Listening to Voices The voice of the process What are the voices? Media Attention Customer/Citizen Surveys Complaints Work Areas The Staff Staff Surveys Waste Efficiency Outcome & Process Measures Wasting valuable management time How much time do you spend trying to achieve targets? • Trying to achieve everything • Writing reports • Holding meetings to sort perceived performance issues Performance Reports? How often do you report? • Month on month • This quarter compared to last quarter • This quarter compared to this quarter last year • The average for the: • Month • Quarter • Year Average Late Starts Late start rates 14 13 12 % 11 10 9 8 7 6 Urology T&O Gen Surg Why collect data? How can we compare, quantify or record changes if we cannot capture our data in some numerical form? Without measurable data we are at the mercy of anecdote. If you make an assumption based on anecdote rather than data, it will nearly always be wrong because we remember the unusual, not the mundane. What are we measuring ? • What data is currently being collected? • How do you interpret/use these? • Is this info fed back to those who collect the data? Chasing Tails!!! Chasing Tails– learning points • Any process contains variation • Reacting incorrectly to variation is futile What is variation? Nick Tyson Nick Tyson Nick Tyson Nick Tyson Nick Tyson What is variation? “I drive to work every day. When asked, I say it takes 55 minutes. In fact, it takes about 55 minutes, but every day it is slightly different” Histogram Time to drive to work 10 Number of days 8 6 4 2 0 50 .0 .5 .0 .5 .0 .5 .0 .5 .0 .5 .0 .5 .0 .5 .0 .5 .0 .5 .0 .5 2 5 7 0 2 5 7 0 2 5 7 0 2 5 7 0 2 5 7 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 Journey Time The importance of time • Time is often the most important variable, but it is often lost in the aggregation of data Average Late Starts Late start rates 14 13 12 % 11 10 9 8 7 6 Urology T&O Gen Surg Run charts • How to draw a run chart Y axis The value (measure) X axis Time period (e.g. days, weeks) Run Chart Exercise • The raw data for the three departments are attached • Roughly plot each directorate separately on the graph paper provided Three graphs Future gazing • Can you predict how your process is likely to perform? • How can you measure the context of YOUR variation? SPC Chart Upper control limit Journey Time in Minutes 100 90 80 70 60 50 1 4 7 Lower control limit 10 13 16 Day 19 22 25 28 31 Range of the process What is variation? • All processes contain variation • The key in managing variation is to distinguish between - variation caused by the process (common cause) - variation that is caused by special events (special cause) Special cause leading to new process One-off special cause Journey Time in Minutes 100 90 80 70 60 50 1 4 Common cause 7 10 13 16 Day 19 22 25 28 31 Match action to type of variation TYPE OF VARIATION TYPE OF ACTION Common Cause Common Cause Special Cause Understand the process so that changes introduced will change the process Investigating and correcting each incidence of common cause variation will be time consuming & won’t address the system factors causing variation Special Cause Changing the process to deal with one-off events is only likely to increase variation and make things worse Investigate the occurrence and determine what factor external to the process has caused the variation Dealing with common cause variation Reduce the variation e.g. by avoiding rush hour Move the centre line e.g. by changing route Trends • What is a change? • What is a trend? • “Last month our waiting list was 453. This month it is 441. We’re getting better!” Point Outside Control Limits Indicates there is something different about this point UCL Average LCL A change in the process 8+ points in a row above or below the centreline indicates a process change Centreline Process average Trends 6+ points in a row increasing or decreasing indicates a trend in the process Upward Trend Downward Trend Example Example Dealing with rare events PARETO CHART: EXAMPLE Focus on the most important (Pareto Principle) 20 100 18 90 16 80 14 70 12 60 10 50 8 40 6 30 4 20 Reasons 2 10 0 C E B D A Other Cumulative Percentage Action taken on the key causes