World Bank Risk Management Seminar Corporate Governance and ERM: A Framework for Integrating Risk and Performance Management May 21, 2004 Presented by: Richard C. Reynolds, PwC Partner PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP Agenda I. Overview of Enterprise-wide Risk Management II. Designing and Implementing an ERM Framework and Organization Structure III. Impact of International Financial Reporting Standards on ERM 2 PwC Overview of COSO ERM Framework • COSO ERM project launched in 2001 (PwC Authored) • Builds on COSO Internal Control Framework (PwC Authored) • Consists of conceptual framework and application guidance Application Guidance Framework 3 PwC Why ERM is Important Underlying principles: Every entity, whether for-profit or not, exists to realize value for its stakeholders. Value is created, preserved, or eroded by management decisions in all activities, from strategy setting to operating the enterprise day-to-day. ERM supports value creation by enabling management to: Deal effectively with potential future events that create uncertainty. Respond in a manner that reduces the likelihood of downside outcomes and increases the upside. 4 PwC Enhancing Management Capabilities Enterprise risk management provides enhanced capabilities to: Align risk appetite and strategy Link growth, risk and return Enhance risk response decisions Minimize operational surprises and losses Identify and manage cross-enterprise risks Provide integrated responses to multiple risks Seize Opportunities Rationalize capital 5 PwC Framework Components The Framework Has Eight Interrelated Components 6 PwC The COSO ERM Framework lays the foundation for organizations to advance ERM. Ensure market understands risk adjusted performance Strategy selection Set value targets to satisfy investor and analyst expectations in line with well articulated risk appetite Capital allocation Improving/maintaining credit rating Improved risk management strategy Value and risk management principles Link executive remuneration to value creation to align management and shareholder interests Improving shareholder value Economic capital savings Investor and credit rating agency communication Reward Schemes Opportunities Closer working relationship between Finance & Risk functions Alignment of individual’s compensation to risk-sensitive behaviour Performance reporting Improved MI in other related areas Set performance measures to drive creation 7 Cost reduction through organisational realignment and/or process improvement PwC Leading organizations have many building blocks in place. The challenge is in creating seamless connectivity top to bottom. SVA / Risk Adjusted Performance Measurement Active PM Portfolio Risk Identification Link risk adjusted performance measurement to shareholder value and planning processes Align performance measures with desired behavior Rebalance, hedge the portfolio (capital optimization) Correlation, VaR, marginal contribution Manage concentrations through limits Establish allowances (capital preservation) Portfolio reporting and analysis Aggregation of exposure (notional & risk adjusted) Analysis of Loss & default experience Data management / MIS Relationship profitability analysis Risk adjusted pricing (value creation - MTM / RAROC) Structuring individual transactions Transactional risk management Allocation of limits to clients / products Risk Assessment Risk Modeling Pricing Analysis Transactional risk identification Data Management 8 Client, Industry and Market information Data acquisition, maintenance and distribution PwC Linking the Building Blocks Traditional PM However, beyond financial risks, executives have a much different view as to what are the most significant risks. How important are the following risks to your institution’s financial services business? (percentage of respondents rating each risk as the biggest their organization faces) Non-Financial Risks Financial Risks Credit Risk 34% Reputational Risk 53% Market Risk 23% Regulatory Risk 28% Operational Risk 24% Political/external risk 11% • Source: Economic Intelligence Unit and PricewaterhouseCoopers survey of 160 senior financial executives 9 PwC Leading organizations are moving towards an integrated approach to governance, risk and compliance. Governance Determining Objectives and Knowing We Are Executing Appropriately Enterprise Risk Management Identifying Risks That May Affect Our Ability to Achieve Objectives And Determining How to Respond Compliance Executing as Expected To Support Achievement of All Objectives 10 PwC They are also implementing frameworks that deliver integrated profitability and risk information for decision making… Best Practice Methodologies for Managing business functions Revenue Cost Market Profitability Credit Op. Risk Risk-adjusted Performance Shareholder Value Drivers Organizational Level Legal Entity Level Business Unit Level Product Level Customer Level Achieving operational excellence Enabling consistent business management Tactical, operational and strategic decision support Integrated Planning Cycle Achieving Strategic Excellence Shareholder Value Creation 11 PwC Revenue Cost Profitability Market Earnings Sensitivity Credit Risk Risk-adjusted Performance Shareholder Value Drivers Op. Organizational Level Legal Entity Level Business Unit Level Product Level Customer Level Scenario analysis Complexity Modeling …and support forward looking analysis for strategic planning. Impact on future earnings and Shareholder Value 12 PwC Risk measures are aligned with both control objectives and value creation targets to provide management a dynamic view of current financial results and risks to the strategic plan. Types of Measures: Value Metrics Focus: Strategy Dashboard Value Metrics – financial and non-financial measures that demonstrate value creation for investment community Corporate Dashboard – provide management with insight into actions that need to be taken to achieve strategy Key Risk Indicators* Key Risk Indicators Leading Indicators (Proactive) Focus: Steady State Leading/Risk Indicators – identify systemic issues or causal factors related to strategy; and they are tactical and predictive Escalation Triggers – are reported after a predetermined trigger is tripped, they are designed to facilitate management intervention prior to day-to-day risks manifesting beyond an expected or acceptable tolerance. Escalation Criteria (Reactive) Lagging Indicators Lagging Measures – are after the fact Transactions and Data * PwC defines key risk indicators as measures that can be collected at ANY time during the period as required by management 13 PwC Strategic risk management focuses on balancing capital optimization with capital preservation. Transaction Relationship Line of Business Analyze Portfolio Structure Enterprise Measure Monitor Capital Optimization Report Capital Preservation Too often, the pendulum swings; towards lax controls and overly aggressive risk taking in good times, and overly restrictive controls and risk aversion in bad times. 14 PwC We have utilized the following framework with several leading financial institutions to gain better role clarity, particularly around the integration of strategic, financial and risk management planning. Validate/refine strategy Business Cycle Business Strategy and Planning Business mission and strategy Value proposition and risk appetite Organization and governance Business planning and budgeting processes Capital allocation and balance sheet management Business and individual performance objectives Key Controls Limits Capital Business Process and Execution Risk policies and procedures Risk measurement methodologies Risk-based pricing and customer profitability Risk aggregation and reporting Active portfolio and balance sheet management strategies Evaluation Value drivers Internal reporting Performance measures External disclosure Procedures Policy Analysis Reporting Re-allocate capital/limits Risk Management Systems Infrastructure 15 PwC ERM is a key enabler of value creation and preservation Value is created, preserved, or eroded by management decisions, from strategy setting to operating the enterprise day-to-day. Trust Transparency Performance Reputation Brand 16 PwC Agenda I. Overview of Enterprise-wide Risk Management II. Designing and Implementing an ERM Framework and Organization Structure III. Impact of International Financial Reporting Standards on ERM 17 PwC A thorough understanding of your business objectives is critical to designing an infrastructure that meets your specific needs and fits within your culture and environment. Enterprise-wide Risk Management Framework Environment Environment Environment Infrastructure Process Strategy Business Mission and Strategy Risk Strategy Validation/ Reassessment Value Proposition Risk Appetite Risk Assessment and Action Risk Awareness Organization & People Culture Limits & Controls Methodologies Training Operations Systems CommuniCommunications 18 Value Evaluation Measurement and Control Data Policies Performance Measures Reporting Rewards PwC The starting point is to define a clear mission statement for the Corporate Risk Manager. Key themes in a Mission Statement of the Corporate Risk Manager Protect the franchise Avoid surprises, no unexpected losses Acknowledge the sources of earnings volatility Facilitate risk taking Support efficiency of capital usage and performance evaluation processes Mold the risk culture Partner with the business Build a risk management network Report v. manage Devolve risk management from the corporate level into the business units 19 PwC The mission must balance the risk management objectives and the complexity of the risks assumed by the organization. Risk Management Styles Strategic: A • Assist in molding views of regulators • Frequent global stress testing to analyze potential impacts of market events • Risk Management partners with the business in decision-making • True understanding of positions and risks • Development and analysis of risk-adjusted returns B C D E F Your Company???? Control Focused: I Control Focused G J H K M L Simple Complex Risk Profile 20 • Respond to requests by regulators • Quarterly stress testing at the desk or business unit level (to meet regulatory requirements) • Risk Management performs a purely limit monitoring role • Monitoring of positions and risks against limits PwC The next step is to define the overall approach for corporate risk management. Below is an illustration of a risk management framework. Risk Control Framework Limits Re-allocate capital/limits Capital Procedures Policy Analysis Reporting The allocation of capital to the business units: signifies approval of the business plan serves as an overall limit on risk taking activities provides a benchmark for required returns Risk management policies and procedures: define and set the standards for Client risk taking activities set parameters for permissible risk taking clearly define roles, responsibilities and accountabilities An effective risk and performance reporting framework: provides timely feedback to evaluate the business strategy effectively communicates risk, elevates awareness and promotes consistency and transparency ensures monitoring of policy compliance 21 PwC Integrating risk into the strategic planning and budgeting process is also key. Annual business plans form a contract with shareholders for the management of capital and required returns. Annual Business and Risk Management Planning Process Business Units Financial Control Corporate Risk Management Formulate Assist Approve Annual Business Plan • Strategy • Product and service offerings • Capital budget • Forecasted absolute and risk adjusted returns • Key risks and limits • Infrastructure weaknesses and action plans • Other information 22 Total Return Capital PwC Shareholders ERM reports should clearly articulate the nature of the business, including key risks, profitability, the risk-reward relationship and the impact of external events. RISK REPORTING OBJECTIVES: Do we acknowledge, understand and articulate our risks clearly, accurately and comprehensively? Are these risks aligned with our stated risk appetite and strategy? Are we being adequately compensated for these risks? Are we overly reliant on any revenue, risk or other concentrations that could adversely impact the quality or sustainability of earnings? What is the quality and sustainability of our earnings stream? What is the impact of the current and potential external environment on our business? 23 PwC An effective ERM reporting framework should address the daily, monthly and quarterly objectives of the target risk management audience. Enterprise-Wide Risk Reporting Framework Risk Reporting Objectives: • Heighten Awareness and Transparency of ALL Risks • Include Quantitative and Qualitative Information • Promote Shareholder Value Creation Daily Risk Summaries Monthly Risk Packages Quarterly Risk Package Key Objectives: • Identify risk issues that require immediate attention and potential management action by reviewing: - limit excesses - risk concentrations - P&L changes - market/credit/operational risk events Key Objectives: • Reaffirm risk appetite, business propositions and boundaries by assessing: - risk profile - performance - internal and external business environment and risk implications Key Objectives: • Promote shareholder value creation by evaluating: - capital/resource allocation decisions - earnings reliability and sustainability - short and long term business opportunities and their risks Target Audience: • Business, Line and Risk Managers Contents: • Detailed market risk • Selected credit, liquidity, valuation and operational risk metrics and issues • P&L attribution analysis Target Audience: • Senior Management Contents: • Summary market risk • Detailed credit, liquidity, valuation and operational risk • Trend analyses • Business and market outlook Scope: • Business units globally Scope: • Desk level Target Audience: • Executive Management Contents: • Summary of all business and customer risks • Risk-adjusted performance measurement • Trend analyses • Business and market outlook • Status of key initiatives Scope: • Global Markets consolidated 24 PwC An Illustration…. $MM Economic Capital 2002 Last 12 m Commercial Personal Life and Annuities Investments Banking Treasury International TOTAL Marginal Capital 2002 Last 12 m Revenue Quality 2002 Last 12 m Return on Economic Capital 2002 YTD Revenue/Expense 90.6 147.0 49.1 60.8 63.1 30.7 298.4 66.0 156.7 46.2 63.4 94.5 17.3 306.1 22.4 130.5 33.7 35.1 (20.5) 7.7 249.3 25.4 134.6 34.8 20.6 8.3 (0.5) 268.8 3.0 1.3 4.9 1.9 0.5 0.3 (0.0) 4.6 1.3 5.1 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 263% 115% 506% 111% 40% 21% 0% 459% 149% 549% 93% 110% 40% 24% 2.5 2.5 3.3 1.7 2.0 2.0 2.0 458.3 491.9 458.3 491.9 1.9 1.9 138% 181% 2.0 Economic Capital represents capital needs based on monthly revenue volatility of each business. The higher the volatility of a business’ revenues the higher the economic capital required for the business (annualized monthly revenue volatility x 2.33). Commercial Frequency Over the Last 18 Months Marginal Capital represents the relative contribution of each business to the total capital of the Fixed Income business. It takes into account diversification/correlation effects across businesses (2.33* 12-month Revenue volatility *Correlation). 7 6 5 4 Revenue Quality is the ratio between average monthly revenue and monthly revenue volatility. It provides an assessment of the quality and sustainability of earnings over time. The higher the ratio, the better the quality of earnings. 3 2 1 0 -75 -50 -25 0 25 50 75 100 $MM Monthly Revenue 125 150 175 200 Return on Economic Capital measures risk adjusted profitability across businesses. YTD return on capital represents YTD annualized revenue divided by last 12 months economic capital. Revenue/Expense Ratio measures the degree of operational efficiency. These ratios were estimated based on 1997 financial performance. 25 PwC To implement ERM, a clear line between the responsibilities and accountabilities of the corporate risk manager and the business unit risk managers must be drawn. Degree of Decentralization in Risk Management Approach Business Unit Risk Managers Corporate Risk Manager Set standards Credit Cards • Policies • Corporate data requirements • Reporting to business managers, senior management and the Board • Risk measurement Aggregation of common risk factors across business lines • Scenario analysis / Stress testing • Limit Setting Macro assessments of the risk profile and the drivers of change (Windows on Risk) Capital allocation methodology, calculations and decisions Support management of stakeholder relations Consumer Loans Treasury International Risk identification Communicate key risk factors Risk aggregation by risk factor within the business line Adhere to reporting and other standards Proactive implementation of appropriate policies and procedures Support decisions regarding new products, new businesses and new geographies 26 PwC Some of our clients employ a decentralized approach that includes company-level standards, endorsed by the board, with businessspecific delegations and accountabilities. Office of the Chairman Board of Directors • Audit Committee • Risk Committee Corporate Risk Management Investment Underwriting Risk Risk Operational Risk Asset/ Liability Risk Risk Capital Business Risk Management P&C Life International Treasury Board of Directors Provides broad, independent oversight of Company activities Endorses Company Risk Management Standards and acknowledges aggregate Group risk profile BoD Audit Committee Reviews unintended exposures/risks that result from control weaknesses, process fails or other shortcomings BoD Risk Management Committee Reviews risks consciously taken through business decisions and plans Reviews the overall Company exposure/risk profile, risk appetite, and risk capacity Reviews Company Risk Management Standards Corporate Risk Management Establishes Company Risk Management Standards Approves broad Company risk parameters and limits; allocates risk limits to businesses Approves business-specific risk management standards and practices and endorses the risk management culture embedded in those standards and practices Maintains overall accountability and authority for the adequacy and appropriateness of all aspects of the Company risk management process Business Risk Management Establish business-specific risk management standards, policies and practices for the approval, measurement, reporting, monitoring, limiting and analysis of exposure/risk Establish business-specific risk limits within allocated capital levels 27 PwC The business units are responsible for establishing a comprehensive risk organization within their businesses that interacts with other risk management and support groups. Business Units Business Operations Business Unit Risk Managers Financial Control Other Support Groups Corporate Risk Management Global Risk Managers Financial Control To be defined •Market Risk •Credit Risk •Insurance Risk •Operational Risk •Country Risk Other Support Groups Operations & Technology Corporate Audit To be defined Legal and Compliance Human Resources Risk Architecture Tax Other 28 PwC The business units, financial control, corporate risk and audit should have clearly defined, collaborative roles supported by appropriate infrastructure elements. Validate/refine strategy Business Cycle Business Units Set Strategy Formulate Request Financial Control Review Corporate Risk Management Review Corporate Audit Review Key Controls Request Approve Review Budget/ Plan Formulate Execute Control Manage Request Approve Manage Formulate Review Review Manage Review Facilitate Approve Formulate Test Review Approve Test Test Capital Produce Analyze Analyze Review Test Procedures Limits Reconcile Review Review Approve Review Validate Formulate Facilitate Evaluate Policy Test Analysis Reporting Re-allocate capital/limits Risk Management Infrastructure (O&T, HR, Legal, Compliance, Tax, other) 29 PwC Agenda I. Overview of Enterprise-wide Risk Management II. Designing and Implementing an ERM Framework and Organization Structure III. Impact of International Financial Reporting Standards on ERM 30 PwC Why talk about IFRS? • Many non-US banks move to IFRS • Similar to US GAAP – often subtle yet important differences • No more avoiding of “difficult” accounting Interest Method Hedge Accounting Impairment • Implementation: new accounting, systems, data requirements 31 PwC IFRS and Risk Management Spotlight on transparency – more detailed analysis and disclosures on: Concentrations of risk Sensitivity of cash flows to risk scenarios and market variables Failure to manage earnings and investment risks associated with IFRS could seriously undermine financial stability and credibility IFRS will have an impact on credit, funding and liquidity risks IFRS will have extra demands on data capture, modelling and other information systems Complying with IFRS will be fraught with potentially costly pitfalls A broader and more integrated approach to risk management could help companies to turn IFRS compliance into shareholder value 32 PwC IFRS - Key Aspects for Banks Expected IFRS impact – Relevant accounting issues Financial statement presentation – Flows and disclosures Fair value of financial instruments Investment securities – Classification and transfers Impairment (investments, loans, other assets) Hedge Accounting Provisions – Recognition criteria Income and expense recognition – interest and commissions Deferred taxes Other complex issues? 33 PwC Impact of IAS/IFRS on consolidated financial statements + Financial Impact Provisions (IAS 37) - Deferred taxes (IAS 12) Property, plant and equipment (IAS 16) - Investments/ consolidation (IAS 27/28, SIC 12) Commissions (IAS 18) Employee Benefits (IAS 19) Financial Instruments (IAS 39/ IAS 32) Impairment and intangibles (IAS 38/IAS 36) Business Combination (IAS 22) Financial statements and cash flow (IAS 1, 30 et 7) Segment Information (IAS 14) + Complexity of implementation 34 PwC Expected IFRS Impact – Business impacts Overall Business Impacts + • Volatility of earnings Financial Impact • Difficulty in forecasting and budgeting - • Product profitability/design • Regulatory compliance • Performance measurement and reporting - • Tax planning strategies + Complexity of implementation • Debt covenants • Share-based compensation plans • Transparency 35 PwC Top 15 implementation issues 1. Shareholder and analyst understanding 2. Understanding and analysing impact on financial performance 3. Commitment and involvement at all levels of the organisation 4. Significant resources required 5. Underestimation of the amount of work involved 6. Costly and time consuming to embed into the organisation 7. Data availability and system requirements 8. Re-alignment of management information reporting / systems 9. Co-ordination with regulator reporting requirements 36 PwC Top 15 implementation issues 10. Training (“Knowledge transfer”) of management as well as finance functions in all locations 11. Regulatory environment continues to change 12. Risk management 13. Earnings management 14. IAS continues to evolve 15. Minimal expertise 37 PwC This document is protected under the copyright laws of the United States and other countries as an unpublished work. 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