Trends in the Overall Health Care Market Chapter 4: Trends in Hospital Financing Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market Chart 4.1: Percentage of Hospitals with Negative Total Margins 1980 - 2003 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 Source: The Lewin Group Analysis of the American Hospital Association Annual Survey data, 1980 – 2003, for community hospitals Chartbook 2005 4-2 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market Chart 4.2: Aggregate Total Hospital Margins(1), Operating Margins(2), and Patient Margins(3) 1990 - 2003 8% 6% Total Margin 4% 2% Operating Margin 0% -2% Patient Margin -4% -6% 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 Source: The Lewin Group Analysis of the American Hospital Association Annual Survey data, 1990 - 2003, for community hospitals (1) (2) (3) Chartbook 2005 Total Hospital Margin is calculated as the difference between total net revenue and total expenses divided by total net revenue Operating Margin is calculated as the difference between operating revenue and total expenses divided by operating revenue Patient Margin is calculated as the difference between net patient revenue and total expenses divided by net patient revenue 4-3 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market Chart 4.3: Hospital Margins Reported to DATABANK(1) 2003 vs. 2004 6% 5.11% 5.06% 5% 4% 3.41% 3.36% 3% 2% 1% 0% -1% Total Margin Operating Margin 2003 -0.95% -1.0% Patient Margin 2004 Source: DATABANK data. (1) Chartbook 2005 Data represent the experience of 884 hospitals that consistently reported to DATABANK in 2003 and 2004. Data are unweighted and over represent smaller hospitals in western, rural states. A subset of states are not represented in DATABANK. DATABANK is an online database of hospital utilization and financial performance indicators. 4-4 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market Chart 4.4: Distribution of Outpatient vs. Inpatient Revenues 1980 - 2003 100% 90% 80% Gross Inpatient Revenue 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% Gross Outpatient Revenue 10% 0% 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 Source: The Lewin Group analysis of American Hospital Association Annual Survey data, 1980 – 2003, for community hospitals Chartbook 2005 4-5 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market Chart 4.5: Annual Change in Hospital Operating Revenue and Expenses per Adjusted Admission(1) 1981 - 2003 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 Change in Operating Revenue Change in Total Expenses Source: The Lewin Group Analysis of the American Hospital Association Annual Survey data, 1981 - 2003, for community hospitals (1) An aggregate measure of workload reflecting the number of inpatient admissions, plus an estimate of the volume of outpatient services, expressed in units equivalent to an inpatient admission in terms of level of effort Chartbook 2005 4-6 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market Chart 4.6: Distribution of Hospital Cost by Payer Type 1980, 2002, and 2003 Non-patient(1) – 2.7% Uncompensated Care(2) – 5.1% Private Payer – 41.8% Other Government – 6.1% Medicaid – 9.6% Medicare – 34.6% 1980 2002 2.6% 5.4% Non-patient(1) – 2.6% Uncompensated Care(2) – 5.5% 38.2% Private Payer – 37.5% 1.6% Other Government – 1.6% 13.9% Medicaid – 14.3% 38.4% Medicare – 38.5% 2003 Source: The Lewin Group Analysis of the American Hospital Association Annual Survey data, 1980, 2002, and 2003, for community hospitals Non-patient represents costs for cafeterias, parking lots, gift shops and other non-patient care operating services and are not attributed to any one payer (1) (2) Chartbook 2005 Uncompensated care represents bad debt expense, at cost, and charity care 4-7 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market Chart 4.7: Aggregate Hospital Payment-to-Cost Ratios for Private Payers, Medicare, and Medicaid 1980 - 2003 140% 130% Private Payer 120% 110% Medicare 100% Medicaid(1) 90% 80% 70% 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 Source: The Lewin Group analysis of American Hospital Association Annual Survey data, 1980 – 2003, for community hospitals (1) Chartbook 2005 Includes Medicaid Disproportionate Share payments 4-8 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market Chart 4.8: Hospital Payment Shortfall Relative to Costs Medicare, Medicaid, and Other Government 1997 - 2003 $6 $4 $2 Billions $0 Medicare -$2 -$4 -$6 -$8 Medicaid -$10 -$12 Other Government -$14 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 Source: The Lewin Group analysis of American Hospital Association Annual Survey data, 1997 – 2003, for community hospitals Chartbook 2005 4-9 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market Chart 4.9: Income from Investments and Other Non-operating Gains(1) as a Percentage of Total Net Revenue 1980 - 2003 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 Source: The Lewin Group analysis of the American Hospital Association Annual Survey data, 1980 - 2003, for community hospitals (1) Chartbook 2005 Non-operating gains include income from non-operating activities, including investments, endowments and extraordinary gains, as well as the value of non-realized gains from investments 4-10 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market Chart 4.10: Number of Bond Rating Upgrades and Downgrades of Non-profit Hospitals 1993 - 2004 63 69 61 41 34 35 19 12 26 32 28 95 96 97 98 Source: Standard & Poor’s, 2005 Chartbook 2005 4-11 11 21 37 62 73 94 10 28 55 93 10 99 59 00 55 01 45 61 02 03 04 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market Chart 4.11: Median Average Age of Plant 1990 - 2003 12 10 Years 8 7.9 8 8.2 90 91 92 8.4 8.6 8.8 8.9 9.2 93 94 95 96 97 9.3 9.2 9.4 9.6 9.8 9.8 98 99 00 01 02 03 6 4 2 0 Source: CHIPS: The 1994 Almanac of Hospital and Financial Operating Indicators, The 1996-7 Almanac of Hospital and Operating Indicators, and 1998-2003 data from Ingenix: Almanac of Hospital Financial and Operating Indicators 2005 Chartbook 2005 4-12 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market Chart 4.12: Percent Change in Employment Cost Index(1), All Private Service Industries, All Health Services, and Hospitals September 2004(2) 6% 5% 4% 4.4% 4.3% All Health Services Hospitals 3.4% 3% 2% 1% 0% All Private Service Industries Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Cost Index, 12 Months Ending September, 2004; www.bls.gov (1) (2) Chartbook 2005 Total compensation Data is for 12 months ending September 2004; December 2004 data has not been published as of yet 4-13