Chart 4.1: Percentage of Hospitals with Negative Total and Operating Margins, 1995 – 2013 45% 40% Negative Operating Margin 35% 30% 25% 20% Negative Total Margin 15% 10% 5% 0% 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 Source: Avalere Health analysis of American Hospital Association Annual Survey data, 2013, for community hospitals. 12 13 Chart 4.2: Aggregate Total Hospital Margins(1) and Operating Margins,(2) 1993 – 2013 10% 8% Total Margin 6% 4% Operating Margin 2% 0% 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 Source: Avalere Health analysis of American Hospital Association Annual Survey data, 2013, for community hospitals. (1) Total Hospital Margin is calculated as the difference between total net revenue and total expenses divided by total net revenue. (2) Operating Margin is calculated as the difference between operating revenue and total expenses divided by operating revenue. 12 13 Chart 4.3: Distribution of Outpatient vs. Inpatient Revenues, 1993 – 2013 100% 90% Percentage of Revenue 80% Gross Inpatient Revenue 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% Gross Outpatient Revenue 20% 10% 0% 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 Source: Avalere Health analysis of American Hospital Association Annual Survey data, 2013, for community hospitals. Chart 4.4: Annual Change in Hospital Operating Revenue and Expenses per Adjusted Admission,(1) 1993 – 2013 18% Change in Total Expenses Change in Operating Revenue 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 Source: Avalere Health analysis of American Hospital Association Annual Survey data, 2013, for community hospitals. (1) An aggregate measure of workload reflecting the number of inpatient admissions, plus an estimate of the volume of outpatient services, expressed in units equivalent to an inpatient admission in terms of level of effort. Chart 4.5: Distribution of Hospital Cost by Payer Type, 1980, 2000 and 2013 Non-patient,(1) 2.7% Uncompensated Care,(2) 5.1% Non-patient,(1) 2.8% Uncompensated Care,(2) 6.0% Private Payer, 41.8% Private Payer, 38.7% Other Government, 6.1% Other Government, 1.4% Medicaid, 12.8% Non-patient,(1) 2.2% Uncompensated Care,(2) 5.9% Private Payer,(3) 33.3% Other Government, 1.8% Medicaid, 16.5% Medicaid, 9.6% Medicare, 40.2% Medicare, 38.3% Medicare, 34.6% 1980 2000 2013 Source: Avalere Health analysis of American Hospital Association Annual Survey data, 2013, for community hospitals. (1) Non-patient represents costs for cafeterias, parking lots, gift shops and other non-patient care operating services and are not attributed to any one payer. (2) Uncompensated care represents bad debt expense and charity care, at cost. (3) Private payer formulas were updated in 2014 to account for the change in bad debt calculations, which is now reported as a deduction from revenue rather than a expense. (4) Percentages were rounded, so they do not add to 100 percent in all years. Chart 4.6: Aggregate Hospital Payment-to-cost Ratios for Private Payers, Medicare and Medicaid, 1993 – 2013 150% Private Payer 140% 130% 120% 110% 100% Medicaid(1) 90% 80% Medicare(2) 70% 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 Source: Avalere Health analysis of American Hospital Association Annual Survey data, 2013, for community hospitals. (1) Includes Medicaid Disproportionate Share payments. (2) Includes Medicare Disproportionate Share payments. Billions Chart 4.7: Hospital Payment Shortfall Relative to Costs for Medicare, Medicaid and Other Government, 1997 – 2013(1) $5 $0 -$5 -$10 -$15 -$20 -$25 -$30 -$35 -$40 -$45 -$50 -$55 -$60 Medicare Medicaid Other Government 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 Source: Avalere Health analysis of American Hospital Association Annual Survey data, 2013, for community hospitals. (1) Costs reflect a cap of 1.0 on the cost-to-charge ratio. Chart 4.8: Income from Investments and Other Non-operating Gains(1) as a Percentage of Total Net Revenue, 1993 – 2013 Percentage of Total Net Revenue 3.2% 2.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.0% -0.8% 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 Source: Avalere Health analysis of American Hospital Association Annual Survey data, 2013, for community hospitals. (1) Non-operating gains include income from non-operating activities, including investments, endowments and extraordinary gains, as well as the value of non-realized gains from investments. Chart 4.9: Number of Bond Rating Upgrades and Downgrades, Not-for-profit Health Care, 1994 – 2014 70 50 30 Upgrades 10 Downgrades -10 -30 -50 -70 (1) 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 Source: Moody’s Investors Services. Moody's: Public Finance Upgrades Outperform in Fourth Quarter; Downgrades Prevail in 2014. February 10, 2015. (1) Data for 2013 not publicly available Chart 4.10: Median Average Age of Plant, 1993 – 2013 12 10 10.3 10.1 10.2 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.9 9.8 9.8 9.6 9.8 10.1 9.7 9.2 9.3 9.2 9.4 8.8 8.9 8.0 8.4 Years 8 6 4 2 0 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 Source: Optum, Almanac of Hospital Financial and Operating Indicators, 2005, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2013, 2014 and 2015 and CHIPS, The Almanac of Hospital and Financial Operating Indicators, 1994 and 1996-7. Chart 4.11: Percent Change in Employment Cost Index(1), All Private Service Industries, All Health Services and Hospitals, 2005 – 2014(2) 5% Hospitals All Health Services 4% 3% All Private Service Industries 2% 1% 0% 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Cost Index, 12 months ending December 2014. Link: www.bls.gov. (1) Total compensation. (2) Data represent annualized 12 month percent change. 14