Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data Lecture 7 Concentration Curves “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity How to measure health disparities? • Measures of dispersion like the variance, coefficient of variation, or Theil’s entropy inform of total, not socioeconomic-related health inequality • Relative risk ratios, e.g. mortality in top to bottom occupation class, do not take account of group sizes • Rate ratios of top to bottom quintiles do not reflect the complete distribution • Borrow rank-dependent measures—Lorenz curve and Gini Index—and their bivariate extensions—concentration curve and index—from income distribution literature and apply to socioeconomic-related inequality in health variables “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity U5MR per 1000 live births In which country are child deaths distributed most unequally? 300 Poorest "quintile" 2nd poorest "quintile Middle "quintile" 250 200 150 2nd richest "quintile" Richest "quintile" 100 50 0 India Mali Comparison made difficult by differences in levels. And have to rely on top versus bottom relativities. “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity Comparison is easier using cumulative distributions - Concentration curves Child deaths are disproportionately concentrated on the poor in both countries 100% cumul % under-five deaths 80% 60% Line of equality India Mali 40% But the disproportionate concentration (inequality) appears greater in India 20% 0% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% cumul % births, ranked by wealth “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity In general, concentration curve plots the cumulative % of health variable against the cumulative % of population ranked by socioeconomic status Must be possible to sum health variable. Living standards variable only needs to provide a ranking. L(s) 1 cumulative proportion of ill-health Curve above the diagonal concentration among the poor Curve below the diagonal concentration among the rich 1 0 cumulative proportion of population ranked by socioeconomic status Curve on the diagonal = equality “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity Graphing concentration curves from grouped data 1. Rank indvs/HHs by living standards variable, into quintiles (or deciles) 2. Obtain for each quintile the mean of variable of interest and # relevant cases 3. Paste quintile means and counts into Excel; form cumulative % relevant cases and corresponding cumulative % of total value of variable of interest; graph concentration curve using xy chart “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity Under-five deaths in India Wealth group No. of rel % cumul % U5MR No. of rel % cumul % births births births per 1000 deaths deaths deaths Poorest 29939 2nd 28776 Middle 26528 4th 24689 Richest 19739 Total/average 129671 23% 22% 20% 19% 15% 0% 23% 154.7 4632 45% 152.9 4400 66% 119.5 3170 85% 86.9 2145 100% 54.3 1072 118.8 15419 30% 29% 21% 14% 7% 0% 30% 59% 79% 93% 100% In excel Equality L(s) India L(s) Mali 0% 0% 0% 23% 23% 30% 45% 45% 59% 66% 66% 79% 85% 85% 93% 100% 100% 100% 0% 0% 21% 25% 42% 49% 63% 69% 83% 89% 100% 100% “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity But the advantage of the concentration is that it can be computed from individual level data and so gives a picture of the complete distribution 1 Concentration Curve for Child Malnutrition in Vietnam .6 .8 glcurve neghaz, glvar(yord) pvar(rank) sortvar(lnpcexp) replace by(year) split lorenz 0 .2 .4 or use twoway graph routines to plot the co-ordinates yord & rank 0 .2 .4 .6 .8 cumul share of children (poorest first) 1992/93 1997/98 line of equality 1 Assessing inequality in the standardized distribution of health • Concentration curve L(s) lies below diagonal health is 0.8 concentrated among the rich; • L*(s) is the indirectly standardized 0.6 concentration curve, i.e. the 0.4 (unavoidable) inequality to be expected on the basis of the age0.2 sex distribution • Inequality favoring the rich if L(s) 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 lies below L*(s) cum. prop. sample, Cum. prop. of health 1.0 ranked by income L(s) L*(s) “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity Concentration curve (Lorenz) dominance tests • Concentration curve A dominates the 45o line /Lorenz curve/conc. curve B if it lies above the other line/curve • Comparing the point estimates of curves is not sufficient to establish dominance • Concentration curves are estimated from survey data and so display sampling variability • Need to conduct formal tests of significance of difference between curves “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity Testing dominance b/w dependent curves • • • • • Test significance of difference between ordinates of curves at a number of quantiles If the curves are independent, just requires the standard errors for the point estimates of the ordinates of each curve But often the curves are dependent e.g. conc. & Lorenz curves, 2 conc. curves estimated from same sample Requires standard errors for the difference between ordinates allowing for dependence See Bishop, Chow & Formby (IER, 1994) & Davidson & Duclos (Econometrica, 1997) “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity Decision rule • What constitutes a significant difference b/w two curves? • At least one significant difference in one direction and no significant difference in the other? • This will over reject the null (for given significance level) since are making multiple comparisons • Can use same decision rule but correct critical values (using Studentised Maximum Modulus) • Or require significant difference at all quantiles compared – (Intersection Union Principle) • Dardanoni & Forcina (Econometrics J. 1999) show IUP is less likely to falsely reject null but has much lower power to find dominance when exists “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity Tests can also find • Non-dominance if no significant difference at any quantile (with MCA rule) • Curves cross if at least one significant difference in each direction “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity Number of comparison points • If too few, not testing dominance across full range of distribution • But always difficult to find significant differences at extremes of curves • Common choice is to test at 19 evenly spaced quantiles from 5% to 95% “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity Stata ado for dominance testing dominance varlist [if] [in] [weight] [using filename], sortvar() [options] Dominance of CC against 45o line and Lorenz: dominance totsub [aw=wght], sortvar(hhexp_eq) Dominance of one CC against another: dominance nonhsub ipsub [aw=wght], sortvar(hhexp_eq) Dominance of independent CC: use India dominance totsub [aw=weight] using Vietnam, sortvar(hhexp_eq) labels(India Vietnam) “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity Concentration curves for subsidies to inpatient and non-hospital care in India “Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data” Owen O’Donnell, Eddy van Doorslaer, Adam Wagstaff and Magnus Lindelow, The World Bank, Washington DC, 2008, www.worldbank.org/analyzinghealthequity