Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data Lecture 8 Concentration Index “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity Can you compare the degree of inequality in child mortality across these countries? 100% Equality Brazil Cote d'Ivoire Ghana Nepal Nicaragua Pakistan Cebu S Africa Vietnam cumul % under-5 deaths 80% 60% 40% Brazil is most unequal, but how do the rest compare? 20% 0% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% cumul % live births, ranked by equiv consumption “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity Concentration index (CI) cum. % of under 5 deaths 100% 75% CI = 2 x area between 450 line and concentration curve 50% CI < 0 when variable is higher amongst poor 25% 0% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% cum. % live births ranked by equivalent consumption “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity Concentration indices for U5MR C and 95% conf interval 0.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.4 Brazil (NE & SE) 1987-92 Nicaragua 1983-88 Phillipines (Cebu) 198191 South Africa 1985-89 Nepal 198596 Cote d’Ivoire 1978-89 Ghana 197889 Pakistan 1981-90 Vietnam 1982-93 -0.5 “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and . Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity Concentration index defined C = 2 x area between 450 line and concentration curve = A/(A+B) cum. % of health variable 100% 75% C>0 (<0) if health variable is disproportionately concentrated on rich (poor) 50% Lh p A C=0 if distribution in proportionate B 25% C lies in range (-1,1) 0% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% cum. % population ranked by income C=1 if richest person has all of the health variable C=-1 of poorest person has all of the health variable “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity Some formulae for the concentration index 1 C 1 2 Lh p dp 0 If the living standards variable is discrete: 2 n 1 where n is sample size, h the C hi ri 1 n i 1 n health variable, μ its mean and r the fractional rank by income For computation, this is more convenient: C 2 cov h, r “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity Properties of the concentration index • depend on the measurement characteristics of the health variable of interest. • Strictly, requires ratio scaled, non-negative variable • Invariant to multiplication by scalar • But not to any linear transformation • So, not appropriate for interval scaled variable with arbitrary mean • This can be problematic for measures of health that are often ordinal • If variable is dichotomous, C lies in the interval (μ-1, 1-μ) (Wagstaff, 2005): – So interval shrinks as mean rises. – Normalise by dividing C by 1-μ “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity Erreygers (2006) modified concentration index E h 4 bh ah C h Where bh and ah are the max and min of the health variable (h) • This satisfies the following axioms: – Level independence: E(h*)=E(h), h*=k+h – Cardinal consistency: E(h*)=E(h), h*=k+gH, k>0, g>0 – Mirror: E(h)=-E(s), s=bh-h – Monotonicity – Transfer “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity Interpreting the concentration index • How “bad” is a C of 0.10? • Does a doubling of C imply a doubling of inequality? • Koolman & van Doorslaer (2004) – – 75C = % of health variable that must be (linearly) transferred from richer to poorer half of pop. to arrive at distribution with a C of zero – But this ensures equality of health predicted by income rank and not equality per se “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity Inequality is not simply correlation • Milanovic (1997) decomposition for Gini can be adapted for concentration index: 2 12 r h C h, r 3 • C is (scaled) product of coefficient of variation and correlation h, r h – C captures both association and variability – C is a covariance scaled in interval [-1,1] – same association can imply different inequality depending on variability “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity Total inequality in health and socioeconomic-related health inequality 100% By definition, the health Lorenz curve must lie below the concentration curve. cum % of health 80% 60% That is, total health inequality is greater than income-related health inequality. 40% 20% 0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% cum % of pop, ranked by health or income diagonal Lorenz curve Conc curve “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity Total inequality in health is larger than socioeconomic-related health inequality Gini index of total health inequality 2 G cov(h , rh ) rh is rank in health distribution Then G cov(h , rh ) 1 C cov(h , r ) Thus, G = C + R, where R>=0 and measures the outward move from the health concentration curve to the health Lorenz curve, or the re-ranking in moving from the SES to the health distribution “even if the social class gradient was magically eliminated, dispersion in health outcomes in the population would remain very much the same” Smith J, 1999, Healthy bodies and thick wallets”, J Econ Perspectives “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity Computing concentration index with grouped data C ( p1L2 p2 L1 ) ( p2 L3 p3 L2 ) ... ( pT 1LT pT LT 1 ) Under-5 deaths in India pt Wealth group Poorest 2nd Middle 4th Richest Total/average No. of births 29939 28776 26528 24689 19739 129671 rel % births 23% 22% 20% 19% 15% cumul % U5MR No. of births per 1000 deaths 0% 23% 45% 66% 85% 100% 154.7 152.9 119.5 86.9 54.3 118.8 4632 4400 3170 2145 1072 15419 Lt (pt-1Lt-ptLt-1) rel % cumul % deaths deaths 30% 29% 21% 14% 7% 0% 30% 59% 79% 93% 100% Conc. Index -0.0008 -0.0267 -0.0592 -0.0827 0.0000 -0.1694 “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity Estimating the concentration index from micro data • Use “convenient covariance” formula C=2cov(h,r)/μ – Weights applied in computation of mean, covar and rank • Equivalently, use “convenient regression” 2 hi 2 r ri i – Where the fractional rank (r) is calculated as follows if there are weights (w) i 1 wi ri w j , 2 j 0 w0 0 – OLS estimate of β is the estimate of the concentration index “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity Standard error of the estimate of the concentration index • Kakwani et al (1997) provide a formula for deltamethod SE – But formula does not take account of weights or sample design • Could use the SE from the convenient regression – Allows adjustment for weights, clustering, serial correlation, etc – But that does not take account of the sampling variability of the estimate of the mean “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity Delta method standard error from convenient regression To take account of the sampling variability of the estimate of the mean, run this regression hi 1 1ri ui 2 ˆ 2 r Estimate the concentration index from ˆ ˆ 1 Or using the properties of OLS 2 2 r ˆ ˆ ˆ1 1 2 ˆ1 This estimate is a non-linear function of the regression coeffs and so its standard error can be obtained by the delta method. “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity Demographic standardization of the concentration index • Can use either method of standardization presented in lecture 5 & compute the C index for the standardized distribution • If want to standardized for the total correlation with demographic confounding variables (x), then can do in one-step • OLS estimate of β2 is indirectly standardized concentration index 2 2 hi r x r 2 2 i j ji j “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity i Sensitivity of the concentration index to the living standards measure • C reflects covariance between health and rank in the living standards distribution • C will differ across living standards measures if re-ranking of individuals is correlated with health (Wagstaff & Watanabe, 2003) hi From OLS estimate of 2 ri i where ri r1i r2i is the re-ranking and 2r its variance, 2 r the difference in concentration indices is C1 C2 ˆ “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity Evidence on sensitivity of concentration index Wagstaff & Watanabe (2003) – signif. difference b/w C estimated from consumption and assets index in only 6/19 cases for underweight and stunting But Lindelow (2006) find greater sensitivity in concentration indices for health service utilization in Mozambique Consumption Asset index t-value for difference CI t-value CI t-value Difference CIC – CIAI Hospital visits 0.166 8.72 0.231 12.94 -0.065 -3.35 Health center visits 0.066 3.85 -0.136 -8.49 0.202 9.99 Complete immunizations 0.059 8.35 0.194 34.69 -0.135 -19.1 Delivery control 0.063 11.86 0.154 35.01 -0.091 -15.27 Institutional delivery 0.089 11.31 0.266 43.26 -0.176 -20.06