Japanese Economy A 2012 Fall Seinan Gakuin University Noriaki EZOE Professor Ph.D. Economics Department Seinan Gakuin University Japan Mail address: ezoe@seinan-gu.ac.jp Homepage address: https://w3.seinan-gu.ac.jp/~ezoe/ 1 Chapter 2 Economic History, Part1: Edo Period and Meiji Era What you will learn in this Chapter 1 History in Japanese development :Overview. 2 Edo period : Shogun system and seclusion. 3 Meiji Era : What Meiji revolution had achieved? 2 1 History in Japanese development : Overview. Japanese history can be divided into four major periods: (following chart). 1.1 the period 1: The rise and fall of the emperor - 300 BC Jomon : The early Japanese were gatherers, hunters and fishers. Continental Asian influence was a very important. Modern Japanese may well be the descendants of continental Asian tribes. These tribes came to Japan in waves, one after the other. 300 BC - 300 AD 300 – 710 Yayoi : The rice agriculture begins. The development of a social hierarchy and small countries started to unify into larger countries. Yamato : Japan is for the first time united. Large tombs (kofun) were built. 6th century Buddhism first came . The emperor family took the power (AD 645) 710 - 794 Nara : Nara becomes the first permanent capital. 752 The great Buddha created. 794 - 1185 Heian :The capital moves to Heian (Kyoto). "Japanization" of foreign culture. The Tale of Genji (11th century). 3 II. Samurai’s Rule I. Emperor’s Rule 1603 X III. Modern -ization PP.16-17 IV. Postwar 1867 Rapid recovery and growth NARA Centraliz ation MEIJI EDO Jinshin War × 671 Taika Reform × 645 Clan fights HEIAN Nobles, Decentral ization KAMAKURA MUROMACHI SENGOKU Hunting & gathering xxxx Rice Buddhism Chinese culture & political system Internal wars, dynamic & fluid society Tokugawa Shogunate Peace, isolation, conservat ive class society Westerniza tion, industrializ ation, militarilizat ion xxxx WEST: guns & Christianity WAR xxx WEST!!! US occupation 1945-52 1.2 the period 2: The age of Samurai (Feudal era ) • Power centralization declined. • Local landlord and temples became independent. To protect their land, warrior class (samurai) emerged. • 1185, samurai leaders formed the government. • Kamakura Shogunate repelled Mongol invasion(1274, 1281). After this, the shogunate fall, internal fights among daimyo(samurai leaders ) ensued. • Sengoku era : century-long civil war. • 16th century, the European influences prevailed. • Finally, Tokugawa won the battle, established military government of Edo.(1603 - 1867) • 18- 19th century , government power declined. 5 1.3 the period 3: Meiji modernization • After the resignation of the shogun, a centralized state established under the Emperor . • Adopted Western political, judicial and military institutions. • The Meiji Restoration transformed the Empire of Japan into an industrialized world power that pursued military conflict to expand its sphere of influence. • "Taishō democracy“: early 20th century the political power shifted from the Meiji oligarchic clique to the parliament and the democratic parties. • 1930s, world economy collapsed. The rise of fascism and militarism. • Long war (1937-1945) 6 1.4 the period 4: Post war growth • Japan was defeated in 1945. • US occupation(1945-1952). • Japan achieved rapid growth to become the second-largest economy in the world. This ended in the mid-1990s when Japan suffered a major recession. • In the beginning of the 21st century, positive growth has signaled a gradual economic recovery. • On March 11, 2011, Japan suffered the strongest earthquake; this triggered the Fukushima I nuclear accidents, one of the worst disasters. 7 2 Economic History: Edo Period 2.1 Transition from Sengoku to Edo • The sengoku period, 12c to 16c Internal fights for dominance continued. • Religion for selfdiscipline, pragmatism and coping with lifeor-death situation emerged (Zen Buddhism). • Society was dynamic and fluid. Power, not family name, mattered. Tokugawa Ieyasu (1542 - 1616) Daimyo’s direct rule of land and farmers was established (removal of middle powers such as influential temples, manors, landlords). Rigid separation of samurai and farmers --Kenchi 検地(land survey and registration) creation of family farms. --Katanagari 刀狩(confiscation of all arms from non-samurai classes)--All samurai required to live in castle town, receive rice salary--All farmers required to live in villages, till allotted land, and pay rice tax 8 2.2 Tokugawa Period (1603~1868) :The baku-han system (1) Features of the Bakufu-Han System Bakuhu(Government)controls Hans(Daimyo). - The daimyo were divided into distinct groups. The shinpan, The fudai ,Tozama daimyo---The daimyo were not required to remit taxes to the bakufu but were occasionally called upon to assist in the building of public works and were also expected to supply guard contingents to imperial and bakufu facilities. (2) Class society:The caste system (shi-no-ko-sho) All people were classified as four groups: samurai(士), farmer(農), artisan(工), and merchant(商) - Assignment to a particular caste was according to birth. - The percentage of the population that comprised the samurai class was probably only about 7 percent. The great majority of people, 80 percent, were farmers, followed by 13 percent artisans and merchants. Japanese Economy 9 Ohno PP.23-25 Bakuhan Taisei (Bakufu-Han System) 幕藩体制 --“Feudalism” --Class society Separation of rulers and ruled 士 How to keep daimyos obedient: --Seppuku & termination of family --Limits on military capability (e.g. one castle) --Relocation & downsizing of hans at will --Sankin kotai (bi-annual residence in Edo) --Assignment of charges and public works 農 工 商 (3)Alternate attendance (4)The seclusion policy (sankin kotai) the daimyo spend half their time in Edo and that their families reside there year round. • The economic effects - Edo became a major consumption center - Osaka had become the city of merchants - development of roads and coastal waterways (sakoku) • - - -Only Dutch and Chinese were allowed to trade through the southern port at Nagasaki. Reasons : to prevent military alliances between the European countries and the daimyo. Suppression of Christianity. to reserve for the Tokugawa a quasimonopoly of imports 11 Ohno P.23 2.3 Pre-conditions for Industrial Take-off • • • • • • • Political unity and stability Agricultural development and commercialization Development of transportation and nationally unified markets Rise of commerce, finance and wealthy merchant class Rise of pre-modern manufacturing Industrial promotion by local governments High level of education Samurai police and merchants City girls Daimyo in his castle Ohno PP.25-28 Agriculture: Positive vs Negative Aspects • • • • • • Village autonomy and family farming Acreage rose then stabilized, productivity rose continuously Technology and knowledge improved over time As commercial crops increased, rich farmers emerged Farmers were tied to land and had to pay heavy (?) tax Famine, discontent with policy/officials led to ikki (farmers’ rebellion) Koku/cho Million cho (=ha) 20 15 8 Output/land (left scale) 6 10 4 5 0 1600 Farmland (right scale) 1650 1700 Source: Hayami & Miyamoto, 1988. 1750 1800 1850 2 0 1872 Rich Merchants in Edo Period (Gosho) Ohno Mitsui Family Sumitomo Family -17c From Matsuzaka -Kimono trade & money exchange in Edo, Kyoto, Osaka – huge success -16c Adopt Western copper refining, copper trade (Kyoto) -17c Move to Osaka -Besshi Copper Mine (under Bakufu’s commission) <Transition to Meiji> Manager: Minomura Rizaemon -Cope with bakufu policy to protect Mitsui business -Support and work with new government -Internal reform: from gosho to zaibatsu -1876 Establish Mitsui Bank & Mitsui Trading Company Onogumi? Tennojiya? Hiranoya? Shimadagumi? Kashimaya? <Transition to Meiji> Manager: Hirose Saihei -Avoiding gov’t confiscation -Introducing Western mining technology to renovate Besshi -Business diversification Konoike -Sake making, trading, loans to daimyo -No serious internal reform in Meiji -Failed to form zaibatsu (Sanwa Bank) High level of education Official Teaching Bakufu Schools and Han Schools Ohno PP.33-34 Private teaching Shokason Juku by Yoshida Shoin (1830-59) The core curriculum was ancient Produced many political leaders Chinese philosophy, especially • Ito Hirobumi (Prime Minister) Yamagata Aritomo (Prime Minister) Confucianism (6-5c BC). Kusaka Genzui (anti-bakufu fighter) -Confucianism emphasized social order, respect for superiors and elders, the Kangi-en role and duties of the ruler, and rituals by Hirose Tanso (1782-1856) and ceremonies (legitimacy for class society). -Largest private school in Edo period, -Study consisted of reading old Chinese attracting over 4,000 students literature in Japanese way, memorizing, -Main courses: ancient Chinese and interpret the meaning. literature and philosophy 15 Terakoya (Private Primary Schools) Ohno P.35 • Private teaching (3Rs:read, write, abacus) at teacher’s house, all over Japan (20,000+)—contributing greatly to literacy • Any intelligent person can be a teacher, any child can study (ages about 7-13) • Individual teaching, with flexible time and flexible fee <Typical curriculum> 8-12am 12-1pm 1-2pm 2pm Writing (brush & ink) Lunch at home Arithmetic, moral Go home <Exams and exhibitions> Monthly exams Year-end final exam Writing exhibitions, Apr & Aug <Holidays> 3 days/month, plus others 2.3 Fall of Bakuhu Decline of the feudal system (1) Rice-based system----chronic fiscal crisis • Economy shifted from rice to cash crop, agro-processing and commerce, but revenue continued to be based on rice tax • Bakufu and han governments launched reforms and industrial promotion to cope with budget crisis (only some succeeded) • Inflation accelerated in late Edo period due to (i) debasement of gold, (iii) foreign trade, and (iii) famine (entire period) • Higher taxes and inflation led to farmer`s riots Output & Tax on Bakufu Land 17 (2) The social hierarchy began to break down as the merchant class grew increasingly powerful while some samurai became financially dependent of them. (3) External pressure Commodore Perry in 1853 and 1854: --military threat to open up Japan. • Trade with West began under unequal treaties (1858: no tariff right, no court right), which brought social and economic changes • Fights over pro- and anti-foreigner forces, and pro- and anti-Bakufu forces began, eventually toppling Bakufu (1867) 18 Ohno P.43 3 Economic History: Meiji Era (1868-1912) 3.1 Meiji Government: Radical Reformist Initially, avoid colonization by the West Rapid modernization and Westernization Become “first-class” nation on a par with West • Political goal - abolish feudalism and class society; introduce Western style constitution and parliament • Economic goal - industrialization based on rapid adoption of Western technology • External goals - (1) revise unequal treaties as soon as possible; (2) modernize army & navy, establish “sphere of influence” around Japan Fukoku Kyohei (富国強兵) - Enrich the country, strengthen the military Shokusan Kogyo (殖産興業) - Increase production, encourage industry 3.2 Early steps of the new government • • • • • Capital move to Tokyo. Han abolished, replaced Prefecture Land tax reform Dispossession of the samurai Iwakuma mission (Dec.1871-Sep.1873) Half the cabinet - Iwakura (leader), Okubo, Ito, Kido, Yamaguchi, and other high officials (46); attendants (12), students (49); total 107 members Purpose 1: Start renegotiating unequal treaties (failed) Purpose 2: Inspect Western systems and technology Official report with illustrations by Kunitake Kume (scholar) <Results> (1) Valuable inputs for policy making (2) Conflicts with “home-keeping” gov’t (leaders who stayed home) ---- Civil war (1878): Seinan War 20 Ohno PP.41-42 Fake color photos of early Yokohama 3.3 Resumed International Trade • Open ports: Yokohama, Nagasaki, E xpo rt Hakodate, Hyogo, Niigata • Unequal treaties with West vs. no travel rights for foreigners Im po rt • Rise of Yokohama merchants • Rapid westernization and technology import begin • Inflation, relative price changes, rise and fall of industries Trade 1876-80 0% 20% 40% 60% To US Silk Tea C otton C otton yarn fabrics W oolen goods From UK 80% 100% Case Study; Early Meiji trades After a opening the economy, Japanese tariff rate had been very low. ---Reason: 1865: by the unequal treaty with Western Powers Japan was forced to take a low tariff rate (5%). --Those figures show that the early Japanese economy faced with a free trade. Review (Economics) Gains from Trades: 1 Comparative advantage theory : trade between two countries makes both countries better off than they would be in autarky—that is, there are gains from trade. 2 The main sources of comparative advantage are: International differences in climate Differences in technology Factor endowments Japanese Economy 22 3 International trade increases the demand for factors that are abundant in the country compared with other countries, and to decrease the demand for factors that are scarce in the country compared with other countries. 4 International trade leads to expansion in exporting industries and contraction in import-competing industries. 5 Compensation principle Trades may result some groups worse off. Lump-sum transfers from gainers to losers would necessary. Japanese Economy 23 (1) The Effects of Exports (Raw silk, tea ) The world price is higher than the autarky price trade leads to exports and a rise in the domestic price compared to the world price. There are overall gains from trade because producer gains exceed the consumer losses Figure Japanese Economy 24 Japanese Economy 25 (2) The Effects of Imports • When a market is opened to trade, competition among importers or exporters drives the domestic price to equality with the world price. • If the world price is lower than the autarky price, trade leads to imports and a fall in the domestic price compared to the world price. • There are overall gains from trade because consumer gains exceed the producer losses. Japanese Economy A Chapter 2 26 The Effects of Imports (iron and nail ) Figure 27 of 23 References Dadid Flath [2005],The Japanese Economy, Oxford University Press. Takatoshi Ito[1992], The Japanese Economy, MIT Press. Morishima, M [1982], Why Has Japan Succeeded? Cambridge University Press. Kenichi Ohno[2006], The Economic Development of Japan, GRIPS Development Forum. Reischauer, E.[1988], The Japanese today, Harverd University Press. 28