The End of the Cold War, Desert Storm, and the New World Order Theme: The US emerges as the world’s only superpower Lesson 24 President Reagan • During the1980s, Cold War tensions increased as Ronald Reagan pursued a vigorous antiSoviet policy – Characterized the Soviet Union as “the evil empire” – Dedicated massive amounts of money to military spending to include the Strategic Defense Initiative or “Star Wars” – Successfully confronted communist challenges in Grenada and Nicaragua Reagan delivers his “Mr. Gorbachev, Tear Down This Wall!” speech in 1987 The Soviet Union • While the US was spending at levels the USSR was finding difficult to match, the Soviets were having their own internal problems – The Soviets withdrew from Afghanistan in 1989 after ten years of a failed war many likened to the US experience in Vietnam – The Soviet economy and those of its eastern and central European satellites were in serious trouble US-supplied Stinger missiles helped the mujahedeen defeat Soviet forces in Afghanistan Gorbachev • With economic and political reforms obviously needed, Soviet premier Mikhail Gorbachev initiated perestroika (the “restructuring” or decentralizing of the economy) and glasnost (an “opening” of the Soviet society to public scrutiny) • Gorbachev’s reforms proved difficult to implement and unleashed hostility from the old order it threatened, long suppressed criticism, and ethnic and nationalist separatism • By the summer of 1990, Gorbachev’s reforms had spent themselves Collapse of the Soviet Empire • Revolutions broke out throughout eastern Europe as people overthrow communist dictators in places like Poland, Bulgaria, and Romania and countries such as Czechoslovakia and Yugoslavia broke apart • The Berlin Wall came down on November 9, 1989 and East and West Germany united in 1990 The 1989 Romanian Revolution was a violent overthrow of the communist regime of Nicolae Ceauşescu Collapse of the Soviet Empire • Beginning in August 1991, Soviet republics began declaring their independence from the USSR • Also in August, a group of conspirators representing dissatisfied elements of the Communist Party, the KGB, and the military attempted to seize power while Gorbachev was on vacation • Boris Yelstin crushed the coup, but himself replaced Gorbachev • By the end of 1991, the USSR had ceased to exist AP photo of Boris Yelstin atop an armored personnel carrier encouraging resistance to the coup End of the Bipolar World • The demise of the Soviet Union left the US as the world’s sole superpower • Without the danger of a superpower confrontation, the US was now more free to use its military power • Additionally, new opportunities for cooperative international efforts would become possible without the bipolar competition • This new dynamic would be tested when Iraq invaded Kuwait in 1990 Desert Storm Theme: The end of the Vietnam Syndrome The Middle East Background • Majority of region administered by Britain until postWorld War II. • Long-standing disputes between Iraq and Kuwait. – Iraq argues Kuwait is an Iraqi province. • Iraq mobilized and prepared for invasion in 1961 immediately after Kuwait was granted independence by Britain. – Iraq wants Kuwait to forgive debts Iraq owes from Iran-Iraq War. • Claims Kuwait actually owes Iraq for “defending” it against Iran. – Iraq accuses Kuwait of overproduction of oil/theft of Iraqi oil. • On Aug 2, 1990, Iraq invaded Kuwait Coalition Operations • The end of the Cold War and Russia’s willingness to join the US in opposing Iraq created an unprecedented level of international cooperation • The United Nations adopted resolutions condemning Iraq and authorizing the use of force • Thirty-six countries (as well as Kuwait) contributed forces Combat Operations • 17 Jan 1991 - Air war begins • 23 Feb - Ground war begins • 28 Feb – Cease fire takes effect • 2 March – 24th Infantry Division fights last engagement of the war • 3 March – Norman Schwarzkopf accepts Iraqi surrender at Safwan Shaping Operations • Create and preserve conditions for the success of the operation – FM 3-0, p. 4-23 • Air operation – Cut supplies bound for Iraqi forces in Kuwait from 20k tons per week to 2k tons per week and eliminated Iraqi air threat • Deception operation – Highly visible Marine rehearsals persuaded Saddam to commit an estimated four divisions to protect his flank against an amphibious assault Leaflets such as these deceived the Iraqis into thinking the main attack would be amphibious The Shift Westward The Ground Offensive Plan As Samawah Iraq Iran An Nasiriyah Al Basrah Al Busayyah XVIII Airborne Corps Republican Guards Persian Gulf VII Corps Kuwait City JFC Hafir North MARCENT al Batin Third Army Saudi Arabia The ground war begins Feb 23 Khafji JFC East “Highway of Death” Situation, February 28, 1991 Iraq As Samawah XX An Nasiriyah 101 XX XX 6 Iran 82 FR XVIII Airborne Corps Al Busayyah Al Basrah XX AL 24 III AD 3 XX 1 XX 1 VII Corps XX 3 XX 1 III XX JFN Persian Gulf XX 2 1 XX UK 2 Marine X XX 2 1 Marine XX JFE Kuwait City JFC North US Third Army MARCENT Hafir al Batin Saudi Arabia JFC East Iraq • The objective of Desert Storm was to liberate Kuwait, not to destroy the Iraqi army or remove Saddam • Even though the coalition experienced amazing military success, Saddam remained in power and crushed short-lived uprisings by the Kurds in the north and the Shia in the south • Iraqi Freedom would have the objective of changing the regime in Iraq Legacy of Desert Storm • Won with an operational concept that sought in a single climatic operation to destroy the enemy’s center of gravity • In 100 hours of combat, American forces destroyed or captured more than 3,000 tanks, 1,400 armored carriers, and 2,200 artillery pieces • The “Great Wheel” swept over and captured almost 20,000 square miles of territory • Only about 140 soldiers died in direct combat • Erased the “Vietnam Syndrome” • Scales, Certain Victory, p. 382-383 The New World Order Theme: International cooperation and military intervention in the post-Cold War era “New World Order” • “We stand today at a unique and extraordinary moment. The crisis in the Persian Gulf, as grave as it is, also offers a rare opportunity to move toward an historic period of cooperation. Out of these troubled times, our fifth objective -- a new world order -- can emerge: a new era -- freer from the threat of terror, stronger in the pursuit of justice, and more secure in the quest for peace. An era in which the nations of the world, East and West, North and South, can prosper and live in harmony.… “New World Order” • ….A hundred generations have searched for this elusive path to peace, while a thousand wars raged across the span of human endeavor. Today that new world is struggling to be born, a world quite different from the one we’ve known. A world where the rule of law supplants the rule of the jungle. A world in which nations recognize the shared responsibility for freedom and justice. A world where the strong respect the rights of the weak.” – President George H. W. Bush Sept 11, 1990 Post-Cold War Environment • Cold War threats were potentially catastrophic but they were also measurable and somewhat predictable • The bipolar structure and the desire to avoid superpower confrontation had provided a certain degree of order and stability • The post Cold War period was much more ambiguous and uncertain and many new threats emerged CIA Director James Woolsey described the post-Cold War environment by saying, “We have slain a large dragon (the U.S.S.R.) — but we now live in a jungle filled with a bewildering variety of poisonous snakes. In many ways, the dragon was easier to keep track of.” International Economic Challenges • The Post Cold War era included an everwidening gap between rich industrialized nations (mostly in the Northern Hemisphere) and poor agricultural ones (mostly in the Southern Hemisphere) • The goal of all poor nations is economic growth, but most lack the requirements for industrial development – Trapped in a cycle of poverty: lack of capital resulting from low production leads to low savings which in turn means little or no available capital for future development projects International Economic Opportunities • The collapse of communism in the USSR and Eastern Europe opened up huge economic markets – On the other hand West Germany’s previously booming economy struggled as it tried to integrate the much poorer former East Germany • In 2004, the EU swelled to 25 members including the former Soviet republics of Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia As Germany moved its capital from Bonn to Berlin, construction projects were rampant Ethnic Conflict and Humanitarian Crisis in the 1990s • The Cold War structure had kept in check ethnic divisions in many countries and limited military interventions • The end of the Cold War changed all that – UN Secretary General Boutros Boutros-Ghali advocated the “legitimate involvement” of the UN in “peace enforcement” and “peacemaking” operations – President Clinton proclaimed a “National Security Strategy of Engagement and Enlargement” • After the Cold War, the United Nations went from an average of three or four peacekeeping operations a year to 13 in December 1992 Ethnic Conflict and Humanitarian Crisis in the 1990s • “In a globalized war, bad things that happen in other countries spread more quickly to our shores. Genocides spawn refugees, who destabilize their neighbors. Corruption sparks financial meltdowns, which rock the world economy. Pandemics hopscotch across the globe.” – Peter Beinart in explaining why the US intervened in Kosovo where there was “no direct threat to the US” (Time, 23 Apr 2007, 28) Ethnic Conflict and Humanitarian Crisis in the 1990s • In Somalia, various clan leaders struggled for power and plunged the country into a humanitarian crisis • When Yugoslavian republics began to seek independence, terrible ethnic conflicts ensued – Bosnian Serbs initiated an “ethnic cleansing” campaign against Bosnian Muslims – Yugoslav Serbs did the same against Kosovar Albanians Warlord Mohammed Farah Aidid emerged as the dominant clan leader in Somalia Ethnic Conflict and Humanitarian Crisis in the 1990s • A military coup in Haiti ousted the democratically elected president and motivated thousands of Haitians to flee to the US in fragile boats • Ethnic violence erupted between Hutu and Tutsis in Rwanda which resulted in up to a million deaths, mostly from the Tutsi minority Deep gashes in the skulls of victims of the Rwanda genocide evidence the violence of their deaths Ethnic Conflict and Humanitarian Crisis in the 1990s • East Timor declared independence after a 27-year occupation by Indonesia but antiindependence militia forces unleashed a campaign of violence and destruction International Efforts • The United Nations Charter proclaims one of the UN’s principle purposes as being “to maintain international peace and security” • Sometimes the UN effectively intervened in these crises, sometimes it didn’t – Same for the United States • The US found that its status as world economic and military superpower would not necessarily equate to unchallenged world leadership – The US would meet a host of challenges within the UN and from non-governmental organizations (remember Lesson 23) as well as from new enemies Next Lesson • Post Cold War Challenges: September 11 and Terrorism