.499 0.624 0.257 0.129 0.257 0.386 0.514 0.643 0.274 0.137 0.274 0.410 0.547 0.684 0.229 0.115 0.229 0.344 0.459 0.573 0.264 0.132 0.264 0.396 0.528 0.660 0.198 0.099 0.198 0.297 0.395 0.494 0.774 0.387 0.774 1.161 1.548 1.935 Cost Competitiveness • Energy Productivity • How much wealth can be created for a given amount of energy? • How do we compare on price paid for energy? • What proportion of manufacturing costs is accounted for by expenditure on energy? Primary Energy Intensity 0.25 0.2 kgoe/€95 0.15 0.1 0.05 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 Primary Intensity 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 EU Primary Intensity 1999 2000 Final Energy Intensity Structural Effect 0.18 0.17 kgoe/€95 0.16 0.15 0.14 0.13 0.12 1990 1991 1992 Total Intensity 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Intensity at 1990 sectoral intensity Electricity Prices to Industry 7 c/kWh (excise taxes included) 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 Ireland 1995 1996 1997 EU Average 1998 1999 2000 Fuel Oil Prices to Industry 250 €/tonne (excise taxes included) 200 150 100 50 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 Ireland 1995 1996 1997 1998 EU Average 1999 2000 2001 Industry Expenditure on Energy 1990 vs 1998 (1990 prices) 160 140 €million (1990 prices) 120 100 1990 1998 80 60 40 20 0 Mining, quarrying and turf Metals and engineering Manufacture of Chemicals Food, drink and Textile industry non-metallic (including mantobacco mineral products made fibres) Timber and wooden furniture industries Paper and paper products Miscellaneous industries Industry Expenditure on Energy 1998 €147.0m 140 Total: €582 million Fuel: €205 million Electricity: €377 million 120 Fuel Electricity € (millions) 100 €90.5m €73.8m 80 €66.4m 60 €48.1m 40 €34.1m €15.6m 20 €18.8m €23.4m €24.5m €16.3m €16.0m €7.9m 0 Mining and quarrying Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture of food of textiles and of wood and of pulp, paper of chemicals, of rubber and of other nonof basic of machinery of electrical products; textile wood and paper chemical plastic metallic metals and and and optical beverages and products products products; products and products mineral fabricated equipment equipment tobacco publishing man-made products metal n.e.c. and printing fibres products Manufacture Manufacturing of transport n.e.c. equipment Industrial Energy Consumption 1998 700 635 600 Total: 2,159ktoe 500 400 ktoe 341 300 250 200 235 190 100 190 58 41 60 55 46 19 38 0 Mining and quarrying Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture of food of textiles and of wood and of pulp, paper of chemicals, of rubber and of other non- of basic metals of machinery products; textile wood and paper chemical plastic metallic and fabricated and beverages and products products products; products and products mineral metal equipment tobacco publishing man-made products products n.e.c. and printing fibres Manufacture of electrical and optical equipment Manufacture Manufacturing of transport n.e.c. equipment Industry CO2 1998 (Mt CO2) 3 Total: 10.03 Mt CO2 Fuel: 4.39 Mt CO2 Electricity: 5.64 Mt CO2 2.5 Fuel Electricity 1.24 2 1.5 0.50 1 0.91 1.47 0.77 0.44 0.37 0.5 0.89 0.43 0 Mining and quarrying 0.18 0.13 0.25 0.05 0.22 0.09 0.43 0.32 0.06 0.40 0.16 0.06 0.30 0.09 0.03 0.20 0.05 Manufacture of Manufacture of Manufacture of Manufacture of Manufacture of Manufacture of Manufacture of Manufacture of Manufacture of Manufacture of Manufacture of Manufacturing food products; textiles and wood and pulp, paper chemicals, rubber and other nonbasic metals machinery and electrical and transport n.e.c. beverages and textile products wood products and paper chemical plastic metallic and fabricated equipment optical equipment tobacco products; products and products mineral metal products n.e.c. equipment publishing and man-made products printing fibres €Billions Industry Gross Value-added 1998 9 8.04 8 Total Industry Value Added: €22 billion 7 6 5 4.47 3.99 4 3 1.97 2 1 0.26 0.41 0.17 0.45 0.57 0.56 0.64 0.33 0.56 0 Mining and quarrying Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture of food of textiles and of wood and of pulp, paper products; textile wood and paper beverages and products products products; tobacco publishing and printing Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture Manufacturing of chemicals, of rubber and of other nonof basic of machinery of electrical of transport n.e.c. chemical plastic metallic metals and and and optical equipment products and products mineral fabricated equipment equipment man-made products metal n.e.c. fibres products Expenditure on Energy as % of Gross Value Added 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Mining and quarrying Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture Manufacture Manufacturing of food of textiles and of wood and of pulp, paper of chemicals, of rubber and of other nonof basic of machinery of electrical of transport n.e.c. products; textile wood and paper chemical plastic metallic metals and and and optical equipment beverages and products products products; products and products mineral fabricated equipment equipment tobacco publishing man-made products metal n.e.c. and printing fibres products Ratio of Energy Expenditure to “Direct Costs” • 97% of Industrial Enterprises have an energy to “costs” ratio of less than or equal to 4% • This accounts for 67.3% of Industry energy CO2 (primary basis) • 99.6% of Industrial Enterprises have a ratio of 10% • Accounting for 80.5% of industry energy CO2 • 19 enterprises have ratios between 10% and 60% • 19.5% of industry energy CO2 Conclusion • Industry value-added grew by approx. 170% between 1990 and 2000 • Industry energy consumption grew by 31% in the same period • Energy intensity fell by 3.7%/annum on average over the period • Reduction in energy intensity cannot all be attributed to efficiency gains • Energy intensive sectors are most sensitive to energy price change (carbon tax) Fuel Use and Distribution in Ireland LIEN – Reporting Energy & CO2 Emissions for Carbon Tax and Emissions Trading. 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