ASIAN TELECOM SUMMIT
Presentation
By
N K GOYAL
President, Communications and Manufacturing Association of India, CMAI
Chairman Emeritus, TEMA
Director, National Fertilizers Ltd. ( Government of India Undertaking)
nkgoyals@yahoo.co.in 98 111 29879
Symbiosis Institute of Telecom Management
25th September, 2009
CES, 2009 being inaugurated and ribbon cutting at Las Vegas on 8th January, 2009 by NK Goyal with Sir
Howard Stringer, Chairman & CEO of Sony Corporation, Mr. Tom Hanks, the American movie star,
Mr.Gary Yacoubian, Chairman CEA & President of Myer-Emco AudioVideo, Mr. Gary Saprio, Vice
President of CEA, Ms. Qu., Presixdent, CECC China, Mr. Patrick Lavelle, President and CEO of Audiovox,
Mr. Peter Lesser, President and CEO of X-10 (USA) Inc, Mr. Loyd Ivey, Chairman and CEO of MiTek
Electronics and Communications, Mr. Jay McLellan, President and CEO of Home Automation, Inc. (HAI),
Mr. Mike Mohr, President of Celluphone, Mr.Grant Russell, President of Kleen Concepts
Telecom in Asia
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Asia is a region of superlatives in the ICT arena with
over two billion telephones, including 1.4 billion
mobile subscribers, and 42 per cent of the world’s
Internet users
Asia is also the world’s largest broadband market
with a 39 per cent share of the world’s total at the
end of 2007.
(ITU’s 2008 Asia Pacific Telecommunications and ICT
Indicators Report)
Advantage India
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At $ 1.15 Tr India is the third largest consumer on PPP basis.
India ranks better than China and Vietnam on the Index of
Economic Freedom although it is lower than the world average as
awarded by The Heritage Foundation and WALL STREET JOURNAL.
India scores higher than China and Vietnam on “World Rankings
property rights”, which describes the protection of property and
intellectual property rights
India has a score of 38 on “economic measure of income
inequality” better than China (47) US (45) Japan(38) but poorer to
UK (34). Shows equal distribution of wealth.
The annual supply of science and engineering graduates is higher
than China and other developed countries
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Over 2.3 million graduates and 0.7 million post-graduates each year
2nd largest pool of scientists/ engineers in the world
Highest number of qualified engineers, second on trained doctors
389 universities, 14,169 colleges, 1,500 research institutions
India’s Electronics Potential
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Current India market size about US $ 34 Bill. out of which production
$16.1 Bill. Ranked 26th in the world in sales, 29th in production
Demand growing 25% CAGR, from 4% of GDP to 12% by 2015 i.e..
320 Bill. Total production may go up to $ 150 Bill. with employment
potential of 21 mill.
Indian ICT spending is expected to grow at 19% from $ 29.5 Bill.
During 2004 to $54.8 Bill by 2008
Consumer Electronics (CE) is the largest segment of the Electronics
sector. It contributes 33% to the Electronics production in the Country.
The total production of Consumer Electronics is estimated $5625
million during 2007-08 registering a growth of 12.5%
www.cmai.asia
BELL’S TELEPHONE
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Alexander Graham Bell, keenly interested in the
education of deaf people, invented the microphone
and in 1876 his "electrical speech machine," ie
today’s telephone. Bell set up the first telephone
exchange in New Haven, Connecticut in 1878. By
1884, long distance connections were made between
Boston, Massachusetts and New York City.
Since his death in 1922, the telecommunication
industry has undergone an amazing revolution.
Today, non-hearing people are able to use a special
display telephone to communicate.
Bell's "electrical speech machine" paved the way for
the Information Superhighway. Fiber Optics are
improving the quality and speed of data
transmission.
Indian Telecom
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World’s fastest Growing Telecom Market – 10-15 Million plus subscriber
addition per month
Second largest in the world after China
494 Mn. subscribers, 456 wireless
281 state-of-the art Networks (GSM+CDMA)
24 National Long Distance & 19 ILD Licensees
Lowest tariff but highest profitability.
Lowest Call Rates in the World
India ranks highest in Mobile monthly Minutes of Usages per
subscriber in Asia Pacific Region and second to USA in the world….500
minutes per month
Innovative approach of doing business at lowest operation costs.
Innovative value added concepts…missed calls, rural applications,
lowest prepaid charge
CONTINUED WIRELESS
GROWTH EXPECTED DUE TO
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Booming economy, rising income, increasing available
disposable surplus
Continued big demand, rural potential
Introduction of Number Portability by mid 2009
New Operators bringing in competition, spread and cheaper
tariffs
Introduction of 3G, Wimax technologies
Operators allowed intra service roaming
Operators scouting cheaper handsets eg. Spice with IDH Media
Tek, Taiwan for $15 handest. Also no screen sets being
considered.
Opportunities Ahead
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World’s second largest market after China, growing highest per month.
3G & Broadband wireless Auctions to start shortly
MVNO to be allowed shortly
ISPs, NLD, ILD licences available
FDI 74% in operations and 100% fro manufacturing
Rural Telecom, Broadband, VAS market
New Innovative services, Mobile payments, location based services
Endless Possibilities…
Internet Browsing
Very good user experience
Innovation opportunity
Once you are truly always connected
new applications will emerge
Email
Push email
Keep your inbox synchronized
Anti-Theft
Lap top turned into a brick
Files
Keep your files synchronized
GPS Functionality
Module always turned
on in low power mode
Built-in Mobile Broadband
from Eriocssons ...Benefits
Simple
Secure
Ready to go, no manual configuration
Connection automatically resumed after
standby mode
Can’t lose or break the modem
Easy data protection with SMS ”kill-pill”
GPS enables location of stolen device
Superio
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World wide coverage with HSPA
Longer battery life time
Fast startup and fast combined
uplink/downlink
$avings
Fewer assets to handle
Telecom challenges worldwide
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Health and environmental concerns resulting in several law suits, myths
and alarms.
Consumer concerns on quality, tariff and after sale service issues.
Use of telecom network by terrorists, ant social activities
Technology misuse in all sorts of crime ranging from credit card fraud
to data theft to simple defamation. Regulatory means for this and also
to avoid unsecured wireless networks.
Increasing awareness of restrictions sought for use of mobiles in
schools, public areas, while driving, offices etc. For ex.
New York banning cell phones in schools and Indian Parliament
Committee examining need for reasonable restrictions in use of mobile.
Technology Battles
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Telecom is characterized by Hype and Technology debates.
At any given time there must be a live technology debate in
telecom era.
The question for network operators is no longer which
technology is best--WiMAX or LTE--but which application will
compel consumers and enterprises to upgrade to 4G. Will it be
video? Or will it just be more bandwidth for the always-on,
always-available wireless broadband connection that consumers
have come to expect?
Hype v/s reality
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Internet speed….India Govt. says 256 Kbps, vendors
talk of 2 Mbps….as per TRAI no body even gets 256
Kbps.
We hear faster speed…but what and under what
conditions…no body declares
There is no one in the world who knows for sure
where we are heading or how we will get there.
Hype: LTE will provide about 50 Mbps data services.
Fact: Only in a lab where there is a 20 MHz wide LTE
system and there is only one user.
New Innovations costing
others and now self?
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Almost every week a new application is announced which also aims to
take additional revenue from existing others. And slowly it has started
affecting the industry itself. Take example of Mobile VOIP
Mobile VoIP is moving beyond its initial function as a new mechanism
to get inexpensive international/local calls.
MVNOs and 3G operators without legacy networks using Mobile VoIP to
more cost effectively add voice to data offerings.
While Mobile VoIP still poses a direct threat to operator voice revenue,
it also represents a dynamic new capability that promises numerous
applications.
Skype and Vonage have influenced users to think of voice as a data
application.
As user habits are being shaped by rich on-line communication
experiences, mobile carriers control over devices and data applications
is waning.
Security Threats
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The speed with which criminals are capitalizing on world events,
growing collaboration among cybercriminals and a growing threat from
disgruntled former employees.
Less than 24 hours after the news of Michael Jackson’s death first
broke, spammers had sent more than 5 billion spam emails, reaching a
peak of more than 5% of global spam
The creators of the Conficker worm, which infected an estimated 9
million computers starting late last year, had established an agreement
with the makers of the spambot, Waledac, to help monetize each
other’s efforts in a partnership of product and distribution.
RIM makers of blackberry says UAE Etisalat issued update during July,
2009 for increasing performance was actually spay ware. It could allow
unauthorized access to private information and emails and it reduces
drastically battery life.
SIM Card Security Scheme
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Security Accreditation Scheme (SAS), the global programme
voluntarily managed by the GSM Association.
Under this certification there are 20 SIM card manufacturers
globally accredited by GSMA. There are six are from China.
Yet there is only one SAS-compliant manufacturer
We talk of Numbers & $ ?
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We always listen to big numbers like "12 operators committing
deployments in 2010" and "$1 billion R&D investment required
to build LTE products" and more are making frequent headlines.
Viewing these numbers in isolation provides only a partial and
one-dimensional view of the issues facing the industry and what
this means.
We talk of Speed in Telecom?
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JOHANNESBURG South Africa 11-month-old pigeon took one
hour and eight minutes to fly the 50 miles from Unlimited IT's
offices near Pietermaritzburg to the coastal city of Durban with
a data card strapped to its leg.
Including downloading, the transfer took two hours, six minutes
and 57 seconds — the time it took for only four percent of the
data to be transferred using a line provided by Telkom.
About CMAI
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CMAI is an apex business and trade promotion organization,
based in India with MOU partners and representatives spread
across over 30 Countries with branch offices in Japan, Korea,
Singapore, Taiwan and Malaysia.
CMAI is integrated telecom and IT association covering all
verticals.
CMAI is involved in policy formulations with Government and
other stake holders for Technology Innovations, Indigenous
manufacturing
CMAI is developing scientific knowledge and practical means for
protecting human ecology and environment from the harmful
effects of environmental hazards like e waste, radiation etc.
CMAI assists manufacturers to maximize competitiveness in the
domestic and international markets.
About CMAI
With CMAI membership, you gain access, authority, and
intelligence designed to help you to:
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Protect interests when standards and policies are being
formulated
Engage peers regularly about market challenges or
business opportunities
Access timely news, information, and market intelligence
Expand business to overseas markets efficiently and
effectively
Gain a competitive advantage through convergence
Take the Lead on green initiatives in the ICTE Industry
Participate in Indian and global Exhibitions, Seminars,
Workshops
Where is my cell phone mama..
I want to SMS to God that I have reached safely!
THANKS….
www.cmai.asia
+91 98 111 29879
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