The Political Economy of Gender in Service Sector Economies Torben Iversen Frances Rosenbluth “Men respond to their fear of other men by increasing their own ability to control and dominate, gradually making this a central focus of social life.” Allan Johnson, The Gender Knot: Unraveling our Patriarchal Legacy “Men are more inclined to take risks, more oriented towards attainment of status and resources, and more single-minded in achieving these goals. Women, on the other hand, are more nurturing and empathic, and more centered on maintaining a 'web' of relationships than on being at the top of a hierarchy.” Kingsley Brown. Efficiency, Bargaining, and Patriarchy The efficiency of household sexual division of labor varies by economic system of production. High levels of household division of labor weaken women’s bargaining power in the family by reducing her outside options. Patriarchy, or general the subordination of women in the private and public spheres, is the result of weak female bargaining power. OF = (GF-SF) Male 1 1-OF Rubistein bargaining outcome Pm Contract line Om 0 OM = (GM-SM) 1 Female Modes of Production and Intra-Family Bargaining Women in hunter gatherer societies could survive on their own, giving women outside options to “marriage.” – Scholarly opinion differs as to the importance of male-supplied protein to female and child survival, but females supplied ¾ of the community’s caloric intake. – Female economic viability removes the logic of hard wired desire for males with resources. Agrarian Economies and Patriarchy The premium on male brawn in agricultural production and protection increased the efficient level of household division of labor. Females’ lost role in food production made her less viable outside the marriage. Patriarchal values are strongest when families raise their daughters to play the marriage market. Industrialization Labor saving devices in food and material production created a demand for female labor outside the home. Outside options to marriage gave females bargaining power in the home. Female bargaining power undermines patriarchal values by altering families’ strategies for socializing their daughters. Service Sector Economies Demand for female labor further expands in service sector economies because of the proliferation of general skills jobs that do not penalize career interruption. We expect value change to accelerate in service economies, with the increase in female labor force participation. 80 Den Swe 75 Nor US Fin 70 Female LF participation Can UK 65 Aus Ger AutFra 60 Bel 55 Swi Jap NL 50 Ita 45 40 30 35 40 45 50 Service employment as pct of WAP 55 75 70 65 55 Services as pct of WAP (left axis) 50 Female LF participation (right axis) 60 45 55 40 50 45 35 40 35 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 30 2000 Demand for non-manual labor Low Demand for hard physical labor (“brawn”) and household -specific skills Hunter-gatherer: Low High High equality between the sexes (P≈1/2) Agricultural society: Male dominance (high P). Sharp division of labor, and patriarchal norms. High Postindustrial society: High equality in bargaining power (P≈1/2). Modest division of labor, and equitable gender norms Industrial society: Sharp division of labor, but emerging opportunities for women outside the family (intermediate P) Bargaining Power and Mate Selection We expect mate preferences to change with female labor force participation – As females gain stronger bargaining power, males have weaker expectations of a strict sexual division of labor. – The importance of a virgin bride diminishes as families place less pressure on their daughters to play to the marriage market. Mate preferences as a function of economic sector Dependent variable Good cook and housekeeper Industrial employment Service employment Desire for home and children Chastity Fertility rate Constant -0.003 (0.005) -0.014** (0.004) 2.293** (0.160) 0.002 (0.008) -0.014 (0.004) 0.084 (0.170) 0.085 (0.054) 1.858 (0.332) -0.004 (0.009) -0.016* (0.006) 3.006** (0.259) 0.013 (0.013) -0.011* (0.007) -0.348 (0.278) 0.100 (0.089) 2.325** * (0.544) -0.018 (0.010) 0.027*** (0.007) 2.823** (0.289) -0.001 (0.013) -0.017** (0.007) 0.923*** (0.280) -0.069 (0.089) 2.584*** (0.547) Adj R-Squared N .451 31 .481 31 .262 31 .297 31 .576 31 .651 31 Western culture 3 Importance of attribute 2.5 2 (1) (1) Desire for home and children (3) (2) (2) Good cook and housekeeper 1.5 (3) Chastity 1 0.5 Industrialization Deindustrialization 0 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 Year Female Labor Force Participation and Political Preferences All else equal, females prefer government policies, such as child care and other services, that enable them to supply their labor. In specific skills economies, the public sector is a crucial source of female employment that enables women to maintain outside options. The Gender Gap in Support for Public Employment and Left Parties 0.5 Support for Public Employment Support for the Left 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 -0.1 -0.2 Married woman with no labor market participation in a general skills or low divorce country Married woman with full-time job in a general skills or low divorce country Unmarried woman with full-time job in a general skills or low divorce country Unmarried woman with full-time job in a specific skills country with high divorce rates Where is Female Labor? Asset Specificity Low Skills High Low Many B females in transactional a banking, law; n nursing. k i n g Many females in transactional retail High Few females in client-based banking, law, politics Few females in client-based retail Where is Female Labor? Skills Low High Low Some retail and banking Retail and clerical work High Some professional occupations Nursing, teaching Skills and occupational gender segregation 70 Clerks Service and sales workers 60 r = -.74 Technicians and associate professionals Percent women 50 Professionals 40 Legislators, senior officials and managers 30 Elementary occupations Plant and machine operators Craft and related workers 20 Skilled agricultural workers 10 0 0.5 1 1.5 Skill specificity 2 2.5 Consequences for Political Preferences Low LMEs: Substantial gender voting gap over public daycare, etc. High Low Female Labor Force Participation Asset Specificity L o w High Scandinavia: Gender voting gap follows public sector vs. private sector employment Christian Democratic CMEs: Relatively small gender voting gap; household as unit Public-Private Sector in Scandinavia Pierson (2000) argues that because Scandinavian men in the private sector tend to be married to women in the public sector, the disputes over wage differentials will be muted. Relaxing the assumption that the family is a single utility maximizing unit shows why this conclusion does not follow. Gender Gap on Trade Burgoon and Hiscox (2004) suggest that the gender gap on trade will attenuate as females gain more economic literacy. We think it is more likely that the gender gap on trade reflects the fact that more females are employed in the public sector, and therefore have a greater fear of government downsizing. Consequences for Political Coalitions The gender voting gap in Scandinavia is mediated by the willingness and ability of governments on the left to protect male jobs and wages. Center-left parties are less able to woo women for fear of making male workers less secure. In LMEs, the growth in FLFP pulls the center of gravity towards more public spending. Gender, Inequality, and Political Preferences Women in low labor-productivity industries are more likely to vote on the left because of limited opportunities. If there is a tendency for LMEs to use low-wage labor as a way to economize on capital, the gender wage gap in LMEs may exceed that in CMEs. Conclusions The demand for female labor in service sector economies should undermine patriarchal norms. The gender gap in political preferences reflects an attempt to make opportunities more equal still.